I honestly do not think his first fight against JDS should be weighted very heavily when handicapping their upcoming rematch. Cain looked a lot more scared than usual before his fight with JDS and I think a lot of this can be attributed to him knowing that his injured knee was going hinder his performance. Yes, JDS also had a knee injury, but we do not know who's injury was worse and the injury may have affected Cain more psychologically more than JDS.
As long as Cain has remained largely uninjured since his fight with Bigfoot, I think this will be an extremely different fight. Bigfoot was no doubt a stylistically good match for Cain but his ground and pound in that fight was disgustingly violent. That performance makes you look back and think how people ever accused Cain of having pillow punches.
I handicap this fight as being evens, therefore, in my opinion Cain at any dog price contains value.
I am not under the delusion that Cain will get take downs and maintain top position as easily he has against prior opponents, but I do think Cain will secure some take-downs and will be able to keep JDS on his back for enough time to do some significant damage if the fight lasts two rounds or more.
As long as Cain has remained largely uninjured since his fight with Bigfoot, I think this will be an extremely different fight. Bigfoot was no doubt a stylistically good match for Cain but his ground and pound in that fight was disgustingly violent. That performance makes you look back and think how people ever accused Cain of having pillow punches.
I handicap this fight as being evens, therefore, in my opinion Cain at any dog price contains value.
I am not under the delusion that Cain will get take downs and maintain top position as easily he has against prior opponents, but I do think Cain will secure some take-downs and will be able to keep JDS on his back for enough time to do some significant damage if the fight lasts two rounds or more.