Roaddog Season-Long Baseball

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 02:20 PM

Anyone liking the Mets tonight as much as I do? Let's get some convo going. SBR is boring as hell right now.

Betn247 · 04-16-12, 02:23 PM

I think the only way I would go Mets is @ +1.5

Betn247 · 04-16-12, 02:23 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Anyone liking the Mets tonight as much as I do? Let's get some convo going. SBR is boring as hell right now.

Under may be the play

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 02:32 PM

Braves hit .231 off of Dillon Gee with only 7 extra base hits in 104 at bats. The Mets as a team hit .296 off of Tommy Hanson with 5 home runs and 14 rbi with a .346 OBP.

Hanson has pitched in 2 games this year, both games going 5 innings. This has much to do with his command. Pitch count has been up early with him. Last season Hanson has a 10.80 era against the Mets. The Mets hit .361 off of him. Last season Gee pitched 32 innings against the Braves and was 2-1 with a 3.38 era. Braves hit .231 off of him.

At +150 odds and with these numbers, I think it's worth a look. But dont get me wrong, I dont trust Dillon Gee too much. Just a value play.

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 03:14 PM

Adding:

New York Mets +150 1u

SlickRick1382 · 04-16-12, 03:33 PM

Can't follow here. Already on the other sides with the Braves.

Good Luck bud ....

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 03:58 PM

Yea, I just have a feeling. Gotta take a shot. If I didnt and it hit I'd be sick. BOL buddy.

High3rEl3m3nt · 04-16-12, 04:00 PM

I have the over in this game and am leaning Mets, but am just sticking with the over.

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by High3rEl3m3nt

I have the over in this game and am leaning Mets, but am just sticking with the over.

GL buddy. 9-3 Mets sounds good to me.

birdmanweezy · 04-16-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Adding:

New York Mets +150 1u

good luck lets get it

SASH · 04-16-12, 04:14 PM

Really like the braves in this one

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by SASH

Really like the braves in this one

You wont see me betting a team that's +150 unless I think they have at legit shot. With that said, Braves are a better team with the better starting pitcher tonight, but I dont know, I've had a feeling on this one since last night. The numbers look solid for the Mets so I'm gonna take a shot. We'll see what happens. BOL SASH.

SASH · 04-16-12, 04:20 PM

good luck my man

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 04:21 PM

Thanks buddy. I tend not to lay juice over 140. I think the biggest favorite I've played all year has been -135.

SilverTongueFox · 04-16-12, 04:30 PM

Mix clouds/sun with chance of t-storm; light breeze
Hinske in for Freeman
Wilson in for Pastorniky
*Chipper in line-up

Gee best match up with Santana and Dickey (day game/get a way day) on deck. Braves will not get sweeped again by Mets.

Braves get payback for the opening series sweep in NY.

BOL RoadDog

Redscot · 04-16-12, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Braves hit .231 off of Dillon Gee with only 7 extra base hits in 104 at bats. The Mets as a team hit .296 off of Tommy Hanson with 5 home runs and 14 rbi with a .346 OBP.

Hanson has pitched in 2 games this year, both games going 5 innings. This has much to do with his command. Pitch count has been up early with him. Last season Hanson has a 10.80 era against the Mets. The Mets hit .361 off of him. Last season Gee pitched 32 innings against the Braves and was 2-1 with a 3.38 era. Braves hit .231 off of him.

At +150 odds and with these numbers, I think it's worth a look. But dont get me wrong, I dont trust Dillon Gee too much. Just a value play.

I can see that angle Roadie. I just think the sample sizes are too small in this instance, even still Heyward and Bourn have hit him and Chipper can hit any Met (named his daughter Shea, the bastid). I am a Muts fan and I like Atlanta here, but not at that number, so I could be convinced that there is some value at the price. I still remain more intrigued by the over.

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 05:32 PM

Yea Red, purely value-based betting here. Tommy Hanson should never be laying this much juice. I think Gee can go 6 and give up 2. At least thats what I'm hoping haha.

SilverTongueFox · 04-16-12, 08:38 PM

RoadDog, your feeling was correct. Nice win!

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Braves hit .231 off of Dillon Gee with only 7 extra base hits in 104 at bats. The Mets as a team hit .296 off of Tommy Hanson with 5 home runs and 14 rbi with a .346 OBP.

Hanson has pitched in 2 games this year, both games going 5 innings. This has much to do with his command. Pitch count has been up early with him. Last season Hanson has a 10.80 era against the Mets. The Mets hit .361 off of him. Last season Gee pitched 32 innings against the Braves and was 2-1 with a 3.38 era. Braves hit .231 off of him.

At +150 odds and with these numbers, I think it's worth a look. But dont get me wrong, I dont trust Dillon Gee too much. Just a value play.

Money in the bank. Mets win 6-1. Value value value. Dont mind if I pat myself on the back for this one

YTD: +10.85u

Redscot · 04-16-12, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Yea Red, purely value-based betting here. Tommy Hanson should never be laying this much juice. I think Gee can go 6 and give up 2. At least thats what I'm hoping haha.

, nice call Roadie.

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by Redscot

, nice call Roadie.

Thanks, Red. Let's keep at em my man.

High3rEl3m3nt · 04-16-12, 08:46 PM

nice hit..I blame Bay for my over bust. Damn you Bay!

RoadDog · 04-16-12, 09:05 PM

RoadDog · 04-17-12, 10:28 AM

Milwaukee Brewers -123 1u

YTD: +10.85u

Current Brewers hitting .323 off Billingsley with a .383 OBP. Billingsley has faced two little league offenses so far. Last year at home he had a 3.07 era but on the road he had a 5.34 era with 34 walks and only 70 ks. Not a good ratio. Road batters hit .284 off him.

Current Dodgers hit .254 off of Gallardo (Ethier 2-12, Loney 2-8, Kemp 4-12, Hairston 2-13) with a .293 OBP. Gallardo has only allowed 3 extra base hits to current Dodgers striking out 24 and walking only 4. Last year at home Gallardo was 10-2 with a 3.00 era. In 8 innings against the Dodgers last year, Gallardo had a 1.13 era, Dodgers hit .143 off of him.

Not to mention Joe Public will say "OH MY GOD THE DODGERS ARE 9-1 AND ARE PLUS MONEY!!! THATS FREE MONEY!!!" No, no its not free money. I love the Brewers tonight.

mrtsummit · 04-17-12, 10:34 AM

Lets do this RD !

Betn247 · 04-17-12, 10:36 AM

Nice hit yesterday on the Mets!

Redscot · 04-17-12, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by RoadDog

Milwaukee Brewers -123 1u

YTD: +10.85u

Current Brewers hitting .323 off Billingsley with a .383 OBP. Billingsley has faced two little league offenses so far. Last year at home he had a 3.07 era but on the road he had a 5.34 era with 34 walks and only 70 ks. Not a good ratio. Road batters hit .284 off him.

Current Dodgers hit .254 off of Gallardo (Ethier 2-12, Loney 2-8, Kemp 4-12, Hairston 2-13) with a .293 OBP. Gallardo has only allowed 3 extra base hits to current Dodgers striking out 24 and walking only 4. Last year at home Gallardo was 10-2 with a 3.00 era. In 8 innings against the Dodgers last year, Gallardo had a 1.13 era, Dodgers hit .143 off of him.

Not to mention Joe Public will say "OH MY GOD THE DODGERS ARE 9-1 AND ARE PLUS MONEY!!! THATS FREE MONEY!!!" No, no its not free money. I love the Brewers tonight.

Yeah, as I have stated in a few threads today I ain't buying the "new" Billingsley off of a couple of outing's against the Pad's and Pirates. I am open to him turning the corner but he's gonna have to win me over. GL bro

RoadDog · 04-17-12, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by mrtsummit

Lets do this RD !

Let's get it, T

Originally posted by Betn247

Nice hit yesterday on the Mets!

Thanks, buddy

RoadDog · 04-17-12, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by Redscot

Yeah, as I have stated in a few threads today I ain't buying the "new" Billingsley off of a couple of outing's against the Pad's and Pirates. I am open to him turning the corner but he's gonna have to win me over. GL bro

What up Red? Numbers support Milwaukee, I like Milwaukee's offense better, I like their pitcher better, they're at home, and the Dodgers are a public-loving bet. I like the ingredients.

mrtsummit · 04-17-12, 10:41 AM

I challenged your pick yesterday and took Braves. Not doing that again.

RoadDog · 04-17-12, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by mrtsummit

I challenged your pick yesterday and took Braves. Not doing that again.

Haha, I had a nice write-up for the Mets and everything! Come on, T!

RoadDog · 04-17-12, 11:19 AM

Leaning:
Indians ML
Cardnals ML

Laissez Faire · 04-17-12, 11:43 AM

love the indians today

RoadDog · 04-17-12, 11:48 AM

Starting to think the Indians bet might be of the too-good-to-be-true variety. I'm seeing an extremely low scoring game in that one. Something around 3-1, 3-2. I think the under 7 +110 deserves a longer look.

birdmanweezy · 04-17-12, 12:51 PM

the road dog delivers again with the mets to the thousands in attendance and the millions reading from home and if you aint down with tailing the dee oh double gee i got two words for you

SUCK IT