Monday Value plays

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  • fifawcs
    SBR MVP
    • 05-14-07
    • 2888

    #1
    Monday Value plays
    I went 0-2 Yesterday -2.00 units. I'm looking to reverse my recent misfortunes with conservative plays.

    2*Astros -135
    Pros: Roy Oswalt has been a disappointment this season. However, he has pitched well of late, compiling a 2-1 record with a 2.49 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 21 2-3 innings in four starts prior to getting hurt.

    What makes this the play of the day is Oswalt's very impressive career against the Cincinnati Reds. The eight-year veteran is 19-1 with a 2.46 ERA in 24 career games -- 22 starts -- against the Reds, his most wins against any opponent. He's been even better at home, going 9-0 with a 2.26 ERA in 12 appearances -- 11 starts -- versus Cincinnati.

    If this isn't enticing enough, let's look at the other side of the equation. Johnny Cueto is 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA over his last three starts despite totaling 22 strikeouts in 18 innings. Cueto didn't fare well in his only start against Houston on April 24, giving up five runs and eight hits in seven innings of a 5-3 loss.
    Cueto has also been unimpressive on the road this season with a 5.48 ERA and a .305 BAA.

    The Astros bat .276 at home, while the Reds bat .248 at home.

    Cons: None
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    But Oswalt is coming off the DL. He may not go far into the game and the Astros' bullpen is rubbish.
    Comment
    • fifawcs
      SBR MVP
      • 05-14-07
      • 2888

      #3
      The way I see it, the Reds have a 20-31 road record. The Astros pen is bad, but there are a few guys who can get outs.
      Comment
      • johnnymapalo
        SBR MVP
        • 06-14-08
        • 2999

        #4
        I think pounding the overs is the best bet for this game. over 8 or 8.5 is good...
        Comment
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