Kishipps 2012 MLB thread

kishipp · 05-15-12, 02:36 PM

MLB ytd

101-82 (+20.22 units)

finally updated. got my ass kicked for about a week straight, went 3-22..thats where all my units went guys.

nosaij · 05-15-12, 04:16 PM

any plays for tonight

h4v3st · 05-15-12, 04:29 PM

Nice hit on tennis kiship.

kishipp · 05-15-12, 04:30 PM

Plays posted by 6:30

kishipp · 05-15-12, 05:01 PM

5/15 MLB

*2 MIL -130 ( BE ADVISED, SHIT WEATHER IN NEW YORK)
*2 NYY -145
*2 TB -115
*1 TEX-1.5-120

lad is a strong lean, having trouble pulling trigger due to billingsly's struggles, and mileys sucess. i do think lad can grab the win, play it if you feel like it, i will probably lay off.

NBA

*1 Pacers +7
*1 heat/pacers over 186
*1 pacers ML +260

GOODLUCK FELLAS

nosaij · 05-15-12, 05:09 PM

lets get it!!

VictorHDH · 05-15-12, 07:50 PM

Any leans on SF game??

kishipp · 05-15-12, 08:27 PM

Originally posted by VictorHDH

Any leans on SF game??

yes im actually gonna play sf. and lad

*1 sf-150
*1 lad-110

nosaij · 05-15-12, 08:37 PM

nice nba picks as well!!

VictorHDH · 05-15-12, 08:56 PM

O/U???

kishipp · 05-15-12, 09:38 PM

Tommorows tennis:

ATP

*1 isner -160
*1 wawrinka -180

Lean on Granollers +110

WTA

*2 Bartoli-135
*1 cirstea-170

ghost212 · 05-15-12, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by kishipp

Tennis is one of my best sports. So far we hit 3 out of the 4 w men's tennis including Granollers at +160, and 2-0 in woman's tennis including cirstea at +220

Why you didn't ever started a tennis thread then? And why don't do that now ;>?

kishipp · 05-16-12, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by ghost212

Why you didn't ever started a tennis thread then? And why don't do that now ;>?

Dont have time man, I own a business. Busy

mp5070 · 05-16-12, 01:59 PM

kishipp · 05-16-12, 05:25 PM

5/16 mlb

*3 ariz -105
*3 stl -105
*2 nyy -120
*1 wash -140

nba

*1 bos +2

nhl

*1 njd +120
*1 nyr/njd o4.5-120

kishipp · 05-16-12, 11:38 PM

Tomorrow tennis

ATP

*2 berdych -180
*1 gasquet+240

wTA

*3 penetta-140
*1 sharapova-200

Vinnie Paz · 05-17-12, 12:21 AM

What up Ki

Good work today I see, dunno shit about tennis but Ill go in on your 2 & 3 unit picks...throw em in a parlay see how it goes hah

keep it up bro good luck to us

kishipp · 05-17-12, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

What up Ki

Good work today I see, dunno shit about tennis but Ill go in on your 2 & 3 unit picks...throw em in a parlay see how it goes hah

keep it up bro good luck to us

Thanks man. Hope u hit ur parlay as I hit both my 3 and 2 unit plays

ghost212 · 05-17-12, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by kishipp

Thanks man. Hope u hit ur parlay as I hit both my 3 and 2 unit plays

Which plays on 3 and 2 unit you hit ? Ari and yankees loses

kishipp · 05-17-12, 10:21 AM

5/17 MLB

*2 laa-150
*2 cinc -115

kishipp · 05-17-12, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by ghost212

Which plays on 3 and 2 unit you hit ? Ari and yankees loses

Tennis. *3 on penetta. And *2 on berdych

Smutbucket · 05-17-12, 01:03 PM

wow $$ pick on gasquet. keep em comin

kishipp · 05-17-12, 05:39 PM

*2 miami +145
*2 nyy-115
*1 philly-165
*1 pitt+135
*1 mil -135

NBA

*3 MIAMI-1.5
*2 HEAT/PACERS over 181

NHL

*2 PHX+170

kishipp · 05-17-12, 09:56 PM

Tommorows tennis:

*2 kvitova -140
*1 pennetta +460 (long shot, but I like pennetta to put up a fight against serena. And at +460 I'll run w it)

Vinnie Paz · 05-17-12, 11:15 PM

Thanks for the tennis man ended up being one of the only games I actually hit today

kishipp · 05-18-12, 06:57 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Thanks for the tennis man ended up being one of the only games I actually hit today

No problem. Good day in tennis yest. 4-0. Baseball struggles continue tho

Rous · 05-18-12, 10:01 AM

Last night it was NBA, and NHL as well. Hey bro, I don't know if anyone has mentioned it to you in the thread before, but......your baseball picks have been as square as they come. Almost every one is big public play as well. Long term, that leads to losing. Just my opinion. Hope you turn it around.

kishipp · 05-18-12, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by Rous

Last night it was NBA, and NHL as well. Hey bro, I don't know if anyone has mentioned it to you in the thread before, but......your baseball picks have been as square as they come. Almost every one is big public play as well. Long term, that leads to losing. Just my opinion. Hope you turn it around.

Pittsburgh and Miami was a big public play? Yea square this square that, I don't base my plays on what public plays or not. And long term I am a winner. I been doing this for 10 years+ and have been successful. What my plays are square because I choose to play Yankees at a decent price? Yea I admit I am struggling in baseball, but still have a winning record and positive units. Public can be 100% on one team if my numbers tell me that the team the public is on is going to win I'm going play what I think is right. Thanks for ur oppiinion

Smutbucket · 05-18-12, 11:11 AM

I agree with kshipp. too many gamblers factors things that DONT EFFECT THE OUTCOME OF THE GAME. like how many people are said to be on one team (is their an accurate way to measure this without the books knowing? ) keep up the good work kshipp. your one I always check on sbr....thanks for all your picks....you have a good balance of action and value imo.

kishipp · 05-18-12, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by Smutbucket

I agree with kshipp. too many gamblers factors things that DONT EFFECT THE OUTCOME OF THE GAME. like how many people are said to be on one team (is their an accurate way to measure this without the books knowing? ) keep up the good work kshipp. your one I always check on sbr....thanks for all your picks....you have a good balance of action and value imo.

Thanks.. Sometimes easy plays are way over thought. Some people look at lines as fishy when in actuality sometimes the books are just giving you a great price on a great team and potentially a winner. But then again it could be a loser. But it is easy to over think certain plays, sometimes it works in your favor sometimes it doesn't. Again I apologize to my followers for my MLB struggles. I often have bad runs in the month of may. And about around this time it turns around. See ya tonight

metsy · 05-18-12, 12:29 PM

Hi Kish.

What do you use to base your picks. I've been following you and you seem to have a pretty good hold on what you are doing. Just wondering how you base your decisions and such. Thank you.

Originally posted by kishipp

Pittsburgh and Miami was a big public play? Yea square this square that, I don't base my plays on what public plays or not. And long term I am a winner. I been doing this for 10 years+ and have been successful. What my plays are square because I choose to play Yankees at a decent price? Yea I admit I am struggling in baseball, but still have a winning record and positive units. Public can be 100% on one team if my numbers tell me that the team the public is on is going to win I'm going play what I think is right. Thanks for ur oppiinion

kishipp · 05-18-12, 01:56 PM

A lot of my decisions can be based of pitching alone. Era, whip, and hitter vs pitcher and production of the bullpen. There are so many stats That can be factored into handicapping an MLB game, makes it real tough to make a final decision. Comparing each starter in accordance w the price of the line to give u the most value. After I decide which pitching matchups I prefer i look into the teams hitting against that pitcher, whether they faced them that season yet, how they have done in the past etc. as well weather, home or away stats. Etc. a lot of things to factor in to making a final decision when picking a baseball game. Sometimes I use gut feeling. Really all depends on which game it is. Hope I answered ur question

h4v3st · 05-18-12, 02:10 PM

kishipp, What do you think: sharapova -1.5 for the next game? Whether Kvitova or Kerber win today?

Rous · 05-18-12, 02:16 PM

Im just saying man....your baseball record indicates this, NOT ALL but most of your plays are heavily public plays. You came out hot of the gate when odds makers are still trying to get a better hold on the lines....A better majority of public plays hit at that time. Now odds makers have a better handle on teams and lines, so you gotta be more careful if you are going to play a higher public play. Again, just my two sense and your baseball record indicates this...you went from hot to cold, and pretty dramatically. Again, I am stricly talking baseball here. Just my two cents, and I wish you well. Hope I am wrong.

Oh, and also..... you said you have been doing this for 11 years?????? arent you in college bro????? You have been doing this since you were 11 years old or around there?????

kishipp · 05-18-12, 02:53 PM

Yea I am in college. U don't have to be right out of high school to be a college student. I get free college, I was military forany years, so I chose to increase education.

And ur right, a lot of my plays may be public plays. But in some cases that doesn't make it a bad play. In my case I've taken a lot of losses since end of April, but if I was winning . Would we be having this conversation. I will revert back to a winning streak whether I decide to play w or against public. Go take a look at a lot of professional handicappers, plenty of them play against the public making it a "sharp" play and lose . You can look at it from many diff aspects. But by then end of the year if I turn a profit that's what matters