UFC Fight Night: Hunt Vs BigFoot (December 06, 2013)

[Catchn_Picks]

Have Santos in one par and O 2,5 in another.

[NunyaBidness]

Somebody tell Bookmaker support to put the livebetting guy to work.

[Catchn_Picks]

Somebody tell Bookmaker support to put the livebetting guy to work.

could we pass the hat around? Maybe the live guy is on break

[Unwritten Law]

I hate when those live guys get lazy. Some good spots to place bets and these guys are slow or scared as hell.

[NunyaBidness]

I think they just don't realize it's started, a lot of times they miss some or all of the first fight. Somebody who isn't on the DL should remind them.

[Unwritten Law]

Line dropped for Nick Ring, now -185. Anyone still like the play?

[Catchn_Picks]

Really interesting first round scoring in the Santos fight from Sherdog

SHERDOG SCORES

Jordan Breen scores the round 10-10
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10
Mike Whitman scores the round 10-9 Santos

[Catchn_Picks]

fwiw…just found out that the Garcia fight is over…Garcia wins in Round 1…cool…3 pars alive

[NunyaBidness]

Line dropped for Nick Ring, now -185. Anyone still like the play?

Was -165 this afternoon. I like it.

[MiddleMan]

Event: James Te Huna v Mauricio Rua
Market: Total Rounds
Pick: Under 1.5 rounds
Agency: Pinnacle
Odds: $2.60
Stake: 1 unit (no bet under $2.30)
Analysis:
This is a pure value play. We rate better than a 38.46% chance of this not going past the first round (which the odds of $2.60 indicate). We rate this closer to a 44% chance, hence the one unit suggestion at these odds.


In 22 total UFC fights, Aussie/NZ fighter James Te Huna has finished, or been finished, in the first round of 13 fights (and 8/13). His style dictates a quick fight, which is evidenced by only three of his 22 fights going the distance.


His Brazilian opponent has only gone the distance in 5/29 fights, showing he too likes quick fights. In 18 of his 29 fights, we haven't seen Rua go beyond the first round.


Based on the fact these two fighters have better than a 50% record of having their fights finished in the first round, the $2.60 for under 1.5 rounds looks like very good value.


Bet365 and Centrebet is offering $2.20 on the same market, while Sportsbet is offering $2.10.

[MexicanStallion]

So much for Santos there.

[Catchn_Picks]

think Jotko won…damn…

[Unwritten Law]

Thinking about parlaying:

Ring -185
Scoggins -350

$100 to win $98

[Das Jax]

For the main event, there's a good chance that the fight won't go the distance of 5 rounds between Big Foot and Mark Hunt. Assuming both will slug it out and go for the KO, do you guys think it would be a good bet to make on a KO? My line's MMA prop has it the following:

Mark Hunt by KO +125
Big Foot by KO +260

Assume I wager 100 on both, if either wins by KO, then it's still guaranteed profit, albeit, smaller if Hunt wins. The other way Silva wins is by submission. Hunt has improved on his takedown and submission defense. He hasn't loss by submission since his UFC debut against Sean McCorkle 3 years ago.

That... is actually pretty tempting... particularly since the odds are now +145 and +265 respectively. I am indeed worried about Big Foot getting a sub, but that's actually a pretty decent angle. Well spotted.

[Vaughany]

sources?

frontrowbrian

[Beelzebubzy]

I am not stepping up to fight Condit

[Catchn_Picks]

Wow Scroggins line has jumped…so glad I hit it earlier…biggest move of the night by far

[Catchn_Picks]

That... is actually pretty tempting... particularly since the odds are now +145 and +265 respectively. I am indeed worried about Big Foot getting a sub, but that's actually a pretty decent angle. Well spotted.

It is easy to forget that Big Foot is a BB in BJJ..he knows how to sub

[Unwritten Law]

Another parlay.

Scoggins -350
Ring -185
Kedzie / Correia over 2.5 -220
Bader -550

$50 to win $120

[Vaughany]

lol Florian things Scoggins is fighting Scoggins!

[MexicanStallion]

lol Florian things Scoggins is fighting Scoggins!

Scoggins gave him a shot, but Scoggins did recover.

[Beelzebubzy]

anyone able to livebet with Bookmaker

[Unwritten Law]

Anyone like Shogun vs Te Huna over 1.5 rounds?

[Catchn_Picks]

owowowowowowowowowowowowowowowowowow

[Unwritten Law]

Vas jumps up instantly after stoppage to try to save face.

[Vaughany]

so pisssed I didnt get that Scoggins +120 line on sportsbook! Worst opening line ever by Odessa!

[Unwritten Law]

That's the biggest line movement if that was the case!

[NunyaBidness]

so pisssed I didnt get that Scoggins +120 line on sportsbook! Worst opening line ever by Odessa!

That might not even be a top 5 bad line by Oddessa.

[NunyaBidness]

anyone able to livebet with Bookmaker

That's what I've been saying homey. Talk to support and tell em you need your fix! Dude's coffee break is going on too long!

[Catchn_Picks]

so pisssed I didnt get that Scoggins +120 line on sportsbook! Worst opening line ever by Odessa!

Capper on another street said he was involved with training him early on and he was the most talented kid he has ever seen…head and shoulders above the competition there.

He isn't unknown anymore. But he is so young…he is going to improve so much. Got a Pettis kind of look.

[Beelzebubzy]

That's what I've been saying homey. Talk to support and tell em you need your fix! Dude's coffee break is going on too long!

this bastard cost me 15 cents
I would have made pennies on scoggins there!

[NunyaBidness]

so pisssed I didnt get that Scoggins +120 line on sportsbook! Worst opening line ever by Odessa!

Also it wasn't +120, opened +180, I only grabbed the +150; but they paid it out so I'm happy boy.

[Beelzebubzy]

ww
edit

[Beelzebubzy]

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[Unwritten Law]

did you get her number at least?