I have a totals system that is 6-1 so far....

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  • Blue_Chips
    Restricted User
    • 08-20-10
    • 1775

    #141
    Man! It was better the other way. Yesterday was just a losing day. Stick with what has been working for you...or else you lose your mojo.

    Comment
    • Machine Choice
      SBR MVP
      • 12-12-08
      • 3997

      #142
      Originally posted by Machine Choice
      Projected Scores 8/28/11

      Reds 4
      Nationals 2

      Brewers 5
      Cubs 3

      Tigers 8
      Twins 1

      Pirates 5
      Cardinals 4

      Giants pk
      Astros pk
      total runs: 5.53 (round up to 6)

      Diamonds 3
      Padres 2

      Angels 7
      Rangers 3
      Blue Chips: I think this format above is alot easier to follow and removes all confusion. So far these projections -- if I had posted all of them since Day 1 -- have gone 20-10 in totals since Aug 21 (the final version of the spreadsheet) and 17-14 on the moneyline. Over a sample size of 61 plays that is a combined record of 37-24 for a 61% hit rate.

      Basically, I just need to stay out of the way and post the score projections. It will do all the work.
      Comment
      • Machine Choice
        SBR MVP
        • 12-12-08
        • 3997

        #143
        Originally posted by Machine Choice
        Projected Scores 8/28/11

        Reds 4
        Nationals 2

        Brewers 5
        Cubs 3

        Tigers 8
        Twins 1

        Pirates 5
        Cardinals 4

        Giants pk
        Astros pk
        total runs: 5.53 (round up to 6)

        Diamonds 3
        Padres 2

        Angels 7
        Rangers 3
        Sunday recap:

        Totals: 4-3 (should have been 5-2 but SFO went extra innings)
        Moneyline: 3-3
        Overall: 7-6

        TOTALS SYSTEM: 21-16

        MLB Overall: 27-24
        Comment
        • Machine Choice
          SBR MVP
          • 12-12-08
          • 3997

          #144
          Just grinding out a profit in MLB "garbage time" (Aug/Sep) until the playoffs, football and then the ultimate: College Hoops
          Comment
          • shopbar picks
            SBR MVP
            • 12-08-10
            • 2157

            #145
            nice call on tex/laa over thanx
            Comment
            • Machine Choice
              SBR MVP
              • 12-12-08
              • 3997

              #146
              Projected Scores Mon 8/29/11

              Rays 4
              Jays 3

              Phillies 7
              Reds 4

              Mariners pk
              Angels pk
              Total runs: 13.76 (round up to 14)

              Giants pk (lean to Giants)
              Cubs pk
              total runs: 4.11 (round down to 4)

              Dodgers 4
              Padres 2

              Happy Monday!
              Comment
              • Donnie Brasco
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-04-11
                • 862

                #147
                Interesting to see the projected offense in seattle/LAa
                Comment
                • bulichme
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-14-10
                  • 216

                  #148
                  Go philly.
                  Comment
                  • Machine Choice
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-12-08
                    • 3997

                    #149
                    edited in the LAD game
                    Comment
                    • Donnie Brasco
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-04-11
                      • 862

                      #150
                      Pinny juicing the over in LAD pretty heavy at 5.5, looks like going to 6
                      Comment
                      • Goodluck
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 07-23-10
                        • 167

                        #151
                        Originally posted by Machine Choice
                        Projected Scores Mon 8/29/11

                        Rays 4
                        Jays 3

                        Phillies 7
                        Reds 4

                        Mariners pk
                        Angels pk
                        Total runs: 13.76 (round up to 14)

                        Giants pk (lean to Giants)
                        Cubs pk
                        total runs: 4.11 (round down to 4)

                        Dodgers 4
                        Padres 2

                        Happy Monday!
                        Hey machine, been trailing your picks lately, keep up the good work!

                        With this new projected method you post, do you play both the ML and Totals for these games? ie: LAD and UNDER for tonight?
                        Comment
                        • Machine Choice
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-12-08
                          • 3997

                          #152
                          Originally posted by Goodluck
                          Hey machine, been trailing your picks lately, keep up the good work!

                          With this new projected method you post, do you play both the ML and Totals for these games? ie: LAD and UNDER for tonight?
                          I never personally make a play on juice higher than -139 unless it is in a parlay with something else I love.

                          Today my only play is Angels/Mariners over 8. Simply because I think it's the strongest play. That doesn't mean it's the only good play out of the ones I posted, it just means that I think it is the strongest. Under new bankroll management approach, I am trying to stick to making only 1 play per day. Yesterday, if I had done that I could have slept on profit (cashed D'backs under), but I decided to also play the Angels ML even though I graded that as the second strongest play on the day. I won't make that mistake again. Now it's one play per day, the strongest one.
                          Comment
                          • jphil
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-12-09
                            • 757

                            #153
                            Originally posted by Machine Choice
                            I never personally make a play on juice higher than -139 unless it is in a parlay with something else I love.

                            Today my only play is Angels/Mariners over 8. Simply because I think it's the strongest play. That doesn't mean it's the only good play out of the ones I posted, it just means that I think it is the strongest. Under new bankroll management approach, I am trying to stick to making only 1 play per day. Yesterday, if I had done that I could have slept on profit (cashed D'backs under), but I decided to also play the Angels ML even though I graded that as the second strongest play on the day. I won't make that mistake again. Now it's one play per day, the strongest one.

                            machine, so will ya be mentioning that 1 a day play in a separate post as above, or in your projected scores list?
                            Comment
                            • shopbar picks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-08-10
                              • 2157

                              #154
                              Laa/Sea was a good call
                              Comment
                              • Machine Choice
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-12-08
                                • 3997

                                #155
                                Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                Projected Scores Mon 8/29/11

                                Rays 4
                                Jays 3

                                Phillies 7
                                Reds 4

                                Mariners pk
                                Angels pk
                                Total runs: 13.76 (round up to 14)

                                Giants pk (lean to Giants)
                                Cubs pk
                                total runs: 4.11 (round down to 4)

                                Dodgers 4
                                Padres 2

                                Happy Monday!
                                Monday recap:

                                Moneyline: 2-1
                                Totals: 0-3
                                Overall: 2-4

                                TOTALS SYSTEM: 21-19
                                OVERALL: 29-28
                                Comment
                                • Machine Choice
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-12-08
                                  • 3997

                                  #156
                                  Projected Scores 8/30/11

                                  Tigers 7
                                  Royals 4

                                  Braves 4
                                  Nationals 3

                                  Mets pk
                                  Marlins pk
                                  Total runs: 6.62 (round to 7)

                                  Brewers pk
                                  Cardinals pk
                                  Total runs: 7.72 (round to 8)

                                  Dodgers 7
                                  Padres 2

                                  Cubs 3
                                  Giants 2

                                  Red Sox ML
                                  No total (Jeter, A-rod status)

                                  Phillies ML
                                  No total (Ramon Hernandez status)

                                  Best Bet: Dodgers (1/3 of wager on RL, 2/3 on ML)
                                  Comment
                                  • G's pks
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-01-09
                                    • 22251

                                    #157
                                    Machine sbr should pay you...win or lose you are the kind of poster sbr needs...I am always drawn to your thread and hopefully this is a successful year for you...

                                    Try to make it thru the year...and football is always fun and crazy...
                                    Comment
                                    • SteelerNation704
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 09-05-10
                                      • 107

                                      #158
                                      8 run second inning!! Looking good early.
                                      Comment
                                      • Machine Choice
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-12-08
                                        • 3997

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                        Projected Scores 8/30/11

                                        Tigers 7
                                        Royals 4

                                        Braves 4
                                        Nationals 3

                                        Mets pk
                                        Marlins pk
                                        Total runs: 6.62 (round to 7)

                                        Brewers pk
                                        Cardinals pk
                                        Total runs: 7.72 (round to 8)

                                        Dodgers 7
                                        Padres 2

                                        Cubs 3
                                        Giants 2

                                        Red Sox ML
                                        No total (Jeter, A-rod status)

                                        Phillies ML
                                        No total (Ramon Hernandez status)

                                        Best Bet: Dodgers (1/3 of wager on RL, 2/3 on ML)
                                        Tuesday recap:

                                        Moneyline: 4-2
                                        Totals: 3-3
                                        Best Bet: winner
                                        Overall: 7-5

                                        TOTALS SYSTEM: 24-22
                                        MLB OVERALL: 36-33
                                        Comment
                                        • shopbar picks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-08-10
                                          • 2157

                                          #160
                                          nice call on the dodgers thanx . 8 runs in the 2nd to cover 6.5
                                          Comment
                                          • Machine Choice
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-12-08
                                            • 3997

                                            #161
                                            8/31/11

                                            Braves/Nats under 8.5
                                            Comment
                                            • Blue_Chips
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-20-10
                                              • 1775

                                              #162
                                              Damnit! I was leaning on the opposite. Do you have a play on the over tonight?

                                              Good luck with your play.
                                              Comment
                                              • Machine Choice
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-12-08
                                                • 3997

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                                8/31/11

                                                Braves/Nats under 8.5


                                                added play: Diamondbacks (1/3 of wager on RL, 2/3 of wager on ML)
                                                Comment
                                                • Machine Choice
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-12-08
                                                  • 3997

                                                  #164
                                                  Tulowitzki is not in the line-up. Collmenter has a 1.77 ERA in his last four starts.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SilverTongueFox
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-23-10
                                                    • 2338

                                                    #165
                                                    Thanks for the plays 3-0 on posted plays today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Machine Choice
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-12-08
                                                      • 3997

                                                      #166
                                                      Wednesday recap:

                                                      Totals: 1-0
                                                      Moneyline: 1-0
                                                      Overall: 2-0

                                                      TOTALS SYSTEM: 25-22
                                                      MLB OVERALL: 38-33
                                                      Comment
                                                      • figue
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-23-10
                                                        • 2524

                                                        #167
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SilverTongueFox
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-23-10
                                                          • 2338

                                                          #168
                                                          Machine - shouldn't you update your record today to:
                                                          Totals: 1-0
                                                          Moneyline: 1-0
                                                          Runline: 1-0
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Machine Choice
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-12-08
                                                            • 3997

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                                            Machine - shouldn't you update your record today to:
                                                            Totals: 1-0
                                                            Moneyline: 1-0
                                                            Runline: 1-0
                                                            When the moneyline for a play that I like is listed at greater than -139 juice, I cut that juice by placing 1/3 of my wager on the runline and 2/3 of my wager on the ML. This in effect creates a -1 line. If the runline does win, I get a pretty good payout. If only the ML wins, I make enough to cover the runline loss, sort of like a push but slightly better.

                                                            Therefore, since this is not a true runline play, I don't post it as such.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SBRMAN23
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-07-11
                                                              • 6906

                                                              #170
                                                              Thanks for the explanation nice job yesterday
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Machine Choice
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-12-08
                                                                • 3997

                                                                #171
                                                                9/1/11 Projected Scores

                                                                Indians 5
                                                                A's 3

                                                                Phillies 5
                                                                Reds 4

                                                                Red Sox 12
                                                                Yankees 4

                                                                Rays 6
                                                                Rangers 3

                                                                Angels 6
                                                                Mariners 2

                                                                Best Bet: Red Sox (place 59% of the wager on the ML, 41% on the RL...cuts the juice to -139)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Blue_Chips
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-20-10
                                                                  • 1775

                                                                  #172
                                                                  KC / Det total? Can you help with your thoughts on this?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mngambler
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-01-11
                                                                    • 2890

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by Machine Choice
                                                                    9/1/11 Projected Scores

                                                                    Indians 5
                                                                    A's 3

                                                                    Phillies 5
                                                                    Reds 4

                                                                    Red Sox 12
                                                                    Yankees 4

                                                                    Rays 6
                                                                    Rangers 3

                                                                    Angels 6
                                                                    Mariners 2

                                                                    Best Bet: Red Sox (place 59% of the wager on the ML, 41% on the RL...cuts the juice to -139)


                                                                    looks good, I was thinking about taking LAA TT 4.5 for even....gotta fade Scrubbrush
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • carpetman45895
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 07-26-11
                                                                      • 2

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Theirs better picks then this site trust me.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Blue_Chips
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 08-20-10
                                                                        • 1775

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by carpetman45895
                                                                        Theirs better picks then this site trust me.
                                                                        Where? Don't talk about it. Be about it.
                                                                        Comment
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