Wrong team is favored tonight in Chicago

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #1
    Wrong team is favored tonight in Chicago
    I know Soriano isn't playing tonight, but that might actually help the Cubs since he was only hitting .166 in his last 8 games, and with no home runs.

    The Cubs haven't performed well in the third game of a series this year, going 13-23 while the Cards have gone 22-16. The Cubs are 6-20 in their last 26 Sunday games. Now, these stats are the only reason I can see why the Cards are favored, because nothing else makes sense.

    The Cubs' Lopez has an ERA of 1.12 in his last four home starts. The Cubs are averaging 5 runs per game in their last 7 home games, compared to the Cards' 3.8. Cubs bullpen is 2.59 in the last 10 games.

    I'm backing the Cubs at +128 to get a primetime sweep, and the game will go over 8.5 (which will be added to my totals system thread, which is currently 6-3 with one game pending)
  • chantrain
    SBR MVP
    • 03-14-11
    • 3244

    #2
    I'm on it, let's get this
    Comment
    • Ca$hfloW
      SBR MVP
      • 10-16-09
      • 1196

      #3
      Alright I'm in, let's go cubs and over
      Comment
      • warriorfan707
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-29-08
        • 13698

        #4
        Gl guys I like it
        Comment
        • ebbearsfb1
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-07-08
          • 18815

          #5
          Like it hope they get a lead so I can live bet
          Comment
          • BernardMadoff
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-12-09
            • 6679

            #6
            Cubs lineup pretty weak, cant really see Cards losing tonight.
            Comment
            • TPA
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-19-11
              • 177

              #7
              Lopez is throwing BP!
              Comment
              • ebbearsfb1
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-07-08
                • 18815

                #8
                Was hoping cubs score first so I could live bet cards as a dog... guess not
                Comment
                • mngambler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-11
                  • 2890

                  #9
                  lets roll Cards
                  Comment
                  • LockPickMaster
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-15-09
                    • 1943

                    #10
                    Over Grover
                    Comment
                    • SOUP
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-02-09
                      • 1325

                      #11
                      Pujols thinking hes Juan Pierre haha.
                      Comment
                      • BugsBunnyAUS
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-17-11
                        • 119

                        #12
                        Lopez is a ******* mug. Bad mistake I took the cubs.
                        Comment
                        • chantrain
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-14-11
                          • 3244

                          #13
                          yeah, lopez is getting rocked. He's lucky he only gave up 2 so far
                          Comment
                          • Thurgood
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-17-11
                            • 767

                            #14
                            Originally posted by mngambler
                            lets roll Cards
                            My man!!!
                            Comment
                            • ebbearsfb1
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-07-08
                              • 18815

                              #15
                              looks like right team was favorite... cubs are throwing a pitching machine
                              Comment
                              • Machine Choice
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-12-08
                                • 3997

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                looks like right team was favorite... cubs are throwing a pitching machine
                                I knew Lopez wouldn't be pitching a shutout tonight, LOL. That's why I also mentioned the over. If the Cubs stay close, they pull it out in the end.

                                Westbrook is a threat to come unhinged and give up a 3-run inning at any moment.
                                Comment
                                • jboy4
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-18-10
                                  • 1950

                                  #17
                                  Cubs need to get it going
                                  Comment
                                  • SOUP
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-02-09
                                    • 1325

                                    #18
                                    Yadier what a beast!
                                    Comment
                                    • starfire
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 17045

                                      #19
                                      Lopez is a Joke
                                      Comment
                                      • ebbearsfb1
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-07-08
                                        • 18815

                                        #20
                                        I have no luck with the cubs... bet em they suck fade em they suck... **** all my profit for the day gone between these night games
                                        Comment
                                        • Machine Choice
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-12-08
                                          • 3997

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                          I have no luck with the cubs... bet em they suck fade em they suck... **** all my profit for the day gone between these night games
                                          The Cubs still have 12 outs to make up four runs. I've heard of that happening before. Let the game play out.

                                          Either way, it looks like the over will cash so there's no way this game can hurt too much.
                                          Comment
                                          • yisman
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-01-08
                                            • 75682

                                            #22
                                            Lopez is really lousy. Add to that St. Louis's superior supporting cast and the right team was favored.
                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                            [/quote]

                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                            Comment
                                            • Machine Choice
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-12-08
                                              • 3997

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by yisman
                                              Lopez is really lousy. Add to that St. Louis's superior supporting cast and the right team was favored.
                                              Lopez was really lousy....tonight. Prior to tonight, he had only given up 3 earned runs in 11 innings and had won his last three home starts. I stand by my analysis. Take off the hindsight glasses.
                                              Comment
                                              • warriorfan707
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-29-08
                                                • 13698

                                                #24
                                                Cubs are getting raped tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • yisman
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                  • 75682

                                                  #25
                                                  machine choice, I bet the cards, so there's no hindsight glasses. Lopez has been and still is a lousy pitcher.
                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                  [/quote]

                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Machine Choice
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-12-08
                                                    • 3997

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by yisman
                                                    Lopez has been and still is a lousy pitcher.
                                                    Yet he has a lower ERA, WHIP and winning % than the guy you backed tonight. Regardless, you won a bet and that's all that matters. Good job
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mngambler
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-01-11
                                                      • 2890

                                                      #27
                                                      only had 1/2u on cards -1 but a win is a win...4-1 on the day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yisman
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                        • 75682

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                                        Yet he has a lower ERA, WHIP and winning % than the guy you backed tonight. Regardless, you won a bet and that's all that matters. Good job
                                                        You just said he has a lower winning %.

                                                        I'm aware of the stats, and I'm also aware of something called sample size.

                                                        I'll take Westbrook over Lopez any day of the week.

                                                        Even if you want to argue they're even, the Cardinals have an easily better lineup.
                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                        [/quote]

                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • warriorfan707
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-29-08
                                                          • 13698

                                                          #29
                                                          Betting on the Cubs in any spot at anytime is asking for trouble
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chantrain
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-14-11
                                                            • 3244

                                                            #30
                                                            well, that sucked. I knew backing Lopez was a bad idea.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDofBA
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-30-09
                                                              • 19313

                                                              #31
                                                              How was the wrong side favored?

                                                              Cards are way more talented. The Cubs should never be favored over the Cards this year.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • warriorfan707
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-29-08
                                                                • 13698

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                How was the wrong side favored?

                                                                Cards are way more talented. The Cubs should never be favored over the Cards this year.
                                                                He was implying that he thought the Cubs are going to win the ballgame

                                                                Unfortunately for Cubs backers tonight reality has a funny way of appearing at times
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDofBA
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                                  • 19313

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by warriorfan707
                                                                  He was implying that he thought the Cubs are going to win the game
                                                                  Thinking a team is going to win and thinking they should be favored are two different things.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • warriorfan707
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-29-08
                                                                    • 13698

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                    Thinking a team is going to win and thinking they should be favored are two different things.
                                                                    Ordinarily yes, but not for everyone
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jboy4
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-18-10
                                                                      • 1950

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Cubs looked like shit tonight..
                                                                      Comment
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