Mebaran's 2012 MLB Plays

[mebaran]

Plays will be released for tomorrow within an hour or so. Working hard at my new place of business. Baseball is lower on the priority list.

[mebaran]

My plays for tomorrow, 5/9:

Brewers (Cueto/Greinke) -126

Pirates (Detwiler/Bedard) -115

Marlins (Harrell/Johnson) -155

Indians (Peavy/Gomez) -105

[mebaran]

Stop. Listen. Pick up jaw. Log some bets. Repeat the next day.

[mebaran]

Yesterday went 2-2, -0.31 units

Overall: 65-60-8, +7.16 units

[mebaran]

Will be releasing plays for tomorrow's games in a few hours (after the openers are out). I've been debating whether or not I want to even release plays if I can't hit the openers within a few hours of them being up, because, on average, I'm losing about 30-50 cents per day if I run my model 6 hours after the openers are out, rather than 1 or 2.

I guess, for now, I'll just be giving plays on the weekends with random weekday plays.

[BeardedTaco]

Yup a lot more value in that 1-2 hour window

[mebaran]

Plays for tomorrow, 5/13 (Best play on the board, Pirates -105):

Indians (Bard/Masterson) +110

Blue Jays (Diamond/Romero) -155

Marlins (Niese/Zambrano) -140

Pirates (Rodrguez/Burnett) -105 2 UNITS

Brewers (Samrdzija/Estrada) -110

Braves (Lynn/Hanson) +120

Rockies (Lilly/White) +155

[mebaran]

Plays for tomorrow, 5/14:

Padres (Detwiler/Stauffer) +135

Reds (Delgado/Bailey) +125

Diamondbacks (Kershaw/Kennedy) +165

White Sox (Smyly/Danks) +110

Angels (Ross/Haren) -185

[mebaran]

Today went 3-4, -0.45 units

Overall: 68-64-8, +6.71 units

[EXhoosier10]

Always amazed how little attention your thread gets, meb. Keep on truckin'.

I get what you're saying about playing openers, too. Most of the plays I like are the ones that move a bunch and it's tough to pull the trigger knowing that you could have had a much better line. No reason to force plays though if you're not feeling them.

[mebaran]

Always amazed how little attention your thread gets, meb. Keep on truckin'.

I get what you're saying about playing openers, too. Most of the plays I like are the ones that move a bunch and it's tough to pull the trigger knowing that you could have had a much better line. No reason to force plays though if you're not feeling them.

Yeah, I mean, from a theoretical standpoint, I still have edge in the bets...just not enough. So if my model is off by just a little bit, than I'm wrong.

[mebaran]

Good news all: I work nights this week, so I'll most likely be posting plays daily around the open!

(In other news...the night shift sucks Godzilla dong)