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for those asking me about Gaberz. This was his 168 card
UFC 168: 2-20, -51.18 unitsWins highlighted in green, losses highlighted in green.
NOTE: Some of the plays I copy/pasted from his articles were listed multiple times per article. But don't fret, I made sure I did NOT count any plays more than once.
Here are his Twitter plays for the card, along with a link to each tweet.
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Camoes +3.5 +180 (2u to win 3.6u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...26093976391680
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Silva -160 (4.8u to win 3u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...21004947636226
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Hall -3.5 -215 (2.15u to win 1u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...20056850808832
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Michael Johnson by Decision +271 (1u to win 2.71u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...20056850808832
Here are his MMAOB plays from the card, complete with a link to the article where they were posted.
Johnson/Tibau
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 2.5 rounds (-160) 3.2u to win 2u
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...l-johnson-120/
Rousey/Tate
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Under 1.5 rounds (-195) 3.9u to win 2u, Rousey by T/KO (+1080) 2u to win 21.6u for a value play, as I think she could easily mount Tate and finish her by TKO, and she just may very well be looking to hurt her. This time around, a TKO finish may give her more satisfaction than another armbar, so I definitely see value in this huge dog line. Also: Fight won’t start round 3 (-376) parlayed with Dustin Poirier (-225)for (-121) 3.63u to win 3u, Rousey wins in round 1 (-120) parlayed with Estevan Payan (+160) for (+386) 2u to win 7.72u, and Rousey ITD (-575) parlayed with Josh Barnett (-190) for (-126)* 12.63u to win 10u, which is my MONSTER play for this card.
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...da-rousey-900/
Poirier/Brandao
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Dustin Poirier (-225) parlayed with Rousey/Tate won’t start round three (-376) for -1213.63u to win 3u, Poirier (-225) parlayed with Josh Barnett (-190) for +120 2u to win 2.4u, and Poirier (-225) parlayed with Estevan Payan (+160) for +275 1u to win 2.75u
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...o-brandao-185/
Barnett/Browne
Gabe’s Recommended Plays: Josh Barnett (-190) parlayed with Rousey ITD (-575) for -126 12.6u to win 10u, my MONSTER play for this card. Also, Barnett (-190) parlayed with Dustin Poirier (-225) for +120 2u to win 2.4u, Barnett (-190) parlayed with Estevan Payan (+160) for +296 2u to win 5.9u, and Josh Barnett by Decision (+413) 2u to win 8.26u.
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...h-barnett-190/
Payan/Peralta
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Estevan Payan (+160) 2u to win 3.2u, Payan +3.5 (-150) 3u to win 2u, Payan by T/KO (+665) 3u to win 19.95u. (I gave this play out at +800 on the At Odds MMA Show, so hopefully you heard it and tailed. I personally played it for 2.5u to win 20u, but it has since dropped to +665, so I recommend locking in 3u ASAP; you may need to wait to bet the full 3 units, if you meet the max-limit for the prop) – Also: Payan (+160) parlayed with Ronda Rousey in round 1 (-120) for +386 2u to win 7.72u, Payan (+160) parlayed with Barnett (-190) for +296 2u to win 5.9u, and Payan (+160) parlayed with Dustin Poirier (-225) for +275 1uto win 2.75u. I definitely see value in Payan, as I think he should be a -250 favorite. Out of all my friends in the MMA community, I seem to be the only one who feels this way. Hopefully I will be right, because along with Rousey and Barnett, Payan is one of my top three favorite plays on the entire card.
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...s-peralta-185/
FOTN props
Gabe’s FOTN Play: I believe this card really has just these three options for cashing the award. I think Estevan Payan vs Robbie Peralta on the Facebook prelims has a great chance of being a very exciting fight, but I just think something on the main card will steal this show, and my gut has been telling me Silva vs Weidman all week long, so my only play is going to be 2u to win 5u on that prop, and would recommend playing it at +150 or better.
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...betting-props/
SOTN Props
Gabe’s ‘SOTN’ Plays: Ronda Rousey (+110) 2u to win 2.2u, although I am hoping for a knockout, so I could cash the T/KO prop (around +1400 last I checked). Also: Fabricio Camoes (+2000) .25u to win 5u
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/u...betting-props/
KOTN props
Gabe’s KOTN Play: Urijah Hall (+750) .5u to win 3.75u
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-168-knockout-of-the-night-betting-props/
And for his final recommended play, he gave out Diego Brandao +3.5. Then once Diego later missed weight, he simply deleted the tweet. It doesn't matter if the weigh ins changed his thoughts, he already gave out the bet. He defended this by claiming he didn't personally place the bet himself, despite giving it out an hour before. I don't know any gambler who gives out plays BEFORE they bet them first and besides, that doesn't mean the people tailing him didn't bet it. I don't remember what units he recommended and what the line was, so I did not add any lost units to the overall number of -51.18.
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You can just toss a coin instead basically. Its that bad.Comment -
UFN 34
He deleted some of his betting tweets. This time, tweets where he listed units for his some of his plays -- plays that he went 0-4 on, what a coincidence. I had previously added them up but don't have the exact units written down, so I cannot say for sure. It was close to 20 units, though. He did leave the tweets where he mentioned the plays again but without listing the units, so we can still document the 0-4 without documenting the lost units.
But let's give him the benefit of the doubt, and ignore the "almost 20 units" estimate. Without including the lost units from that 0-4, he lost 7.1 units. According to him, he only lost precisely 7 units, which means he would have bet exactly 0 units on those 4 plays, which is obviously impossible. He is purposely not tallying the lost units on 4 bets that he went 0-4 on, which is deceitful.
Wins highlighted in green, losses highlighted in loss.
NOTE: Some of the plays I copy/pasted from his articles were listed multiple times per article. But don't fret, I made sure I did NOT count any plays more than once.
Here are his Twitter plays for the card, along with a link to each tweet.
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Threw Taisumov ITD -140 in a couple parlays
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...41801011798016
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Haven't capped this fight, but have Dutra -145 in a couple parlays - mostly 'cos I dug his staredown during weigh-ins
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...76425561747456
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Kawajiri by Dec +184 (1u to win 1.84u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...82018611597312
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Doane ITD +350 (.5u to win 1.75u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...02379461533696
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Soriano/Kawajiri o2.5 -160 (1.6u to win 1u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...82558724722688
Gabriel Killian @GabeKillianMMA
Saffiedine ITD +166 (1u to win 1.66u)
https://twitter.com/GabeKillianMMA/s...88143071391744
Here are his MMAOB plays from the card, complete with a link to the article where they were posted:
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Russell Doane +110 4u to win 4.4u
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-fight-night-34-bet-leandro-brodinho-issa-150-vs-russell-doane-110/
Gabe’s Recommended Plays: Over 1.5 rounds (-220) 4.4u to win 2u, Holloway by Dec (+160) 1.5u to win 2.4u, and Chope by Dec (+520) .5u to win 2.6uhttp://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-fight-night-34-bet-max-blessed-holloway-215-vs-will-the-kill-chope-195/
Gabe’s Recommended PARLAY: Dustin Kimura (-265), Not Kikuno inside distance (-230), and Wee/Galera won’t go distance (-185) for +204 2.5u to win 5.11u
Other Plays: Dustin Kimura Inside the Distance (-120) .6u to win .5u, Quinn Mulhern by Decision (+425) 1u to win 4.25u, Galera/Wee under 1.5 rounds (+135) 2u to win 2.7uhttp://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/gabe-killians-preliminary-card-plays-for-ufc-fight-night-34/
Gabe’s FOTN Play: Soriano/Kawajiri (+225) 1u to win 2.25u, Holloway/Chope (+600) .5u to win 3u, and Galera/Wee (+1000) .25u to win 2.5uhttp://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/gabe-killians-ufc-fight-night-34-fight-of-the-night-betting-props/
Gabe’s Recommended Play: Kang (-300) parlayed with Taisumov (-305) for -130 4.55u to win 3.5uhttp://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-fight-night-34-bet-kyung-ho-kang-300-vs-shunichi-shimizu-250/
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4-14
thebills went 0-4 in super BowlsComment -
gotta really narrow down the plays and focus on just a few really solid bets...those props are killers and theres so many winners turned into losers w/ busted parlay legsComment -
So there you have it, Gabe’s fully documented betting results for the last 2 MMA events. That proves he went 6-34, despite him vehemently denying it and claiming that record is a “lie”.
The bets are there for everyone to see since links to each of them were attached. That is irrefutable proof.Comment -
well whoever spent the time doing that acted like they just solved the jack the ripper case. Nah brah, you proved that gabe is a degen gambler which makes him the average joe. Have fun getting the time wasted doing that back.Comment -
What you talking about Kelly kapalski
this is bubz criterion
aka get drunk make money and give nunya a hand job wgeb I got toComment -
I haven't deleted any tweets. Only tweets on my page to ever be deleted were Brandao +3.5 and I tweeted that I deleted it... only other tweets I deleted are when I would argue with Luca.
Don't know why you would make such an accusation. (Other than the fact that you've been hating on me since 2011, that is.)Comment -
and yeah dude, i'm sure people were asking you lol wow.... yeah, they were asking you because they didn't want to take the time visiting the website themselves, and wanted a pathetic fool like you to do it and write a report for them, is that it?
lol too funnyComment -
I said I lost 7u in recommended bets
for personal bets, i had a ton of parlays, all those are irrelevant.
it's befuddling how pathetic this guy is. just wow.Comment -
gabe why do you recommend bets on mmaob? just write the break down and give your personal bet or pick. Dont give out bets. It is dumb anyways because the same website is charging people to tail their bets.Comment -
...and why are personal plays i made for fun included in there?
i didn't recommend a bet on dutra. i even said i didnt cap the fight. why would you include a random gamble that i did not recommend anyone else to bet as part of my recommended bet record? especially when the line was taken down after i tweeted? lol i don't understand why you include some of those in there... i use twitter to share with friends and followers what i'm doing throughout the card, i don't use it only to tell people what bets to make.Comment -
I didn't say any record is a lie, wtf? I see no need to go and do a count on how many props lost and won, what's the point? Only thing I said is a lie is him saying I dropped 20u in recommended bets when it was only 7u after i added it up
You have no shame, man. Zero.Comment -
I tweet that I made a play on Dutra "without capping the just because i liked his staredown at the weigh ins" while the fight was starting, and this dumby includes it as part of my recommended bets... same with others, they don't belong in any record.Comment -
I just wanna point out that WannaBet did not deserve the mockery and shit talking he received...
He posted 2 videos, and he was right about Korean Zombie beating Poirier (I was on that play, myself)
and Silva/Stann + Franklin/Le + Silva almost finishing Franklin proved that he was on the right side playing Silva over Franklin at near +300 (i was big on franklin in that one. he won, but wasn't the right side.)
everyone gave him crap and laughed at him for months, when he was right all along. did anyone ever apologize to him?
i certainly would, but i was one of the few who didn't part-take. although i did not agree with him about silva/franklin at the time.Last edited by gabe; 01-06-14, 03:12 AM.Comment -
You guys dont seem to understand, even if you show all the evidence to some people, it is scientifically proven in experiments that they hold their own point of view even firmer now, not less! Even if you show them the cold hard evidence straight to their face. Most people dont think logically with reason, they think with instinct and survival mentality. And you generally cant reason someone out of a position they didint reason them self into!
And I also find it a little ironic how Luca takes shots at Gabe. Luca is in no position to do so, After splitting with Kalikas his bets have gone to crap while Kalikas is on fire. Just stating the facts. I think Luca should change his "premium" bets to just "Luca's" bets since there really is nothing "premium" about them at all. Well besides paying "premium" money for them hahaComment -
lol yeah the mask was too funny... he was afraid he wouldn't be able to perform heart surgeries anymore after his hospital found out he legally wagers online.Comment -
Nice to be in that position. My job isnt serious enough to where my Management give two shiits about gambling, in fact my Director had a panic attack when the IT geeks blocked access to gambling related sites after we got a virus on our server! Actually put it down on the agenda in the next meeting and said that he'd lost loads of money on horse-racing because he wasnt able to get on oddschecker.com!Comment -
LOL LOL and f-ing LOL. What a great boss to haveComment -
You should just start to tail mamma helwani. She only piks favouritesComment -
Gabe, I have felt sympathy for you during your losing nights, I've defended you from people who were quite rightly attacking you, and pretty much every criticism I've leveled against you has been fair and honest despite your childish behaviour towards me.
I can say beyond a shadow of a doubt, though, that you are a complete scumbag, and one of the most dishonest people that I've ever seen on SBR, and that is saying a lot. You lie, and you try to rationalize your losses when they are presented before you, as clear as day. You hide from them, you run away, you pretend that people are just bullshitting and you do everything you can to dance around them. When someone actually gives you some good advice and takes time out of their day to attempt to help you, you shit all over them and insult them. Wannabet was laughed off the forum? You were laughed off the forum, dumbass. And people took mocking you a lot more seriously than they did mocking Wannabet. You're a losing gambler who, instead of trying to improve, just lies about his results instead. You had a -50u night and barely said a word about it, but when you win, you often post braggingly about it as if you had already forgotten the huge losses you just had. Do you understand that anyone tailing you lost half of their bankroll? And you're such a moron that you sit there, pretending it didn't happen, and just go on to da next one, fellaz.
Your lies, your insistence on insulting people who are trying to help you because you're in denial, and your constant attempts to hide from your losses, should make it clear to pretty much anyone that you're an untrustworthy rat.
If you want to con people with your free bets, go ahead, but when someone takes the time to offer you constructive advice about your destructive behaviour, to legitimately help you, on a forum for gambling discussion, and you resort to insulting them and mocking them, you really have hit rock bottom.Comment -
Shuai Peng -750 pick of the day cuz. lock it up with others like the seahawks. -50u is nothingComment -
How does gabe survive? Poor guy
He is hurting so much!
He is clearly losing money from sports handicapping, but im not even sure if thats as bad as his comedy career.
How does he even survive???
Poor gabes parents...they seem like a working class family, struggling to support their full grown dependant son.Comment -
LOL @ MD talking all this shit when he used to kiss my ass all the time
getting hired by mmaob really rubbed him the wrong way. sad, really. dude went from kissing my ass to COMPLETELY being against me with every inch of his being... he and his ghost accounts are too funny.
i find it ironic that a guy who purposely tried to get two people fired from their jobs (he found siders facebook, added his boss, and started messaging him about sider, linking him to threads on this forum) would have the balls to call someone ELSE a "scumbag" -- there is no bigger scumbag on this entire forum than MD, that is one fact you can cement.
lol @ v's post. great boss. i recall you mentioning that back when it happened.Comment
