Clueless MLB Thread

Clueless_Norway · 06-01-08, 12:00 PM

Sunday Parlay

Tigers@Mariners U9.0/Athletics
$200 to win $552

Tigers@Mariners
- L3 Pitching
# Bonderman: 3.26 ERA, 19.1 IP, 14 K's, 7 BB, 1 HR
# Batista: 7.04 ERA, 15.1 IP, 5 K's, 7 BB, 3 HR
- L10 Batting vs RHP
# Tigers: .243 AVG, 4.99 R/9, 0.6 HR, 5.3 K's
# Mariners: .240 AVG, 3.64 R/9, 0.6 HR, 3.7 K's
- Trends
# Under is 7-1 in DET last 8 road games
# Under is 6-0 in Bondermans last 6 road starts
# Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. American League West
# Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games/home games vs. a right-handed starter
# Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 home games
# Over is 7-2 in SEA last 9 games as an underdog
- Umpire
# Under is 9-4-1 in Iassognas last 14 games behind home plate

Athletics@Rangers
- L3 Pitching
# Smith: 2.45 ERA, 18.1 IP, 14 K's, 8 BB, 0 HR
# Feldman: 5.21 ERA,19.0 IP, 9 K's, 3 BB, 3 HR
- L10 Batting vs R/LHP
# Athletics(R): .271 AVG, 4.21 R/9, 0.7 HR, 6.3 K's
# Rangers(L): .236 AVG, 3.89 R/9, 0.2 HR, 3.5 K's
- Trends
# So far this season non of them have been sweeped in the series between the two sides
# Rangers are 1-5 in Feldmans last 6 starts
# Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games
# Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series
# Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game
# Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 Sunday games
# Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games
# Athletics are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings
- Umpire
# Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Wegner behind home plate
# Road team is 5-2 in Wegners last 7 games behind home plate vs. Oakland

Good Luck to all

Clueless_Norway · 06-01-08, 06:15 PM

BlueJays U8 Win
Tigers U9/Athletics Loss

- Record
# Sides: 1-0
# Parlay: 0-1
# Units: -$100

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 05:52 PM

Tuesday 3/6

Cubs/Twins
$300 to win $610
Cubs: Marquis vs Ledezma. Ledezma have had two horrible starts L3 games(7.5 ERA, 12 IP). He have pitched only 3, 4 and in his last start 5 innings. The Padres pen got a 5.95 ERA in L3. He have given up 4 runs against Cards, 5 agianst Reds and 1 agains the Nats(but..). He haven't had one good start after a game with 2 or less runs given up. The Cubs have been great AB all year so they should put up a good number here. Meanwhile Marquis(L3: 4.32 ERA, 16.2 IP) havn't given up more than max 4 runs against the Padres in his careere and only 1 run in 7 IP last matchup in SD. Also the Cubs pen got a ok 3.18 ERA.
Twins: Liz vs Slowey. Slowey have been great all year, but in his L3 starts hes been exelente with a remarkable 1.74 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP in 20.2 IP. I can't see a Orioles team with a road AVG on 3.7 runs and .228 AB putting up big numbers against him (im looking for a shutout here). Meanwhile the Twins got a nice 5.7 runs with a .289 AB avg in their L7 games. Liz is 0-1 with a 7.5 ERA in 6 inning all time against the Twins. The Twins sweeped the O's in their two series last year and is 13-3 overall and 5-1 at home L3 season.

Jays (POD)
$500 to win $510
The Yanks send out Chamberlain for his first start to face Halladay. Joba shouldn't manage to pitch for more than 4-5 innings and the Yanks pen are struggeling at the moment.
Their L3 games ERA is 4.29 and with a 1.46 WHIP. Meanwhile the Jays pen got a 1.59 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP. Halladay have been great against the Yanks with a 7-3(3-3@NY) record with a 2.99 ERA. The Jays is 17-22 against the Yanks last 3 seasons. So with a new starter vs Halladay + a bad pen you have to take a dog line on the Jays.

Marigold HD · 06-03-08, 06:06 PM

Hey clueless....Where do you get your stats from????????
thanks

the_orangekat · 06-03-08, 06:06 PM

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 06:17 PM

Cardinals/Braves/WhiteSox
$440 to win $1850
Cardinals: Lohse vs Peres. After a bit tough start Lohse have been great L3 starts with a combine 3 ER with a shutout agains the Dodgers. He got a 1.5 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP L3 starts. Also Lohse got a shutout earlier this year against the Nats in a 3-0 win. Meanwhile Perses have been a bit under ok with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP. But those numbers came in his game against the O's (6 ER). After that it's been 1 and 3 ER against the Brewers and the Padres. In Perez game this season against the Cards he gave up 5 ER in 4 innings in a 5-4 loss. In the L7 games the Cards got an AVG 4.4 runs and a .258 AB. The Nats got 2.9 runs and a .209 AB.
Lohse is 1-1 with a ERA of 6.15 and a WHIP of 1.367 agianst the Nats. Perez is 3-5 with an ERA of 9.12 and a WHIP of 2.067 against the Cards. The Nats are 5-1 in Wash. L3 seasons, but this year they are very weak.
Braves: Badenhop vs Campillo. This is two different pitchers. Campillo got a GREAT .60 ERA and WHIP in 15 IP L3 starts. Badenhop got a 6.14 ERA with a 1.50 WHIP in 14.2 IP. The pens got the same story (L3: Marlins - 5.84 ERA, Braves - 1.60 ERA). The Braves is 24-19 against the Marlins last 3 seasons and are a great home team. Badenhop is 0-1 with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.800 as a starter against the Braves.
CWS: Greinke vs Floyd. Greinke started the season good but he's starting to struggle now. In his L3 start he got a 5.68 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP. Floyd have been stable all season and got a 3.00 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP L3 starts. In the L10 games they have been almost the same AB so I think in this game it's the best pitcher who wins. Greinke got a 2-6 with a ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.224 as a starter agains the Sox, but he's been struggleing in Chicago. Royals are 0-4 in Greinkes last 4 road starts vs. White Sox and Royals are 14-39 in the last 53 meetings in Chicago. Floyd is 0-1 as a starter against the Royals with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Marigold HD

Hey clueless....Where do you get your stats from????????
thanks

Im using Covers and SBR for win/loss records

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 06:32 PM

GREAT start for the Cards, 4-0 after 1st inning + a good job by the Braves, 3-1 in 1st inning after giving up a run

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 07:05 PM

wow... Chamberlain out already!!! Only 2.1 inning and to the pen. Thought it would be atleast 4 innings before they gonna go to the pen + 4 walks in 2.1 innings.. not good

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 09:29 PM

Jays (POD)

Cardinals/Braves/WhiteSox
Cubs/Twins
Cubs/Angels
(If you don't belive my Cubs/Angels pick cause it wasn't in this thread:

Originally posted by Clueless_Norway

I don't like betting against Myers (maby cause im a Phillies fan, but I think he got good stuff on his good day), but it looks like I get a $1551.18 today if the Cards hold on to win (up 6-1 now) and I still have fate in my Cubs/Angels parlay (Angels lead 5-0, Cubs down 0-2, runners on 2nd and 3rd with 1 out in 4th) so I might take the Reds at that price on Volquez.
It's worth a shot

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/78660-volquez-early-110-dog-myers-tomorrow.html?slf=28

- On the Day
# 3-1
# +$3000

- Record
# Sides: 2-0
# Parlay: 2-2
# Units: +$2900

Dashwood Clipper · 06-03-08, 09:34 PM

Nice work

Clueless_Norway · 06-03-08, 09:38 PM

Originally posted by Dashwood Clipper

Nice work

Thanks

As expected Joba left early and the Yanks pen continues with their struggles

Clueless_Norway · 06-04-08, 11:49 AM

Wednesday 4/6 Early Games

Angels/Athletics
$250 to win $554
Angels: Weaver vs Silva. Silva has been horrible L3 starts and got a 16.03 ERA with a 2.72 WHIP in 10.2 IP. In his L3 starst combind he have given up 19 ER and he gave up 7 ER in 0.2 innings(

!!!) in his last start vs the Tigers at home. Silva had a great start of the season, but has pitched worse and worse after each start now. In day games he got a 7.66 ERA with a 1.66 WHIP in 22.1 IP. Meanwhile Weaver got a 1.35 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP in 13.1 IP in day games. Weaver got in his L3 starts a 4.15 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP in 17.1 IP after a awfull game against the Jays where he gave up 6 ER in his last star. Before that he has given up 2 ER against LA and a shutout against the WhiteSox. The Mariners have been better AB in the L10 games, but I think Silva gonna get Angels looking great while Weaver gonna get another good start and get the Mariners looking worse. TheAngels are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings and 6-2 in the last 8 at Seattle. Also the Mariners are 1-5 in Silvas last 6 starts and 2-8 in their last 10 games following a loss. The Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West meanwhile the Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. American League West. Silva have been great against the Angels with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.323 and a 6-1 record, but Silva is awfull this year so that gonna change.
Athletics: Robertson vs Duchscherer. Robertson is stable but not good enough. He usualy gives up 4 runs pr. game (4 runs pr. game in 7 of L10 starts) and got a 5.60 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP in 17.2 IP L3 starts. Duchscherer usualy gives up 2-3 runs pr. game (2-3 runs pr. game in 6 of L10 starts) but never given up more than 3 ER and got a shutout against the RedSox two starts ago. He got a 2.37 ERA with a .89 WHIP in 19.0 IP L3 starts + he's better at home with a 1.35 ERA. The Tigers have the edge at batting, but I like the pitching matchup so good that I ignore that. The Tigers are 0-4 in Robertsons last 4 Wednesday starts and are 1-10 in Robertsons last 11 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Athletics are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win and are 4-1 in Duchscherers last 5 home starts. The Tigers are 1-4 in Robertsons last 5 road starts vs. Athletics and 1-6 in L7 at Oakland. Home team is 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 Wednesday games behind home plate. The Tigers are 3-13 in their last 16 games with Hernandez behind home plate. Home team is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
Athletics are 9-7 last 3 seasons in Oakland.

I also got a parlay with the Marlins and the Rockies($300 to win $1158), but thats most for fun and my good feeling...

GL all

Clueless_Norway · 06-04-08, 05:34 PM

Cardinals/Rangers
$300 to win $1023

Jays (POD)
$659 to win $843
Litsch vs Mussina. Im going for the Jays in my POD today also. Litsch is a better pitcher than Mussina and he has proven that with their L3 starts. In his L3 starts Litsch got a 0.83 ERA with a 0.92 WHIP in 21.2 IP with to shutouts in his last two starts (against Athletics and Royals where he went all 9 innings). Meanwhile Mussina got a 5.40 ERA with a 1.89 WHIP in 11.2 IP. The Yanks got a bit better batting stats but after the game yesterday I don't count that big cause the Jays should manage to keep the runs low today too.
The Jays are 5-1 in Litschs last 6 road starts, 8-1 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yanks are 1-4 in Mussinas last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 2-5 in Mussinas last 7 starts vs. American League East.

Clueless_Norway · 06-04-08, 05:37 PM

So far today:
Marlins/Rockies

Angels/Athletics
Jays (POD)
Cardinals/Rangers

- On the Day
# 2-2
# +$753

- Record
# Sides: 2-1
# Parlay: 4-3
# Units: +$3653

Wilforth · 06-04-08, 05:46 PM

Wao! Why haven't I seen this? Great job!!! More grease...

Clueless_Norway · 06-04-08, 06:19 PM

Thank... Think I'v been a bit lucky also tho

Clueless_Norway · 06-06-08, 12:11 PM

Giants/Angels
$300 to win $800

Cubs (POD)
$500 to win $560

Good Luck all!!!

Clueless_Norway · 06-06-08, 12:36 PM

Adding:

Royals
$200 to win $420

This is most for fun, but I got a good feeling on Davies...
Also the Royals have a grip on the Yanks this season with 2-1 in their series earlier this season..

Wilforth · 06-06-08, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by Clueless_Norway

Giants/Angels
$300 to win $800

Cubs (POD)
$500 to win $560

Good Luck all!!!

Clueless,
What's your take on the Cubs? Cubs as an underdog? Is there something we don't know about this game? I wanted it in a parlay with the Giants and Red Sox, but I'm getting scared. Can they suddenly implode? Can the Rockies suddenly "resurrect"?

Clueless_Norway · 06-06-08, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Clueless,
What's your take on the Cubs? Cubs as an underdog? Is there something we don't know about this game? I wanted it in a parlay with the Giants and Red Sox, but I'm getting scared. Can they suddenly implode? Can the Rockies suddenly "resurrect"?

Sorry for my late reply (was with a friend until now). Im picking the Cubs cause: They are way better AB both avg abd R/9, Gallagher had a great game last time up against the Dodgers (1 ER in 7 IP). Kuroda had a awfull start last time against the Mets (6 ER in 2.2 IP), the Cubs ar 4-0 in their last meetings and they are 8-4 in their L12 in LA, road team is 5-1 in Fosters L6 Friday games and the Cubs are a HOT team lately while the Dodgers got something in their system last games. Also I don't like the Dodgers injuries and thats a big point of my Rockies pick agains them (especially Jones and Bennett, 3-9 and 4-11 without).
About the Rockies: The Rockies have played well for two games, but they might struggle against a got/hot Brewers. I like the Rockies (55-45%) cause of my feelings and that the Brewers isn't a good road team, but I don't like the stats and the injuries. Im leaning on the Rockies tonigth, but im gonna stay away mostly cause of the pitching matchup. In the future im gonna be all over the Rockies when Hollyday and Tulo. is back...

Wilforth · 06-06-08, 07:55 PM

Originally posted by Clueless_Norway

Sorry for my late reply (was with a friend until now). Im picking the Cubs cause: They are way better AB both avg abd R/9, Gallagher had a great game last time up against the Dodgers (1 ER in 7 IP). Kuroda had a awfull start last time against the Mets (6 ER in 2.2 IP), the Cubs ar 4-0 in their last meetings and they are 8-4 in their L12 in LA, road team is 5-1 in Fosters L6 Friday games and the Cubs are a HOT team lately while the Dodgers got something in their system last games. Also I don't like the Dodgers injuries and thats a big point of my Rockies pick agains them (especially Jones and Bennett, 3-9 and 4-11 without).
About the Rockies: The Rockies have played well for two games, but they might struggle against a got/hot Brewers. I like the Rockies (55-45%) cause of my feelings and that the Brewers isn't a good road team, but I don't like the stats and the injuries. Im leaning on the Rockies tonigth, but im gonna stay away mostly cause of the pitching matchup. In the future im gonna be all over the Rockies when Hollyday and Tulo. is back...

Thanks.
I'll just play Angels and Cubs. The Red Sox is issuing me a red card right now. God damn the Red Sox.

Clueless_Norway · 06-06-08, 08:00 PM

Was on the Sox too in a 3 team parlay with the Reds and the Brewers.. fkn Sox!!!

Wilforth · 06-06-08, 08:06 PM

Had the sucking Red Sox in a RedSox/Giants/Angels parlay.
Do you know what? The White Sox has started imitating the Red Sox. It's like they'll start losing and winning together!

Clueless_Norway · 06-06-08, 08:22 PM

Yeah... I was leaning on the WSox on this one, but the line was to low to risk it, phew... Looks like it might be a pluss day for me even with the RSox loss. So far Indians, Royals and the Giants/Angels are inn.. Cubs and Brewers-1.0/Padres U7.0 are left

Wilforth · 06-06-08, 08:26 PM

That's fine. You can't win them all. Cubs and Angels should deliver as well.

Clueless_Norway · 06-06-08, 08:46 PM

I think both of them looks realy strong and I got a good feeling, but it's baseball and all can happend.... GL on them, let's cash em

Clueless_Norway · 06-07-08, 10:28 AM

3rd pluss day in a row

Giants/Angels
Cubs (POD)
Royals

- On the Day
# 2-1
# +$720

- Record
# Sides: 3-2
# Parlay: 5-3
# POD: 1-2
# Units: +$4373

Clueless_Norway · 06-07-08, 11:05 AM

Saturday 7/6 Early Games

Don't realy like any of the sides in the early games today. RSox got to many important injuries, the Jays pen like to blow the lead lately, Royals vs Yanks can go either way, the Tigers got a good shoot today but the Indians have been good against them and the Cubs vs Dodgers are open but I like Zambrano today...

Euro 08:
Portugal/Czech Republic
$200 to win $767
This should be two strong picks. Both of them can manage to win the cup this year.

MLB:
Cubs U7.5/RSox U10.0
$400 to win $1066
Im leaning on the Cubs today (Lowe got a 7.31 ERA in 16 IP in day games vs Zambrano's 2.62 ERA in 24 IP), but the pitching matchup is to close for me... But I love the U7.5 with Lowe and Zambrano on the mound. Zambrano onlo gave up 1 ER in 8.0 IP last time vs the Dodgers, while Lowe got a shutout in 7.0 IP last time vs the Cubs. Zambrano's L3: 2.70 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 20.0 IP, 2 ER in 7 IP(Pirates), 1 ER in 8 IP(Dodgers) and 3 ER in 5 IP(Padres) in his last start.
Lowe's L3: 1.23 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 22.0 IP, 2 ER in 7 IP(Cardinals), shutout in 7 IP(@Cubs) and 1 ER in 8 IP(Rockies) in his last start.
Results this season:
3-1 Cubs U
3-1 Cubs U
2-1 Cubs U
4-5 Cubs O
3-0 Dodgers U
O/U L8 in LA:
2006:1-2
2007:1-2
2008:1-1

O/U pitchers vs team:
Lowe:3-4, L3:1-2
Zambrano:2-5, L3:1-2

With Crisp, Ortiz and maby Varitek, Ellsbury and Ramirez out I can't see the Sox putting up big numbers. Also I can't see the Mariners putting up 8 runs as they did yesterday against Wakefield.
Results this season:
3-5 Sox U
4-3 Mariners U
1-0 Mariners U
0-8 Mariners U
O/U L5 in Boston:
2006:1-0
2007:2-1
2008:0-1
O/U pitchers vs team:
Batista:5-4, L3:1-2
Wakefield:3-6, L3: 0-3

GL all

the_orangekat · 06-07-08, 11:09 AM

BOL

Clueless_Norway · 06-07-08, 03:40 PM

Early games:
Portugal/Czech Republic
Cubs U7.5/RSox U10.0

- On the Day
# 1-1
# +$367

- Record MLB
# Sides: 3-2
# Parlay: 5-4
# POD: 1-2
# Units: +$3973

Record Euro 08:
# Parlay: 1-0
# Units: +767

Clueless_Norway · 06-07-08, 05:31 PM

Saturday 7/6 Late Games

On to the late games after 1-1 on the early games:

Angels (POD)
$500 to win $625
Garland vs Smith: The Angels have been great against lefties so far this season with a 11-2 record. They are also a good road team this season with a 22-11 record. The Angels are 12-7 against div. opponents while the A's are 7-12. Also the Angels have been a strong game 2 team with a 15-5 against A's 10-11. Garland have been good in his L3 starts with a 2.95 ERA in 18.1 IP with a shutout against the Tigers in 7.1 IP. Smith in his L3 got a 4.34 ERA in 18.2 IP with a shutout against the Jays, but in his last start he gave up 7 ER against the Rangers in 5 IP. The Angels are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland and let's hope for a 5-1 record after today

D'Backs -1.5/Rangers
$300kr to win $902

Wilforth · 06-07-08, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by Clueless_Norway

On to the late games after 1-1 on the early games:

Angels (POD)
$500 to win $625
Garland vs Smith: The Angels have been great against lefties so far this season with a 11-2 record. They are also a good road team this season with a 22-11 record. The Angels are 12-7 against div. opponents while the A's are 7-12. Also the Angels have been a strong game 2 team with a 15-5 against A's 10-11. Garland have been good in his L3 starts with a 2.95 ERA in 18.1 IP with a shutout against the Tigers in 7.1 IP. Smith in his L3 got a 4.34 ERA in 18.2 IP with a shutout against the Jays, but in his last start he gave up 7 ER against the Rangers in 5 IP. The Angels are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oakland and let's hope for a 5-1 record after today

D'Backs -1.5/Rangers
$300kr to win $902

Great analysis!!!
Go Angels! Go Rangers!

Clueless_Norway · 06-07-08, 08:36 PM

This might be a bad day for me...

Late Games:
D'Backs-1.5/Ranger
- On the Day
# 1-2
# -133

- Record MLB
# Sides: 3-2
# Parlay: 5-5
# POD: 1-2
# Units: +$3973

Record Euro 08:
# Parlay: 1-0
# Units: +767