Saturday - Pair of 5's Sir

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 08:15 AM

Radar Screen

BAL returns to the contrarian radar for today's card. Last night's was due to the O's manager folding his hand in the early part of the game. The current line is again fishy. The big money will go to TAM after yesterday's slaughter. I will monitor as we approach gametime.

SlappyWhite · 08-30-08, 08:52 AM

I think you could be right, the pitching match up is about even, BOL to ya.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 09:04 AM

Originally posted by SlappyWhite

I think you could be right, the pitching match up is about even, BOL to ya.

Did you have the opportunity to see the game. I did, in the early innings. I then reviewed the condensed version of the game on MLB.com. O's manager was not interested in winning this game, he wanted to work his starting pitcher. Then late, need I say anymore.

First time on my thread, I believe. Have you been following along?

fifawcs · 08-30-08, 10:10 AM

I dunno about today. Chris Waters is pretty terrible. BOL though.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 11:48 AM

Radar Screen II

DET gets on the radar screen. Duckworth beat Rogers last time, so lets make DET -190. If that does not make a contrarian play and don't know what is. Laying big money on DET is essentially outrageous, but that's how we hit the favorite contrarian plays. The favorite contrarian play is 8-2 +5.19 units. This is a later game, so sit tight.

Your thoughts are most appreciated.

fifawcs · 08-30-08, 12:52 PM

If this were any other team, it would be a play. but the Tigers ahve given up on their season. There is no reason to ever lay that much chalk on them. The Royals have had their number all season and have had Roger's number. Rogers doesn't care, but Duckworth is looking to establish himself as a big league pitcher. So he will be giving his all.

ryanXL977 · 08-30-08, 12:55 PM

pai, why are you laing -190 on a worthless gutless team? they aint the bosox or the cubs

they are a shitty ass team with a 45 yr old starter
they may win, but there must be better bets

what do you think the line should be -250?

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

pai, why are you laing -190 on a worthless gutless team? they aint the bosox or the cubs

they are a shitty ass team with a 45 yr old starter
they may win, but there must be better bets

what do you think the line should be -250?

I hear you guys. I knew you guys would beat me up. Keep in mind, I said the game is on the radar screen, not a pick as yet. Furthermore, we all know that over the next few weeks, the issue of teams who have given up and packed it in, will undoubtedly be mentioned to death. If we establish that teams who don't have a shot, because their season is over, will leave you with favorite plays out the wazu.

Let's all take a breath, and stipulate, that each capper will know "They packed it in" angle. No need to point out the obvious! Contrarian indicators diverge from your thought process. However, I truly respect your point of view and looking forward to capping to the end of the season with the challenges mentioned.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 02:10 PM

Selection

We go back with BAL, after a betting loss last night, as the contrarian play. You can read my earlier post for further information.

BAL +172

See you at the window.

The Contrarian

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 04:25 PM

Selection II

After receiving harassment from the cappers of the world, I am posting DET -190 as the contrarian pick. Laying -190 on DET is freaking insane, you say. You say, Duckworth beat Rogers last time out, and DET is horrible and they make DET -190.

Precisely, the contrarian point of view I require.

I am going to the window early (Dinner Engagement). I will see you later for the late late games.

The Contrarian

ryanXL977 · 08-30-08, 04:46 PM

im just not sure why you would ever lay -190 on just about any game, in any sport, ever
especially baseball
though duckworth is god awful, i would guess det wins but i see no value in it
i mean, every single day there are -190s right?

gl contrarian

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

im just not sure why you would ever lay -190 on just about any game, in any sport, ever
especially baseball
though duckworth is god awful, i would guess det wins but i see no value in it
i mean, every single day there are -190s right?

gl contrarian

You have made yourself clear. I respect your point of view. I would love to hear from others on the issue.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 05:08 PM

Radar Screen III

TEX returns to the contrarian radar for this evening after posting a selection loss, last night. Statistical dominance goes to the Halos with a real fishy line. Line confirmation is established. I am waiting closer to gametime for a final decision.

Even Texas Tommy likes them

fifawcs · 08-30-08, 05:24 PM

I'm on KC.

TheLock · 08-30-08, 05:40 PM

crap its a tie game in Tampa

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

crap its a tie game in Tampa

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 06:30 PM

It's Official

BAL goes down to defeat in a high scoring game. Close but no cigar, and a loss is a loss.

Hunker down contrarios, DET is underway with additional selections in the wings.

BAL +172 (L)

TheLock · 08-30-08, 06:38 PM

about your pick

I needed that DRay win though pal.

Detroit is gonna pull it out and I think you'll have a positive night by the time it's all over.

With your poker skills pal, you've got no worries.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

about your pick

I needed that DRay win though pal.

Detroit is gonna pull it out and I think you'll have a positive night by the time it's all over.

With your poker skills pal, you've got no worries.

A still have some picks brewing. It's has been amazing that a majority of my loses have been close on these big dogs. But a loss is a loss, a one run loss or a ten run loss is the same. I feel confident in my contrarian selections with proper bankroll management.

Thanks for the support and the friendship.

fifawcs · 08-30-08, 07:16 PM

Duckworth is settling down. Wait for the Tigers pen to come in.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 07:43 PM

Selection III

TEX gets the contrarian play of the day, after selecting them last night in a loss.

TEX +158 is the contrarian play.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-30-08, 08:32 PM

Selection IV

SDG is the final pick of the day. With BAL losing, and DET on the way to defeat. We have two picks going late.

Go get SDG for the contrarian late play. Road bumps are good for cappers, it keeps you grounded.

SDG +137

TheLock · 08-30-08, 08:36 PM

why does the WSEX official site say "Greer" is pitching for the Padres and not Peavy?

ryanXL977 · 08-30-08, 08:37 PM

peavy is tmrw

TheLock · 08-30-08, 08:38 PM

SBR Odds says Peavy is going tonight

ryanXL977 · 08-30-08, 08:38 PM

nope
tmrw

TheLock · 08-30-08, 08:39 PM

08/3010:05 PCOL - U. JimenezSDG - J. Peavy

Kingctb27 · 08-30-08, 08:42 PM

SDG better get Mauled. Geer is pitching for them

ryanXL977 · 08-30-08, 08:45 PM

lock, its wrong
its not peavy

TheLock · 08-30-08, 08:46 PM

If Pair took it with "Peavy" listed, isn't his wager No Action?

TheLock · 08-30-08, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by ryanXL977

lock, its wrong
its not peavy

I understand what you're saying but what I posted was COPY and PASTED from SBR Odds for TONIGHTS GAME

ryanXL977 · 08-30-08, 08:51 PM

oh
well then lt will have to fix that one
or adhere to the line

Kingctb27 · 08-30-08, 11:53 PM

Fck fck fck. Thank god the Ducks look like they will cover. god damn it.

Pair of 5s Sir · 08-31-08, 05:04 AM

It's Official

Let's recap the day'

BAL +172 (L)
DET -190 (L)
TEX +158 (L)
SDG +137 (W)

1-3 -2.53 units Risked 4.90 units to win 5.67 units

Overall
22-22 50.00% +6.37 units

Favorite
8-3 72.73% +3.29 units

Dogs
14-19 42.42% +3.08 units

Pair of 5s has hit a rough patch in the road. I am still remaining focused on my criteria with long term return in mind. Nevertheless, looking forward to tomorrow.

I hope all my thread goers will hunker down and getm on Sunday.