Dexter's 2012 MLB Plays

allabout the $$$ · 04-04-12, 04:41 PM

ed rapuano behind hp tonight

Dexter · 04-04-12, 05:18 PM

Wednesday 4/4:

(1u) Marlins -1.5/+120

Dexter · 04-04-12, 05:21 PM

I will not be able to post during the day tomorrow, but will be playing any A4's as noted in post 1 of this thread..**

A4: Playing the Over or Under per the below when these Umpires are behind home plate. Win rate for these Umpires has been 58% or > for 2010, and 2011.

Over Umpires: Sam Holbrook (2u), Kerwin Danley (2u), Scott Barry (2u), Tim Welke (2u), Mark Wegner (2u)
Under Umpires: Greg Gibson (4u), Lance Barksdale (2u), Doug Eddings (2u), Dan Iassogna (2u)

bmansell33 · 04-04-12, 05:40 PM

Who in here has followed dex the longest and knows these systems. Theres lots of plays but i want to follow someone who knows how dex would pick cause i wont be able to check myself

Dexter · 04-04-12, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by bmansell33

Who in here has followed dex the longest and knows these systems. Theres lots of plays but i want to follow someone who knows how dex would pick cause i wont be able to check myself

there are maybe 3 plays per day on average.....not clear what you're asking for?
you saying you dont have access to sbr in the day either?

Dexter · 04-04-12, 05:58 PM

so as an example, here are the umpires at HP and 1B tonight:

Umpires: HP: Ed Rapuano. 1B: Angel Hernandez.

So now we know that Angel Hernandez will be the HP umpire in tomorrows game. The 1B umpire is normally the HP umpire next game/same series. I would say this is accurate 95% of the time - if there are rainouts or doubleheaders, then its more like 50% accurate.

bmansell33 · 04-04-12, 05:58 PM

Since you won't be around to post tomorrow which posters know the system best and can post the plays. I'll be unable to check also so was curious if someone was going to

bmansell33 · 04-04-12, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

there are maybe 3 plays per day on average.....not clear what you're asking for?
you saying you dont have access to sbr in the day either?

Just don't have access to do the research I can view the plays and forums though

Dexter · 04-04-12, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by bmansell33

Since you won't be around to post tomorrow which posters know the system best and can post the plays. I'll be unable to check also so was curious if someone was going to

dont worry......someone will post it. AAT$ usually backs me up.

There are no A1, A2 or A3 plays for the first 3 weeks of the season - so only A4 needs to be checked into.

allabout the $$$ · 04-04-12, 06:17 PM

i should be in here to post up the umpires tomm then u just have to check if they are A4 umps or not they are in post 73 have some business i have to tend to tomm morning i should be back here by 12

bmansell33 · 04-04-12, 07:20 PM

Thanks dex

BiffTFinancial · 04-04-12, 08:58 PM

BOL this season, Dexter. your thread was a fountain of info and winners last year and i'm sure it will be again for 2012.

jturn49 · 04-05-12, 11:14 AM

Im happy to help with the umpires but I can't find them. I know you said on espn. does anyone know where to look

BiffTFinancial · 04-05-12, 11:39 AM

according to MLB.com:

Dale Scott behind the plate in Detroit
Gerry Davis in Flushing

jturn49 · 04-05-12, 11:55 AM

atl nym Gerry Davis home plate Eric Cooper 1st base

gushman · 04-05-12, 11:56 AM

I see dale scott as being behind the plate in the bos/det game on MLB.com with bill miller at 1B

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 11:58 AM

thanks guys biff has both right

(a4)tim welke hp in tor that is a 2u over

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 12:08 PM

brian gorman hp philly

BiffTFinancial · 04-05-12, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by allabout the $$$

thanks guys biff has both right

(a4)tim welke hp in tor that is a 2u over

allaboutthe$$$, you know your stuff so not doubting you, just want to confirm - that's Tim Welke in Cleveland? if so, that kills my plans to play the under as my POD. wind so strong in Cleveland that it shattered a door on our building. wind is brutal, but i don't think i can justify playing under with Welke behind the dish. thanks for sharing your insight and info - BOL to you.

edit: just tracked it down and of course you are right (as usual) - T Welke in Cleveland. bah. well, i'm guessing you just saved me 3 or 4 units.

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 12:21 PM

dana demuth hp cubs

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

allaboutthe$$$, you know your stuff so not doubting you, just want to confirm - that's Tim Welke in Cleveland? if so, that kills my plans to play the under as my POD. wind so strong in Cleveland that it shattered a door on our building. wind is brutal, but i don't think i can justify playing under with Welke behind the dish. thanks for sharing your insight and info - BOL to you.

positive mr biff well thats whats sports options tells me

BiffTFinancial · 04-05-12, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by allabout the $$$

positive mr biff well thats whats sports options tells me

thank you, never meant to doubt you, just wanted to be sure i was understanding you correctly.

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

thank you, never meant to doubt you, just wanted to be sure i was understanding you correctly.

no problem biff last year a few times they messed up gl to you this season and lets get that $$$$$$$

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 01:49 PM

tim mcclelland hp reds

bruloc · 04-05-12, 02:04 PM

Originally posted by allabout the $$$

tim mcclelland hp reds

Hey allabout, this messages that you are posting are Dexter's auto plays? If yes, can you post, for example, like that: CIN Reds Over (2u), etc, etc, to noobs like me understand?

Thank you.

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 02:58 PM

i did that on dexters auto play earlier i just put all of them out there for anyone else who follows other umps. i dont mind helping out the noobs

but he does have them posted on page 1 and also post 73 its not all that hard to look them up

r1kkie · 04-05-12, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by allabout the $$$

i did that on dexters auto play earlier i just put all of them out there for anyone else who follows other umps. i dont mind helping out the noobs

but he does have them posted on page 1 and also post 73 its not all that hard to look them up

Its much appreciated!

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 05:03 PM

gary darling hp sd

Atlfan12 · 04-05-12, 06:02 PM

I dont see Gary Darling on "over" "under" plays? are we taking sd straight up?

bmansell33 · 04-05-12, 06:13 PM

Unless stated as a 2u or anything its a no play. If the hp ump isnt on the list were not playing it....atleast to my knowledge

allabout the $$$ · 04-05-12, 06:27 PM

if you see just hp ump its not a play. some guys use the info for other purposes. i will put the units next to them when i post them you guys will only see all the umps on the 1st games of series

Dexter · 04-05-12, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

I will not be able to post during the day tomorrow, but will be playing any A4's as noted in post 1 of this thread..**

Thursday 4/5:

(2u) Over Bluejays/Indians 7 (A4_Welke)

Dexter · 04-05-12, 08:08 PM

so MLB.com and ESPN matched perfectly on the umpires. The only A4 1B umpire was Kerwin Danley, but the Cubs/Nats dont play till Saturday.

does anyone recall if that was accurate last season - that danley will be at hp even though there was a day off?

hey buddy · 04-05-12, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

so MLB.com and ESPN matched perfectly on the umpires. The only A4 1B umpire was Kerwin Danley, but the Cubs/Nats dont play till Saturday.

does anyone recall if that was accurate last season - that danley will be at hp even though there was a day off?

I am almost certain that is the case.

Dexter · 04-05-12, 11:25 PM

Friday 4/6:

(1u) Under Yankees/Rays 7