MLB Player Props 2012

[tb1984]

07/23/12

Parlay: 1 u to win 1.214 u (1.214 u)
7:00 PM WAS S.Lombardozzi no RBI -205
8:00 PM MIN B.Dozier no RBI -205

Parlay: .5 u to win .644 u (.644 u)
7:00 PM CUB D.Barney no run scored -195
8:00 PM HOU J.Schafer no run scored -195

Parlay: .5 u to win .59 u (.59 u)
7:00 PM ATL D.Uggla no RBI -215
7:00 PM WAS S.Lombardozzi no RBI -205

Parlay: .5 u to win .575 u (.575 u)
8:00 PM MIN B.Dozier no RBI -205
10:00 PM KAN M.Moustakas no RBI -225

Parlay: .5 u to win .625 u (.625 u)
7:00 PM CUB D.Barney no run scored -195
7:00 PM WAS S.Lombardozzi no RBI -205

5-0, 3.648 u

ytd: 405-194, +92.060 u
Others:
ytd: 79-98-13, -10.95 u

[gregm]

Great job as usual tb. cheers

[joedell]

anything for tonight yet?

[tb1984]

Great job as usual tb. cheers

Thanks, gregm. I sometimes follow your tennis thread.

[tb1984]

anything for tonight yet?

I'll try to get some picks out soon. Sometimes I post my picks late because I need to know the line-ups, and 5dimes does not post plays early especially those day games.

[tb1984]

ytd: 405-194, +92.060 u
Others:
ytd: 79-98-13, -10.95 u

Another high priced props tonight, If you can't play all of them, make sure that you play the parlay: CUB D.Barney no RBI -215 and LOS J.Loney no RBI -215

Parlay: 1 u to win 1.147 u
7:00 PM CUB D.Barney no RBI -215
8:00 PM LOS J.Loney no RBI -215

Parlay: .5 u to win .608 u
7:00 PM CLE J.Damon no run scored -215
7:00 PM TAM B.J.Upton no RBI -195

Parlay: .5 u to win .608 u
7:00 PM TAM B.J.Upton no RBI -195
7:00 PM CUB D.Barney no RBI -215

Parlay: .5 u to win .608 u
7:00 PM DET A.Jackson no RBI -195
8:00 PM LOS J.Loney no RBI -215

Parlay: .5 u to win .681 u
7:00 PM PIT R.Barajas no run scored -205
8:00 PM CWS G.Beckham no run scored -170

----------------------------------------------------------------

Others:
7:00 PM NYM D.Wright hits+runs+RBI ov 2 +105, .5 u

[joedell]

trout over 2 1/2 hits runs rbis hit 12 straight games im defenitly on that too

[tb1984]

Couple match-ups:

CLE S-S.Choo hits+runs+RBI -105*vs DET A.Jackson hits+runs+RB

Play Choo, he's been hitting well.


TOR E.Encarnacion hits+runs+RBI -120* vs OAK Y.Cespedes hits+runs+RBI

Play Encarnacion, Cespedes does not bat well against lefties,

Encarnacion hits well all season.

[tb1984]

trout over 2 1/2 hits runs rbis hit 12 straight games im defenitly on that too

Yes, I agree, and Royal's pitcher Will Smith seems to not pitch well. But, I don't like the price -140, for those 2 1/2 props, I like it + odd.

Also, you might to check out CLE S-S.Choo, and any match-ups that he is in. Don't pick him when he faces a lefty.

Also, PIT A.McCutchen hits+runs+RBI

[joedell]

so you're not taking it at -140? i think it's worth taking a shot since he's been on fire and it hit 12 straight games

[easyliving]

I'm tailing big on Barney and Loney thanks for the winners.

[tb1984]

I'm tailing big on Barney and Loney thanks for the winners.

I hope so, my friend.

I would like to grind with player props.

[tb1984]

so you're not taking it at -140? i think it's worth taking a shot since he's been on fire and it hit 12 straight games

Yeah, I think it's worth taking a shot.

[easyliving]

lot of early games tomorrow, around what time will your picks be up?

[tb1984]

lot of early games tomorrow, around what time will your picks be up?

I'll try to post early but I like said, 5dimes usually does not post early lines for those day games(noon games are even worse, sometimes they do not post lines for these games). After that, I have to check on players...I'll do my best to post them half an hour before games.

Did you play the Barney/Loney parlay? If you did, good for you... it was a close call in the 8th of the Dodgers game... big double play.

[easyliving]

I'll try to post early but I like said, 5dimes usually does not post early lines for those day games(noon games are even worse, sometimes they do not post lines for these games). After that, I have to check on players...I'll do my best to post them half an hour before games.

Did you play the Barney/Loney parlay? If you did, good for you... it was a close call in the 8th of the Dodgers game... big double play.

yea I cashed in on Barney/Loney gladly he swung at the first pitch, I thought he was gonna get that RBI for sure. Thanks for the winner.

[tb1984]

07/24/12
Parlay: 1 u to win 1.147 u (1.147 u)
7:00 PM CUB D.Barney no RBI -215
8:00 PM LOS J.Loney no RBI -215

Parlay: .5 u to win .608 u (.608 u)
7:00 PM CLE J.Damon no run scored -215
7:00 PM TAM B.J.Upton no RBI -195

Parlay: .5 u to win .608 u (.608 u)
7:00 PM TAM B.J.Upton no RBI -195
7:00 PM CUB D.Barney no RBI -215

Parlay: .5 u to win .608 u (.608 u)
7:00 PM DET A.Jackson no RBI -195
8:00 PM LOS J.Loney no RBI -215

Parlay: .5 u to win .681 u (.681 u)
7:00 PM PIT R.Barajas no run scored -205
8:00 PM CWS G.Beckham no run scored -170

5-0, 3.652 u
ytd: 410-194, +95.712 u
----------------------------------------------------------------

Others:
7:00 PM NYM D.Wright hits+runs+RBI ov 2 +105, .5 u Loss -.5

ytd: 79-99-13, -11.45 u

Match-up plays did not turn out well.

[easyliving]

wow you had another perfect day.your unbelievably good at this. If you don't mind me asking exactly what are you looking for when making your player choices? I will tail you till the end this season however I would like to have an idea for future seasons

[tb1984]

Thanks, man. "Others" picks are low odd bets (usually from -120 to + odds), most are H-R-RBI bets. I play these "Others" bets just for experiment to see how well I do. My main picks are NO RBIs, NO RUN and high odd bets (-150 to -250).

Yeah, hot/cold streaks trend is one of the most important factors that I look at. Like I said in my original post of this thread, other things that I consider:

- Bat vs Pitch: how a player bats against a pitcher

- Hitting orders, for NO RBIs, the first position is the most favorable. For no RUNs, bottom order is the most favorable.

- Opponent pitchers must be at least number 3 starter(based on my estimation), sometimes I play number 4 and 5 pitchers.

- Batting splits: home and away, vs righties, vs lefties

- Park factors

- Also, I stay away (as I can) from players of good hitting teams: Rangers, Yankees, Redsox, Angels, Tigers.... And of course I focus on Mariners, Padres....

These are things that I consider for my picks. It's luck too. To be honest, I rarely have perfect days like the last two days, loss here and there. I don't mind to win small, I think that you need to grind with prop bets. Also, I just want to have some actions during the summer until the football season. Like I said, baseball is so unpredictable, if I don't have to, I don't want to play sides or totals (I tried totals this season but failed). I only use sides to chase.

[tb1984]

ytd: 410-194, +95.712 u
Others:
ytd: 79-99-13, -11.45 u

My lean is PIT C.Barmes no run scored -225 and MIN J.Carroll no run scored -185

07/25/12

12:30 PM PIT P.Alvarez no RBI -170, 1 u

Parlay: .5 u to win .613 u
12:30 PM PIT C.Barmes no run scored -225
2:00 PM MIN J.Carroll no run scored -185

Parlay: .5 u to win .61 u
12:30 PM ATL J.Heyward no RBI -175
2:00 PM MIN J.Carroll no run scored -185

[easyliving]

ytd: 410-194, +95.712 u
Others:
ytd: 79-99-13, -11.45 u

My lean is PIT C.Barmes no run scored -225 and MIN J.Carroll no run scored -185

07/25/12

12:30 PM PIT P.Alvarez no RBI -170, 1 u

Parlay: .5 u to win .613 u
12:30 PM PIT C.Barmes no run scored -225
2:00 PM MIN J.Carroll no run scored -185

Parlay: .5 u to win .61 u
12:30 PM ATL J.Heyward no RBI -175
2:00 PM MIN J.Carroll no run scored -185

These are the early games and I think their will be better options for the later games. Do you suggest I parlay Barmes and Carrol or wait till the late games for better matchups?

[tb1984]

These are the early games and I think their will be better options for the later games. Do you suggest I parlay Barmes and Carrol or wait till the late games for better matchups?

5dimes does not post lines for late games, so I don't know. It's up to you, but I like the Barmes/Carrol parlay. Just play small and grind it out.

[easyliving]

took heyward and carrol because Barmes was already off the board =(

[tb1984]

took heyward and carrol because Barmes was already off the board =(

Not a bad one though. I looked over lines for afternoon games, I like the KAN A.Gordon no RBI -170, it's high priced, but a good price. I'll just play this prop alone, don't think I'll have another parlay prop for afternoon games.

[tb1984]

KAN A.Gordon no RBI is -240 now

[tb1984]

Add

07/25/12

3:30 PM SEA M.Saunders no RBI -150, 1 u

Parlay: .5 u to win .681 u
3:30 PM SEA M.Saunders no RBI -150
3:30 PM KAN A.Gordon no RBI -240

[tb1984]

easyliving, that was unlucky, man. Home run was the only way that Heyward could score a RBI in that situation.

[easyliving]

got gordon @-260 while saunders was at -195 gotta take these much earlier as game nears lines tend to move down

[easyliving]

easyliving, that was unlucky, man. Home run was the only that Heyward could score a RBI in that situation.

painful thats what i get for missing out on barmes

[tb1984]

got gordon @-260 while saunders was at -195 gotta take these much earlier as game nears lines tend to move down

Yeah, people pound Gordon hard because Weaver is on the mound

[tb1984]

Add

07/25/12

8:00 PM BOS M.Aviles no RBI -165, 1 u
8:00 PM BOS D.Pedroia hits+runs+RBI un 2½ -170, .5 u

Parlay: .5 u to win .655 u
8:00 PM STL J.Jay no RBI -195
9:35 COL D.Fowler no RBI -190

[easyliving]

Add

07/25/12

8:00 PM BOS M.Aviles no RBI -165, 1 u
8:00 PM BOS D.Pedroia hits+runs+RBI un 2½ -170, .5 u

Parlay: .5 u to win .655 u
8:00 PM STL J.Jay no RBI -195
9:35 COL D.Fowler no RBI -190

which 2 do you trust the most?

[tb1984]

I like the parlay one and M.Aviles no RBI -165

[joedell]

what time do you think 5 dimes will post the no rbi plays for the couple afternoon games i dont wanna miss them

[tb1984]

what time do you think 5 dimes will post the no rbi plays for the couple afternoon games i dont wanna miss them

5dimes usually posts lines 1 hour before games that start from 12:30 pm to 2 pm. It gets better as time goes.