Math Man 2011 MLB plays

[million2one]

Bet 30: Oakland Athletics (-1) (-122)
Bet 31: Oakland Athletics (-176)

Learned my lesson taking a big favorite, ouch.
Gotta try for some RL's today as well as my normal dog picks


Bet 32: Texas Rangers (+151)
Bet 33: Texas Rangers (+1.5)(-160)
Bet 34: Washington Nationals (+134)
Bet 35: Washington Nationals (+1.5)(-160)
Bet 36: Seattle Mariners (+119)

YTD: 13 - 18 for -3.79 units

[million2one]

*THIS CHASE IS JUST FOR FUN, AND SBR POINTS, I WOULD NOT RECOMMEND THIS TO ANYONE*

Series Chase System:
Chase 4: Toronto Blue Jays (-174)

YTD (Chase System): 3 - 0 for SBR points

A = 2 - 1
B = 0 - 1
C = 1 - 0

[million2one]

Bet 32: Texas Rangers (+151)
Bet 33: Texas Rangers (+1.5)(-160)
Bet 34: Washington Nationals (+134)
Bet 35: Washington Nationals (+1.5)(-160)
Bet 36: Seattle Mariners (+119)

Needed that night last night to help set me straight.
I am liking these Run Line plays and will continue to try and hit those.
Going for a double dip and rolling with some of the same plays for today.
-200 is out of my comfort zone, so will be the last time with that kind of juice if I lose that play.

Bet 37: Washington Nationals (+139)
Bet 38: Washington Nationals (+1.5) (-160)
Bet 39: Texas Rangers (+143)
Bet 40: Texas Rangers (+1.5)(-160)
Bet 41: Oakland Athletics (+133)
Bet 42: Oakland Athletics (+1.5)(-200)


YTD: 17 - 19 for -0.26 units

[soldier1047]

Good to know. Good luck!

[million2one]

Series Chase System:
Chase 4: Toronto Blue Jays (-174) (-190)

I know it's a joke and a system doesn't mean anything until proven over time, but always good to get a boatload of free SBR points.
Now for the real plays starting at 4PM and 7PM

YTD (Chase System): 4 - 0 for SBR points

A = 2 - 2
B = 1 - 1
C = 1 - 0

[million2one]

Bet 37: Washington Nationals (+139)
Bet 38: Washington Nationals (+1.5) (-160)
Bet 39: Texas Rangers (+143)
Bet 40: Texas Rangers (+1.5)(-160)
Bet 41: Oakland Athletics (+133)
Bet 42: Oakland Athletics (+1.5)(-200)

Got absolutely killed on Saturday night and am at a loss right now, for where to go from here.
Haven't really found much success but will continue on, just will limit my plays Fade away people.

Bet 43: Cleveland Indians (+109)
Bet 44: Seattle Mariners (-105)
Bet 45: St. Louis Cardinals (-130)

YTD: 17 - 25 for -8.46 units

[million2one]

I have some other ideas that I have tracked, and over a short period of time have seen some success with this, I will call method #2 (M2)
This method disregards odds and will prolly play lots of favorites.

Bet 1: (M2) Texas Rangers (-160)
Bet 2: (M2) LA Angles (-200)

[million2one]

And of course I have my chase system. Dizzy yet

Series Chase System:
Chase 5: St. Louis Cardinals (-130)

YTD (Chase System): 4 - 0 for SBR points

A = 2 - 2
B = 1 - 1
C = 1 - 0

[million2one]

Bet 43: Cleveland Indians (+109)
Bet 44: Seattle Mariners (-105)
Bet 45: St. Louis Cardinals (-130)

Sweeps all around for me last night. Still work to do however to get out of the hole.
May be more plays later, but wanted to post before game time.

Bet 46: Arizona D-Backs (+160) Game 1
Bet 47: St. Louis Cardinals (-126)


YTD: 20 - 25 for -5.37 units

[million2one]

Series Chase System:
Chase 5: St. Louis Cardinals (-130)

Nothing to chase until new series' begin

YTD (Chase System): 5 - 0 for +5 units

A = 3 - 2
B = 1 - 1
C = 1 - 0

[million2one]

Bet 1: (M2) Texas Rangers (-160)
Bet 2: (M2) LA Angles (-200)

Good night to test out my new method (M2)

Bet 3: (M2) Boston Red Sox (-128)
Bet 4: (M2) Cincinnati Reds (+105)
Bet 5: (M2) New York Yankees (-170)
Bet 6: (M2) Milwaukee Brewers (-150)
Bet 7: (M2) St. Louis Cardinals (-126)


YTD (M2): 2 - 0 for +2 units

[million2one]

Bet 46: Arizona D-Backs (+160) Game 1
Bet 47: St. Louis Cardinals (-126)

One early game and possibly more for the evening.
Will post updated YTD later on.

Bet 48: Tampa Bay Rays (+130)

YTD: 21 - 26 for -5.37 units

[million2one]

Bet 3: (M2) Boston Red Sox (-128)
Bet 4: (M2) Cincinnati Reds (+105)
Bet 5: (M2) New York Yankees (-170)
Bet 6: (M2) Milwaukee Brewers (-150)
Bet 7: (M2) St. Louis Cardinals (-126)

Wow, Method 2 (M2) is off and running, I know I'm taking a lot of fav's but didn't expect this.
Possibly more for the evening plays

Bet 8: (M2) Boston Red Sox (-175)
Bet 9: (M2) Texas Rangers (-140)


YTD (M2): 7 - 0 for +7 units

[million2one]

Bet 48: Tampa Bay Rays (+130)

Adding 3 plays for tonight.
Tough going against Halladay, this is simply a money grab play.

Bet 49: Cincinnati Reds (+180)
Bet 50: KC Royals (+125)
Bet 51: Chicago Cubs (+106)

[million2one]

Bet 8: (M2) Boston Red Sox (-175)
Bet 9: (M2) Texas Rangers (-140)

Method 2 is smoking crack right now, off to an 8 -0 start, but that just means these plays will probably regress back toward the mean.
Im sure Cincy will be my first loss for the M2 plays.

Bet 10 (M2): Cincinnati Reds (+180)
Bet 11 (M2): Colorado Rockies (-115)
Bet 12 (M2): Oakland Athletics (+105)

[million2one]

Bet 48: Tampa Bay Rays (+130) PPD
Bet 49: Cincinnati Reds (+180)
Bet 50: KC Royals (+125)
Bet 51: Chicago Cubs (+106)

May have to retire this method pretty soon.
I have already stopped betting these for real and have been playing the (M2)'s.
At least nothing qualifies today for this method.


YTD: 21 - 29 for -8.37 units

[million2one]

Bet 8: (M2) Boston Red Sox (-175)
Bet 9: (M2) Texas Rangers (-140)
Bet 10 (M2): Cincinnati Reds (+180)
Bet 11 (M2): Colorado Rockies (-115)
Bet 12 (M2): Oakland Athletics (+105)

First losing night for the M2's.
Oh so close with the reds, what an epic game that was.
Some more action for the early games.

Bet 13 (M2): Baltimore Orioles (-145)
Bet 14 (M2): New York Mets (+130)


YTD (M2): 9 - 3 for +5.9 units

[million2one]

Method #1 YTD (M1): 21 - 29 for -8.37 units

Always love the day when new series' are beginning, so much potential.
Be careful with these ones though, as you can see this method is not doing so well.

Bet 52: Baltimore Orioles (+150)
Bet 53: New York Yankees (+100)

[million2one]

Bet 13 (M2): Baltimore Orioles (-145)
Bet 14 (M2): New York Mets (+130)

Method #2 YTD (M2): 10 - 4 for +5.9 units

Now for my new love affair.
May start playing these on the Run lines as well.

Bet 15 (M2): Tampa Bay Rays (-160)
Bet 16 (M2): Texas Rangers (-180)
Bet 17 (M2): Washington Nationals (-120)
Bet 18 (M2): Colorado Rockies (-150)

[million2one]

Chase System YTD (CS): 5 - 0 for +5 units

A = 3 - 2
B = 1 - 1
C = 1 - 0

*THIS CHASE IS JUST FOR FUN, AND SBR POINTS, I WOULD NOT RECOMMEND THIS TO ANYONE*

And now for all you chasers. I have something for everyone.

Chase 6: Philadelphia Phillies (-136)

[million2one]

Chase 6: Philadelphia Phillies (-136)

Chase System YTD (CS): 6 - 0 for +6 units

A = 4 - 2
B = 1 - 1
C = 1 - 0

So far so good with the chase, we'll see what pops up for Monday.
Many straight bets today, will post up later.

[million2one]

Bet 52: Baltimore Orioles (+150)
Bet 53: New York Yankees (+100)

This first method not working out so well, and is about to be disbanded, I have already stopped betting these for real some time ago.
About to try something real risky with these. I am not doing this for real, just a test.

Bet 54: Baltimore Orioles (+134) risking to win 2 units
Bet 55: New York Yankees (+123) risking to win 2 units


Method #1 YTD (M1): 21 - 31 for -10.37 units

[million2one]

Bet 15 (M2): Tampa Bay Rays (-160)
Bet 16 (M2): Texas Rangers (-180)
Bet 17 (M2): Washington Nationals (-120)
Bet 18 (M2): Colorado Rockies (-150)

Lots of M2 plays for today, lets just start with the 1:00 games.

Bet 19 (M2): Washington Nationals (-137)
Bet 20 (M2): Chicago White Sox (+108)

Method #2 YTD (M2): 12 - 6 for +4.6 units

[million2one]

Bet 54: Baltimore Orioles (+134) risking to win 2 units
Bet 55: New York Yankees (+123) risking to win 2 units

Taking a break here with this first method, still going to track, maybe for fade purposes.

Method #1 YTD (M1): 21 - 33 for -13 units

[million2one]

Bet 19 (M2): Washington Nationals (-137)
Bet 20 (M2): Chicago White Sox (+108)

Method #2 actually had a very nice day yesterday going 6 and 2, of course I didn't have time to post everything, tried to get cute, and it backfired on me. From now on, I'll just post all the plays at once.
Lots of action for today. Be careful here though, had a good day yesterday, so could get crushed today.

Bet 21 (M2): Chicago White Sox (+142)
Bet 22 (M2): New York Mets (+106)
Bet 23 (M2): San Diego Padres (+103)
Bet 24 (M2): Milwaukee Brewers (-140)
Bet 25 (M2): Pittsburgh Pirates (+121)
Bet 26 (M2): Texas Rangers (-230)
Bet 27 (M2): Colorado Rockies (-120)
Bet 28 (M2): Oakland Athletics (-113)
Bet 29 (M2): New York Yankees (-140)


Method #2 YTD (M2): 12 - 8 for +2.6 units

[million2one]

Bet 21 (M2): Chicago White Sox (+142)
Bet 22 (M2): New York Mets (+106)
Bet 23 (M2): San Diego Padres (+103)
Bet 24 (M2): Milwaukee Brewers (-140)
Bet 25 (M2): Pittsburgh Pirates (+121)
Bet 26 (M2): Texas Rangers (-230)
Bet 27 (M2): Colorado Rockies (-120)
Bet 28 (M2): Oakland Athletics (-113)
Bet 29 (M2): New York Yankees (-140)

Finished with a nice little day yesterday. Texas almost buried me though.
Four plays for today and a new chase bet coming.

Bet 30 (M2): Minnesota Twins (+130)
Bet 31 (M2): Boston Red Sox (-185)
Bet 32 (M2): New York Mets (-120)
Bet 33 (M2): Arizona DBacks (-113)

Method #2 YTD (M2): 18 - 11 for +5.49 units

[million2one]

*THIS CHASE IS JUST FOR FUN, AND SBR POINTS, I WOULD NOT RECOMMEND THIS TO ANYONE*

Chase 7: Boston Red Sox (-185)

As you can see I really like this play, taking it as a straight bet as well.

Chase System YTD (CS): 6 - 0 for +6 units

A = 4 - 2
B = 1 - 1
C = 1 - 0

[XXSPOWER]

What exactly is a chase bet? How is it derived ??

[XXSPOWER]

BETUS has BSOX @ -220 NOT 180

930 Boston Red Sox
Jon Lester - L -1½ -125 -220

[million2one]

The chase bet is the standard three game chase that you see many people do.
I take the team in game 1 to win one unit, if they lose I chase my bet by doubling up in game two and then again in game three if necessary.
I am basically betting that the team will not get swept.
Very risky and dangerous, and is why I am only using my SBR points for this.

I derive the team by using a simple formula I have come up with over the years.

[million2one]

I am sure it will change, I was using pinnacle opening lines.
I have not yet placed any bets.
I still really like the BoSox here, regardless.

[million2one]

BETUS has BSOX @ -220 NOT 180

930 Boston Red Sox
Jon Lester - L -1½ -125 -220

BetUs sucks then for favs.
5Dimes has the Sox at -185.
The only thing scary about this first game is that it is Boston's first game back from a successful road trip

[XXSPOWER]

Thanks for the explanation.
I like your style and pics

Here are my pics for today , ( using BETUS ) Lines ( M/L )

PHI PHILLIES -220
OAK A'S -120
TOR BLUE JAYS -115
CIN REDS -125
FL MARLINS +110



Are you doing anything on the BB Game tonight ?

[million2one]

Bet 30 (M2): Minnesota Twins (+130)
Bet 31 (M2): Boston Red Sox (-185)
Bet 32 (M2): New York Mets (-120)
Bet 33 (M2): Arizona DBacks (-113)

Boston let me down, should have seen that given it was the first game back off a successful road trip.
I will chase them down with my SBR points, no problem.
Bounce back day today.

Bet 34 (M2): Detroit Tigers (-182)
Bet 35 (M2): Clevland Indians (+157)
Bet 36 (M2): Houston Astros (+157)
Bet 37 (M2): Colorado Rockies (+106)


Method #2 YTD (M2): 20 - 13 for +4.64 units

[million2one]

Bet 34 (M2): Detroit Tigers (-182)
Bet 35 (M2): Clevland Indians (+157)
Bet 36 (M2): Houston Astros (+157)
Bet 37 (M2): Colorado Rockies (+106)

Nice hit with my dogs last night.
Small card for today

Bet 38 (M2): San Diego Padres (+175)
Bet 39 (M2): Arizona DBacks (-155)

Method #2 YTD (M2): 23 - 14 for +7.78 units