What would happen if you just bet ALL the home teams, every day in May

[barts185]

05/31

One day left to bring this onto the positive side, or will be the worst season on record since 2004.

Month to date 222-183 -4.48
-175 or better 199-168 +1.49
Home dogs 44-51 -0.89

[barts185]

In case anyone is wondering, I don't have a non-handicapping strategy for June.

Home dogs in June, while slightly positive since 2004, have had several losing years. Overall home dogs in June are 387-444 +24.07

More than the overall profit is accounted for in one season, 2005, when home dogs went 69-60 +24.70
2004 was also a good year. Starting at 2006, home dogs in June have gone 255-326 -19.03

So, I'll put up the final recap tomorrow, and be back next April for the +100 and better dogs.

Good Luck,
Bart

[Inspirited]

It's a shame that no other months have been as consistent as April and May. September has been decent for dogs although it had a particularly bad year in 09.

Before the season I was going to follow this strategy and take the "long term" approach and accept that I might have some bad months unless I decided to quit early on something, but you never know if things are going to turn around or not. I'll have to look into the actual days.

strategy

April: HD, AD
May: HD, HF
June: HD
July: HF
August: none
September: HD, AD
October: HD, AD

results

04: 5160
05: 2205
06: 5625
07: 1925
08: 8625
09: 5990
10: 8958

average ~ 5500 per year

[barts185]

It's a shame that no other months have been as consistent as April and May. September has been decent for dogs although it had a particularly bad year in 09.

Before the season I was going to follow this strategy and take the "long term" approach and accept that I might have some bad months unless I decided to quit early on something, but you never know if things are going to turn around or not. I'll have to look into the actual days.

strategy

April: HD, AD
May: HD, HF
June: HD
July: HF
August: none
September: HD, AD
October: HD, AD

results

04: 5160
05: 2205
06: 5625
07: 1925
08: 8625
09: 5990
10: 8958

average ~ 5500 per year

For September, I would focus on the home dogs.

Away dogs, while they had a good year last year, lost the 3 seasons prior to that.

Here's what I get for September away dogs

2010 123-156 +13.95
2009 99-160 -14.40
2008 109-159 -7.75
2007 104-158 -6.85
2006 117-145 +17.00
2005 116-144 +15.45
2004 101-161 +8.45


and for September home dogs

2010 49-50 +11.78
2009 58-80 -5.85
2008 56-52 +16.25
2007 68-71 +12.70
2006 64-70 +11.90
2005 56-73 -0.65
2004 52-90 -12.20

[barts185]

And the final day is a bad one.

Final tally for 2011

May home teams 229-191 -7.48
-175 or better 206-176 -1.51
Home dogs 46-52 +0.86

So, doesn't wipe out the profits from the April +100 or better dogs, but it's the worst season on record since 2004.

April (+100 or better dogs) +31.99
May (home teams) -7.48

Total +24.51


Good Luck,
Bart

[barts185]

Let's see if home teams in May can make back some of what April dogs lost.

[barts185]

Not positive, but a better start than the dogs.

After all games on 05/01, prior to any games on 05/02

08-06 -0.03

[barts185]

After games on 05/03/12, prior to any games on 05/04/12

21-17 -02.38

[barts185]

After games on 05/05/12, prior to any games on 05/06/12

35-33 -05.20

[barts185]

After games on 05/06/12, prior to any games on 05/07/12

42-41 -06.90