Bea$t Mode MLB Season Thread (Started 6/16/11)

[WinnerAllTheWay]

First play of the day, for the 2:00 game in Chi-Town...

You guys are probably going to think I am insane for this:

6/28/2011 Early Game Play:
Cubs +114 (5 units)

GL boys...

Beast

Bea$t, same scenarios as yesterday. I like the cubs before seeing your pick. I'm going large on cubs again today.

GL bro!

[bea$tmode]

taking five units, you've been great with all the 5 unit plus plays, seems like when you have a handful of losses they're all the two uniters, making for consistent good days. Make that money Beast!

You just reminded me, I've been wanting to make a breakdown of the winning percentages by unit size and line ranges to better analyze past performance to produce better profits...Here is a breakdown I just made:

Moneylines:
10 units: 1-0 (100%)
9 units: No Plays
8 units: No Plays
7 units: 2-2 (50%)
6 units: 8-8 (50%)
5 units: 22-4 (84.62%)
4 units: 8-9 (47.06%)
3 units: 14-10 (58.33%)
2 units: 14-15 (48.28%)
1 unit: 1-4 (25.00%)

Total Moneyline Plays: 70-52 (57.38%)

Runlines:
4 units: 1-0 (100%)
3 units: 3-0 (100%)
2 units: 4-0 (100%)

Total Runline Plays: 8-0 (100%)

By Line:
-150 and above: 13-7 (65.00%)
-130 to -149: 20-3 (86.96%)
Even to -129: 24-17 (58.54%)
+101 to +129: 18-17 (51.43%)
+130 to +149: 2-4 (33.33%)
+150 and above: 1-4 (20.00%)

This is provided solely for reference. I don't want you guys to think I am gonna make everything a 5 unit now because its by far the best winning percentage. It's just interesting to look at the breakdown of the plays. This is updated through yesterdays plays.

Beast

[RSnakeBR]

You're fantastic. I'm with you in every pick.

You just reminded me, I've been wanting to make a breakdown of the winning percentages by unit size and line ranges to better analyze past performance to produce better profits...Here is a breakdown I just made:

Moneylines:
10 units: 1-0 (100%)
9 units: No Plays
8 units: No Plays
7 units: 2-2 (50%)
6 units: 8-8 (50%)
5 units: 22-4 (84.62%)
4 units: 8-9 (47.06%)
3 units: 14-10 (58.33%)
2 units: 14-15 (48.28%)
1 unit: 1-4 (25.00%)

Total Moneyline Plays: 70-52 (57.38%)

Runlines:
4 units: 1-0 (100%)
3 units: 3-0 (100%)
2 units: 4-0 (100%)

Total Runline Plays: 8-0 (100%)

By Line:
-150 and above: 13-7 (65.00%)
-130 to -149: 20-3 (86.96%)
Even to -129: 24-17 (58.54%)
+101 to +129: 18-17 (51.43%)
+130 to +149: 2-4 (33.33%)
+150 and above: 1-4 (20.00%)

This is provided solely for reference. I don't want you guys to think I am gonna make everything a 5 unit now because its by far the best winning percentage. It's just interesting to look at the breakdown of the plays. This is updated through yesterdays plays.

Beast

[bea$tmode]

It is interesting, however, to see that the 5 unit plays have been doing so well and the favorites have been doing so well...

A little insight into it...As you can see, very few plays have been made above 5 units. For the most part, the 5 unit plays have been my top plays. The reason I haven't upped the units much on them is because of interleague play. I really don't like putting heavy units on interleague play... So I am very happy to see the 5 unit plays hitting how they are.

Be back later with the plays for the night.

Beast

[bea$tmode]

ESPN Fantasy Baseball is down now too...and thespread...I need these sites back!

WTF

[bea$tmode]

wow...this game is looking bad early...need to escape this first inning with only 2 runs allowed

[bea$tmode]

allowed 3 runs in the first...lots of innings to be played...keep your heads up boys

[bea$tmode]

OMG. Just when the Cubs show some life, Davis gets lit up again...this game is ridiculous...

[mp5070]

There is plenty of time left in the game

[lilb999]

I accidently did the first 5 innings...

Definitely not lookin good for me

[risk_ay]

I accidently did the first 5 innings...

Definitely not lookin good for me

yeah same thing for me, scrolled too far down with the 2:20 game being at the bottom of the ticket.

[bea$tmode]

Lots of game left and both pitchers are getting hit...You guys got two innings left for the cubs to get some runs, dont worry just yet. Vogelsong looks bad and Davis looks worse...Cubs could easily jack up some runs in the 4th and 5th. It's gonna be a shootout...

[risk_ay]

true, fingers crossed, but vogelsong getting on base twice already is a little alarming lol...although first was a fielders choice. lets catch a doubleplay and do some work in the bottom of the fourth cubbies!

[bea$tmode]

wow...this game looks screwed. Lots of games on the slate for the night. Looking forward to them. be back soon with my plays

[bea$tmode]

6/28/2011 Night Plays

Here are the night plays...liking a lot of favorites again, which once again makes me nervous, but I've been taking a lot of faves lately and winning...sooo here we go. Gotta make up for the Cubs loss:

6/28/2011 Night Plays:
Rays -146 (7 units)
Phillies -136 (7 units)
Rockies -132 (5 units)
Dodgers +100 (5 units)
Diamondbacks -158 (5 units)
Orioles -136 (4 units)
Angels -127 (3 units)
Mets +127 (3 units)
Mariners -112 (2 units)
Blue Jays -134 (2 units)

GL everyone, trying to keep this positive days streak going with a strong night.

Beast

[bea$tmode]

Adding:
Padres -122 (3 units)

[bea$tmode]

Another addition for tonight:
Brewers +113 (3 units)

[risk_ay]

Some plays where I was thinking the opposite, but tailing u str8up tonight beast! Lets get that BOL!

[bea$tmode]

One more addition, lmfao. Small play on the 'Stros:

Astros +152 (2 units)

[bea$tmode]

That loss from earlier is really pissing me off. Sorry about that one guys...probably should have been a smaller play considering we cashed 10 units on the Cubs yesterday. Let's get this paper tonight. I'm not letting this streak of plus days end.

And everyone root for my Gators tonight in the CWS...pathetic loss last night...so many chances to win it and couldn't put it away. GO GATORS!

Beast

[bea$tmode]

Just to let you guys know...starting tomorrow, I'm gonna post less plays, especially small unit plays. I feel like I am taking too many small plays for more action cause I'm up units...I'm tired of small unit plays killing the profits of the better bigger unit plays...

Tonight isn't looking too great so far, but it could end up alright.

GL everyone...

[lilb999]

Really hope the night games hit.....

[bea$tmode]

yeah, not looking good so far. if the rays lose this game, were in rough shape...

[bea$tmode]

Johnny Damon may have just saved the night from being really bad...wow.

Close this out Rays, please.

[bea$tmode]

Thank God the Rays finished that one out...need the dodgers and rockies to step up and some late games to hit. tonight may not end up as bad at it seemed.

[risk_ay]

Positive night, please gods, please....

All in all, not gonna be a terrible day. I added single units to your bets and mine for the late night, and think I might be in the black. Even if it falls short, not a horrendous day, can't win big all the time, just glad we didn't lose too big (no jinxes).

[bea$tmode]

Positive night, please gods, please....

All in all, not gonna be a terrible day. I added single units to your bets and mine for the late night, and think I might be in the black. Even if it falls short, not a horrendous day, can't win big all the time, just glad we didn't lose too big (no jinxes).

Yeah not looking real good. come good finishes in the late games will save us...Stressful night.

I'm ready to bounce back tomorrow

[risk_ay]

S'all good. If we won em all we wouldn't appreciate the victories. I pulled some slightly degenerate $hit on late games, so remains to be seen how things end up. Don't stress homie, we aren't gonna be down more than a few units. And its funny, I disliked a couple of your plays but took them, and if you split em out, I didn't lose a penny to your thoughts (Ie was leaning beckett....but nice big call with him coming off the DL). Just don't lose the confidence, you're doing awfully good. Keep rocking your $hit, and maybe I can make you some money when NCAAF starts, or NBA if it starts, but point is you're recouping my MLB losses and making money for peeps. A gambler can't be phased by one off day, especially when your philosophy has been brutally lucrative. BOL, and keep it up!

[risk_ay]

Bummer on the gators, the better team for sure.

[risk_ay]

ha, you have a gift, pena and wells homer at nearly the same time...

[lilb999]

Slight profit day! Better then losin!

[risk_ay]

Slight profit day! Better then losin!

yep did it again! Grats!

[bea$tmode]

lmao...wow. I can't watch these games guys... I feel like tonight took a couple years off my life. Literally thought tonight was going to end awfully...Once again, the late games come through to save us. Today will not be a down day which I am happy about. Could end up being a nice day if the angels win this damn game.

I'm going to avoid making action junkie plays anymore...like many of the small unit plays have been. I really wanna try and cut down the losses from those little guys to maximize the profit on the big boys. We got a nice big slate tomorrow with a bunch of afternoon games too to hopefully start the day off right. I'm looking forward to it. Glad we escaped tonight without losing the bank.

I'll be back in the morning with a recap and the plays.

Beast

[bea$tmode]

Keep rocking your $hit, and maybe I can make you some money when NCAAF starts, or NBA if it starts, but point is you're recouping my MLB losses and making money for peeps.

Sounds good bro. I'll count on you for those...I ain't too good with the spreads haha. My best are MLB and NHL...

[bea$tmode]

Bummer on the gators, the better team for sure.

Yeah, it's too bad. After they lost last night the way they did, I just felt like it wasn't gonna happen. Oh well...