Man! It was better the other way. Yesterday was just a losing day. Stick with what has been working for you...or else you lose your mojo.
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#142
Originally posted by Machine Choice
Projected Scores 8/28/11
Reds 4
Nationals 2
Brewers 5
Cubs 3
Tigers 8
Twins 1
Pirates 5
Cardinals 4
Giants pk
Astros pk
total runs: 5.53 (round up to 6)
Diamonds 3
Padres 2
Angels 7
Rangers 3
Blue Chips: I think this format above is alot easier to follow and removes all confusion. So far these projections -- if I had posted all of them since Day 1 -- have gone 20-10 in totals since Aug 21 (the final version of the spreadsheet) and 17-14 on the moneyline. Over a sample size of 61 plays that is a combined record of 37-24 for a 61% hit rate.
Basically, I just need to stay out of the way and post the score projections. It will do all the work.
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#143
Originally posted by Machine Choice
Projected Scores 8/28/11
Reds 4
Nationals 2
Brewers 5
Cubs 3
Tigers 8
Twins 1
Pirates 5
Cardinals 4
Giants pk
Astros pk
total runs: 5.53 (round up to 6)
Diamonds 3
Padres 2
Angels 7
Rangers 3
Sunday recap:
Totals: 4-3 (should have been 5-2 but SFO went extra innings)
Moneyline: 3-3
Overall: 7-6
TOTALS SYSTEM: 21-16
MLB Overall: 27-24
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#144
Just grinding out a profit in MLB "garbage time" (Aug/Sep) until the playoffs, football and then the ultimate: College Hoops
Comment
shopbar picks
SBR MVP
12-08-10
2157
#145
nice call on tex/laa over thanx
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#146
Projected Scores Mon 8/29/11
Rays 4
Jays 3
Phillies 7
Reds 4
Mariners pk
Angels pk
Total runs: 13.76 (round up to 14)
Giants pk (lean to Giants)
Cubs pk
total runs: 4.11 (round down to 4)
Dodgers 4
Padres 2
Happy Monday!
Comment
Donnie Brasco
SBR Wise Guy
01-04-11
862
#147
Interesting to see the projected offense in seattle/LAa
Comment
bulichme
Restricted User
12-14-10
216
#148
Go philly.
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#149
edited in the LAD game
Comment
Donnie Brasco
SBR Wise Guy
01-04-11
862
#150
Pinny juicing the over in LAD pretty heavy at 5.5, looks like going to 6
Comment
Goodluck
SBR High Roller
07-23-10
167
#151
Originally posted by Machine Choice
Projected Scores Mon 8/29/11
Rays 4
Jays 3
Phillies 7
Reds 4
Mariners pk
Angels pk
Total runs: 13.76 (round up to 14)
Giants pk (lean to Giants)
Cubs pk
total runs: 4.11 (round down to 4)
Dodgers 4
Padres 2
Happy Monday!
Hey machine, been trailing your picks lately, keep up the good work!
With this new projected method you post, do you play both the ML and Totals for these games? ie: LAD and UNDER for tonight?
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#152
Originally posted by Goodluck
Hey machine, been trailing your picks lately, keep up the good work!
With this new projected method you post, do you play both the ML and Totals for these games? ie: LAD and UNDER for tonight?
I never personally make a play on juice higher than -139 unless it is in a parlay with something else I love.
Today my only play is Angels/Mariners over 8. Simply because I think it's the strongest play. That doesn't mean it's the only good play out of the ones I posted, it just means that I think it is the strongest. Under new bankroll management approach, I am trying to stick to making only 1 play per day. Yesterday, if I had done that I could have slept on profit (cashed D'backs under), but I decided to also play the Angels ML even though I graded that as the second strongest play on the day. I won't make that mistake again. Now it's one play per day, the strongest one.
Comment
jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#153
Originally posted by Machine Choice
I never personally make a play on juice higher than -139 unless it is in a parlay with something else I love.
Today my only play is Angels/Mariners over 8. Simply because I think it's the strongest play. That doesn't mean it's the only good play out of the ones I posted, it just means that I think it is the strongest. Under new bankroll management approach, I am trying to stick to making only 1 play per day. Yesterday, if I had done that I could have slept on profit (cashed D'backs under), but I decided to also play the Angels ML even though I graded that as the second strongest play on the day. I won't make that mistake again. Now it's one play per day, the strongest one.
machine, so will ya be mentioning that 1 a day play in a separate post as above, or in your projected scores list?
Comment
shopbar picks
SBR MVP
12-08-10
2157
#154
Laa/Sea was a good call
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#155
Originally posted by Machine Choice
Projected Scores Mon 8/29/11
Rays 4
Jays 3
Phillies 7
Reds 4
Mariners pk
Angels pk
Total runs: 13.76 (round up to 14)
Giants pk (lean to Giants)
Cubs pk
total runs: 4.11 (round down to 4)
Dodgers 4
Padres 2
Happy Monday!
Monday recap:
Moneyline: 2-1
Totals: 0-3
Overall: 2-4
TOTALS SYSTEM: 21-19 OVERALL: 29-28
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#156
Projected Scores 8/30/11
Tigers 7
Royals 4
Braves 4
Nationals 3
Mets pk
Marlins pk
Total runs: 6.62 (round to 7)
Brewers pk
Cardinals pk
Total runs: 7.72 (round to 8)
Dodgers 7
Padres 2
Cubs 3
Giants 2
Red Sox ML
No total (Jeter, A-rod status)
Phillies ML
No total (Ramon Hernandez status)
Best Bet: Dodgers (1/3 of wager on RL, 2/3 on ML)
Comment
G's pks
Restricted User
01-01-09
22251
#157
Machine sbr should pay you...win or lose you are the kind of poster sbr needs...I am always drawn to your thread and hopefully this is a successful year for you...
Try to make it thru the year...and football is always fun and crazy...
Comment
SteelerNation704
SBR High Roller
09-05-10
107
#158
8 run second inning!! Looking good early.
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#159
Originally posted by Machine Choice
Projected Scores 8/30/11
Tigers 7
Royals 4
Braves 4
Nationals 3
Mets pk
Marlins pk
Total runs: 6.62 (round to 7)
Brewers pk
Cardinals pk
Total runs: 7.72 (round to 8)
Dodgers 7
Padres 2
Cubs 3
Giants 2
Red Sox ML
No total (Jeter, A-rod status)
Phillies ML
No total (Ramon Hernandez status)
Best Bet: Dodgers (1/3 of wager on RL, 2/3 on ML)
Tuesday recap:
Moneyline: 4-2
Totals: 3-3
Best Bet: winner
Overall: 7-5
TOTALS SYSTEM: 24-22 MLB OVERALL: 36-33
Comment
shopbar picks
SBR MVP
12-08-10
2157
#160
nice call on the dodgers thanx . 8 runs in the 2nd to cover 6.5
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#161
8/31/11
Braves/Nats under 8.5
Comment
Blue_Chips
Restricted User
08-20-10
1775
#162
Damnit! I was leaning on the opposite. Do you have a play on the over tonight?
Good luck with your play.
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#163
Originally posted by Machine Choice
8/31/11
Braves/Nats under 8.5
added play: Diamondbacks (1/3 of wager on RL, 2/3 of wager on ML)
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#164
Tulowitzki is not in the line-up. Collmenter has a 1.77 ERA in his last four starts.
Comment
SilverTongueFox
SBR MVP
11-23-10
2338
#165
Thanks for the plays 3-0 on posted plays today.
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#166
Wednesday recap:
Totals: 1-0
Moneyline: 1-0 Overall: 2-0
TOTALS SYSTEM: 25-22
MLB OVERALL: 38-33
Comment
figue
SBR MVP
07-23-10
2524
#167
Comment
SilverTongueFox
SBR MVP
11-23-10
2338
#168
Machine - shouldn't you update your record today to:
Totals: 1-0
Moneyline: 1-0
Runline: 1-0
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#169
Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
Machine - shouldn't you update your record today to:
Totals: 1-0
Moneyline: 1-0
Runline: 1-0
When the moneyline for a play that I like is listed at greater than -139 juice, I cut that juice by placing 1/3 of my wager on the runline and 2/3 of my wager on the ML. This in effect creates a -1 line. If the runline does win, I get a pretty good payout. If only the ML wins, I make enough to cover the runline loss, sort of like a push but slightly better.
Therefore, since this is not a true runline play, I don't post it as such.
Comment
SBRMAN23
SBR Hall of Famer
01-07-11
6906
#170
Thanks for the explanation nice job yesterday
Comment
Machine Choice
SBR MVP
12-12-08
3997
#171
9/1/11 Projected Scores
Indians 5
A's 3
Phillies 5
Reds 4
Red Sox 12
Yankees 4
Rays 6
Rangers 3
Angels 6
Mariners 2
Best Bet: Red Sox (place 59% of the wager on the ML, 41% on the RL...cuts the juice to -139)
Comment
Blue_Chips
Restricted User
08-20-10
1775
#172
KC / Det total? Can you help with your thoughts on this?
Comment
mngambler
SBR MVP
08-01-11
2890
#173
Originally posted by Machine Choice
9/1/11 Projected Scores
Indians 5
A's 3
Phillies 5
Reds 4
Red Sox 12
Yankees 4
Rays 6
Rangers 3
Angels 6
Mariners 2
Best Bet: Red Sox (place 59% of the wager on the ML, 41% on the RL...cuts the juice to -139)
looks good, I was thinking about taking LAA TT 4.5 for even....gotta fade Scrubbrush