Kishipps 2012 MLB thread

ghost212 · 04-29-12, 06:03 PM

Thx for answer, I understand what you mean, but... thinking diferent. On my experience, thinking like "we win 50, so we can play more on picks" is wrong... becauce we can loose our 50 in 5x10. If we won 50 units by 3 weeks, with good betting, i think the best idea is to continue that, don't you think so ? Little steps to win much more

mp5070 · 04-29-12, 06:10 PM

kishipp · 04-29-12, 06:11 PM

FINAL PLAY OF MLB WEEKEND. AS YOU KNOW IT WAS UP AND DOWN WITH BIG UNIT PLAYS, I DO HAVE A *10 PLAY ON TEXAS, not because i want to chase the little losses we had today, but because i truly believe texas wins against TB tonight. not much time to write up analysis, but check out texas numbers against lefties, and theyre numbers against price, they have dominated price in the past, and i expect the same results tonight. my number have texas winning 6-3.

*10 texas-130

kishipp · 04-29-12, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by ghost212

Thx for answer, I understand what you mean, but... thinking diferent. On my experience, thinking like "we win 50, so we can play more on picks" is wrong... becauce we can loose our 50 in 5x10. If we won 50 units by 3 weeks, with good betting, i think the best idea is to continue that, don't you think so ? Little steps to win much more

i agree with your theory, and all season i have done that. and all my betting life have done that. but alot of it is based on the size of your bankroll which i have. i never bet more than 10% of my bankroll. and with my 50+ units won, i can increase the size of my wagers because my bankroll size has increased. like i said earlier in my thread, my normal wagers are 2 or 3% of my bankroll, which you have seen all year so far. again, i will always switch up my stretegies to find out what may work and what may not. i will revert back to my normal 2 or 3% this up coming week.

ghost212 · 04-29-12, 06:22 PM

roger that.
I'm with you on texas, but playing tt over 4,5.
Boston unfortunetly ****** us up in 1st half of 1st quater.

I'm thinking there will be more then 9 points on the match of tex-tb

kishipp · 04-29-12, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by ghost212

roger that.
I'm with you on texas, but playing tt over 4,5.
Boston unfortunetly ****** us up in 1st half of 1st quater.

I'm thinking there will be more then 9 points on the match of tex-tb

its early

goodluck

painter10 · 04-29-12, 06:51 PM

thanks for the 10 star shipp been missing them ! cash time!!!!!!

ghost212 · 04-29-12, 08:39 PM

you see what i mean? if texas lose(i wish they're not), you are over 20 units lost today, and we can say 1,5 week of hard work was nothing...

speez11 · 04-29-12, 11:13 PM

What is tomorrow? A new day and a new winning streak, leggo.

ColdBeerHere · 04-30-12, 03:07 AM

Originally posted by kishipp

i did for the weekend. alot of strong leans on my plays, and most of them should of been winners. lost alot of the plays late in the ball games. occasionally on certain weeks when i have the correct amount of time to research games, i will increase my wagers. in this case we took a little loss. but i can do this when i have the units to play with, being up over 50 units allows you to make larger wagers when you feel its the right play. now the 50+ units that i have won in MLB in the first 3 weeks is only 1/5 of my bankroll. so for me its okay sometimes to make a 10 unit play, which isnt even 10% of my bankroll. i dont encourage everyone to play that amount as i have said earlier in this thread. all depends on the size of your bankroll. hope i answered your question.

also, its clear that i have not been turning a profit the last few days, which is normal. you wont win everyday in the hustle, and you need to understand that. it is a longterm process as you know. but i have been doing this for many years, and have never had a losing baseball season. so through out the rest of the season, will change up my betting strategies to find out what works, and what may not work.

i do have one more strong play tonight, try to close out today as a winner

wow, that's it ? only 1/5 of your BR ? No offense but you should have doubled your BR imho......

I'm a little drunk now but I have a system where you can double your BR roughly every 30+ units..basically run a "floating % of your BR bets system".....

OK bros...too drunk...hittin' the high road...thanks for the picks Kshipp.....I was +4 units tonite....But I only saw your early nyy and stl pick...went heavy on the bombers...thanks.....

nosaij · 04-30-12, 04:50 AM

tonight we bounce back

kishipp · 04-30-12, 10:31 AM

4/30*1 Arizona +160

spladle08 · 04-30-12, 10:44 AM

Geeez, everyone is feelin Arizona... Im debating taking the Backs, or the Under... sigh tough decision

blue.eyed.tuna · 04-30-12, 11:07 AM

I say let the man just pick games. He seems to have a good handle on it. That being said; be prepared for some down turn from time to time... It happens to everyone. Don't bet your bank roll everyday. If you're betting 50/unit on day one don't increase that just bc he is on a roll. He'll be the first to tell you that -25 unit weeks happen, but they shouldn't put your lights out if you bet consistently and not beyond the means of your BR. If I had a nickel for ever SBR tailer who followed a guy and win 100+ units only to give it all back on one bad weekend I would be rich. Stay the course and be prepared for a bad week from time to time. My only advice to kishipp is what he already knows.. Don't start upping the units like crazy and stay consistent. If you've made good on 1-5 unit plays don't start hammering 10 unit plays. Good luck and great work so far this season!

doublecreek · 04-30-12, 11:46 AM

Kishipp

I personally have had a blast following your picks. Great job--I will be here all season. If I don't manage my money correct (which often happens) that is my fault and no one elses. Sorry to clutter up the thread

metsy · 04-30-12, 11:53 AM

Me Too. Anything besides Diamondbacks for today? Thanks.

Originally posted by doublecreek

Kishipp

I personally have had a blast following your picks. Great job--I will be here all season. If I don't manage my money correct (which often happens) that is my fault and no one elses. Sorry to clutter up the thread

kishipp · 04-30-12, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by metsy

Me Too. Anything besides Diamondbacks for today? Thanks.

Yes. Plays will be posted at 6:15

kishipp · 04-30-12, 04:49 PM

MLB YTD:

79-49 (+39.60 UNITS)

*2 phillies -1.5 +115
*2 mil -105
*1 Balt +1.5-125
*1 jays +1.5 -135

NBA PLAYOFFS:

*1 KNICKS +10

NHL:

*1 NYR-150

goodluck

kishipp · 04-30-12, 04:53 PM

mlb add on:

*1 mil/sd over 6.5 +100

kishipp · 04-30-12, 05:31 PM

nba add on:

*3 okc-6

kishipp · 04-30-12, 05:56 PM

I am removing Baltimore +1.5 from my card. Sorry

kishipp · 04-30-12, 05:58 PM

I am adding the redsox

*1 bos -145

kishipp · 04-30-12, 07:10 PM

*1 Colorado -130

FezzHimself · 04-30-12, 09:05 PM

Dang, I was at the gym when you added the Bo Sox and the Rockies

thankfully I kept the Orioles bet and that hit!

CrazyCarl · 05-01-12, 01:18 AM

Hey Kishipp, would you still consider your unit play size accurate as described in the OP? I believe it was, 3 units: game of the month, and 10 units: game of the year. At that rate, I think you've had 3 games of the year and about 20 games of the month in less than a month.

Not trying to be critical, just saying the unit system might need to be looked at for accuracy. You're obviously doing well so far and I appreciate your sharing of the picks.

kishipp · 05-01-12, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by CrazyCarl

Hey Kishipp, would you still consider your unit play size accurate as described in the OP? I believe it was, 3 units: game of the month, and 10 units: game of the year. At that rate, I think you've had 3 games of the year and about 20 games of the month in less than a month.

Not trying to be critical, just saying the unit system might need to be looked at for accuracy. You're obviously doing well so far and I appreciate your sharing of the picks.

Just because its labeled "goy" or "gom" does not mean its the "actual" game of year or month. there are so many games 0n the board, and so many games everyday, i choose the strongest plays i have i rate them accordingly, and bet them accordingly.

kishipp · 05-01-12, 08:28 AM

yesterdays mlb:

6-1 (+7.25 units)

MLB YTD:

85-50 (+46.85 units)

h4v3st · 05-01-12, 09:51 AM

Hi Kiship, congratz on your picks.
I a new here. How do you manage your bank? You have 100 or 200 units in your bank? thxif you can answer

speez11 · 05-01-12, 10:07 AM

Great day yesterday ki, missed bosox but had Balt for the run line and for some crazy reason took NYY ml, double pop!

Keep it up for tonight!

kishipp · 05-01-12, 10:12 AM

Originally posted by h4v3st

Hi Kiship, congratz on your picks.
I a new here. How do you manage your bank? You have 100 or 200 units in your bank? thxif you can answer

I do have a well established bankroll of over 200 units, managing it is the hardest thing for some people, I however do a good job managing it. I do not bet more than 10% on one play, and usually keep most of my bets at under 5%. Everyone is different though. My early years I was terrible at managing and it took failure to become successful. Goodluck and welcome to sbr

kishipp · 05-01-12, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by speez11

Great day yesterday ki, missed bosox but had Balt for the run line and for some crazy reason took NYY ml, double pop!

Keep it up for tonight!

Haha lucky hit. I ended up playing nyy ml as well but did not post it. Reason why I dropped baltimore

nosaij · 05-01-12, 04:21 PM

lets ge them tonight!

kishipp · 05-01-12, 04:27 PM

5/1 mlb

*2 nyy-170
*2 boston -165
*1 boston -1.5 +120
*1 mil-110
*1 mets-125

goodluck

VictorHDH · 05-01-12, 05:25 PM

Any o/u leans?

kishipp · 05-01-12, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by VictorHDH

Any o/u leans?

Not really. Maybe yanks and Balt over 10.5. And maybe Boston over. Didn't really look so I can't recommend a play