Washington 52% - This is a bad spot for Boston. Snyder was cut by Kansas City this year, and he was winless in the minors. The Boston pen is also extended, which is likely to haunt them in this game as Snyder is very unlikely to go deep into the game with any success. Washington has an offense that is approaching mediocrity, and their pen is capable and rested and has some depth to it. Armas is likely to get hit, but is also capable of throwing a stretch of shutout innings, even vs stronger lineups like Boston's.
Cleveland 59% - Marshall's high degree of volatility benefits the Cubs here. Both teams are having similar problems in all areas of the game right now, and while Cleveland's lineup is more likely to rebound for this game, the Cubs have an edge with Marshall, who is likely to neutralize the Cleveland lineup.
Yankees 55% - Johnson is likely to be vulnerable to getting hit again, but the seemingly underachieving Philadelphia lineup could let him off the hook. There is a high degree of uncertainty surrounding his likely outing here. Myers is likely to get hit by the still strong Yankee lineup, and his most likely outcome for this game is mediocre. The Yankees rate a lineup edge, but Philadelphia rates a bullpen edge.
Mets 54% - There is a high degree of uncertainty to this game, due to strongly conflicting statistical likelihoods. Cincinnati has a strong edge in starting pitching, while the Mets have a strong edge in their combination of lineup and bullpen. The confidence factor we have for this game is low. Arroyo is likely to throw a strong game, while Hernandez has a high volatility factor, and his performance has a low degree of certainty for any outcome. The Mets have a strong pen edge, but that edge is likely to be greatly minimized by Arroyo's performance.
Cleveland 59% - Marshall's high degree of volatility benefits the Cubs here. Both teams are having similar problems in all areas of the game right now, and while Cleveland's lineup is more likely to rebound for this game, the Cubs have an edge with Marshall, who is likely to neutralize the Cleveland lineup.
Yankees 55% - Johnson is likely to be vulnerable to getting hit again, but the seemingly underachieving Philadelphia lineup could let him off the hook. There is a high degree of uncertainty surrounding his likely outing here. Myers is likely to get hit by the still strong Yankee lineup, and his most likely outcome for this game is mediocre. The Yankees rate a lineup edge, but Philadelphia rates a bullpen edge.
Mets 54% - There is a high degree of uncertainty to this game, due to strongly conflicting statistical likelihoods. Cincinnati has a strong edge in starting pitching, while the Mets have a strong edge in their combination of lineup and bullpen. The confidence factor we have for this game is low. Arroyo is likely to throw a strong game, while Hernandez has a high volatility factor, and his performance has a low degree of certainty for any outcome. The Mets have a strong pen edge, but that edge is likely to be greatly minimized by Arroyo's performance.
