Miller is likely going to absolutely run through Ogle, and probably KO him in the first two rounds. Ogle has some of the worst footwork in the UFC, and he can't cut the cage off well enough to consistently push Miller against it, where he has historically had the most issues on the feet. His takedowns are awful, and he only tends to shoot out of desperation once he's been tagged and things aren't going his way on the feet. For all his reputation of being a tough guy with a lot of heart, Ogle seriously can't take a punch. His chin is suspect, and he turtles up and panics whenever he gets hit. Miller is better in every single area, and Ogle's only clear route to victory is if he can somehow get Miller down and grind him out consistently enough to take the decision, but with Ogle's habit of jumping into triangles, even that isn't a safe tactic. This is a gimme fight for Miller, and Ogle is going to need to show some serious improvement to win.
I recommend an 8u play here (assuming a 100u bankroll). Massive value.
I recommend an 8u play here (assuming a 100u bankroll). Massive value.
The problem with Grispi is he is defeated before he even steps in the cage, especially agaisnt Ogle as wife was in hospital at the time with pregnancy complications. At least with Cole you know he can scrap and take a beating and fight back even if his IQ isnt great. Going in and choking out Palaszewki in 1st round is not easy!
