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  • Clueless_Norway
    SBR MVP
    • 04-13-08
    • 1136

    #1
    K betting thread
    1 units is $100 using Diamond and Bet365:

    Only two plays today so I gonna go big:

    Braves (+106) 10 units Bet365
    D'Backs/Red Sox u8½ (-125) 7.14 units Bet365
    Brewers/Braves u8 (+110) 3 units Bet365
    Braves RL (+200) 4.5 units Diamond (I think that Braves win and most of the games are decited by more than 1 run so... just for fun)
    Grand Salami u42 (-120) 3 units Diamond (every game should go under except the Royals that can go either way)

    Braves: Reyes have been good lately after a rough start. He got a 4.05 ERA overall this season, but in his L3 he got a great 2.82 ERA with 1.12 WHIP in 22.1 innings. In his last start Reyes allowed 2 runs, but only 1 earned on five hits for the second straight start inn 7 innings of work. He struck out three and walked four, one of which led to his only earned run of the night. Reyes lost against the Brewers earlier this season, on May 28, despite allowing just one run on two hits in seven innings. He also struck out a career-high nine in that game.

    Sheets didn't have his best stuff last time out, but still was able to claim a victory as his teammates provided enough run support to give the Brewers a 5-4 win. Sheets walked four batters for the first time in nine starts, but won his fourth straight decision by limiting the Blue Jays to two runs over six innings of work. Closer Salomon Torres came in to work out of a jam and record the last five outs for the save, giving Sheets his team-high eighth win. This is the second time Sheets havn't preformed his best stuff in a row and on the road against a good home team in Braves and a hot Teixeira he might struggle, but who know.

    Reyes is 0-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two career starts against the Brewers. He held them to one run and two hits while striking out nine in seven innings on May 28, but didn't get any help from his offense in a 1-0 loss.
    The Braves lost the first two games of that three-game set in Milwaukee by one run apiece, but won the finale 8-1 behind four RBIs from Teixeira, a career .323 hitter (10-for-31) against the Brewers.

    Milwaukee also got a multihomer game from its first baseman Sunday, when Prince Fielder went deep in the sixth and seventh innings of a 7-3 victory over Baltimore - the Brewers' sixth win in seven games.
    Fielder is 15-for-37 (.405) with six homers, nine RBIs and 12 runs scored in his last 10 games.
    Fielder, though, is 0-for-5 with two strikeouts lifetime against Braves starter Jo-Jo Reyes (3-4, 4.05), who has delivered back-to-back quality starts. The left-hander held Texas to two runs - one earned - and five hits in seven innings of Atlanta's 5-2 win Wednesday.

    The L10 games hitting stats favour the Braves. The Brewers are hitting .223 with 3.55 R/9 vs lefties while the Braves are hitting .290 with 6.05 R/9 vs righties.

    Also the Brewers are 1-4 in the L5 meetings in Atlanta.


    D'Backs/Red Sox u8½: Haren vs Beckett.
    Haren had his finest outing of the year Wednesday night against the A's at Chase Field. The right-hander held his former team to just one run on four hits over seven innings. Haren threw more cut fastballs than he normally does, in part because he figured the A's were more familiar with his repertoire than other teams. He began using the cut fastball this spring but got away from it early in the season. It's an important pitch for him because it gives him something to throw rather than just a straight fastball when he falls behind in the count 1-0 or 2-0. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA in five starts against Boston and are looking for his third consecutive winning decision today.

    Beckett (7-4, 3.87 ERA), who'll try for a third straight winning decision, is 4-0 in five starts at Fenway this season. His last victory, however, came Sunday at Cincinnati when he allowed six hits and struck out six in seven innings of a 9-0 victory over the Reds.
    The right-hander, who's lasted at least six innings in his last six starts, is 1-3 with a 5.65 ERA against Arizona, but allowed two earned runs in eight innings for his lone win against the Diamondbacks on June 8, 2007.

    Arizona has scored just eight runs in four games since beating Oakland 11-1 on Wednesday, the only time it has scored more than three runs in its last nine contests.
    In their L10 games they are batting .237 with 3.56 R/9 vs righties.

    Red Sox are batting .267 with 4.72 R/9.

    Neither sides are hot at bat right now. The D'Backs got 2, 1 and 3 runs in their L3 while the Sox got 4, 3 and 5 runs.

    A few O/U trends:
    # Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    # Under is 5-2 in Harens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    # Under is 7-3 in Harens last 10 starts overall
    # Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record
    # Under is 4-1 in Becketts last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200
    # Under is 5-2 in Becketts last 7 starts with 7 or more days of rest.

    Right now it's light rain, 72°F with 9 mph SE wind at Fenway..

    GL fellow cappers, must the Rally Monkey be with ya
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    Great stuff. Both games will go UNDER.
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Apart from the Royals game, all games today will go UNDER.
      Comment
      • the_orangekat
        SBR MVP
        • 12-08-07
        • 1267

        #4
        Comment
        • Clueless_Norway
          SBR MVP
          • 04-13-08
          • 1136

          #5
          I like the under in both games... Thinking about picking the no score 1st inning in bot games... someone on it??
          Comment
          • Clueless_Norway
            SBR MVP
            • 04-13-08
            • 1136

            #6
            Think the Brewers/Braves under is over and the Braves are getting crushed as Reyes sux hard today... Brew Crew batting practice lol
            Comment
            • Clueless_Norway
              SBR MVP
              • 04-13-08
              • 1136

              #7
              Went 3-2, -3.0 units

              Braves loss
              Braves D'Backs/Red Sox u8½ win
              Brewers/Braves u8 win
              Braves RL (+200) loss
              Grand Salami u42 win
              Comment
              • Clueless_Norway
                SBR MVP
                • 04-13-08
                • 1136

                #8
                Wednesday

                Let's get a pluss day

                Royals (+108) 5 units
                Twins (+120) 6.1 units (POD)
                Pirates (+157) 3 units

                T2T:
                Blue Jays/Indians (+144) 2.5 units

                Royals: They are very fragile and that allows for some real highs and lows. This team has dropped seven in a row and 12 in a row have now won nine of their last 10 games scoring almost 6.5 runs per game. The Royals are as hot as it gets. Rockies team is built for playing at home and always has been. Rockies is 6-22 in their last 28 road efforts and listed here as a favorite. We can't buy it, and the Royals get the call here.

                Adds: Though the Kansas City Royals have struggled against teams within their own league, they've had a much smoother run against NL clubs. Royals has the second-worst record in the AL, but picked up its ninth victory in its last 10 games against NL foes, beating Rockies 7-3 on Tuesday. The Royals are a major-league leading 11-3 in interleague play. Hochevar hopes to fare better as he makes his first appearance against his hometown team. The Denver native is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA in two career interleague starts.

                Twins: The surging Twins look for an eighth consecutive victory as they continue their road series with the San Diego Padres on Wednesday night. The Padres have lost seven of eight and are tied for the last in the awful NL West, while the Twins are getting close to first place in the AL Central. The Twins have recorded all their victories during their current run against NL teams. They are 10-3 in interleague play, outscoring their opponents 72-34. Glen Perkins looks for his second straight win as he takes the ball for the Twins. He allowed three runs and 10 hits in a career-high eight innings of a 9-3 victory over Washington on Thursday.

                Adds: Maddux has been stuck on 350 career wins since getting past the milestone May 10. In eight succeeding starts Maddux is 0-1. He has one career start against the Twins. The result? A no-decision with 5 ER in 7 innings.

                Pirates: Duke was brilliant in his last start against the Blue Jays. He was efficient in every facet of the game, throwing 64 of his 97 pitches for strikes. He went a solid seven innings and allowed no runs on six hits.
                In his fourth career start, Chamberlain pitched 5 2/3 solid innings, fanning nine in a no-decision against San Diego on Thursday. Chamberlain threw 100 pitches,58 for strikes holding the Padres to one run, four hits and three walks. Of the nine strikeouts, eight were swinging.

                Adds: Johnny Damon and Hideki Matsui is unable to play in the outfield today. Damon, hitting a major league-best .413 since May 20, is expected to miss another day or two. Matsui, meanwhile, has played just 24 games in the field due to his injury, and can't be used as a designated hitter because the Yankees are in an NL park.
                The Pirates team that has been surprisingly successful at the plate this season with 382 runs, the fifth-highest total in the majors. Duke in seven interleague starts. He has never faced the Yankees and is 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA in his last three outings at PNC Park, where the Pirates are 24-16
                Comment
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