WWE: Extreme Rules

[Sacrelicious]

Brock Lesnar will be booked for a match vs HHH, Brock will go over.

Cena will be booked vs Ryback, Cena will go over.

Waiting for the undercard, the lines on both of these fights will be ridiculous, but they are legitimate "locks".

[Grabaka]

Chef, do you watch WWE while drunk?

[PunisherIND]

Brock Lesnar will be booked for a match vs HHH, Brock will go over.

Cena will be booked vs Ryback, Cena will go over.

Waiting for the undercard, the lines on both of these fights will be ridiculous, but they are legitimate "locks".

you think they will have lines for this? I thought they only offer lines for the big events?

[Beelzebubzy]

They had a line for tna

[Sacrelicious]

Chef, do you watch WWE while drunk?

Yup.

[Sacrelicious]

you think they will have lines for this? I thought they only offer lines for the big events?

Absolutely, all WWE PPV's have lines, usually for every match.

As Beez stated, they are even starting to offer lines for TNA.

[Sacrelicious]

Biggest issue with WWE lines is that they get juiced so fast and you can only bet them for like 50$, but if you parlay them with (literally) everything, you can make multiple bets.

WWE is by far my most profitable betting venture, I just gotta get into the Oscars and the hot dog eating contests and I'm set for life.

[Dwil125]

How do you know who wins, is it just obvious since everything has a predetermined outcome?

[Sacrelicious]

How do you know who wins, is it just obvious since everything has a predetermined outcome?

You hit the nail on the head, its the latter. I've been a huge wrestling fan my whole life, and subscribe to some insider websites.

Occasionally though, Vinny Mac changes his mind a few hours before (see my Ryback play in the wrestlemania thread) but usually, its very predictable (see my Fandango parlays with everything).

[davopnz]

so what are the plays?

[Sacrelicious]

so what are the plays?

Right now when the lines are all -2000 to -5000? Take a guess.

[Beelzebubzy]

Shield Brock not silva decession

[PunisherIND]

Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded immediately on initial ruling, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		161 Alberto Del Rio (initial ruling)		-530
8:00PM		162 Jack Swagger (initial ruling)		+350
Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		163 Alberto Del Rio (end of broadcast)		-6000
8:00PM		164 Jack Swagger (end of broadcast ruling)		+2000

any idea why the big difference between initial and end of broadcast?

[Beelzebubzy]

The winner of Swagger/Del Rio is not going to go to a PPV. Its going to be a title match on Raw or Smackdown. Thus, they do not need face vs heel. I would take Swagger here for the +2000

Ryback
Shield
Ambrose
Brock
Henry
Orton
Miz

[Sacrelicious]

Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded immediately on initial ruling, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		161 Alberto Del Rio (initial ruling)		-530
8:00PM		162 Jack Swagger (initial ruling)		+350
Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		163 Alberto Del Rio (end of broadcast)		-6000
8:00PM		164 Jack Swagger (end of broadcast ruling)		+2000

any idea why the big difference between initial and end of broadcast?

Initial ruling is the initial ruling when the winner is announced. If the match is then restarted, etc, and there is a new winner, that would be the end of broadcast ruling. For a recent example, CM Punk vs Rock at this years Rumble.

I missed the line movement on that one, Swagger is currently -190 initial, I took a stab at it. Also on Lesnar -170 and Cena -210. Still waiting for my refund on Dolph....

[PunisherIND]

Initial ruling is the initial ruling when the winner is announced. If the match is then restarted, etc, and there is a new winner, that would be the end of broadcast ruling. For a recent example, CM Punk vs Rock at this years Rumble.

I missed the line movement on that one, Swagger is currently -190 initial, I took a stab at it. Also on Lesnar -170 and Cena -210. Still waiting for my refund on Dolph....

yes, but why do you think the numbers are so far apart? why would u play swagger at -190 instead of +2000 end of broadcast? is it that likely there will be two different outcomes?

[PunisherIND]

The winner of Swagger/Del Rio is not going to go to a PPV. Its going to be a title match on Raw or Smackdown. Thus, they do not need face vs heel. I would take Swagger here for the +2000

not sure what this means.. heel always beats face, ask luke rockhold. im throwing a happy meal on swagger +2000.

[NunyaBidness]

One of these flipped but the other didn't.

Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded immediately on initial ruling, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		161 Alberto Del Rio (initial ruling)		+400
8:00PM		162 Jack Swagger (initial ruling)		-600
Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		163 Alberto Del Rio (end of broadcast)		-6000
8:00PM		164 Jack Swagger (end of broadcast ruling)		+2000

[iQon]

yes, but why do you think the numbers are so far apart? why would u play swagger at -190 instead of +2000 end of broadcast? is it that likely there will be two different outcomes?

Probably to protect their ass and maximize their profit. The "DQ's" and "match re-starts" caused a shitstorm @ Wrestlemania a few years ago.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma-ufc-betting/1013815-wrestlemania-xxvii-predictions-p3.html

I took my money and ran.

[Sacrelicious]

yes, but why do you think the numbers are so far apart? why would u play swagger at -190 instead of +2000 end of broadcast? is it that likely there will be two different outcomes?

Likely because the match has been booked to have a false finish, and people bet on it from the inside. I hit Swagger initial at -190, missed it at + money this morning, it is currently -2000.

[sideloaded]

One of these flipped but the other didn't.

Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded immediately on initial ruling, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		161 Alberto Del Rio (initial ruling)		+400
8:00PM		162 Jack Swagger (initial ruling)		-600
Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		163 Alberto Del Rio (end of broadcast)		-6000
8:00PM		164 Jack Swagger (end of broadcast ruling)		+2000

scripted swerve

[sideloaded]

not sure what this means.. heel always beats face, ask luke rockhold. im throwing a happy meal on swagger +2000.

im all in on big show, GL

[Sacrelicious]

Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded immediately on initial ruling, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		161 Alberto Del Rio (initial ruling)		+1000
8:00PM		162 Jack Swagger (initial ruling)		-2000
Alberto Del Rio vs Jack Swagger - "I Quit" match
graded with final decision as broadcast ends, see sportsbook rules section for all conditions
Sun 5/19		163 Alberto Del Rio (end of broadcast)		-6000
8:00PM		164 Jack Swagger (end of broadcast ruling)		+2000

[TheDane]

That's a strange line...

[Sacrelicious]

That's a strange line...

It is not that strange, there will be a scripted false finish, the punk/rock line at the rumble was not quite this blatant and obvious, but it suggested the same thing.

[TheDane]

I guess so, seems kind of weird for an "I quit" match heh


What underdog ML would you recommend playing Sac?

[Sacrelicious]

At the moment? None of them, you are throwing away money.

[TheDane]

Yeah, I figured, might just parlay all the favorites. I'm guessing it still hardly pays anything.

[sideloaded]

At the moment? None of them, you are throwing away money.

couldnt someone get hurt in a match and the other guy win?>

[MD]

couldnt someone get hurt in a match and the other guy win?>

Even the most ludicrous of injuries rarely or never change the results. I remember one Steve Austin match a few years ago where I think he seriously injured his neck, and he was basically pulled onto the other guy to pin him.

[Beelzebubzy]

Big Show

[Beelzebubzy]

Money is coming in on Ryback

[Beelzebubzy]

Me and Good Ole JR thinking alike tonight

The Miz will defeat Cody Rhodes on the pre-show. * Chris Jericho will defeat Fandango.
* Mark Henry will defeat Sheamus in their strap match.
* The Shield win the WWE Tag Titles over Team Hell No, with Reigns pinning Kane as the deciding fall.
* Dean Ambrose will win the United States championship from Kofi Kingston.
* Randy Orton will defeat Big Show in their Extreme Rules match.
* Alberto Del Rio will defeats Jack Swagger to become the #1 contender to Dolph Ziggler's World Heavyweight championship.
* Ryback will defeat John Cena to become the new WWE Champion.
* Brock Lesnar will defeat Triple H inside the steel cage, with help from Paul Heyma

[beermankirk]

Sheamus/ Mark Henry line is going down..

was Henry -4500 Sheamus +1500

now Henry -1200 Sheamus +600

Any reasoning on this?

[Beelzebubzy]

Sheamus (end of broadcast ruling)		-1200
8:00PM		144 Mark Henry (end of broadcast ruling)		+600