1st Inning Stats and Betting

[jnsbanman]

hey B2W is there an explanation somewhere of how your spreadsheet works?

[calmeat]

Very nice

Glad I don't have to scramble to get tomorrows ready when I get home today

I may have a few questions for ya, but too hard to type on phone

Thx

Not a problem shoot away. Note the RUN plays have not done very well Run plays are 2w-7L. No RUN is 17-9 so i am not going to play RUN until i figure out a better way to predict that one.

[balls2wall]

hey B2W is there an explanation somewhere of how your spreadsheet works?

Not sure what you are asking

It just has the lines on the left then two columns with the team's 1st inn stats then two columns with the pitcher's 1st inn stats

Or are you asking how I get that info into the sheet?

[jnsbanman]

I guess what I was wondering is how do you determine plays or is this purely informational?

[dmheal]

Differents Pitcher Stats

For anyone interested here is my sheet for today and for tomorrow.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AqInIKO_dh1OdGp6LWV2N2lWUlVmQ2FoR3JiemZQWHc&hl=en_US&authkey=COr58dUE#gid=0

Tomorrow play have to be updated with the Home avg and Away avg for scoring in the first tomorrow morning and if any pitching changes are made.

Hi Cal,

I was looking at your spreadsheet and noticed I had a few stats that differed from yours. I used sportsdatabase.com. Here are the one that differ from your spreadsheet:

KAN - Hochevar Y=5 N=8
BOS - Beckett Y=1 N=11
CHC - Wells Y=1 N=2
PIT - Karstens Y=1 N=8
ATL - Jurrjens Y=0 N=
WAS - Hernandez Y=4 N=9
SDG - Harang Y=6 N=6
SFO - Bumgardner Y=1 N=11.

You might want to recheck your source.

Thanks,

Dean

[calmeat]

Hi Cal,

I was looking at your spreadsheet and noticed I had a few stats that differed from yours. I used sportsdatabase.com. Here are the one that differ from your spreadsheet:

KAN - Hochevar Y=5 N=8
BOS - Beckett Y=1 N=11
CHC - Wells Y=1 N=2
PIT - Karstens Y=1 N=8
ATL - Jurrjens Y=0 N=
WAS - Hernandez Y=4 N=9
SDG - Harang Y=6 N=6
SFO - Bumgardner Y=1 N=11.

You might want to recheck your source.

Thanks,

Dean

Dean you are totally right thanks for that. Well i used sports database and then when i get the WHIP i use espn and make sure the games started total adds up right. ESPN had issues the other night and stats were messed up so i was getting confused and guess made some mistakes. Thanks again i will make sure i check the other ones as well. Luckily i dont think it changes any plays today for me.

[dmheal]

All the others were OK.

Dean

[balls2wall]

I guess what I was wondering is how do you determine plays or is this purely informational?

Purely informational

[calmeat]

All the others were OK.

Dean

yeah had to change a couple for tomorrow as well. I need to start updating them when im more awake i guess.

[cincyhammer]

Fantastic spreadsheet and information! Will be following you closely on this.

[jnsbanman]

Purely informational

Ok great thanks!

[Bob734]

Early game:

KC/TOR YES -130 ( 0.75units )

Back later for night games. Thanks again everyone for your informations in this thread

[Bob734]

Hate start the night with a loose

[doubledime]

As i said yesterday I don't like the YES

[Bob734]

As i said yesterday I don't like the YES

It was the last time which I played yes
Working for the NO

[Bob734]

Night Plays:

PIT/ARI NO -135 ( 2units! )
FLA/ATL NO -130 ( 1unit )
MIN/TEX NO -125 ( 1unit )

BOL to all

[doubledime]

Good luck tonight Bob

Last night went 2-1 ....Tonight:

All NOs

AZ/Pit
Atl/FL
Reds/SF
Oak/WSox

Good luck to all

[Farough]

Great start to the night guys.
Good luck the rest of the night.

[Bob734]

Night Plays:

PIT/ARI NO -135 ( 2units! ) W
FLA/ATL NO -130 ( 1unit ) W
MIN/TEX NO -125 ( 1unit ) L

BOL to all

Early game:

KC/TOR YES -130 ( 0.75units ) L

2-2 +0.5U for me, not bad..

YTD : 22-17 +3.21U 56.4%

Congrats doubledime for your great night

[Bob734]

BAL/TB : Jeremy Hellickson yes=2 no=9 -- Jake Arrieta yes=3 no=10
DET/SEA : Erik Bedard yes=6 no=5 -- Brad Penny yes=3 no=9
NYY/CLE : Fausto Carmona yes=3 no=10 -- Ivan Nova yes=1 no=10
PHI/CHC : Carlos Zambrano yes=4 no=9 -- Roy Halladay yes=2 no=11
PIT/NYM : Dillon Gee yes=2 no=6 -- Charlie Morton yes=2 no=9
TOR/BOS : Clay Buchholz yes=2 no=10 -- Jo-Jo Reyes yes=6 no=6
FLA/ARI : Joe Saunders yes=4 no=8 -- Anibal Sanchez yes=7 no=5
HOU/ATL : Tim Hudson yes=7 no=5 -- Aneury Rodriguez yes=2 no=5
CWS/OAK : Graham Godfrey yes=0 no=0 -- Edwin Jackson yes=3 no=9
MIL/STL : Kyle Lohse yes=1 no=11 -- Chris Narveson yes=0 no=12
MIN/TEX : C.J. Wilson yes=4 no=9 -- Brian Duensing yes=3 no=8
COL/LAD : Chad Billingsley yes=2 no=11 -- Jhoulys Chacin yes=3 no=9
LAA/KC : Jeff Francis yes=7 no=6 -- Ervin Santana yes=2 no=11
SF/CIN : Travis Wood yes=5 no=8 -- Ryan Vogelsong yes=2 no=6
SD/WSH : Jason Marquis yes=4 no=8 -- Mat Latos yes=6 no=5

[VicVega91]

best of luck today guys !!

[doubledime]

BAL/TB : Jeremy Hellickson yes=2 no=9 -- Jake Arrieta yes=3 no=10
DET/SEA : Erik Bedard yes=6 no=5 -- Brad Penny yes=3 no=9
NYY/CLE : Fausto Carmona yes=3 no=10 -- Ivan Nova yes=1 no=10
PHI/CHC : Carlos Zambrano yes=4 no=9 -- Roy Halladay yes=2 no=11
PIT/NYM : Dillon Gee yes=2 no=6 -- Charlie Morton yes=2 no=9
TOR/BOS : Clay Buchholz yes=2 no=10 -- Jo-Jo Reyes yes= no=
FLA/ARI : Joe Saunders yes=4 no=8 -- Anibal Sanchez yes=7 no=5
HOU/ATL : Tim Hudson yes=7 no=5 -- Aneury Rodriguez yes=2 no=5
CWS/OAK : Graham Godfrey yes=0 no=0 -- Edwin Jackson yes=3 no=9
MIL/STL : Kyle Lohse yes=1 no=11 -- Chris Narveson yes=0 no=12
MIN/TEX : C.J. Wilson yes=4 no=9 -- Brian Duensing yes=3 no=8
COL/LAD : Chad Billingsley yes=2 no=11 -- Jhoulys Chacin yes=3 no=9
LAA/KC : Jeff Francis yes=7 no=6 -- Ervin Santana yes=2 no=11
SF/CIN : Travis Wood yes=5 no=8 -- Ryan Vogelsong yes=2 no=6
SD/WSH : Jason Marquis yes=4 no=8 -- Mat Latos yes=6 no=5

Thanks Bob for the early info. I'm going to be traveling today so I should have everything up soon.

[calmeat]

BAL/TB : Jeremy Hellickson yes=2 no=9 -- Jake Arrieta yes=3 no=10
DET/SEA : Erik Bedard yes=6 no=5 -- Brad Penny yes=3 no=9
NYY/CLE : Fausto Carmona yes=3 no=10 -- Ivan Nova yes=1 no=10
PHI/CHC : Carlos Zambrano yes=4 no=9 -- Roy Halladay yes=2 no=11
PIT/NYM : Dillon Gee yes=2 no=6 -- Charlie Morton yes=2 no=9
TOR/BOS : Clay Buchholz yes=2 no=10 -- Jo-Jo Reyes yes= no=
FLA/ARI : Joe Saunders yes=4 no=8 -- Anibal Sanchez yes=7 no=5
HOU/ATL : Tim Hudson yes=7 no=5 -- Aneury Rodriguez yes=2 no=5
CWS/OAK : Graham Godfrey yes=0 no=0 -- Edwin Jackson yes=3 no=9
MIL/STL : Kyle Lohse yes=1 no=11 -- Chris Narveson yes=0 no=12
MIN/TEX : C.J. Wilson yes=4 no=9 -- Brian Duensing yes=3 no=8
COL/LAD : Chad Billingsley yes=2 no=11 -- Jhoulys Chacin yes=3 no=9
LAA/KC : Jeff Francis yes=7 no=6 -- Ervin Santana yes=2 no=11
SF/CIN : Travis Wood yes=5 no=8 -- Ryan Vogelsong yes=2 no=6
SD/WSH : Jason Marquis yes=4 no=8 -- Mat Latos yes=6 no=5

Jo Jo reyes is 6-6 in sports database make sure you type his name as Jo Jo Reyes

Also
CIN/SFG : T.WOod yes=5 no=8 -- R. Vogelsong yes=2 no=6

[Bob734]

Jo Jo reyes is 6-6 in sports database make sure you type his name as Jo Jo Reyes

Also
CIN/SFG : T.WOod yes=5 no=8 -- R. Vogelsong yes=2 no=6

Thanks, update the first post.

[calmeat]

heres my sheet for today and tomorrow, I wont be around this weekend so trying to get the weekend matchups up. again future plays may change since the runs scored in 1st info is updated in the mornings so my sheet future days is not completely up to date.

https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en_US&hl=en_US&key=tV2a3kbIs4P9KDJ3vwvt0ZA&authkey=CLvZzeAN#gid=0

[Bob734]

heres my sheet for today and tomorrow, I wont be around this weekend so trying to get the weekend matchups up. again future plays may change since the runs scored in 1st info is updated in the mornings so my sheet future days is not completely up to date.

https://spreadsheets0.google.com/spr...CLvZzeAN#gid=0

I like how you organize your data!
But how can you bet without knowing the different lines up ? Without knowing the results of the previous day ??

[thenatti]

Looking forward to some winners!

[calmeat]

I like how you organize your data!
But how can you bet without knowing the different lines up ? Without knowing the results of the previous day ??

Hey Bob

So those plays may change due to some player changes but to me its all about the pitcher. Todays plays probably will not change. Tomorrows and i have sundays looks as well can change with pitcher changes or the scoring in 1st avg updated. The future plays are just quick looks nothing more, since they could change. Yes wind is a factor and lineup changes can affect the outcome but my filters are very strict on WHIP and NSFI pitcher avg and Scoring in the first avg, sat and sunday i only have 2 plays eventhough there are some real nice matchups on sunday. If a pitcher is consistant in the first inning i dont feel like it matters who the batters are, unless they are going against a team with a scoring avg in 1st above a certain #, in that case its a no play for me. I have very small bank roll and trying to build it up. I am also working with jnsbanman on filters and such so he is also adding other filters to it, usually our picks are the same but he usually ends up with more plays since my filters are more strict and based on really 3 categories while his has 11.

So in short future plays are by no means set in stone, i think you would call them blind eye. sorry if it doesnt make sense.

[pulse2011]

great job yesterday, thank you

[Bob734]

thank you for the clarification calmeat. BOL on your plays

[Tgordon777]

awesome information and thanks for sharing this...

[calmeat]

thank you for the clarification calmeat. BOL on your plays

No problem, and thank you as well, I always like to compare my plays with yours and DoubleD's along with STC and mac miller. If all are the same to me that is a very strong play. Good luck with your plays as well

[thebonzman]

Thanks to all! Lots of good info here!

[doubledime]

4-0 yesteday...... Here are today's:

All NO

Mets/Pit
TB/Balt NO

Good luck to all

[Bartmeister]

Congrats on yesterdays sweep. Good luck tonight.