I Know Rays are Slumping and It's Dice-K, BUT>>>

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #36
    Originally posted by Wilforth
    That Kazmir has allowed 0 runs in his L2 is one reason not to play him today. The law of averages has a cynical way of working such that he may give away enough runs in his next 2 to "maintain" his ERA.
    I don't follow the "due" theory. Kazmir has some of the best stuff in the league, so his hot streak is more likely to continue than it is to end.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #37
      Originally posted by unde0087
      Kazmir has faced the Red Sox twice this season, 9 innings gave up 8 runs on 13 hits.
      That means absolutely nothing because his first start vs. Boston was also his first start of the season afrer missing the first month with an injury, so you can toss that start.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        Originally posted by AnotherLoan
        He is +155 for a reason. Rays have no offense without Crawford and Longoria and the Red Sox are only 10-1 in Matsuzaka's last 11 starts.
        True that Rays aren't scoring, but Sox won't score much here either, again making +155 valuable in a toss up situation.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #39
          Originally posted by stump
          I'm on the Rays as well. Too much value and you would think they will finally steal one in boston. Only thing that worries me is that Kazmir is a 5 inning pitcher and the bullpen late in games scares me
          Why? Tampa has the second best bullpen in AL.
          Comment
          • ryanXL977
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-24-08
            • 20615

            #40
            i can only assume he means percy, who does indeed suck lt
            Comment
            • unde0087
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-27-08
              • 28952

              #41
              My God Ryan, how does one post damn near 11,000 times in 3/4 of a year. I have seen people that have been members for 10 years have 1/3 of your posts. Do you have a life outside this site?
              Comment
              • ryanXL977
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-24-08
                • 20615

                #42
                i never understand how one dude can be so angry all the time, yet you are
                Comment
                • yisman
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-01-08
                  • 75682

                  #43
                  I'd take the Rays on the runline.

                  Kazmir is a better pitcher. The Red Sox have easily the better lineup right now, but take the runline with the better starter.
                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                  [/quote]

                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                  Comment
                  • unde0087
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-27-08
                    • 28952

                    #44
                    Originally posted by yisman
                    I'd take the Rays on the runline.

                    Kazmir is a better pitcher. The Red Sox have easily the better lineup right now, but take the runline with the better starter.

                    RL with a team that hasn't won a game this year at Fenway when they were playing well, and now I have seen everything. One of the best home teams in baseball and they have lost 4 starts total out of 25 by Matuzaka all season long. He is 12-2 at home and 8 out of those 12 have been winners on the RL.
                    Comment
                    • unde0087
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-27-08
                      • 28952

                      #45
                      Originally posted by ryanXL977
                      i never understand how one dude can be so angry all the time, yet you are

                      Not angry, just giving you a hint. You may talk to much.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        Originally posted by unde0087
                        they have lost 4 starts total out of 25 by Matuzaka all season long. He is 12-2 at home and 8 out of those 12 have been winners on the RL.
                        But this is one of the few times that he is not better than his mound opponent

                        As for you other points, they are exactly the reasons why this line is inflated to the point where I got +155 with the better starting pitcher. If they have this matchup 100 times, Kazmir will win around 40 times, maybe even 42 or 43. You do the math at +155.
                        Comment
                        • Fishhead
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-11-05
                          • 40179

                          #47
                          MATCHBOOK down to -145 on the game!!!!!
                          Comment
                          • yisman
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-01-08
                            • 75682

                            #48
                            Originally posted by unde0087
                            RL with a team that hasn't won a game this year at Fenway when they were playing well, and now I have seen everything.
                            We will see. I think the Rays will cover the runline.
                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                            [/quote]

                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                            Comment
                            • unde0087
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-27-08
                              • 28952

                              #49
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              But this is one of the few times that he is not better than his mound opponent

                              As for you other points, they are exactly the reasons why this line is inflated to the point where I got +155 with the better starting pitcher. If they have this matchup 100 times, Kazmir will win around 40 times, maybe even 42 or 43. You do the math at +155.

                              LT, look I actually respect what you say, but I just don't see it happening. We are in agreement about Kazmir is a great pitcher but Boston is just too good at home and I think we see them go 8-0 after tonight against the D'Rays. Kazmir hasn't shown me anything when pitching against Boston 1-4 last 5 outings at Fenway and 3 of those games were by 3 or more runs for Boston. I just think the way Tampa Bay is playing Boston will win this. Good Luck tonight on D'Rays, i am not personally on this one just the under. I think the only chance is Kazmir pitches a complete game shutout because if he is touched up at all Boston wins.
                              Comment
                              • BadBeatBodog
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-05-08
                                • 1006

                                #50
                                I think both SP are overrated, Dice-K more so than Kazmir, but Dice-K matches up against the Rays' lineup much better than Kazmir versus Boston's.
                                "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                Comment
                                • R3Sports
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-21-07
                                  • 3167

                                  #51
                                  LT Profits, I'm with you on this one!
                                  Comment
                                  • TheLock
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-06-08
                                    • 14427

                                    #52
                                    DRays FF @ +130 would be my play.
                                    Comment
                                    • R3Sports
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-21-07
                                      • 3167

                                      #53
                                      Down to +142 now.
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #54
                                        Well, no matter what happens, I got a great price. I see no higher that +143 right now, and as low as +135.
                                        Comment
                                        • R3Sports
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-21-07
                                          • 3167

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          Well, no matter what happens, I got a great price. I see no higher that +143 right now, and as low as +135.
                                          Yeah, you did. I might wait a little bit longer and see how it plays out.
                                          Comment
                                          • Fishhead
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-11-05
                                            • 40179

                                            #56
                                            Pinnacle and BetJamica just dropped below -150
                                            Comment
                                            • ryanXL977
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-24-08
                                              • 20615

                                              #57
                                              jesus the rays lineup is bad
                                              i jsut cant do it
                                              dan johsnon playing left

                                              christ
                                              Comment
                                              • BeatTheJerk
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-19-07
                                                • 31794

                                                #58
                                                damn ryan i just noticed your approaching 11,00 post and you signed up a week b4 marchof this year, your gonna eclipse everybody on this forum in quantity b4 we know it .....................
                                                Comment
                                                • gm2022
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-28-08
                                                  • 4128

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                  damn ryan i just noticed your approaching 11,00 post and you signed up a week b4 marchof this year, your gonna eclipse everybody on this forum in quantity b4 we know it .....................
                                                  Ryan is a baseball posting god
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ryanXL977
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 20615

                                                    #60
                                                    it takes about 5 seconds to type, with no caps, and no punctuation, a post
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cloak & Dagger
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                      • 4781

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                                      damn ryan i just noticed your approaching 11,00 post and you signed up a week b4 marchof this year, your gonna eclipse everybody on this forum in quantity b4 we know it .....................
                                                      quantity yes

                                                      content no

                                                      opinions mean NOTHING in this game unless you are laying some money down

                                                      and ryan dosent bet....and the picks he gives out are in the 5th inning

                                                      why dosent he have a spreadsheet??....this MLB capping "God"

                                                      dont want to show people your doggy is starving tonight??



                                                      anyhow....dicek owns TB...has like a 1.76ERA vs TB this year

                                                      Kazmir hasent gave up a run in two starts

                                                      TB cant score....Kaz should hold down Boston

                                                      why not just have a beer and go UNDER
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ryanXL977
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                        • 20615

                                                        #62
                                                        show me the games where i came in late
                                                        ive asked you this for a month
                                                        you have no one example
                                                        not a one

                                                        every day i make picks, everyone sees them, you are the only person who seems to hink i dont

                                                        i guess you are too busy smoking weed and making up stories about 911 sonspiracies
                                                        seriously dude, travel, meet people
                                                        lying is kinda lame
                                                        are you an adult?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cloak & Dagger
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-15-07
                                                          • 4781

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                          show me the games where i came in late
                                                          ive asked you this for a month
                                                          you have no one example
                                                          not a one

                                                          every day i make picks, everyone sees them, you are the only person who seems to hink i dont

                                                          i guess you are too busy smoking weed and making up stories about 911 sonspiracies
                                                          seriously dude, travel, meet people
                                                          lying is kinda lame
                                                          are you an adult?
                                                          spreadsheet to back these claims??












































































































































































                                                          *crickets*
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ryanXL977
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-24-08
                                                            • 20615

                                                            #64
                                                            kinda gay that you follow me around saying i come in late in games when i have never and would never do that

                                                            keep up stalking though, its a nice feelign to be so important that a 911 conspiracy theorist pothead follows me around with unverified lies, i like it
                                                            keep it up
                                                            Comment
                                                            • gm2022
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-28-08
                                                              • 4128

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                              kinda gay that you follow me around saying i come in late in games when i have never and would never do that

                                                              keep up stalking though, its a nice feelign to be so important that a 911 conspiracy theorist pothead follows me around with unverified lies, i like it
                                                              keep it up
                                                              Naw Ryan talks before during and after alot of baseball games. I will admit there is no proof he bets any games, but to justify that is there any proof any of us bet any games at all? Ryan has helped me out alot when it comes to MLB so no bad blood from me to him. Keep it up Ryan
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheLock
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-06-08
                                                                • 14427

                                                                #66
                                                                ryan has a lot of stalkers on this site.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ryanXL977
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-24-08
                                                                  • 20615

                                                                  #67
                                                                  i would never ever ever come in a game i ddint bet on and talk shit
                                                                  never have, never will
                                                                  the guy can say what he wants,iim here to win and help others, hopefully i have done that
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gm2022
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-28-08
                                                                    • 4128

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                                    i would never ever ever come in a game i ddint bet on and talk shit
                                                                    never have, never will
                                                                    the guy can say what he wants,iim here to win and help others, hopefully i have done that
                                                                    you have sir
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Cloak & Dagger
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                                      • 4781

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by gm2022
                                                                      Naw Ryan talks before during and after alot of baseball games. I will admit there is no proof he bets any games, but to justify that is there any proof any of us bet any games at all? Ryan has helped me out alot when it comes to MLB so no bad blood from me to him. Keep it up Ryan
                                                                      thats fine

                                                                      he is a monday morning quarterback and the only reason I know he exists is because he made it a point to chime in on my thread...in the 9th inning

                                                                      then he said "fade cloak" so I buried him last night....ill bury him again tonight

                                                                      and I have the SBR spreadsheet to back my claims

                                                                      all he has is a pic of a starving dog in his avatar and debts to fellow SBR posters....until he provides a spreadsheet tracking his plays

                                                                      his opinions are nothing to me....put the money down or shut up
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ryanXL977
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                                        • 20615

                                                                        #70
                                                                        find me one instance of me talking shit about a game i didnt pick either on my best bets or stretch run

                                                                        go ahead, until then, all you are doing is talking, you show no proof, you just talk , get high, and make up spurious lies about all sorts of things, thats your style, thats fine

                                                                        you buried me on az on sunday? or colts over? how so
                                                                        Comment
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