I went 1-1 +1.00 Units Yesterday.
2*Reds -123
Pros: I think -123 is a bargain to lay on one of the top ERA pitchers in the league at home versus a start whose road numbers are pretty bad. Volquez is 6-1 with a 3.34 ERA in 11 starts at home, but that loss came in his most recent outing July 25. He won his only start against the Brewers on July 12, limiting them to two runs in seven innings of an 8-2 victory at Miller Park. Dave Bush has gone 0-1 with a 7.30 ERA in two starts since the All-Star break and was tagged for seven runs and five hits -- including three home runs -- in an 11-4 loss to the Cubs on Thursday. He lost to the Reds (52-61) on April 9, giving up five runs in 5 1-3 innings of a 12-4 loss. Bush has been terrible in his career at Cincinnati, going 0-2 with a 14.24 ERA in five starts, and is 1-3 with an 8.38 ERA in eight lifetime starts versus the Reds. Take the better starter and bullpen at home.
Cons: The Fielder-Parra scuffle could result in the Brew playing well.
1*Nationals +147
Pros: I figure that putting 1 unit on a great road pitcher versus a n atrocious home pitcher is worth it at this price. Lannan has posted the majors' fifth-best road ERA (2.57), but has received baseball's fourth-worst road run support average (3.04), leaving him 4-5 away from the nation's capital. I am hoping this trend will change as the "New Nationals" make their way onto Coor's field this evening. I'm hoping the younger players such as Emilio Bonifacio will outperform their veteran counterparts. Bonifacio went 3-for-5 with two runs scored and a RBI on Monday. Bonifacio has been a big part of Washington's winning streak, going 8-for-18 (.444) with two triples, two RBIs and four runs in four games since being called up from Triple-A Columbus.
Cons: the Nats are a terrible team.
2*Reds -123
Pros: I think -123 is a bargain to lay on one of the top ERA pitchers in the league at home versus a start whose road numbers are pretty bad. Volquez is 6-1 with a 3.34 ERA in 11 starts at home, but that loss came in his most recent outing July 25. He won his only start against the Brewers on July 12, limiting them to two runs in seven innings of an 8-2 victory at Miller Park. Dave Bush has gone 0-1 with a 7.30 ERA in two starts since the All-Star break and was tagged for seven runs and five hits -- including three home runs -- in an 11-4 loss to the Cubs on Thursday. He lost to the Reds (52-61) on April 9, giving up five runs in 5 1-3 innings of a 12-4 loss. Bush has been terrible in his career at Cincinnati, going 0-2 with a 14.24 ERA in five starts, and is 1-3 with an 8.38 ERA in eight lifetime starts versus the Reds. Take the better starter and bullpen at home.
Cons: The Fielder-Parra scuffle could result in the Brew playing well.
1*Nationals +147
Pros: I figure that putting 1 unit on a great road pitcher versus a n atrocious home pitcher is worth it at this price. Lannan has posted the majors' fifth-best road ERA (2.57), but has received baseball's fourth-worst road run support average (3.04), leaving him 4-5 away from the nation's capital. I am hoping this trend will change as the "New Nationals" make their way onto Coor's field this evening. I'm hoping the younger players such as Emilio Bonifacio will outperform their veteran counterparts. Bonifacio went 3-for-5 with two runs scored and a RBI on Monday. Bonifacio has been a big part of Washington's winning streak, going 8-for-18 (.444) with two triples, two RBIs and four runs in four games since being called up from Triple-A Columbus.
Cons: the Nats are a terrible team.