PuckIt's 2012 MLB Picks

[PuckIt]

8x TEX U10 -105

[PuckIt]

07/01/12 RESULTS:

(4-4 / -4.5u)

2012 Season Record: (51-47-1 / -8.765u / 52.04%)

[PuckIt]

So the one time I don't post plays I do well...sorry guys. Here was yesterday, did some last minute hedging on the Cubs.

07/02/12
7u to win 5u - Angels ML -140
6.15u to win 3u - St. Louis ML -105
6.03u to win 3u - Braves ML -201
5.75u to win 5u - Oakland ML -115
5u to win 5.7u - Yankees ML +114
4u to win 6.84u - Cubs ML +171
4u to win 4.4u - Braves -1.5 +110
4u to win 4.912u - Atlanta ML & St. Louis ML
4u to win 4.2u - St. Louis -1.5 +105
4u to win 5.6u - Padres ML +140
4u to win 5.72u - Padres ML +143

07/02/12 RESULTS:

(7-4 / +16.33u)


2012 Season Record:

(58-51-1 / 53.21% / +7.565u)

[PuckIt]

I like a lot of dogs today:

07/03/12:
6.28u to win 4u - Arizona ML -157
5.2u to win 4u - Nationals ML -138
4.4u to win 4u - Brewers ML -110
4u to win 6.8u - Houston ML +170
4u to win 5.32u - Rockies ML +133
4u to win 5u - Dodgers ML +125
4u to win 4.28u - Phillies ML +107

[PuckIt]

Adding:

6.75u to win 5u - CHI W -135
6u to win 5u - SD v. ARI U9 -120
5u to win 6u - Giants ML +120 (not feeling great about earlier WAS play)
5u to win 5.25u - Indians +105
4.6u to win 4u - CIN v. LAD U6.5 -115
4.2u to win 4u - BAL v. SEA U6 -105

[PuckIt]

5.5u to win 5u - COL v. STL O9.5 -110

[PuckIt]

07/03/12 Results:
7-7 / -2.41u

[PuckIt]

07/04/12


7.25u to win 5u - Buccos ML -145
5.64u to win 4u - Cinci ML -141
5u to win 7.5u - Cubs ML +150
5u to win 9.75u - Rockies ML +195
5.05u to win 5u - Nationals ML -101
5u to win 5.5u - Mets ML +110
5u to win 5.45u - Brewers ML +109
4.4u to win 4u - Arizona -1.5 -110

[PuckIt]

5x LAA
5x OAK

[PuckIt]

3.6x to win 3 - Giants -1 (-120)
2.08x to win 2 - Baltimore -1 (-104)
1.3x to win 1 - Twins U9.5 (-130)
1.29x to win 1 - Marlins U8 (-129)

[PuckIt]

Adding another 5u on the giants.

[PuckIt]

3x STL -132
3x PIT -156
5x ARI -166

[PuckIt]

3x PHI
3x PIT -1
3x STL
1x NYY U10.5

[Carl 1326]

Hey Pucker...

I'm a fan...!!! But a bit of advice... Post your record after each day of plays.
Carl

[PuckIt]

Thanks Carl!

I haven't been keeping track lately, but I'll start again now that I know someone actually reads this thread!

5.16x to win 4x - Nats -129

[PuckIt]

Adding:

2.48x to win 2x - CLE -124
2.16x to win 2 - STL -108
1.52x to win 1 - PIT -1 -152

[PuckIt]

Adding:

2.24x to win 2x - Nats -1 (-112)

Lets get that STL money back.

[PuckIt]

That'll teach me to play only what feels right...Nats was my big play today, the others I felt were pushed. We will see what the buccos do for me, but the tribe is done.

[PuckIt]

Leans for tomorrow:

Padres +154
Reds -165 (I will probably play -1, if I play it at all)
A's +109

...I'm not a huge fan of any of them honestly. I think the Padres are nearly a coin flip, but for +154 it may be too good to pass up. Will post up actual plays tomorrow AM.

[PuckIt]

Also like Dbacks -109 tomorrow - I like to watch how the lines move and my #'s adjust overnight before I pull the trigger. Right now this -109 line gives them right around a 51% chance of winning, which seems about right. If I make this play it's because of their recent consistency. We'll see.

[PuckIt]

2-2-1 on the night.

+1.36u

[PuckIt]

7/29

2.16x to win 2 - dbacks -109
1.5x to win 1.665x - A's +111
1x to win 1.57x - Padres +157

[PuckIt]

May make a play on the Angels -1 (-130)

[PuckIt]

Yup, my #'s have the Angels % chance of winning about 10% higher (71%) than the line indicates (61%). Enough for me to go in on it.

2.6x to win 2x - Angels -1 (-130)

[PuckIt]

Damn you baltimore. C'mon A's, pick it up.

[PuckIt]

Looks like A's and Padres may blow both of these games. Might add another unit on Dbacks and Angels.

[PuckIt]

Not adding anything for LAA or ARI. May put a unit on Yankees U9.5. Wish it coulda been a better day so far, sorry folks.

[PuckIt]

Adding:

1.2x to win 1x - BOS / NYY O5 [1st 5] -120

[PuckIt]

Really not my day today

[PuckIt]

Adding:

7.14x to win 6x - Yankees -1 (-119)

[PuckIt]

Not good.

[PuckIt]

0-6 yesterday, couldn't have done worse if I tried! I should be due for a bounce back today.

3.64 to win 3.5 - Seattle Mariners -104

[PuckIt]

I see a lot of value in the Reds, Brewers, Cubs, and Texas...and the lines are moving against them, so now is the time to jump!

[PuckIt]

Lots of weird things happening tonight. Guess it's good I didn't make any official plays on the games above. Let's hope Seattle pulls through.

[PuckIt]

Lead-off blue jay homers - what a GREAT WAY to start off the game.