New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

**BrewMaster** · 09-15-11, 09:47 AM

14Sep11: 2-0 +2.47 units
Record since 15May11: 233-206 (+31.87 units)

Scientific Approach 15Sep11:

TB

Filtered ()
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**HoulihansTX** · 09-15-11, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

I dont see any ML plays again today. I would caution everyone to be very careful this time of the season. You dont know how teams want to position themselves. I would tone down the amount you place on a game.

Kansas City is a play. +135 projected, and +105 actual. +110 is the cut off.

**Formulawiz** · 09-15-11, 10:34 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Kansas City is a play. +135 projected, and +105 actual. +110 is the cut off.

ML moved to where KC is a play now, but we need to wait till later to see if the ML moves back up.
Thanks

**Tommygunn** · 09-15-11, 10:36 AM

Complimentary Selection for 9/15/2011

Take Detroit W/Scherzer over Oakland W/McCarthy NO PLAY if > -120

**Tommygunn** · 09-15-11, 10:40 AM

P/T Sept.13.11

Cinn (watch line)

NP if >-150

Filtered:

Tex (>-150)

**HoulihansTX** · 09-15-11, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 - Current
Overall (364-365) +10.30Units

Sept 14
Bullpen Projection System
Det 3.82 W (+105)
Angels 3.69 NP>-150
Pitt 3.67 L (+135)
Hou 1.73 L (+230)
Toronto 1.72 W (+120)
____________________
TPR
Overall (128-133) -12.52Units

StL 1.3 W (-145)
Boston 1.3 L (-130)
Det 1.2 W (+105)

March 26 - Current
Overall (366-362) +10.55Units

Sept 15
Bullpen Projection System
Det 7.23

No Play
Dodgers np>-150
Tampa np L2 4.22
CWS np L2 1.65
Mets np L2 1.64
Cubs np L2 1.49
FL np L2 1.43
____________________
TPR
Overall (130-134) -11.77Units

Boston 1.6
Det 1.3

No Play
TX np>-150 1.5
Colo np(SF W2) 1.4

**Formulawiz** · 09-16-11, 07:06 AM

ML plays went 1-0, +1.0 units

YTD 159-78, +66.2 units

Plays later.

**Formulawiz** · 09-16-11, 07:43 AM

Todays ML plays, Fav must be < -140

SF, KC

**ShivaBowl** · 09-16-11, 07:55 AM

09/15/11
H/A System Plays
No Plays
125-98 +12.37Units

09/16/11
H/A System Plays
No Plays
CHC L/3
MLW, CIN W/3

**Tommygunn** · 09-16-11, 10:12 AM

Sept.16.11 P/T went 1-0 for 1.0 units. Start date 06/12.
81-59 +15.91 u.

**Tommygunn** · 09-16-11, 10:13 AM

Complimentary Selection for 9/16/2011

Take San Fran W/Bumgarner over Colorado W/White NO PLAY if > -125

**BrewMaster** · 09-16-11, 10:18 AM

15Sep11: 1-0 +1.05 units
Record since 15May11: 234-206 (+32.92 units)

Scientific Approach 16Sep11:

CLE
SF, np > -144
ARZ, np > +107

Filtered (CWS)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**Tommygunn** · 09-16-11, 10:23 AM

P/T Sept.13.11

Det

NP if >-150

Filtered:

Mil (Cinn W3)

**steve3402** · 09-16-11, 10:48 AM

Wiz,

Det is now listed at -130. There were no lines posted with sportrends. Please confirm that they're also a play.

Thanks,

**Formulawiz** · 09-16-11, 11:53 AM

I posed a question for all of you under the pro football thread. And by the way I posted both the PR plays for college and pro football.

**Formulawiz** · 09-16-11, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by steve3402

Wiz,

Det is now listed at -130. There were no lines posted with sportrends. Please confirm that they're also a play.

Thanks,

Thank you as of now they would be a play. Also be aware KC is on the fence as a play.

**HoulihansTX** · 09-16-11, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 - Current
Overall (366-362) +10.55Units
Sept 15
Bullpen Projection System
Det 7.23 L (-110)
____________________
TPR
Overall (130-134) -11.77Units

Boston 1.6 L (-110)
Det 1.3 L (-110)

March 26 - Current
Overall (366-368) +19.45Units

Sept 16
Bullpen Projection System
Det 7.79
Tampa 3.52
SF 1.26

No Play
TX no>-150 7.98
Brew np(Cincy W2) 3.37
Dodgers np>-150 3.03
Minny npL2 2.95
SD np L2 2.55
Angels np>-150 2.52
Yanks np>-150 2.15
FL np L2 1.02
____________________
TPR
Overall (130-136) -13.97Units

Det 1.3
Zona 1.2

No Play
TX np>-150 2.4
Boston np L2 1.6
Colo np(SF W2) 1.4

**Formulawiz** · 09-17-11, 07:01 AM

ML plays went 1-0, +1.0 units

YTD 160-78, +67.2 units

Plays later today

**ShivaBowl** · 09-17-11, 07:31 AM

09/17/11
H/A System Plays
No Plays

**Formulawiz** · 09-17-11, 07:58 AM

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

MIL, KC?

**jolmscheid** · 09-17-11, 10:20 AM

Hey Formula, when you say "Fav must be < -140" this is saying that favs must be LESS THAN -140 correct? So LESS THAN -140 would be -145, -150, etc....

Or do you mean the Fav must be at better odds than -140?

Thanks!

**Tommygunn** · 09-17-11, 11:16 AM

Sept.16.11 P/T went 1-0 for 1.0 units. Start date 06/12.
82-59 +16.91 u.

Sorry guys the dates on the last 2 P/T posts of mine (record for Sept.15th and plays for 16th) were incorrect. I copy and pasted them and didn't change them properly. I was just in a rush yesterday. Hopefully this didn't screw anybody up and everyone had DET as a play yesterday.

**Tommygunn** · 09-17-11, 11:17 AM

Complimentary Selection for 9/17/2011

Take Milwaukee W/Gallardo over Cincinnati W/Volquez NO PLAY if > -130

**Tommygunn** · 09-17-11, 11:21 AM

P/T Sept.17.11

no plays

**HoulihansTX** · 09-17-11, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 - Current
Overall (366-368) +9.45Units

Sept 16
Bullpen Projection System
Det 7.79 W (-130)
Tampa 3.52 L (+130)
SF 1.26 W (-140)
____________________
TPR
Overall (130-136) -13.97Units

Det 1.3 W (-130)
Zona 1.2 L (+100)

March 26 - Current
Overall (368-369) +10.45Units

Sept 17
Bullpen Projection System
Det 5.68
Seattle 4.32
Tampa 4.04
Brew 3.39
SD 2.84
SF 1.50
Toronto 1.45

No Play
Minny np L2 5.29
Atl np L2 2.64
Hou np L2 1.54
____________________
TPR
Overall (131-137) -13.97Units

Det 1.2

No Play
TX np(Sea W2) 2.5
Boston np>-150 1.5
Colo np L2 1.3
Zona np L2 1.2

**Formulawiz** · 09-18-11, 07:17 AM

ML plays went 2-0, +2.0 units

YTD 162-78, +69.2 units

Plays later today.

By the way there is a system in the sportrends software which I have been using for a few years which is phenomenal. I will not post the system here because I dont want it to get out here in the forum so the bookies have it.
Here are the first 3 weeks

week 1 14-2
week 2 17-5
week 3 15-4

I dont play small colleges so I dont have a record of these.

Email me at samwolfe@optonline.net if you want the system

**ShivaBowl** · 09-18-11, 09:33 AM

09/18/11
H/A System Plays
ATL ½ Unit If > -175
CHC
PHI

FYI:
S/A Plays 09/16/11
DET W
SFO W
CLE W
ARZ L

S/A Plays 09/17/11
CLE –110 W
KC –131 W
MLW –128 W
If they don’t get posted, go to ST and get them.

**Formulawiz** · 09-18-11, 09:37 AM

No ML plays today

**steve3402** · 09-18-11, 09:47 AM

Hi ShivaBowl,

Where in ST would I find the S/A plays? Do I need to have the software downloaded?

Thanks for your help.

**HoulihansTX** · 09-18-11, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

No ML plays today

Recent line movement has made Tampa a play.

Tampa is a play if Boston is +130(+131, +132, +133, etc).

Cards are a play if Philly drops to -110 or lower.

**HoulihansTX** · 09-18-11, 10:27 AM

Sept 18
Bullpen Projection System
Tampa 5.26
Seattle 3.78
KC 3.27
Yanks 1.06

No Play
Det np>-150 6.36
Minny np L2 5.83
Brew np >-150 4.71
Atl np>-150 3.60
Hou np L2 2.04
Pitt np L2 1.83
_________________________
TPR
TX 2.5
Boston 1.5

No Play
Colo np L2 1.3
Zona np L2 1.2
Det np>-150 1.2

**Tommygunn** · 09-18-11, 12:07 PM

Complimentary Selection for 9/18/2011

Take San Diego W/Harang over Arizona W/Saunders NO PLAY if > -110

**Tommygunn** · 09-18-11, 12:22 PM

P/T Sept.18.11

CLE
CHC
PHI

No Play if >-150

Filtered:

ATL (>-150)

**Formulawiz** · 09-18-11, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Recent line movement has made Tampa a play.

Tampa is a play if Boston is +130(+131, +132, +133, etc).

Cards are a play if Philly drops to -110 or lower.

No plays today.

**ShivaBowl** · 09-19-11, 08:16 AM

09/18/11
H/A System Plays Went 0-3
Start date 06/01/11
125-98 +8.59Units

09/18/11
S/A System Plays Went 4-1
NYY –101 L
NYM +175 W
CLE –138 W
ARZ –105 W
TEX –103 W
S/A Plays
Start date 05/11/11
244-208 + 41.61 Units

09/19/11
H/A System Plays
CLE
PHI 1/2 Unit

S/A System Plays
ATL If < -109
MLW If < -150
BOS if wins game 1
And Lackey if < -150

steve3402

www.sportrends.com

http://www.sportrends.com/team_baseball_matchup.htm