John Morrison 2012 MLB Thread

[hagball52]

Morning All, out of seven possible sweeps yesterday there were 5. Also there are 3 possible sweeps today but only one of them results in a future play (COL/HOU).
07/13 WAS @ MIA
07/13 OAK @ MIN
08/06 SDG v CHC
08/24 BAL v TOR
09/27 TAM @ CHW
Will update in the morning with the system plays. GL ALL

P.S. The ATL/WAS play will be official. The rpi adjusted to (.010).

[bisturis]

You said one loss in the WNBA system and the whole season is a loss. Is that still true if we labby?

[hagball52]

You said one loss in the WNBA system and the whole season is a loss. Is that still true if we labby?

That really just depends on how many series go to a (C) bet. If they're all hitting on (A)'s and (B)'s you'll be fine but if you have several go to a (C) I believe it wouldn't do well. I'm not really the person to ask on that because I got away from doing labbys awhile ago. I did not have much luck with them. Several losses in a row and the lines get big and then they take awhile to clear. Some people love 'em and swear by 'em but not me. JMD does a lot of labbys and he posts a lot in On3's thread. He may be able to help. One last thing, I have not bet JM's WNBA but just have heard from other people about it. But the reality is that there are only 14 or 15 plays this season so if you're playing it properly and buying the 3 points and playing heavy favs on the money line then one series loss would be at least 15 units on a chase type play.

[bisturis]

Thanks for the explanation Hagball. I really appreciate it!

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 5-0 (v1)
(A) 3-2
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 2-0
Unofficial series 9-0
(A) 7-2
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 2-0

Next Plays
Official
06/01/2012 Atlanta (.517) @ Washington (.526) R/L (A) 3 gm. set

*Unofficial*
06/01/2012 Seattle (.490) @ Chicago White Sox (.521) R/L (A) 3 gm. set (poss. V3 play)
06/01/2012 Colorado (.472) v LA Dodgers (.505) +1.5 Alt. R/L (A) 3 gm. set (poss. V3 play)

Upcoming Plays
06/04/2012 Seattle @ LA Angels
06/05/2012 Detroit v Cleveland
06/18/2012 Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

Notes: Here we go into the weekend with a few more plays. All 3 series look playable and the way the system has been performing this year it's worth a shot. There were 2 sweeps yesterday but neither has a future play. Will keep you all informed as we go. GL All

P.S. I made a mistake in post #456. I mentioned that if Houston got swept they would play Colorado again. I was wrong, there is no future play. I try to limit my mistakes but every now and then I get distracted. Sorry.

[hagball52]

Here's the Morrison email. He's getting full of himself again. Did we expect any less?


I declared to you that I had absolutely no doubt we will go
undefeated for the rest of this season, and boy, did the system
ever deliver! One winner after another, after another, after
another, gave us another perfect 4-0 a couple days ago to add
on to our already unprecedented winning streak!

So far this season, we have won each and every single betting
series without ever resorting to the [C] bet. We also went
undefeated in the last NBA season, and undefeated in the previous
MLB season. James, do you realize that as of today, we
have now gone completely undefeated for 3 consecutive years of
sports with my MLB and NBA sports betting systems? More to come

Go to the link below to see our upcoming system bet(s):

[IMG]chrome://litmus-ff/skin/small/lvl2.png[/IMG]http://www.SportsBettingChamp.com/883269

[hunsi]

WHY +1.5 Alt R/L? Wouldn't you just bet M/L here at -105 even though Dodgers at -115 ML

06/01/2012 Colorado (.472) v LA Dodgers (.505) +1.5 Alt. R/L (A) 3 gm. set (poss. V3 play)

What is V3 play? i know 1&2

Anyone else worried about playing R/L -160 against Strausburg?

[hagball52]

WHY +1.5 Alt R/L? Wouldn't you just bet M/L here at -105 even though Dodgers at -115 ML

06/01/2012 Colorado (.472) v LA Dodgers (.505) +1.5 Alt. R/L (A) 3 gm. set (poss. V3 play)

What is V3 play? i know 1&2

Anyone else worried about playing R/L -160 against Strausburg?

When I posted, Colorado was a -110 favorite. According to JM rules in his pdf. any team that is favored up to -115 should be bet alternate run line. Its a B.S. filter he installed after some series losses but we are posting the program according to his rules.

For info on the V3 plays the rules are posted in post#111 on page 4 of this thread.

I did play Atlanta at -155 on the run line. I know Strasburg is good but he's been hit lately and Atlanta has just come out of a really tough stretch (8 consecutive losses) a few days ago and Washington has not been a powerhouse on offense lately (getting swept at Miami) and I like the pitching matchups better in games 1 & 2. So if your gonna play the series its usually better to start at the beginning.

GL

P.S. I never play the alternate run line myself.

[jolmscheid]

Hey Guys...does anyone have statistics on all of Morrison's systems for each sport the past 3 years or so? I know chasing isn't the smartest thing, but was wondering if anyone has any different approaches using the systems for safer profits?

Thanks for the help...

[hagball52]

Hey Guys...does anyone have statistics on all of Morrison's systems for each sport the past 3 years or so? I know chasing isn't the smartest thing, but was wondering if anyone has any different approaches using the systems for safer profits?

Thanks for the help...

I usually don't keep records much after the season is over but I can tell you that his NFL 3 game chase and NHL systems were horrible last season. Each sport had at least 4 (C) bet losses which rendered the whole season a loss. There may be someone out there other than Morrison keeping records that reads this and will post. Do NOT rely on Morrison for an accurate record count. GL

[Brundle99]

When I posted, Colorado was a -110 favorite. According to JM rules in his pdf. any team that is favored up to -115 should be bet alternate run line. Its a B.S. filter he installed after some series losses but we are posting the program according to his rules.

For info on the V3 plays the rules are posted in post#111 on page 4 of this thread.

I did play Atlanta at -155 on the run line. I know Strasburg is good but he's been hit lately and Atlanta has just come out of a really tough stretch (8 consecutive losses) a few days ago and Washington has not been a powerhouse on offense lately (getting swept at Miami) and I like the pitching matchups better in games 1 & 2. So if your gonna play the series its usually better to start at the beginning.

GL

P.S. I never play the alternate run line myself.

Very helpful, as always Hagball :0)

[I_WILL_WIN]

I put 1/2 my BR on ATLANTA +1.5 then I divided my other 1/2 BR into 1/3 and played: ATL/COL; ATL/SEA; SEA/COL. Those three two team parlays didn't have ATL +1.5 and if ATL loses by 1 run then I lose just a little for the day. If ATL wins, I see myself doing very well today. If ATL loses by more than 1 run AND SEA or COL lose then I lost my entire BR. I have confidence in this system and it has won me a lot of money lately. I cashed out a HUGE amount after I hit those 4 teams that one day.

BOL to ALL!!! LETS $$$$$$!!!!!!!!

[Brundle99]

Atlanta Game Postponed due to rain.

[hagball52]

Atlanta Game Postponed due to rain.

It looks like this series is cancelled. They have not set a makeup date yet so if they don't double up on Sat. or Sun. then it becomes a 2 game series and results in a no play. In other words, play at your own risk if you like it but it will not count in the records win or lose. GL

[hunsi]

Hey guys, curious on V3. If chw wins tonight but SEA covers the RL then No bet on chw correct?

If Colorado wins, The way the Dodgers have been playing alittle hestitant to place an A bet (under v3 rules).

[cmdyrds]

Hey Guys...does anyone have statistics on all of Morrison's systems for each sport the past 3 years or so? I know chasing isn't the smartest thing, but was wondering if anyone has any different approaches using the systems for safer profits?

Thanks for the help...

here's basketball.

Version 1	Version 2	Version 3	Totals
2011/2012: 26-0	2011/2012: 17-0	2011/2012: 87-4	130-4
2010/2011: 58-3	2010/201 30-1	2010/201: 67-3	155-7
2009/2010: 47-2	2009/2010: 28-0	2009/2010: 67-2	142-4
2008/2009: 61-0	2008/2009: 29-0	2008/2009: 59-1	149-1
2007/2008: 56-2	2007/2008: 27-0	2007/2008: 63-1	146-3
2006/2007: 55-2	2006/2007: 23-0	2006/2007: 63-3	141-5
2005/2006: 55-2	2005/2006: 32-1	2005/2006: 63-7	150-10
2004/2005: 59-2	2004/2005: 30-2	2004/2005: 64-1	153-5

[hagball52]

Hey guys, curious on V3. If chw wins tonight but SEA covers the RL then No bet on chw correct?

If Colorado wins, The way the Dodgers have been playing alittle hestitant to place an A bet (under v3 rules).

To answer your first question, Seattle would have to win outright for it to be a V3 play.

Second question. There is no speculation with the system. You either play it or you don't. If your gut tells you to stay away then by all means do so. I know it can be a little nerve wracking but those of us who have been with this for awhile have learned to move on from the losses. Its a pretty solid system and there are times when you have to hedge but what I have noticed this year is all of these system plays have been coming at good times in trends. I know things will go the other way at some point but when I don't know. If you are new to this then just observe for awhile and get a feel for it. I played all 3 series today. Won one, lost one and pushed on the other. I'll be on Seattle tomorrow. GL

[hagball52]

cmdyrds, thanks for the post.

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 5-0 (v1)
(A) 3-2
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 2-0
Unofficial series 10-0 (1 series pending)
(A) 8-3
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 2-0


Official
06/01/2012 Atlanta (.517) @ Washington (.526) R/L (A) cancelled-rain

*Unofficial*
06/01/2012 Seattle (.490) @ Chicago White Sox (.521) R/L (A) LOSS
06/01/2012 Colorado (.472) v LA Dodgers (.505) +1.5 Alt. R/L / M/L(A) WIN

Next Plays
*Unofficial*
06/02/2012 Seattle (.488) @ Chicago White Sox (.523) R/L (B)

V3
06/02/2012 LA Dodgers (.501) @ Colorado (.475) R/L (A) 2 gm. set only

Upcoming Plays
06/04/2012 Seattle @ LA Angels
06/05/2012 Detroit v Cleveland
06/18/2012 Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

Notes: Too bad on that Atlanta series. It looked like a good one for a win. Now the whole dynamic has changed. The pitching has been shuffled and its only a 2 game series now. If you play it, do so at your own risk. It looked like Seattle was gonna come through last night until that error on the fly ball. The run line juice isn't too bad on them today at right around -150. Morrison sure has changed his tune in his latest email. I'll post it next. Also the Dodgers can't seem to score and Colorado is on fire so if you don't feel good about it just lay off. GL All

[hagball52]

Here's his email.


The betting series with Atlanta has been postponed due to
rain. For tracking purposes, there's an unofficial [B] bet
on Seattle. Keep in mind that this series does not meet the
RPI filter for the system.

All the best,
John Morrison, PhD

P.S. Check out my revolutionary new service, the "Sports Picks
Buffet" where I subscribe to over 500 world-famous sports
handicappers, reveal to you in my private members area ALL of their
picks every day, and summarize for you the "best bets" of the day
where most of all handicappers tend to agree on! Go to:
[IMG]chrome://litmus-ff/skin/small/lvl2.png[/IMG]www.SportsPicksBuffet.com

[hunsi]

Guys can you verfiy that I'm betting correct. Is this model correct? I was trying to map out the net effect of losing one series. It appears that losing one series results in a reduction of your winning 6 series? Does this make sense?

RL	Wager	Win	Risk
-150	$ 100.00	$ 66.67	$ 166.67	Wager A
-150	$ 250.00	$ 166.67	$ 416.67	Wager B
-150	$ 625.00	$ 416.67	$ 1,041.67	Wager C

[Brundle99]

Seattle Covers on [B] Bet!.

Congrats to all who played it.

[jolmscheid]

here's basketball.

Version 1	Version 2	Version 3	Totals
2011/2012: 26-0	2011/2012: 17-0	2011/2012: 87-4	130-4
2010/2011: 58-3	2010/201 30-1	2010/201: 67-3	155-7
2009/2010: 47-2	2009/2010: 28-0	2009/2010: 67-2	142-4
2008/2009: 61-0	2008/2009: 29-0	2008/2009: 59-1	149-1
2007/2008: 56-2	2007/2008: 27-0	2007/2008: 63-1	146-3
2006/2007: 55-2	2006/2007: 23-0	2006/2007: 63-3	141-5
2005/2006: 55-2	2005/2006: 32-1	2005/2006: 63-7	150-10
2004/2005: 59-2	2004/2005: 30-2	2004/2005: 64-1	153-5

Thanks for these records...and the average juice on these arr -170 per game?

Anyone happen to have results for his MLB and wnba and nfl? Im trying to see if chasing his plays can be done for profit longterm or if we could somehow modify it to a 2-game chase?

[hunsi]

It seems to me, we definitely only want to pay offical series betting if these unofficial ones lose just once its kills you. See below

RL	Wager	Win	Risk
-150	$ 1,000.00	$ 666.67	$ 1,666.67	Wager A
-150	$ 2,500.00	$ 1,666.67	$ 4,166.67	Wager B
-150	$ 6,250.00	$ 4,166.67	$ 10,416.67	Wager C
W	L	W - Dollars	L - Dollars	NET
29	1	$ 19,333.33	$ 10,416.67	$ 8,916.67
31	0	$ 20,666.67	$ -	$ 20,666.67
58	4	$ 38,666.67	$ 41,666.67	$ (3,000.00)

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 5-0 (v1)
(A) 3-2
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 3-0
Unofficial series 11-0
(A) 8-3
(B) 3-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 2-0

*Unofficial*
06/02/2012 Seattle (.488) @ Chicago White Sox (.523) R/L / M/L (B) WIN

V3
06/02/2012 LA Dodgers (.501) @ Colorado (.475) R/L / M/L(A) WIN

Next Plays
06/04/2012 Seattle @ LA Angels

Upcoming Plays
06/05/2012 Detroit v Cleveland
06/18/2012 Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

Notes: The system continues to perform at a high level. Congrats to all who played both plays yesterday. We have been on an incredible run. Let's keep it going. There are 3 possible sweeps today with 2 more in play for tomorrow. Will update everything tomorrow with the next system play. GL All

[hagball52]

Here's a running tally of this season.


04/16 ATL v NYM Win (B) 04/17 U v2
04/24 KAN @ CLE Win (A) U
04/30 BAL @ NYY Win (A) O
04/30 KAN @ DET Cancelled (rain)
05/07 DET @ SEA Win (B) 05/08 O
05/07 MIN v LAA Win (B) 05/08 U v2
05/08 NYY v TAM Win (A) U
05/11 SFO @ ARI Win (B) 05/12 O
05/11 MIA v NYM Win (A) U
05/21 BOS @ BAL Win (A) U
05/24 SFO @ MIA Win (A) O
05/28 BOS v DET Win (A) O
05/28 TOR v BAL Win (A) U
05/28 PHI @ NYM Win (A) U
05/28 STL @ ATL Win (A) U
06/01 SEA @ CHW Win (B) 06/02 U
06/01 COL v LAD Win (A) U
06/01 ATL @ WAS Cancelled (rain)

V3 Plays
05/12 MYM @ MIA Win (A)
05/22 BAL v BOS Win (A)
06/02 LAD @ COL Win (A)

[jolmscheid]

Average odds?

[hagball52]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 5-0 (v1)
(A) 3-2
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 3-0
Unofficial series 11-0
(A) 8-3
(B) 3-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 2-0

Next Plays
Official
06/04/2012 Seattle (.488) @ LA Angels (.491) R/L (A) 3 gm. set

Upcoming Plays
06/05/2012 Detroit v Cleveland
06/18/2012 Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox
06/29/2012 Chicago Cubs v Houston

Notes: Things are going well in JM land and I expect it to keep rolling with this series. Seattle does not have to face Weaver, Wilson or Haren so they look good in this series. I actually like their pitching matchups all 3 games. As you can see we don't have much action in June after tomorrow's series starts. Hopefully interleague will provide some more plays this month. Out of 3 possible sweeps yesterday there were none but there are 2 possible sweeps today. Will keep you all updated. GL All

[hagball52]

Here's what we've got coming up so far.
06/04 SEA @ LAA
06/05 DET v CLE
06/18 CHC @ CHW
06/29 CHC v HOU
07/02 KAN @ TOR
07/02 MIN @ DET
07/06 MIN @ TEX
07/13 WAS @ MIA
07/13 OAK @ MIN
07/16 MIN v BAL
07/17 CHC v MIA
07/19 OAK v NYY
07/20 SEA @ TAM
07/23 STL v LAD
07/23 CHC @ PIT
07/27 LAA v TAM
07/27 SDG @ MIA
08/02 MIN @ BOS
08/06 SDG v CHC
08/13 PIT v LAD
08/14 ARI @ STL
08/17 TOR v TEX
08/24 NYM v HOU
08/24 BAL v TOR
09/03 COL @ ATL
09/10 MIL v ATL
09/10 SDG v STL
09/18 WAS v LAD
09/24 CLE @ CHW
09/27 TAM @ CHW

[Andy3568]

JM MLB System
2012 Official season series record 5-0 (v1)
(A) 3-2
(B) 2-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 0-0
V3 system 3-0
Unofficial series 11-0
(A) 8-3
(B) 3-0
(C) 0-0
V2 plays 2-0

Next Plays
Official
06/04/2012 Seattle (.488) @ LA Angels (.491) R/L (A) 3 gm. set

Upcoming Plays
06/05/2012 Detroit v Cleveland
06/18/2012 Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox
06/29/2012 Chicago Cubs v Houston

Notes: Things are going well in JM land and I expect it to keep rolling with this series. Seattle does not have to face Weaver, Wilson or Haren so they look good in this series. I actually like their pitching matchups all 3 games. As you can see we don't have much action in June after tomorrow's series starts. Hopefully interleague will provide some more plays this month. Out of 3 possible sweeps yesterday there were none but there are 2 possible sweeps today. Will keep you all updated. GL All

Just a quick note: Seattle starting pitcher, Felix Hernandez, is questionable for Wednesday against the Angels. Morrison's system has a injury filter, which he pretty much ignores completely unless he needs it to erase a series loss after the fact. So just keep in mind that if this goes to the "C" bet, and Fernandez doesn't play, and the Mariners lose the "C" bet, it's likely Morrison will invoke the injury filter that's clearly stated in his system and remove it from the record.

[hagball52]

Just a quick note: Seattle starting pitcher, Felix Hernandez, is questionable for Wednesday against the Angels. Morrison's system has a injury filter, which he pretty much ignores completely unless he needs it to erase a series loss after the fact. So just keep in mind that if this goes to the "C" bet, and Fernandez doesn't play, and the Mariners lose the "C" bet, it's likely Morrison will invoke the injury filter that's clearly stated in his system and remove it from the record.

Thanks for the input. Hopefully it won't go that far.

[jmaldonado]

this seems like a very basic question that I should know but what is the differnce between the Alt. R/L and the R/L? The R/L is just the +1.5 run odds (for SEA I am seeing -170), correct? Just want to make sure I am following the system correctly.

[MexicanStallion]

*Unofficial*
06/02/2012 Seattle (.488) @ Chicago White Sox (.523) R/L / M/L (B) WIN

V3
06/02/2012 LA Dodgers (.501) @ Colorado (.475) R/L / M/L(A) WIN

What were the bets here? Curious since RL/ ML are both listed next to them? Thanks.

[$4nothing]

Favorite: play M/L example -140

Dog: take +1 1/2 runs -whatever. Usually pretty high odds.

Unsure why R/L & M/L are listed. It's one or the other.

Hope this helps.

[MexicanStallion]

Favorite: play M/L example -140

Dog: take +1 1/2 runs -whatever. Usually pretty high odds.

Unsure why R/L & M/L are listed. It's one or the other.

Hope this helps.

Thanks I picked up on that, but wasn't sure what was going on with both being listed.