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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #2626
    Originally posted by 2daBank
    phi/col ov 10...already played this one, no ump can stop what is going down at coors these days...

    stl/ciny ff un (kinda a theme lately)..prob still think it best to aviod cards pen even tho i think both starters go deep...should have prob jumped on 8.5 for gm last night.

    oak/min un 8 (ugh, just saw it went down to 7.5)


    those 3 prob my strongest...these more early stage leans as i havnt capped all yet..


    tex/sea un 7.5

    pit/mil un 7.5

    lad/sd un 6.5...instant spike was maybe a sign not to mess w until i see lad at full stregth but Kersha and another solid lefty @ CR, hard to pass up...


    hell maybe i should play salami under again, that was fun last day before break (1st time ever trying it, kinda exciting, lol)
    here's what i get:

    PHI/COL: range of 10.64-12.14 (like this one, very high ceiling as with most overs at Coors)
    StL/CIN: 8.2-8.25
    OAK/MIN: 7.75-8.5
    TEX/SEA: 6.5-6.6
    PIT/MIL: 8.15-8.45
    SD/LAD: 5.9-6.1

    going to take a closer look at PHI/COL over, TEX/SEA under, SD/LAD under this afternoon when have more time.
    Comment
    • newbottles
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-22-12
      • 312

      #2627
      Biff I am with you on the White Sox but have to say I am leaning opposite and liking Reds -1 and Athletics +125.

      I am still filtering my angles and deciding on my final wagers so may just pass on those two. White Sox -117 is highest conviction. I also like Pirates +128 and Indians TT o4.5. Best of luck.

      Is anyone else seeing value on Mariners +128 vs Rangers tonight?

      Also both Breaking Bad & Pavement speak to highly refined tastes - cheers.
      Comment
      • rumnblack
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-21-12
        • 876

        #2628
        On the Sox.
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #2629
          adding

          2* Royals team total under 4 (-110)

          Friday 7.13.2012 updated card
          2* Cardinals ML (+114)
          2* Twins -1 (+109)
          2* White Sox ML (-116)
          2* Royals TT under 4 (-110)
          Comment
          • BiffTFinancial
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-29-09
            • 22670

            #2630
            waiting for umps, if i get solid ump assignments in Toronto and Denver will probably be on Tribe TT over 4' and PHI/COL over 10 and call the card complete with that.
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #2631
              Originally posted by newbottles
              Biff I am with you on the White Sox but have to say I am leaning opposite and liking Reds -1 and Athletics +125.

              I am still filtering my angles and deciding on my final wagers so may just pass on those two. White Sox -117 is highest conviction. I also like Pirates +128 and Indians TT o4.5. Best of luck.

              Is anyone else seeing value on Mariners +128 vs Rangers tonight?

              Also both Breaking Bad & Pavement speak to highly refined tastes - cheers.
              i'm pretty high on Wainwright and Liriano, that's a big part of those plays. however, i'm not one to try to convince others or advocate for my side. i am pleased with my first half of the season, but let's be honest - i was wrong over 45-46% of the time. i could easily be wrong on Cards and Twins, but my perceived edge under my model tells me that i'll take the risk of paying to find out.

              like Pirates and Tribe TT over. kind of wishing that i'd played Pirates in the +140 range, but then again, fading Greinke at home is risky business. i'll probably play Tribe TT over. they've been hitting lefties much better of late and Romero has really been lost. assuming that the roof is open and we get a decent ump, could be solid value there.

              i like under better than M's as a side. man, i just cannot figure out Millwood. no way should he be pitching as well as he is...but he is. also, M's offense could give him absolutely no support vs a lefty like Harrison. under and M's certainly correlated.

              thanks for the compliment, bottles. been going through a bit of a Pavement renaissance lately, great music for summertime. the double discs that they put out are one of the most genius ideas that a band ever had. i drive stick, gotta love it, automatic, everybody's gotta ride in something. BOL tonight, pal.
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #2632
                Originally posted by rumnblack
                On the Sox.
                BOL. really like Quintana tonight given Royals numbers vs lefties.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #2633
                  Originally posted by newbottles
                  Biff I am with you on the White Sox but have to say I am leaning opposite and liking Reds -1 and Athletics +125.

                  I am still filtering my angles and deciding on my final wagers so may just pass on those two. White Sox -117 is highest conviction. I also like Pirates +128 and Indians TT o4.5. Best of luck.

                  Is anyone else seeing value on Mariners +128 vs Rangers tonight?

                  Also both Breaking Bad & Pavement speak to highly refined tastes - cheers.
                  obviously im a homer but i gotta say while Latos has been good it hasnt been against a top tear offense like this, in this bandbox, give me wainwright, the better lineup, and the plus money...
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #2634
                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                    here's what i get:

                    PHI/COL: range of 10.64-12.14 (like this one, very high ceiling as with most overs at Coors)
                    StL/CIN: 8.2-8.25
                    OAK/MIN: 7.75-8.5
                    TEX/SEA: 6.5-6.6
                    PIT/MIL: 8.15-8.45
                    SD/LAD: 5.9-6.1

                    going to take a closer look at PHI/COL over, TEX/SEA under, SD/LAD under this afternoon when have more time.
                    over @ Coors has just turned into one of those few things i find every year that is automatic, dont care to worry bout much just play'em until it turns bad...

                    yea i really have no interest on being on side and total in cincy so will just stick with cards...

                    like where you have lad/sd as i figured 6 was bout ceiling in this one.....same with sea/tex (obviously by your numbers a little more value there) but it hard to see anything more than 5-2 in that gm for me, unless it just a awful ump i prob 4sure on that 1..
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #2635
                      O'Nora the ump in Toronto
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #2636
                        adding

                        2* Tribe team total over 4.5 (+105)

                        Friday 7.13.2012 updated card
                        2* Cardinals ML (+114)
                        2* Twins -1 (+109)
                        2* White Sox ML (-116)
                        2* Royals TT under 4 (-110)
                        2* Tribe TT over 4' (+105)

                        waiting for ump in Denver. BOL to all tonight. bring on the major leagues.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #2637
                          think i probably joining you on twinks....gl brother
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #2638
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            think i probably joining you on twinks....gl brother
                            BOL Bank

                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #2639
                              adding

                              2* Phillies/Rockies over 10 (-105)

                              Gary Darling behind the plate. he's a mild under ump in my book, and has skewed over this year. not enough to keep me off the over.

                              Friday 7.13.2012 updated card
                              2* Cardinals ML (+114)
                              2* Twins -1 (+109)
                              2* White Sox ML (-116)
                              2* Royals TT under 4 (-110)
                              2* Tribe TT over 4' (+105)
                              2* Phillies/Rockies over 10 (-105)
                              Comment
                              • hydrosmak
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-13-11
                                • 1908

                                #2640
                                MLB.tv being on the fritz the first day back from the break is a little annoying...
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #2641
                                  no ump can stop what is happening @ Coors this season...id say only mild concern is normally we can count on rox pen being gassed and you would think they fresh tonight...i just looked to see how Lee has fared there and to my surprise this his 1st start at coors? i like that also..
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #2642
                                    not gonna be around past 6:30 am, just posing link if you wanna check out what im on w few thoughts, if you up before i guess that 5:30 your time holla at me......

                                    Bankers Saturday bases


                                    2daBank
                                    Comment
                                    • cleaveland
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-04-10
                                      • 1559

                                      #2643
                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                      adding

                                      2* Phillies/Rockies over 10 (-105)

                                      Gary Darling behind the plate. he's a mild under ump in my book, and has skewed over this year. not enough to keep me off the over.

                                      Friday 7.13.2012 updated card
                                      2* Cardinals ML (+114)
                                      2* Twins -1 (+109)
                                      2* White Sox ML (-116)
                                      2* Royals TT under 4 (-110)
                                      2* Tribe TT over 4' (+105)
                                      2* Phillies/Rockies over 10 (-105)
                                      How do you find out who will be umpiring a game before it starts?
                                      Comment
                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 22670

                                        #2644
                                        Friday 7.13.2012 final card
                                        2* Cardinals ML (+114) - LOSER
                                        2* Twins -1 (+109) - LOSER
                                        2* White Sox ML (-116) - WINNER
                                        2* Royals TT under 4 (-110) - LOSER
                                        2* Tribe TT over 4' (+105) - LOSER
                                        2* Phillies/Rockies over 10 (-105) - LOSER

                                        1-5 -8.3u

                                        239-213-13 +42.16u season to date
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #2645
                                          fkn pissed. two straight terrible days and i haven't known the sweet taste of victory since last Saturday. fortunately, i have an early tee time that will give me an opportunity to get my first W of the day. got a good start on today's games but haven't booked anything yet. with 3 1 pm games, 3 4 pm games and the rest later, have plenty of time.
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #2646
                                            Originally posted by cleaveland
                                            How do you find out who will be umpiring a game before it starts?
                                            they start showing up on MLB.com in the hour before first pitch, but there are services that give that info out earlier and dudes who post that info at cappingthegame.com. that's where i generally get it.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #2647
                                              man wainwright deserved better after the way he pitched, freaking swinging bunt that plates 2 runs? seriously? his bender is so filthy right now and he has really learned the feel for the cutter, but such is life in bases, def be looking to back him in every spot these coming months..


                                              wont be around to see some of your card, might have a window round 2 when i get back in and finish the night gms i didnt get to last night..either way GL my brother
                                              Comment
                                              • fergie's balls
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-07-11
                                                • 940

                                                #2648
                                                Biff, thoughts on Yanks over? I'm lovin it, only see 10.5, prob opened 10 but missed it. Freddie Garcia vs Jerome Williams in a bandbox vs lots o bangers! Thanks and best luck all plays!
                                                Comment
                                                • cleaveland
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-04-10
                                                  • 1559

                                                  #2649
                                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                  they start showing up on MLB.com in the hour before first pitch, but there are services that give that info out earlier and dudes who post that info at cappingthegame.com. that's where i generally get it.
                                                  Thank you!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HOT WINGS
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-29-10
                                                    • 8055

                                                    #2650
                                                    Originally posted by fergie's balls
                                                    Biff, thoughts on Yanks over? I'm lovin it, only see 10.5, prob opened 10 but missed it. Freddie Garcia vs Jerome Williams in a bandbox vs lots o bangers! Thanks and best luck all plays!
                                                    Think over looks good here too I played it late last night at 10-120 and added both TT at 4.5 and 5 this morning. Gl if you play it.

                                                    Biff fading the Tribe a little today against a lefty even though they have been a little better lately. Took TT under 4.5 there.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #2651
                                                      Saturday 7.14.2012
                                                      2* Angels/Yankees over 10' (-117)
                                                      2* Tribe/Blue Jays under 10 (-120)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #2652
                                                        cost myself a half-run in the Bronx on the golf course this morning, almost went with Angels TT over 4' -125 but don't want to take a loss on 7-4 Yanks win. think that the Angels win this one but like total better.

                                                        working on 4 pm games now. BOL to all today.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #2653
                                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                          man wainwright deserved better after the way he pitched, freaking swinging bunt that plates 2 runs? seriously? his bender is so filthy right now and he has really learned the feel for the cutter, but such is life in bases, def be looking to back him in every spot these coming months..


                                                          wont be around to see some of your card, might have a window round 2 when i get back in and finish the night gms i didnt get to last night..either way GL my brother
                                                          yeah, hard to fault Waino. Cards had their chances to put up more runs early too and let Latos off the hook. oh well. will have to check Wainwright out on his next turn.

                                                          BOL man, have fun. i should be around pretty much all day. wife and kids went to visit family. blissfully quiet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #2654
                                                            Originally posted by fergie's balls
                                                            Biff, thoughts on Yanks over? I'm lovin it, only see 10.5, prob opened 10 but missed it. Freddie Garcia vs Jerome Williams in a bandbox vs lots o bangers! Thanks and best luck all plays!
                                                            yah, wish i'd played it at 10 but i thought that maybe there would be some lineup announcements that might cause it to drop during the morning. oh well. i have a range of 11.4-12 for that one so still like it but missing 10 obviously is huge. here's hoping it doesn't matter. BOL today fergie.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #2655
                                                              Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                              Think over looks good here too I played it late last night at 10-120 and added both TT at 4.5 and 5 this morning. Gl if you play it.

                                                              Biff fading the Tribe a little today against a lefty even though they have been a little better lately. Took TT under 4.5 there.
                                                              hard to argue with any over angle in the Bronx today, Hot Wings. i think that the Tribe should struggle against Laffey, but i thought they'd light up Romero last night. of course, Chad Fairchild wasn't behind the plate last night either. Ubaldo should be able to avoid walks with Fairchild and Laffey has been pitching well in the starting role. BOL today, pal.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • HOT WINGS
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-29-10
                                                                • 8055

                                                                #2656
                                                                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                hard to argue with any over angle in the Bronx today, Hot Wings. i think that the Tribe should struggle against Laffey, but i thought they'd light up Romero last night. of course, Chad Fairchild wasn't behind the plate last night either. Ubaldo should be able to avoid walks with Fairchild and Laffey has been pitching well in the starting role. BOL today, pal.
                                                                Yeah I played with a double edge sword on jays game took them and Indians under 4.5. What about Twins or maybe there TT Over 4? They smack lefties around usually.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #2657
                                                                  leans for 4 pm games

                                                                  Mets/game under 7'/Braves TT under 3'
                                                                  Cards/game over 9/Cards TT over 4 -120
                                                                  Tigers (either -1 or in parlay)

                                                                  probably like Tigers best, will be on them in some fashion. only late faves that i like much are White Sox and maybe Brewers
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #2658
                                                                    Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                                                    Yeah I played with a double edge sword on jays game took them and Indians under 4.5. What about Twins or maybe there TT Over 4? They smack lefties around usually.
                                                                    will be looking at them soon, love their lineup against lefties.

                                                                    Ubaldo Jiminez, allowing walks and predictably getting hurt by them....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Allure
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-18-10
                                                                      • 7606

                                                                      #2659
                                                                      Who knows which Scherzer will show up today?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #2660
                                                                        Originally posted by Allure
                                                                        Who knows which Scherzer will show up today?
                                                                        i bet it will be the funny lookin one.
                                                                        Comment
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