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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Front Page MLB Picks (Wed., Sep 10)
    Tampa Bay Rays +180 to shock Boston Red Sox again

    Game Time: 09/10/2008 07:05 PM -
    By: LT Profits Sports Group | who2beton.com

    It is no exaggeration to say that the Rays won the biggest game in the history of their franchise last night. Look for them to ride that emotional wave to another upset.

    The Tampa Bay Rays recorded the biggest win in the history of their franchise in dramatic fashion last night, and we look for them to ride that momentum to a second straight upset of the Boston Red Sox tonight.

    The Rays scored two runs in the ninth inning off of Jonathan Papelbon last night, and we would not be at all surprised if this game tonight turns into another battle of the bullpens. That is an area where Tampa Bay has the edge, as they rank second in the American League with a 3.45 pen ERA.

    Boston starter Josh Beckett is obviously not at full health right now, and he was limited to just five innings in his last start despite not allowing a single run and only four hits with seven strikeouts. Still, Beckett has not pitched well at all here at Fenway Park this year, where he had a whopping 6.02 ERA. The combination of a shaky Beckett and a demoralized bullpen does not bode well for laying this huge price tonight.

    Now granted, Andy Sonnanstine has not pitched nearly as well as his 13-7 record would indicate. However, he does usually keep the Rays in games and he does have a decent 1.25 WHIP on the road. Look for Andy to do his thing for five innings or so and for the fine Rays pen to take over from there.

    Finally, one cannot put a price on the emotional high the Rays are on after last night, and we would not be surprised if some of their fringe players continue to step up in the absence of Crawford and Longoria.

    Free Pick: Rays +180
  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #2
    Blue Jays & White Sox Under 8

    Game Time: 09/10/2008 08:10 PM -
    By: Bob Harvey | bobharveysports.com

    It's a battle of aces on Chicago's South Side as Toronto sends their ace Roy Halladay to the hill against Mark Buehrle and the White Sox. Play the Jays and Pale Hose on the under.

    This is great, exactly what the Chicago White Sox didn't need. On the heels of losing a doubleheader Tuesday to Toronto, the Pale Hose now have to face the ace of the Blue Jays staff, Roy Halladay.

    The veteran right-hander is 18-9 with a 2.65 ERA and has won five straight decisions with an ERA of 2.25 over that stretch. In addition Halladay is 3-3 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts and three relief appearances against the White Sox. Ironically U.S. Cellular Field is the only current AL ballpark he’s never won in although he’s got a sparkling 2.35 ERA there.

    Meanwhile the injury bug has struck the White Sox at the wrong time. American League home run leader Carlos Quentin is out for the rest of the regular season with a broken wrist and now first baseman Paul Konerko has what doctors describe as a mildly sprained medial collateral ligament in his right knee. That’s two big guns gone from a Chicago lineup that has been outscored 22-8 this season in losing six straight to the Jays.

    As tempted as I am to play Toronto on the moneyline in this one (and I still may), I’m going with the Under. The White Sox will start Mark Buerhle who has won four of his last five decisions. Buerhle is 9-3 with a 2.85 ERA in 15 home starts. He’s won his last six decisions at home, where Chicago has won his last seven starts. Runs should be at a premium in this one. Play the Under.

    Free Pick: Blue Jays-White Sox Under 8 (-110)
    Comment
    • Willie Bee
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-14-06
      • 15726

      #3
      Seattle Mariners -122 vs. Rangers

      Game Time: 09/10/2008 04:40 PM -
      By: Matt Fargo | sportspic.com

      Texas managed to rough up Seattle ace Felix Hernandez last night, but the Rangers' offense has still been slumping of late and that makes the Mariners the play as home faves today.

      Seattle dropped the first game of this series last night with a rare rough outing from Felix Hernandez, and while the season has been long gone the Mariners have not thrown any towel in as they are now on a 9-5 run over the last 14 games.

      The offense has been hitting the ball better with a .277 average over the last 10 days, but it has been the pitching that has made the difference as they have allowed four runs or fewer in nine of those 15 games. Over the last 10 games, the ERA is at 3.84.

      Even with the win last night, the Rangers are 11-20 over their last 31 games and a possible playoff push has turned into another losing season. While the pitching was the problem early on in this stretch, the hitting has been the problem of late as Texas has scored four runs or fewer in eight of their last 13 games. Not to worry as the pitching is still bad as Texas has a 5.01 ERA over its last 10 games, pushing the season ERA to 5.31 on the season, which is worst in baseball.

      Kevin Millwood is as inconsistent as they come. He started the season strong, faded badly, came back with some good efforts and is now coming off a horrible effort last time out. He allowed seven runs in six innings in a loss to the Red Sox as his September has started off the same way August did. He did rebound after his first poor start last month but he faces a team he has struggled against the last two years. In his last seven starts against Seattle, he has a 5.36 ERA with Texas going 2-5.

      The Mariners will go with a bullpen by committee on Wednesday as Brandon Morrow will be given an extra day of rest after shutting down the Yankees last time out. Cesar Jimenez will get the start and likely go four innings maximum before giving way to Randy Messenger, Mark Lowe, Sean Green, Jake Woods, Jared Wells and R.A. Dickey to finish up. It is far from a concern considering that the Mariners have a 3.97 bullpen ERA on the year, 12th best in baseball, including 3.31 at home. Play Seattle for 1½ units.

      Free Pick: Mariners -122
      Comment
      • Willie Bee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-14-06
        • 15726

        #4
        Florida Marlins +143 to upset the Philadelphia Phillies

        Game Time: 09/10/2008 04:05 PM -
        By: Marc Lawrence | playbook.com

        Florida's Ricky Nolasco is in excellent form and makes for a perfect underdog to follow this afternoon in Philadelphia. Go fishing with the Marlins today over the Phillies.

        The Florida Marlins wrap up a three-game visit to Philadelphia this afternoon when they send Ricky Nolasco to the mound against Brett Myers and the Phillies.

        Nolasco remains in terrific KW form with four walks and 63 strikeouts in his last eight starts (6-2 in those games). More importantly, he's also in commanding KW form on the road with six walks and 57 strikeouts in his last eight road outings (7-1 in those starts).

        With Myers just 6-14 in his 20 career team starts against the Fish, we'll back Nolasco and the Marlins here today.

        Free Pick: Marlins +143
        Comment
        • Willie Bee
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-14-06
          • 15726

          #5
          Play Pittsburgh Pirates and Houston Astros Over 9½

          Game Time: 09/10/2008 07:05 PM -
          By: Ross Benjamin | phoenixsports.com

          Pirates lefty Tom Gorzelanny has a 9.33 ERA on the road in 10 starts and the Astros' Brian Moehler has been hit hard by the Bucs. Play Houston and Pittsburgh Over.

          The Pittsburgh Pirates have gone under the total in just 25 of their 73 road games this season. In 10 starts on the road this season, Pittsburgh starter Tom Gorzelanny has posted a horrific 9.33 ERA.

          Gorzelanny has seen just two of his last 18 starts on the road go under the total. The Pittsburgh bullpen won’t be much help considering their cumulative 7.53 ERA in the last 10 games.

          Houston's Brian Moehler has posted a very lofty 9.72 ERA in two starts versus the Pirates this season. Only one of the last seven games at Houston between these two clubs has gone under the total. Play over the total on Wednesday.

          Free Pick: Pirates-Astros Over 9½ (-110)
          Comment
          • Willie Bee
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-14-06
            • 15726

            #6
            Myers, Phillies -150 vs. Marlins

            Game Time: 09/10/2008 04:05 PM -
            By: Jimmy the Moose | sportspic.com

            Philadelphia has won Brett Myers' last four starts with the righty allowing just two earned runs in his last 31 innings. Play the Phillies to upend the Florida Marlins on Wednesday.

            The Florida Marlins won last night but have still lost three of their last four games. The Marlins are 7-18 in their last 25 games vs. a right-handed starter. Florida is 2-4 in their last six road games and in their last six vs. a team with a winning record.

            Philadelphia has won six of their last eight home games. The Phillies have won Brett Myers' last four starts. Over his last three starts his ERA is 0.82.

            Florida is 8-16 in the last 24 meetings between the clubs. Both starting pitchers have been very good of late but give the nod in this one to the home team. Play on Philadelphia.

            Free Pick: Phillies -150
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              Yanks -110 to shell Moseley, Angels

              Game Time: 09/10/2008 03:35 PM -
              By: LT Profits Sports Group | who2beton.com

              The Angels are having a dream season, but Dustin Moseley has been a weak link whenever called upon to start. With Andy Pettitte owning a 3.68 ERA on the road, back the Bronx Bombers today.

              Now these teams are on the opposite side of the spectrum this season, with the New York Yankees about to miss the playoffs for the first time since 1994 and the Angels owning the best record in baseball, but this game looks like a pitching mismatch in favor of the Yankees.

              Dustin Moseley is a fill-in starter for the Angels, and he has been simply brutal in seven starts this season. Moseley is 1-4 with a ridiculously high 7.90 ERA and 1.92 WHIP, and he has yet to record a Quality Start. As bad a year as the Yankees are having, they are still potent offensively and should feast on Moseley here.

              Now Andy Pettitte is nowhere near the pitcher he used to be, but he still looks like a stud when compared to his mound opponent here. Pettitte has done his best pitching on the road, where he is 8-5 with a very nice 3.68 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, and he recorded a Quality Start in his only other start at Anaheim this season.

              Take the Yankees as modest chalk today.

              Free Pick: Yankees -110
              Comment
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