John Morrison 2012 MLB Thread

[RiverRat12]

RiverRat12

Just got on Hagball. Prayers to you and your family.

[hagball52]

Thanks again to all of you for the condolences.

On another note I just fired off an email to Morrison letting him know about not letting us know about the system plays today.

[hagball52]

Dang! Didn't need that Texas loss, I doubled up on that one. Oh well, got one more chance to get it right.
Be back in the morning with all the info. G'night All.

[Brundle99]

I'm reluctant to bet on Texas again, what are you thinking Hagball?

[COYLO]

Sorry to hear that Hagball. My condolences man.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 13-0 (v1) (1 series pending)
(A) 8-6
(B) 4-2
(C) 1-0
V2 plays 1-1
V3 system 9-1
Unofficial series 32-0
(A) 23-9
(B) 9-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 4-0

*Unofficial*
07/28/2012 Philadelphia (.479) @ Atlanta (.518) R/L (B) WIN
07/28/2012 Chicago Cubs (.472) v St Louis (.500) R/L (B) V2 WIN

Official
07/28/2012 Texas (.522) v Chicago White Sox (.510) M/L (B) V2 LOSS

Next Plays
Official
07/29/2012 Texas (.521) v Chicago White Sox (.512) M/L (C) V2

Upcoming Plays
07/30/2012 Minnesota v Chicago White Sox
08/02/2012 Minnesota @ Boston
08/06/2012 San Diego v Chicago Cubs
08/06/2012 Milwaukee v Cincinnati
08/06/2012 Philadelphia v Atlanta
08/06/2012 Cleveland v Minnesota

Notes: What's unbelievable is the performance of the unofficial system. What makes me nervous is another V2 play on Texas. I've got a buttload out on this series now. Let's just hope the system performs. It's a double V2 bet and they rarely lose so I'm hoping it stays true to form.

There are 9 possible sweeps today with 6 having future plays.

GL All

GO RANGERS!!

[hagball52]

I'm reluctant to bet on Texas again, what are you thinking Hagball?

I'm invested too heavily in it to back away but I don't feel warm and fuzzy about it either. I am playing it straight up today.

[Galego]

Texas it's!!

[hagball52]

Here's JM's email. On time for a change. Notice that there is a period after Texas. That means its a V2 play.

James,

Congrats on cashing in on 2 out of 3 system bets yesterday!
I have absolutely no doubt that we will finish off the
remaining series tonight. Let's get to it!

Go to the link below to see our upcoming system bet(s):

[IMG]chrome://litmus-ff/skin/small/lvl2.png[/IMG]http://www.SportsBettingChamp.com/638271

I did email him twice yesterday about his timing and missed plays and V2 notifications. He did not write back but he did put the Cubs series up albeit as an (A) bet and he also noted Texas as a V2. I also asked him if he was this dependable for his V3 system and offered my assistance if he was having trouble knowing which plays to send out.

[Brundle99]

I'm invested too heavily in it to back away but I don't feel warm and fuzzy about it either. I am playing it straight up today.

Same here, GL!

[Brundle99]

(The White Sox try for a sixth consecutive victory and their first road sweep of the Texas Rangers in 27 years Sunday night)

I hope Texas hit back tonight and make sure this doesn't happen.

[hagball52]

(The White Sox try for a sixth consecutive victory and their first road sweep of the Texas Rangers in 27 years Sunday night)

I hope Texas hit back tonight and make sure this doesn't happen.

I saw that. I hate when they put those stats in there.

[Brundle99]

I saw that. I hate when they put those stats in there.

Yeah it's about as useful as Accuscore running computer projections of outcomes.

[teamhoddy]

I just know the Rangers are killing my accounts....with the moneyline so heavily favored it looks alot like the tigers series that had me on the ropes in early june. These C bets are brutal...guess that's why they call it gambling. Anyways, I generally start a series risking 10% of my balance but it's been my experience that in a series like this you can actually win the C bet and lose money, especially if you're not willing to take your balance down to zero for the C bet. Despite winning 6 of the 7 bets this weekend I will barely make any profit from this weekend and all this action due to this Rangers series. Am I the only one in this position? I guess I'm asking for any input on how you guys approach your money management using the system. I'm really glad to have found this forum and many thanks for all your comments on here.

[RiverRat12]

RiverRat12

All those stats do is sway people one way or another. I don't pay any attention anymore to that stuff as I always did the wrong thing. I just play the system and let it go at that.

[RiverRat12]

Team Hoddy: I was on the tigers, white sox and the rangers when they were losing 4,5, and six games. I rode them out and made a profit, but it not fun. Also takes a big chunk of your bk.

[Derty D]

I send my condolences to you and your family Hagball52.

Life can be really difficult testing our patience, integrity and devotion. I'm sure you are handling things well. It is always darkest before the dawn, so don't get too down.

Wishing you comfort and peace in your heart.

Derty D

[million2one]

Starting with 10% on the A bet is too high IMO.
It's much easier on my stomach and my bankroll when I start with around 1%.

[stickbit]

million2one is exactly right. should only be betting 1%.

[cambertos]

Giddy UP Rangers !

[hagball52]

All I can say is WHEW! I had a lot riding on one game to recover what started out as a bet to win one unit.
We had some sweeps today and one unofficial play tomorrow. Back in the morning with all the updates. G'night All.

P.S. Yes, 1% of your bankroll is a legit amount to do this style of chase betting. If you're placing a bet to win $100 you better have at least $1,000 to back it up and sometimes even a lot more depending on the juice. Last year in a Cubs/Pirates series it went to a (C) bet and all the bets were high juice like -200 and better and by the time it got to the (C) bet you would have had like $2,500 riding just to win $100. Doesn't make a lot of sense does it? Be very careful when we get to multiple bets. Budget accordingly.

[Boyne]

I just know the Rangers are killing my accounts....with the moneyline so heavily favored it looks alot like the tigers series that had me on the ropes in early june. These C bets are brutal...guess that's why they call it gambling. Anyways, I generally start a series risking 10% of my balance but it's been my experience that in a series like this you can actually win the C bet and lose money, especially if you're not willing to take your balance down to zero for the C bet. Despite winning 6 of the 7 bets this weekend I will barely make any profit from this weekend and all this action due to this Rangers series. Am I the only one in this position? I guess I'm asking for any input on how you guys approach your money management using the system. I'm really glad to have found this forum and many thanks for all your comments on here.

Hi there Teamhoddy, as several people here have already said, 10% as a starter is way too high. One or maybe even half is much safer because as you've found, it only takes one disaster to empty your account.

MONEY MANAGEMENT - This is actually quite simple (despite it taking me literally years to learn) but does require iron-discliplined will-power. The number one thing to remember is - Do not become 'greedy' after a few wins and start raising stakes. As your balance increases () using the system I'm eventually going to explain, then increase the unit size, say at the beginning of the next month.
When I say 'unit', I mean amount 'to win'. That is, per series.

Right, here we go, keeping things easy, simple, assuming odds are always 'evens' ie bet 10, win 10 (they never are - usually heavily 'odds-on' ie a high 'minus' figure) and a starting balance of $1000.

Bet A) One percent of $1000, so starting bet would be $10. It loses...
Bet B) Aim to recoup last nights loss ($10) plus what you aimed to win ($10) so tonights bet is $20. It loses...
Bet C) Aim to recoup last nights loss ($20), the loss from the night before ($10), plus what you aimed to win ($10) so tonights bet is $40. It wins!

So you've recouped your two losses and achieved your unit win of $10

Hope this is of some use and if anyone else can add to this or show me where I may have messed up, please do.

[TwoCats]

Bet A) One percent of $1000, so starting bet would be $10. It loses...
Bet B) Aim to recoup last nights loss ($10) plus what you aimed to win ($10) so tonights bet is $20. It loses...
Bet C) Aim to recoup last nights loss ($20) plus what you aimed to win ($10) so tonights bet is $30. It wins!

So you've recouped your two losses and achieved your unit win of $10

I think that your C bet should be last nights loss ($20 - the B bet) plus the loss from the previous night ($10 - the A bet) plus what you aimed to win ($10), so tonights bet is $40.


10% is far too high for a starting bet. That is how my bankroll got wiped out in 2008. I have only just been able to fund a new bankroll - and it is very tiny at the moment.

[dharma2u]

I am so sorry to hear about your and your wife's loss Hagball. I know how painful it is to say goodbye to a parent.

[hagball52]

Sorry to hear that Hagball. My condolences man.

I send my condolences to you and your family Hagball52.

Life can be really difficult testing our patience, integrity and devotion. I'm sure you are handling things well. It is always darkest before the dawn, so don't get too down.

Wishing you comfort and peace in your heart.

Derty D

I am so sorry to hear about your and your wife's loss Hagball. I know how painful it is to say goodbye to a parent.

Thanks. Much appreciated.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 14-0 (v1)
(A) 8-6
(B) 4-2
(C) 2-0
V2 plays 2-1
V3 system 9-1
Unofficial series 32-0
(A) 23-9
(B) 9-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 4-0

Official
07/29/2012 Texas (.521) v Chicago White Sox (.512) M/L (C) V2 WIN

Next Plays
*Unofficial*
07/30/2012 Minnesota (.485) v Chicago White Sox (.511) +1.5 R/L (A) 3 gm. set
(poss. V3)

Upcoming Plays
08/02/2012 Minnesota @ Boston
08/06/2012 San Diego v Chicago Cubs
08/06/2012 Milwaukee v Cincinnati
08/06/2012 Philadelphia v Atlanta
08/06/2012 Cleveland v Minnesota

Notes: Really nice to get that (C) bet win. Personally, I had a lot riding on that game. After going through a series like that you just sit back and scratch your head in wonderment of what just happened. A ton of money out just to win a unit. I know (C) bets are powerful but I've seen enough of them lose to where I'm never comfortable with them. Well if you thought July was busy just wait till August. It has more plays than July.

There were 3 sweeps yesterday with future plays:
08/06 PHI v ATL
08/06 CLE v MIN
08/20 SFO @ LAD

GL All

[hagball52]

Here's what we're looking at so far. Right now there are 30 plays in August. With more to come.

JM upcoming plays

07/30 MIN v CHW
08/02 MIN @ BOS
08/06 SDG v CHC
08/06 MIL v CIN
08/06 PHI v ATL
08/06 CLE v MIN
08/10 NYM v ATL
08/13 PIT v LAD
08/13 PHI @ MIA
08/13 SFO v WAS
08/13 HOU @CHC
08/14 ARI @ STL
08/14 NYM @ CIN
08/16 MIL v PHI
08/17 TOR v TEX
08/17 HOU v ARI
08/17 NYM @ WAS
08/20 TAM v KAN
08/20 MIN @ OAK
08/20 SFO @ LAD
08/24 NYM v HOU
08/24 BAL v TOR
08/24 CLE v NYY
08/24 ARI v SDG
08/24 STL @ CIN
08/28 KAN v DET
08/28 HOU v SFO
08/31 CHC v SFO
08/31 BOS @ OAK
08/31 CHW @ DET
08/31 HOU v CIN
09/03 COL @ ATL
09/07 BOS v TOR
09/10 MIL v ATL
09/10 SDG v STL
09/18 WAS v LAD
09/21 NYY v OAK
09/24 CLE @ CHW
09/27 TAM @ CHW
09/28 ARI v CHC

[hagball52]

JM completed series.

04/16 ATL v NYM Win (B) 04/17 U v2
04/24 KAN @ CLE Win (A) U
04/30 BAL @ NYY Win (A) O
04/30 KAN @ DET Cancelled (rain)
05/07 DET @ SEA Win (B) 05/08 O
05/07 MIN v LAA Win (B) 05/08 U v2
05/08 NYY v TAM Win (A) U
05/11 SFO @ ARI Win (B) 05/12 O
05/11 MIA v NYM Win (A) U
05/21 BOS @ BAL Win (A) U
05/24 SFO @ MIA Win (A) O
05/28 BOS v DET Win (A) O
05/28 TOR v BAL Win (A) U
05/28 PHI @ NYM Win (A) U
05/28 STL @ ATL Win (A) U
06/01 SEA @ CHW Win (B) 06/02 U
06/01 COL v LAD Win (A) U
06/01 ATL @ WAS Cancelled (rain)
06/04 SEA @ LAA Win (A) O
06/05 DET v CLE Win [C] 06/07 O v2
06/15 MIA @ TAM Win (B) 06/16 U
06/18 CHC @ CHW Win (A) U
06/18 CLE v CIN Win (A) U
06/18 ATL @ NYY Win (B) 06/19 U
06/22 SEA @ SDG Win (B) 06/23 O
06/22 NYM v NYY Win (A) U
06/29 CHC v HOU Win (A) U
07/02 KAN @ TOR Win (A) U
07/02 MIN @ DET Win (A) U
07/06 MIN @ TEX Win (A) U
07/13 WAS @ MIA Win (A) O
07/13 OAK @ MIN Win (A) O
07/13 CHC v ARI Win (A) U
07/16 MIN v BAL Win (A) U
07/16 PHI @ LAD Win (A) U
07/17 CHC v MIA Win (B) 07/18 U v2
07/19 OAK v NYY Win (A) U
07/20 SEA @ TAM Win (A) U
07/23 STL v LAD Win (B) 07/24 O
07/23 CHC @ PIT Win (A) U
07/23 MIA v ATL Win (A) U
07/26 HOU v PIT Win (B) 07/27 U
07/27 LAA v TAM Win (A) O
07/27 SDG @ MIA Win (A) U
07/27 LAD @ SFO Win (A) O
07/27 TEX v CHW Win [C] 07/29 O v2*
07/27 PHI @ ATL Win (B) 07/28 U
07/27 CHC v STL Win (B) 07/28 U v2
* v2 loss on 07/28

V3 Plays
05/12 MYM @ MIA Win (A)
05/22 BAL v BOS Win (A)
06/02 LAD @ COL Win (A)
06/19 CHW v CHC Win (B) 06/20
06/23 NYY @ NYM Win (A)
07/07 TEX v MIN Win (A)
07/17 BAL @ MIN Win (A)
07/20 NYY @ OAK Loss [C] 07/22
07/24 PIT v CHC Win (B) 07/25
07/24 ATL @ MIA Win (A)

I tried green inking all the wins like I normally do but my computer is not cooperating or my brain is malfunctioning. Anyway you get the picture. A lot of wins. This list is getting really long so I'll post it in the middle of August and at the end of the month.

[Derty D]

I like seeing the whole list!

(If you don't mind continuing the list...)

Derty D

[rkelly110]

Texas! Thanks for the hard work Jim, sorry for your loss.

Instead of all that typing, reply with quote and add what you need below it or in the bubble.

[hagball52]

Another unofficial bet cashes on the first bet. Won't know if we have a V3 play on the Chisox until the rpi comes out in the morning. A nice little slow spell here before it gets crazy again. This is playing out really well for me and my trip back to the Midwest on Thursday. I should be able to take care of everything from my phone. It won't be formal but I'll keep it current. G'night All.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 14-0 (v1)
(A) 8-6
(B) 4-2
(C) 2-0
V2 plays 2-1
V3 system 9-1
Unofficial series 33-0
(A) 24-9
(B) 9-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 4-0

*Unofficial*
07/30/2012 Minnesota (.485) v Chicago White Sox (.511) R/L /M/L (A) WIN

Next Plays
08/02/2012 Minnesota @ Boston

Upcoming Plays
08/06/2012 San Diego v Chicago Cubs
08/06/2012 Milwaukee v Cincinnati
08/06/2012 Philadelphia v Atlanta
08/06/2012 Cleveland v Minnesota
08/10/2012 NY Mets v Atlanta
08/10/2012 Toronto v NY Yankees

Notes: Congrats on another unofficial (A) bet win. It's been a fun season so far. The White Sox do not qualify for a V3 play because the rpi is at (.023) between the two teams. So everybody take a couple days off, you earned it. Next play will be Thursday, it will be unofficial and I should be able to get that out before I head to the airport and I will be back on the 5th so I should have no problem getting Monday's plays out.

GL All

[GGPLAYER]

It's amazing I follow these plays and few other chase threads here on SBR. Years past I always seemed to get burned by JM but it's been so steady this season.

[hagball52]

It's amazing I follow these plays and few other chase threads here on SBR. Years past I always seemed to get burned by JM but it's been so steady this season.

Yeah I know, it's been strange. I don't think we've ever gone this deep into a season without an unofficial loss, and the unofficial plays are killing it. Not a single (C) bet yet. Keep your fingers crossed.

[$4nothing]

And Hagball keeping on top of it makes it MORE rewarding