Line Movement Plays , An Experiment

[kingofmonash]

exp 2a)

giants (-102) 2x w
cubs (+124) 2x w
arizona (-108) 2xw
texas (-120) 2x w
0-4 (-8.60)
40-36(-5.95)

exp 2b)

exp 2c)
arizona (-108)2x l
padres (-119) 2x w
white sox (+100) 2x w

2-1 (+1.84)
53-49 (-8.16) july

[kingofmonash]

exp 1 (192-113) ((+117.1))

new york yankees (-195) 2x l
pittsburg pirates +1.5 (+107) 1x l
new york mets (-117) 2x w
texas (-132) 1x l
florida (+144) 1x l
white sox (-110) 1x w
kansas 9+118) 1x w
colorado (+112) 1x w
tampa (-106) 0.5x w

5-4 (-1.40)
89-54(+46.6) july
197-117 (+115.7)

[kingofmonash]

EXP 2a) Saturday
baltimore +1.5 (+114) 2x
pittsburg (+230) 2x
tampa bay (+108)2x
boston (-145) 2x

EXP 2b)
seattle (-113) 2x
baltimore g:2 (+175)2x
white sox (+141) 2x

EXP 2c)
nyy g:1 -1.5 (-117) 2x
cubs (+140)2x
cleveland (-160)2x
pittsburg (+233) 2x
milwuakee -1.5 (-115) 2x

[freshguy222]

would you mind posting all plays early again?

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1) Saturday

toronto (-102) 1x
seattle (-113) -.5x
detroit (+108) 1x
cubs (+159) 0.5x
baltimore g2 (+175) 0.5x
florida (+128)1x
milwuake RL (-117) 1X
giants (+104) 0.5x

more plays can be added later based on lines

[jolmscheid]

Hey king I've been following along but there have been some changes to your experiments I know...so could you tell me what post / page shows what each experiment is and how the plays are chosen? Thanks king..

[kingofmonash]

exp 2a) saturday
baltimore +1.5 (+114) 2x l
pittsburg (+230) 2x l
tampa bay (+108)2x l
boston (-145) 2x w
1-3 (-4)
41-39 (-9.95) july

exp 2b)
seattle (-113) 2x w
baltimore g:2 (+175)2x l
white sox (+141) 2x l
1-2 (-2)


exp 2c)
nyy g:1 -1.5 (-117) 2x w
cubs (+140)2x l
cleveland (-160)2x w
pittsburg (+233) 2x l
milwuakee -1.5 (-115) 2x w

3-2 (+2)
56-51(-6.12)

[kingofmonash]

exp 1) saturday

toronto (-102) 1x l
seattle (-113) -.5x w
detroit (+108) 1x l
cubs (+159) 0.5x l
baltimore g2 (+175) 0.5x l
florida (+128)1x l
milwuake rl (-117) 1x w
giants (+104) 0.5x l


more plays can be added later based on lines

2-6 (-3)
91-60 (+43.6) july
199-123 (+112.7) since june

[kingofmonash]

Hey king I've been following along but there have been some changes to your experiments I know...so could you tell me what post / page shows what each experiment is and how the plays are chosen? Thanks king..

look at page 1 and page 6/7 , u will find what ur looking for

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 2A) SUNDAY

Cleveland (-120) 2x
angels (+128) 2x
cincinatti (-148) 2x
white sox (-115) 2x
dodgers (-122) 2x

EXP 2b)
SEATTLE (+116)2X
BOSTON (+108)2X
GIANTS (+140)2X

EXP 2C)
CLEVELAND (-120) 2X
YANKEES RL (+105) 1X
TEXAS (-104) 2X
OAKLAND (-139) 2X
COLORADO (-107) 2X
ST LOUIS (-141) 2X

[Cranium]

Thanks Mash!!!

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1)

NEW YORK YANKEES -190 (2X)

NO more exp 1 plays, ive been noting some really strange live movement last few days , need to retweak my strategy here!!

[818z_finest]

Well get em back monash good isht

[kingofmonash]

added exp 1

st. Louis (-150) 2x

strong movement looks legit

[kingofmonash]

only plays today , result updates when i get soem time later tonight

exp 2a) monday

yankees
brewers
dodgers

2b)
white sox

2c)
houston
seattle
dodgers

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1) monday

yankees (2x)
boston (1x)
phillies (2x)
oakland (1x)
arizona (1x)
milwuakee (1x)

[818z_finest]

Let's get it

[kingofmonash]

EXPERIMENT 2A) SUNDAY results

Cleveland (-120) 2x L
angels (+128) 2x L
cincinatti (-148) 2x W
white sox (-115) 2x L
dodgers (-122) 2x L
1-4 (-7.2)

EXP 2b)
SEATTLE (+116)2X l
BOSTON (+108)2X l
GIANTS (+140)2X l
0-3 (-6)

EXP 2C)
CLEVELAND (-120) 2X L
YANKEES RL (+105) 2X W
TEXAS (-104) 2X L
OAKLAND (-139) 2X W
COLORADO (-107) 2X L
ST LOUIS (-141) 2X L
2-4 (-5.35)

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1) SUNDAY RESULTS

NEW YORK YANKEES -190 (2X) W
st. Louis (-150) 2x L
1-1 (-1)

[kingofmonash]

exp 2a) monday

yankees W
brewers W
dodgers W
3-0 (+6)

2b)
white sox
0-1 (-2)

2c)
houston W
seattle W
dodgers W

3-0 (+6.8)

WE will have total numbers for july shortly , a mini analysis today!

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1) monday

yankees (2x) W
boston (1x) L
phillies (2x) W
oakland (1x) L
arizona (1x) W
milwuakee (1x) W

4-2 (+3.20)
96-63 (+45.8) July
204-126 (+114.9) SINE jUnE

EXP did 108 - 63 (+68.1) in June, this month was a bit slower , but hey this is a nice profit, the last week was topsy turvy wasnt enjoying the ride at all, this experiment sparkled during early july. lets see how it holds up, i am making some changes and incorporating some reverse line movement plays as well from here on !!

[kingofmonash]

EXP 2a)

45-43 (-11.20) July
49-32 (+30) June
94-75 (+19.80) total

EXP 2b)
13-21 (-10.75) July
23-13(+23) June
36-34 (+12.25)

EXP 2c)
61-55 (-4.7) july
65-41 (+37.7) june
126-96 (+33) total

well been a tough month for sure for this experiment. one thing is obvios this darn system is real streaky, when u win , u win big streaks , and when it reverses it questions ur systems parameters, so far i havent used any sort of filter here, but am considering only playing teams which are above 0.50 , or perhaps the filter could be the selected team should have a higher home / road RPI than its opponents! let me hear some suggestions. But one thing is obvious it needs a filter now. Perhaps this system works best only during interleague games?

[kingofmonash]

EXP 2a) Tuesday , AUG

florida
angels
white sox
giants (2x each)

2c)
nationals
florida
houston
white sox
baltimore
angels
giants (2x each)

[Vin_vermillion]

i dont understand why you would adjust any parameters? It looks like all 4 have an over all winning record and units if I am looking at it correctly?

I would just stick with it. I mean you are never going to find anything that hits at an 80% clip I wouldnt think, so I would just be happy with the profits.

i would however like an understanding of what you are looking for in those line movements on each system. Is it just fading the movement?

[freshguy222]

i figured out how exp1 works now and actually atm its the only one im really interested in and i think that its the best system because its not based on any trends but as far as i udnerstood it it measures which team i made more unattractive or respecitvely more attractively when the lines are changed form 20cent lines or so to 6cent or 10 cent lines right? if it works like that it should be profitable over time
didnt you say that exp2 is somewhat predictable in terms of when it gets hot for example after the all star break you said it would probably slump a lil cause top pitchers struggle

[818z_finest]

solid month still for exp. 1 monash... as long as theres a profit its all good.

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1 (tuesday)

Chicago Cubs (+127) 2x
washinton nats (-107) 2x
detroit (-115) 2x
kansas city (-135) 2x
oakland (+141) 1x
st. louis (+110) 1x

[kingofmonash]

added NEW york mets (2x)

[kingofmonash]

added san fransisco giants (1.5x)

[Vin_vermillion]

i figured out how exp1 works now and actually atm its the only one im really interested in and i think that its the best system because its not based on any trends but as far as i udnerstood it it measures which team i made more unattractive or respecitvely more attractively when the lines are changed form 20cent lines or so to 6cent or 10 cent lines right? if it works like that it should be profitable over time
didnt you say that exp2 is somewhat predictable in terms of when it gets hot for example after the all star break you said it would probably slump a lil cause top pitchers struggle

ask Jolscheid about this. I think this experiment is based off something both him and I have been tracking for sometime personally, and King just backed up our theory. I wouldnt post stuff like this on here for everyone to see and know about though Just my paranoid mind maybe, but you dont want everyone in on the same thing, or Vegas adjusts accordingly.

[deeznutz420]

This is some good stuff. I just stumbled upon this thread and I'm lovin' it.

[kingofmonash]

exp 2a) tuesday , aug

florida w
angels w
white sox l
giants (2x each) l
2-2 (-0.7)


2c)
nationals w
florida w
houston l
white sox l
baltimore w
angels w
giants l(2x each)

4-3 (+1.1)

[kingofmonash]

exp 1 (tuesday)

chicago cubs (+127) 2x w
washinton nats (-107) 2x w
detroit (-115) 2x w
kansas city (-135) 2x l
oakland (+141) 1x l
st. Louis (+110) 1x w
new york mets l(2x)
san fransisco giants l (1.5x)

4-4 (-1.4) aug

[kingofmonash]

EXP 2a) (Wednesday)

St. Louis (-106) 2x
chicago white sox (+101)2x
minnesota twins (-104) 2x

EXP 2b)
Colorado (+185) 2x
angels (-102) 2x

EXP 2c)
seattle (+136) 2x
white sox (+101) 2x
padres (-116) 2x

[kingofmonash]

EXP 1) wednesday

St. Louis (-104)2x
oakland (-145) 2x