Fading Seattle and the Mets!

Maddhatter · 08-06-11, 11:05 PM

8/6 Sat

LAA -148 1u

Atlanta -123 1u

Detroit -200 10u

Washington +160 1u

SDG +106 5u

Atl/NYM O7.5 +104 3u

Milwaukee -142 10u

Milwaukee -1.5 +112 5u

Cleveland +1.5 -106 5u

Det/KC U8 -123 7u

Oak/TB O8 -105 5u

SDG/Pitt U7.5 -111 7u

Cubs +128 4u

Narveson vs Myers. Narveson w/ 1.21 WHIP, 2.95 ERA, 2 runs, 6.1 inns ave last 5. Myers w/ 1.43 WHIP, 4.57 ERA, 3.2 ER, 6.1 inns ave last 5. Milw batting .309, 4.8 runs/g vs Houston batting .246, 3.1 runs/g ave last 10 games. Milw has a crappy road record but I believe that with a team this good, they should be able to get it together and sweep the Astros. Milwaukee 8-2. Milw 7-5!

Verlander vs Duffy. Verlander w/ 0.83 WHIP, 2.16 ERA, 1.8 ER, 7.5 Inns ave in last 5 games. Duffy w/ 1.59 WHIP, 5.77 ERA, 3.4 ER, 5.1 Inns ave in last 5 games. KC and Det batting about even with the edge going to KC in their last 10 games. KC definitely got it going again after the All Star break. Facing Verlander, who is actually pitching better lately than he did earlier in the season should hold that batting advantage down. Hate the juice but I can't deny the advantage given in this matchup. Detroit and the Under 5-1. Detroit 4-3!

Carmona vs Wilson. Carmona w/ 1.27 WHIP, 2.95 ERA, 1.8 ER, 5.5 Inns ave last 5 games. Wilson w/ 1.36 WHIP, 4.58 ERA, 3 ER, 5.9 Inns last 5 games. Texas has a huge advantage in batting in last 10 games but I see a downward trend with Cleveland going up. Looking for a close game with Texas edging Cleveland 5-4. Cleveland 7-5!

Luebke vs Maholm. Luebke w/ 1.14 WHIP, 4.29 ERA, 3 ER, 6.1 Inns ave last 5 games. Maholm w/ 1.40 WHIP, 4.00 ERA, 2.8 ER, 6.1 Inns ave last 5 games. Pittsburg has hit their crest on the wave and right now are sliding down the barrel in the tube. Will they wipeout or duck out of the wave to catch another? Their pen has to be close to being used up and they must be questioning themselves. Until they prove otherwise, advantage to the opposing team. SDG and the Under 3-1. SDG 13-2!

8-4-1 +39.66 Units for the day. Perfect on write-up plays! Tomorrow's another day!

Tracking Fades: Seattle +87.03 Units (50-45), Mets -11.82 Units (45-50)
Fade Total: +75.21 (95-95)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -4.83 Units (12-11), Colorado -10.16 Units (13-10)
KC & Col Fade Total: -14.99 Units (25-21)

Side Bets: -69.74 Units 49.4% (395-404) 59-40-3 10u Plays.

blackeyeshamus · 08-06-11, 11:58 PM

brilliant!
keep it up, maddhatter!
I am right behind you, brah!
congratulations.
good luck!

Maddhatter · 08-07-11, 02:08 AM

8/7 Sun

LAA -121 10u
Atlanta NL 1u
Detroit -130 10u
Washington +113 3u

Detroit -1.5 +128 5u
Boston -1.5 +124 5u
CWS/Minn O8 -113 3u
Florida +126 5u
StL/Florida U8.5 -110 4u
Wash/Col U10 +118 4u
Sea/LAA U6.5 -103 5u
SDG -113 10u

Notes to Self/Leans: Minn TT O, Colo TT O, Sea TT U, Det TT O...

F. Garcia vs Beckett. Garcia w/ a 1.26 WHIP, 3.05 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.5 inns/g ave last 5 games. Beckett w/ 0.97 WHIP, 2.45 ERA, 1.8 ER, 6.6 Inns/g ave last 5 games. Yankee bats been on fire and hold a slight advantage here in the last 10 games. "Garcia (10-7, 3.22) has allowed nine runs in seven innings while losing both starts versus Boston in 2011." Beckett "has allowed two runs and 10 hits in 21 innings with 25 strikeouts while going 3-0 against the Yankees this season." Riding their last win and gaining momentum, Bosox bats should stay hot and ruin Garcia's 3 game win streak. Boston RL 7-1.

Peavy vs Duensing. Peavy w/ 1.63 WHIP, 6.10 ERA, 4 ER, 5.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Duensing w/ 1.34 WHIP, 5.31 ERA, 3.6 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. "Brian Duensing has scuffled at home this season, going 2-3 with a 5.45 ERA - and has allowed a .307 batting average." CWS career batting vs Duensing are averaging .295 and Minn career bats vs Peavy are hitting at a .326 clip. CWS ave 5 runs/g last 4 and Minn ave 4 runs/g last 4 against the likes of Haren, Santana, and Buerlhe. Over is 10-2 in Peavys last 12 road starts. Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog. Close game w/ a possibility of going into extra innings. CWS and Over 6-5.

J. Garcia vs Vasquez. Garcia w/ 1.40 WHIP, 3.14 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Vasquez w/ 1.14 WHIP, 2.77 ERA, 2 ER, 6.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Good spot to take Florida as home underdogs. Looking at the last 10 games, Florida batting .272, 4.4 runs/g, and a .385 OBP. StL batting .270, 5.5 runs/g, and a .372 OBP. "Garcia has a 4.79 ERA on the road compared to his 1.56 home mark." Pujols and Holliday both batting good during this series and against Vasquez. Although, "he's been sharper lately at 4-2 with a 2.13 ERA in his last eight starts overall." I like the home team in this spot to steal one from StL avoiding the sweep. Florida going Under 4-3.

Lannan vs Cook. Lannan w/ 1.38 WHIP, 4.25 ERA, 2.6 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Cook w/ 1.74 WHIP, 6.11 ERA, 3.6 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Nats batting .294, 4.4 runs/g, w/ 3.86 OBP. Rox batting .266, 3.9 runs/g, w/ .363 OBP. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games. Under is 5-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado H2H. Out of Cook's last 10 games, only 2 have gone over 10 runs and the same goes for Lannan. Bats beating down the pitching staff of both teams in their last game giving IMO a possible inflated O/U of 10.5 and now 10. All signs point to this game going under the posted total. Washington upset and the Under 5-3.

F. Hernandez vs Santana. Hernandez w/ 1.42 WHIP, 3.91 ERA, 3 ER, 6.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Santana w/ 0.87 WHIP, 1.62 ERA, 1.4 ER, 7.8 Inns/g ave last 5. Angels .232, Mariners .251 ave last 10. Sea has the edge here but there's a huge disparity in pitching w/ Santana on the mound. Santana last 2 were both complete game wins and on a 3 game win streak. He's averaging 108 pitches/g and has shown no signs of tiring out. Hernandez has been averaging 113 pitches and is on his own 2 game winning streak going into this matchup. Angels are 12-1 in their last 13 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Angels win a low scoring game going Under 3-1.

Scherzer vs Chen. Scherzer w/ 1.08 WHIP, 2.15 ERA, 1.6 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Chen w/ 1.75 WHIP, 6.22 ERA, 3.8 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Scherzer started out the season strong then lost his footing a little and has levelled off some showing consistency in his latest starts. Chen has been getting nailed lately and is "0-3 with a 7.48 ERA in four starts since beating the White Sox on July 6. He allowed 10 runs in four innings of a 12-5 loss at Boston on July 27, then lasted just 4 2/3 innings Tuesday and gave up three runs on 115 pitches in an 8-2 loss to Baltimore." Huge advantage for the visiting pitching staff here. Batting stats and pen about even. Detroit wins easily 9-2.

Latos vs Correia. Latos w/ 1.11 WHIP, 3.05 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Correia w/ 2.09 WHIP, 9.60 ERA, 4.8 ER, 4.5 Inns/g ave last 5. I won't bother even typing anymore except copy/paste last nights writeup about the Pirates. "Pittsburg has hit their crest on the wave and right now are sliding down the barrel in the tube. Will they wipeout or duck out of the wave to catch another? Their pen has to be close to being used up and they must be questioning themselves. Until they prove otherwise, advantage to the opposing team." SDG in another blowout 10-3.

I don't feel entirely comfortable with this card but it is what it is.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +88.51 Units (50-44), Mets -10.59 Units (45-49)
Fade Total: +77.92 (95-93)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -14.83 Units (11-11), Colorado -9.16 Units (13-9)
KC & Col Fade Total: -23.99 Units (24-20)

Side Bets: -103.11 Units 49.1% (388-403) 57-40-3 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-07-11, 02:26 AM

Forgot to post CWS -113 5u

Maddhatter · 08-07-11, 09:54 AM

Adding Minn TT O3.5 -123 5u
Seattle TT U3 -102 5u
LAA TT U3.5 -119 5u
Detroit TT O4.5 -116 10u
Atlanta +123 1u

Maddhatter · 08-07-11, 11:49 PM

8/7 Sun

LAA -121 10u

Atlanta +123 1u

Detroit -130 10u

Washington +113 3u

Detroit -1.5 +128 5u

Boston -1.5 +124 5u

CWS/Minn O8 -113 3u

Florida +126 5u

StL/Florida U8.5 -110 4u

Wash/Col U10 +118 4u

Sea/LAA U6.5 -103 5u

SDG -113 10u

CWS -113 5u

Minn TT O3.5 -123 5u

Seattle TT U3 -102 5u

LAA TT U3.5 -119 5u

Detroit TT O4.5 -116 10u

F. Garcia vs Beckett. Garcia w/ a 1.26 WHIP, 3.05 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.5 inns/g ave last 5 games. Beckett w/ 0.97 WHIP, 2.45 ERA, 1.8 ER, 6.6 Inns/g ave last 5 games. Yankee bats been on fire and hold a slight advantage here in the last 10 games. "Garcia (10-7, 3.22) has allowed nine runs in seven innings while losing both starts versus Boston in 2011." Beckett "has allowed two runs and 10 hits in 21 innings with 25 strikeouts while going 3-0 against the Yankees this season." Riding their last win and gaining momentum, Bosox bats should stay hot and ruin Garcia's 3 game win streak. Boston RL 7-1. Boston 3-2.

Peavy vs Duensing. Peavy w/ 1.63 WHIP, 6.10 ERA, 4 ER, 5.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Duensing w/ 1.34 WHIP, 5.31 ERA, 3.6 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. "Brian Duensing has scuffled at home this season, going 2-3 with a 5.45 ERA - and has allowed a .307 batting average." CWS career batting vs Duensing are averaging .295 and Minn career bats vs Peavy are hitting at a .326 clip. CWS ave 5 runs/g last 4 and Minn ave 4 runs/g last 4 against the likes of Haren, Santana, and Buerlhe. Over is 10-2 in Peavys last 12 road starts. Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog. Close game w/ a possibility of going into extra innings. CWS and Over 6-5. CWS 7-0! U8.

J. Garcia vs Vasquez. Garcia w/ 1.40 WHIP, 3.14 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Vasquez w/ 1.14 WHIP, 2.77 ERA, 2 ER, 6.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Good spot to take Florida as home underdogs. Looking at the last 10 games, Florida batting .272, 4.4 runs/g, and a .385 OBP. StL batting .270, 5.5 runs/g, and a .372 OBP. "Garcia has a 4.79 ERA on the road compared to his 1.56 home mark." Pujols and Holliday both batting good during this series and against Vasquez. Although, "he's been sharper lately at 4-2 with a 2.13 ERA in his last eight starts overall." I like the home team in this spot to steal one from StL avoiding the sweep. Florida going Under 4-3. StL 8-4. O8.5.

Lannan vs Cook. Lannan w/ 1.38 WHIP, 4.25 ERA, 2.6 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Cook w/ 1.74 WHIP, 6.11 ERA, 3.6 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Nats batting .294, 4.4 runs/g, w/ 3.86 OBP. Rox batting .266, 3.9 runs/g, w/ .363 OBP. Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 home games. Under is 5-1 in the last 5 meetings in Colorado H2H. Out of Cook's last 10 games, only 2 have gone over 10 runs and the same goes for Lannan. Bats beating down the pitching staff of both teams in their last game giving IMO a possible inflated O/U of 10.5 and now 10. All signs point to this game going under the posted total. Washington upset and the Under 5-3. Washington 3-2! U10!

F. Hernandez vs Santana. Hernandez w/ 1.42 WHIP, 3.91 ERA, 3 ER, 6.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Santana w/ 0.87 WHIP, 1.62 ERA, 1.4 ER, 7.8 Inns/g ave last 5. Angels .232, Mariners .251 ave last 10. Sea has the edge here but there's a huge disparity in pitching w/ Santana on the mound. Santana last 2 were both complete game wins and on a 3 game win streak. He's averaging 108 pitches/g and has shown no signs of tiring out. Hernandez has been averaging 113 pitches and is on his own 2 game winning streak going into this matchup. Angels are 12-1 in their last 13 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Angels are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Angels win a low scoring game going Under 3-1. LAA 2-1! U6.5!

Scherzer vs Chen. Scherzer w/ 1.08 WHIP, 2.15 ERA, 1.6 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Chen w/ 1.75 WHIP, 6.22 ERA, 3.8 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Scherzer started out the season strong then lost his footing a little and has levelled off some showing consistency in his latest starts. Chen has been getting nailed lately and is "0-3 with a 7.48 ERA in four starts since beating the White Sox on July 6. He allowed 10 runs in four innings of a 12-5 loss at Boston on July 27, then lasted just 4 2/3 innings Tuesday and gave up three runs on 115 pitches in an 8-2 loss to Baltimore." Huge advantage for the visiting pitching staff here. Batting stats and pen about even. Detroit wins easily 9-2. KC 4-3.

Latos vs Correia. Latos w/ 1.11 WHIP, 3.05 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Correia w/ 2.09 WHIP, 9.60 ERA, 4.8 ER, 4.5 Inns/g ave last 5. I won't bother even typing anymore except copy/paste last nights writeup about the Pirates. "Pittsburg has hit their crest on the wave and right now are sliding down the barrel in the tube. Will they wipeout or duck out of the wave to catch another? Their pen has to be close to being used up and they must be questioning themselves. Until they prove otherwise, advantage to the opposing team." SDG in another blowout 10-3. SDG 7-3!

9-8 -4.20 Units for the day. 6-5 on write-up plays. 2-2 on 10u plays. Seattle and Mets both lost. Just angry at myself for not playing SDG RL, slipped my mind. Overall, I was fairly happy with my analysis on the writeup plays and had a feeling I would be wrong here and there. Thought Detroit would have had a stronger offensive showing and really shouldn't have put the Det TT over as a 10u play. Boston bats were sluggish and Yankee pitching did a good job. My boy Reddick did awesome. "I see both Chavez and Reddick playing pivital roles for both teams in this series."
I'm finding I focus better if I do small writeups and will try to follow through as much as possible, time permitting. As I'm fond of saying.... tomorrow's another day. GL!

Tracking Fades: Seattle +98.51 Units (51-44), Mets -9.36 Units (46-49)
Fade Total: +89.15 (97-93)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -27.83 Units (11-12), Colorado -5.77 Units (14-9)
KC & Col Fade Total: -33.60 Units (25-21)

Side Bets: -103.93 Units 49.0% (394-410) 59-42-3 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-08-11, 02:42 AM

8/8 Mon

Texas -220 5u
SDG -104 7u
TB -165 1u
Cinncinati NL 1u

Houston/Ariz U8 -108 4u
Arizona -172 3u
Texas -1.5 -114 5u
CWS -116 10u
CWS/Balt U8 +109 7u

Notes to Self/Leans: Minn FF, Florida FF, Houston TT U, Sea TT U, Pitt TT U, Balt TT U, SDG TT O3,...

Stauffer vs Pelfrey. Stauffer w/ a 1.36 WHIP, 2.90 ERA, 2.0 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Pelfrey w/ a 1.31 WHIP, 3.94 ERA, 2.8 ER, 6.4 Inns/g ave last 5. Mets losing two of their top sluggers is going to limit some runs. "San Diego (51-64) arrives in New York after pounding out 35 runs and 40 hits to sweep a three-game set in Pittsburgh." from ESPN. Padres hitting from all spots in the lineup atm. Add to the fact that they hold the league #1 spot in steals should put more pressure on the Mets pitchers. Advantage to SDG with the better pen. If SDG TT ever goes down to 3, I'd take the over. SDG 4-2.

W. Rodriguez vs D. Hudson. Rodriguez w/ a 1.27 WHIP, 5.10 ERA, 3.4 ER, 6 Inns/g ave last 5. Hudson w/ a 1.25 WHIP, 3.39 ERA, 2.6 ER, 6.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Houston team batting last 10 games hold the lowest batting average of all MLB teams at .228 w/ a .315 OBP, 3.1 r/g while Arizona is slightly higher than 4 other teams in the MLB last 10 games at .233 w/ a .368 OBP, 4.3 r/g. Houston should've been another to add to the auto fade list. Slight lean on Arizona to win and medium play on the Under. Arizona and Under 4-2.

Furbush vs Harrison. Furbush w/ a 1.54 WHIP, 5.93 ERA, 2.7 ER, 4.1 Inn/g ave last 3. Harrison w/ a 1.18 WHIP, 2.54 ERA, 2 ER, 7.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Seattle batting .252, .330 OBP, 3.8 r/g ave last 10. Texas batting .271, .326 OBP, 4.1 r/g ave last 10. Seattle showing some signs of life at bat while Texas is about league average. Rangers are 5-0 in Harrisons last 5 starts as a home favorite. Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. Advantage Texas on starting pitching and the better pen to Seattle. Texas RL 6-2.

Wakefield vs Baker. Wakefield w/ a 1.40 WHIP, 5.43 ERA, 3.8 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Baker w/ a 1.06 WHIP, 1.64 ERA, 1 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Baker on the road has been erratic but at home, "he's been brilliant at home, winning five straight outings at Target Field and not allowing an earned run in the last four. He has a 0.22 ERA in his past six home starts, walking four and striking out 40." from ESPN. Minny bats are decent considering they have lost their last 14 out of 21 games. Batting .266, .331 OBP, 4.0 r/g ave last 10. Boston batting .264, .338 OBP, 4.7 r/g ave last 10. I hate betting against my team but I believe Baker can hold them down until about the 6th inn. Slight let down spot here for Boston. Minn FF 2-0.

Danks vs Guthrie. Danks w/ a 1.16 WHIP, 1.96 ERA, 1.2 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Guthrie w/ a 1.39 WHIP, 4.91 ERA, 3.6 ER, 6.6 Inns/g ave last 5. "Guthrie is 0-2 with a 6.59 ERA in last two starts against White Sox after going 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA in his previous three." Batting has been about even lately with these two struggling offenses. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. White Sox are 6-1 in Danks' last 7 starts as a favorite. Under is 10-1 in White Sox last 11 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-0 in Danks' last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. CWS showed some signs of improvement scoring with their last win and should be able to take the first game of the series. I put faith in Guthrie and Balt w/ a 10u play the last time and I got burned. Going the other way this time. CWS and the Under 5-1.

Lowe vs Hand. Lowe w/ a 1.93 WHIP, 7.47 ERA, 4.4 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Hand w/ a 1.49 WHIP, 2.68 ERA, 1.4 ER, 4.2 Inns/g last 5. Lowe is struggling and has lost his last 3 starts, possibly a 4th. Atlanta has the hotter bats going into this series and Florida has been anemic since returning home from their road trip. Putting my faith in the rookie here until Lowe shows that he has his stuff. Going with Florida once again but in the 1st 5. Florida FF 4-1.

Tread lightly today. Monday has a strange vibe.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +98.51 Units (51-44), Mets -9.36 Units (46-49)
Fade Total: +89.15 (97-93)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -27.83 Units (11-12), Colorado -5.77 Units (14-9)
KC & Col Fade Total: -33.60 Units (25-21)

Side Bets: -103.93 Units 49.0% (394-410) 59-42-3 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-08-11, 10:30 AM

Adding Florida FF +101 5u
Minn FF +102 5u
Houston TT U3 +101 3u
Seattle TT U3.5 -101 3u
Pittsburg TT U3 -127 3u
Cinn -153 1u

Maddhatter · 08-08-11, 08:31 PM

Adding Hous/Ari Score in 1st NO -114 3u

Maddhatter · 08-09-11, 12:41 AM

8/8 Mon

Texas -220 5u

SDG -104 7u

TB -165 1u

Cinn -153 1u

Houston/Ariz U8 -108 4u

Arizona -172 3u

Texas -1.5 -114 5u

CWS -116 10u

CWS/Balt U8 +109 7u

Florida FF +101 5u

Minn FF +102 5u

Houston TT U3 +101 3u

Seattle TT U3.5 -101 3u

Pittsburg TT U3 -127 3u

Hous/Ari Score in 1st NO -114 3u

6-9 -11.52 Units for the day.

Stauffer vs Pelfrey. Stauffer w/ a 1.36 WHIP, 2.90 ERA, 2.0 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Pelfrey w/ a 1.31 WHIP, 3.94 ERA, 2.8 ER, 6.4 Inns/g ave last 5. Mets losing two of their top sluggers is going to limit some runs. "San Diego (51-64) arrives in New York after pounding out 35 runs and 40 hits to sweep a three-game set in Pittsburgh." from ESPN. Padres hitting from all spots in the lineup atm. Add to the fact that they hold the league #1 spot in steals should put more pressure on the Mets pitchers. Advantage to SDG with the better pen. If SDG TT ever goes down to 3, I'd take the over. SDG 4-2. Mets 9-8. Bell just blew it in the 9th.

W. Rodriguez vs D. Hudson. Rodriguez w/ a 1.27 WHIP, 5.10 ERA, 3.4 ER, 6 Inns/g ave last 5. Hudson w/ a 1.25 WHIP, 3.39 ERA, 2.6 ER, 6.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Houston team batting last 10 games hold the lowest batting average of all MLB teams at .228 w/ a .315 OBP, 3.1 r/g while Arizona is slightly higher than 4 other teams in the MLB last 10 games at .233 w/ a .368 OBP, 4.3 r/g. Houston should've been another to add to the auto fade list. Slight lean on Arizona to win and medium play on the Under. Arizona and Under 4-2. Houston 9-1. O8.

Furbush vs Harrison. Furbush w/ a 1.54 WHIP, 5.93 ERA, 2.7 ER, 4.1 Inn/g ave last 3. Harrison w/ a 1.18 WHIP, 2.54 ERA, 2 ER, 7.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Seattle batting .252, .330 OBP, 3.8 r/g ave last 10. Texas batting .271, .326 OBP, 4.1 r/g ave last 10. Seattle showing some signs of life at bat while Texas is about league average. Rangers are 5-0 in Harrisons last 5 starts as a home favorite. Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. Advantage Texas on starting pitching and the better pen to Seattle. Texas RL 6-2. Texas 9-2!

Wakefield vs Baker. Wakefield w/ a 1.40 WHIP, 5.43 ERA, 3.8 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Baker w/ a 1.06 WHIP, 1.64 ERA, 1 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Baker on the road has been erratic but at home, "he's been brilliant at home, winning five straight outings at Target Field and not allowing an earned run in the last four. He has a 0.22 ERA in his past six home starts, walking four and striking out 40." from ESPN. Minny bats are decent considering they have lost their last 14 out of 21 games. Batting .266, .331 OBP, 4.0 r/g ave last 10. Boston batting .264, .338 OBP, 4.7 r/g ave last 10. I hate betting against my team but I believe Baker can hold them down until about the 6th inn. Slight let down spot here for Boston. Minn FF 2-0. Min 5-1! Boston 8-6 final.

Danks vs Guthrie. Danks w/ a 1.16 WHIP, 1.96 ERA, 1.2 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Guthrie w/ a 1.39 WHIP, 4.91 ERA, 3.6 ER, 6.6 Inns/g ave last 5. "Guthrie is 0-2 with a 6.59 ERA in last two starts against White Sox after going 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA in his previous three." Batting has been about even lately with these two struggling offenses. White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. White Sox are 6-1 in Danks' last 7 starts as a favorite. Under is 10-1 in White Sox last 11 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-0 in Danks' last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. CWS showed some signs of improvement scoring with their last win and should be able to take the first game of the series. I put faith in Guthrie and Balt w/ a 10u play the last time and I got burned. Going the other way this time. CWS and the Under 5-1. CWS 7-6 for 10u! O8.

Lowe vs Hand. Lowe w/ a 1.93 WHIP, 7.47 ERA, 4.4 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Hand w/ a 1.49 WHIP, 2.68 ERA, 1.4 ER, 4.2 Inns/g last 5. Lowe is struggling and has lost his last 3 starts, possibly a 4th. Atlanta has the hotter bats going into this series and Florida has been anemic since returning home from their road trip. Putting my faith in the rookie here until Lowe shows that he has his stuff. Going with Florida once again but in the 1st 5. Florida FF 4-1. Atlanta 7-2. Atlanta 8-5 final.

3-5 on Write-up Plays. 1-0 on 10u plays. Seattle lost and Mets won. Minn FF was $ and so was Texas RL. SDG just plain blew a 2 run lead in the bottom of the 9th. Everything else was straight up wrong. In retrospect, I need to back my own plays better and it should reflect more in my TT totals. CWS TT O, Minn or Boston TT O, Texas TT O, and SDG TT O for examples. We'll see how it fares in future picks. Tomorrow's another day.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +103.51 Units (52-44), Mets -16.64 Units (46-50)
Fade Total: +86.87 (98-94)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -26.83 Units (12-12), Colorado -7.30 Units (14-10)
KC & Col Fade Total: -34.13 Units (26-22)

Side Bets: -112.64 Units 48.8% (398-417) 60-42-3 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-09-11, 04:17 PM

8/9 Tues

Texas -184 7u
SDG +123 1u
TB -180 1u
Cinncinati -130 4u

LAA FF +111 6u
LAA TT O3.5 -130 4u
Texas -1.5 +114 7u
Seattle TT U3.5 -113 5u
Sea/Tex U8 +110 3u
Boston -133 10u
Boston -1.5 +123 5u
Bos/Minn O8.5 -115 4u
Boston TT O4.5 7u
Milw/StL O8 -104 10u
Milwaukee +111 5u
Milw TT O3.5 10u
StL O4 7u
SDG TT O3.5 -116 5u
Mets TT O4 -102 5u
Houston FF +159 3u
Hou/Ariz FF U5 -108 7u
CWS -132 10u
CWS TT O4.5 -119 10u

Haren vs Burnett. Haren w/ a 1.04 WHIP, 3.55 ERA, 2.8 ER, 7.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Burnett w/ a 1.69 WHIP, 6.21 ERA, 4 ER, 5.8 Inns/g ave last 5. Angels with one of the best starting rotation in baseball is coming into Yankee Stadium scoring just 4 runs while winning its last series vs the Mariners at home. Haren coming off 2 wins going 9 and 8 innings while only giving up 1 run each game against Detroit and Minn. Angels batting .241, .312 OBP, 4.1 r/g ave last 10, while Yanks batting .319, .422 OBP, 7.2 r/g ave last 10. I don't see how the Angels can win this game but I do see them possibly holding down the Yankee offense just enough so that they can score against a mistake prone Burnett w/ Haren on the mound. Medium play on Angels FF 3-1 w/ a small play on Angels TT O3.5.

Pineda vs Ogando. Pineda w/ a 1.25 WHIP, 6.75 ERA, 4.2 ER, 5.6 Inns/g ave last 5. Ogando w/ a 1.10 WHIP, 2.96 WHIP, 2.2 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Seattle batting .242, .309 OBP, 3.1 r/g ave last 10 while Texas batting .281, .362 OBP, 4.9 r/g ave last 10. Ogando should dominate against this Seattle batting lineup and the same could be said w/ Texas bats heating up starting from their last game and continuing its bottom feeding dominance vs the Mariners. Pineda gave up only one run in his last outing vs a Tampa Bay team struggling to hit the ball (.241 team batting ave last 10). Texas ML and Texas RL and game under w/ Seattle TT U3.5 Texas wins 5-1.

Bedard vs Liriano. Bedard w/ a 1.02 WHIP, 3.74 WHIP, 2.2 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Liriano w/ a 1.71 WHIP, 4.91 ERA, 3 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Minn batting .254, .305 OBP, 3.8 r/g ave last 10. Boston batting .303, .380 OBP, 5.4 r/g ave last 10. One team riding a high and the other struggling. Boston holds every advantage and it will be reflected in the final score. Going large with my homer bet. Boston, Boston RL, Boston TT O4.5 with a win 8-2.

Marcum vs E. Jackson. Marcum w/ a 1.20 WHIP, 4.50 ERA, 3 ER, 6 Inns/g ave last 5. Jackson w/ a 1.44 WHIP, 3.75 ERA, 4 ER, 7.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Brewers batting league leading .326, .395 OBP, 6.4 r/g ave last 10 while StL batting .293, .394 OBP, 6.0 r/g ave last 10. Books look like they expect Jackson to settle down and pitch a good game and expect Marcum to shut down StL on the road. 2 hot offenses should get some hits/runs and battle in a decent high scoring ball game with Milwaukee coming out on top perhaps in extra innings. Taking the dog and the Over 8 (10u play) here and sprinkling both team overs (StL TT O4 and 10u play on Milw TT O3.5), Milwaukee 6-5.

LeBlanc vs Capuano. LeBlanc w/ a 1.91 WHIP, 5.00 ERA, 3 ER, 5.4 Inns/g ave last 5. Capuano w/ a 1.39 WHIP, 5.23 ERA, 3.6 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Padres batting .267, .371 OBP, 6.4 r/g ave last 10. Mets batting .292, .375 OBP, 5.2 r/g ave last 10. Lots of injuries to both teams, yet they both seem to be able to score. Over is 18-7-1 in SD last 26 overall. Over is 9-1-1 in SD last 11 games as an underdog. Over is 11-5 in NYM last 16 overall. Taking a shot at the Over 8 and SDG TT O3.5 and Mets TT O4. SDG 6-5.

Lyles vs Marquis. Lyles w/ a 1.13 WHIP, 4.57 ERA, 3.4 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Marquis w/ a 1.73 WHIP, 7.06 ERA, 4 ER, 5.1 Inns/g. Good shot at taking a large dog here in the FF just based on the pitching matchup. Marquis is a great groundball pitcher trying to find his groove and Lyles is prone to giving up a knock outta the park. Dealing away their top hitters hasn't done much harm to the Astros scoring lately and after last game, I'm hoping they can still get some runs in vs Marquis who's against the ropes looking for a bounce back win against a Houston team that has nothing to lose w/ young players looking to get noticed. I don't see a lot of runs being scored early and taking a stab at the dog value small. Houston FF and FF U5 2-1.

Floyd vs Reyes. Floyd w/ a 1.30 WHIP, 6.00 ERA, 3.8 ER, 5.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Reyes w/ a 2.04 WHIP, 9.00 ERA, 5 ER, 5 Inns/g ave last 5. CWS batting .273, .327 OBP, 4.1 r/g ave last 10. Balt batting .231, .293 OBP, 4.0 r/g ave last 10. Fading Jo Jo has made a lot of bettors cash this season. I don't see it changing today. Floyd had been pitching well until he came up against the NYY. I see him turning things around and putting the lid on Balt. CWS again for a 10u play. CWS FF 5-0 and CWS TT O4.5, 9-1 final score.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +103.51 Units (52-44), Mets -16.64 Units (46-50)
Fade Total: +86.87 (98-94)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -26.83 Units (12-12), Colorado -7.30 Units (14-10)
KC & Col Fade Total: -34.13 Units (26-22)

Side Bets: -112.64 Units 48.8% (398-417) 60-42-3 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-09-11, 04:25 PM

Forgot SDG/Mets O8 -113 8u

blackeyeshamus · 08-09-11, 04:28 PM

no action on blue jays @ -140?

Maddhatter · 08-09-11, 04:30 PM

BJs bats have been anemic and their bullpen have sucked lately. I was leaning Oak earlier but don't trust Harden either. Advantage Toronto on Starting pitcher but the advantage swings to Oakland with their pen and better bats lately. Stay away game for me.

blackeyeshamus · 08-09-11, 04:34 PM

might cut my action down, but I'm going to touch blue jays @ -140, brah.
like all your plays, brah. one of my local players is rolling deep on TEX and CWS...
hope you both cash! good luck tonight, my friend. thanks for the heads up play!

Maddhatter · 08-09-11, 04:42 PM

Hope you hit it bud! Gonna stay away from that game and root for ya.

Maddhatter · 08-09-11, 06:29 PM

Above CWS -132 10u should be CWS FF -132 10u as stated in writeup.

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 12:03 AM

8/9 Tues

Texas -184 7u W
SDG +123 1u L
TB -180 1u W
Cinncinati -130 4u L

LAA FF +111 6u L
LAA TT O3.5 -130 4u W
Texas -1.5 +114 7u L
Seattle TT U3.5 -113 5u L
Sea/Tex U8 +110 3u L
Boston -133 10u W
Boston -1.5 +123 5u L
Bos/Minn O8.5 -115 4u L
Boston TT O4.5 -106 7u L
Milw/StL O8 -104 10u E
Milwaukee +111 5u W
Milw TT O3.5 -140 10u W
StL TT O4 -104 7u L
SDG TT O3.5 -116 5u W
Mets TT O4 -102 5u W
Houston FF +159 3u W
Hou/Ariz FF U5 -108 7u L
CWS FF -132 10u W
CWS TT O4.5 -119 10u L
SDG/Mets O8 -113 8u W

11-12-1 -1.29 Units for the day.

Haren vs Burnett. Haren w/ a 1.04 WHIP, 3.55 ERA, 2.8 ER, 7.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Burnett w/ a 1.69 WHIP, 6.21 ERA, 4 ER, 5.8 Inns/g ave last 5. Angels with one of the best starting rotation in baseball is coming into Yankee Stadium scoring just 4 runs while winning its last series vs the Mariners at home. Haren coming off 2 wins going 9 and 8 innings while only giving up 1 run each game against Detroit and Minn. Angels batting .241, .312 OBP, 4.1 r/g ave last 10, while Yanks batting .319, .422 OBP, 7.2 r/g ave last 10. I don't see how the Angels can win this game but I do see them possibly holding down the Yankee offense just enough so that they can score against a mistake prone Burnett w/ Haren on the mound. Medium play on Angels FF 3-1 w/ a small play on Angels TT O3.5. NYY 1-0 FF. Final Angels 6-4. Angels TT O3.5 W!

Pineda vs Ogando. Pineda w/ a 1.25 WHIP, 6.75 ERA, 4.2 ER, 5.6 Inns/g ave last 5. Ogando w/ a 1.10 WHIP, 2.96 WHIP, 2.2 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Seattle batting .242, .309 OBP, 3.1 r/g ave last 10 while Texas batting .281, .362 OBP, 4.9 r/g ave last 10. Ogando should dominate against this Seattle batting lineup and the same could be said w/ Texas bats heating up starting from their last game and continuing its bottom feeding dominance vs the Mariners. Pineda gave up only one run in his last outing vs a Tampa Bay team struggling to hit the ball (.241 team batting ave last 10). Texas ML and Texas RL and game under w/ Seattle TT U3.5 Texas wins 5-1. Texas 7-6! RL, Sea TT U, Under all lost.

Bedard vs Liriano. Bedard w/ a 1.02 WHIP, 3.74 WHIP, 2.2 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Liriano w/ a 1.71 WHIP, 4.91 ERA, 3 ER, 5.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Minn batting .254, .305 OBP, 3.8 r/g ave last 10. Boston batting .303, .380 OBP, 5.4 r/g ave last 10. One team riding a high and the other struggling. Boston holds every advantage and it will be reflected in the final score. Going large with my homer bet. Boston, Boston RL, Boston TT O4.5 with a win 8-2. Boston 4-3! RL, Bos TT O lost.

Marcum vs E. Jackson. Marcum w/ a 1.20 WHIP, 4.50 ERA, 3 ER, 6 Inns/g ave last 5. Jackson w/ a 1.44 WHIP, 3.75 ERA, 4 ER, 7.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Brewers batting league leading .326, .395 OBP, 6.4 r/g ave last 10 while StL batting .293, .394 OBP, 6.0 r/g ave last 10. Books look like they expect Jackson to settle down and pitch a good game and expect Marcum to shut down StL on the road. 2 hot offenses should get some hits/runs and battle in a decent high scoring ball game with Milwaukee coming out on top perhaps in extra innings. Taking the dog and the Over 8 (10u play) here and sprinkling both team overs (StL TT O4 and 10u play on Milw TT O3.5), Milwaukee 6-5. Milw 5-3! StL TT O lost, Milw TT O win, O8 Even.

LeBlanc vs Capuano. LeBlanc w/ a 1.91 WHIP, 5.00 ERA, 3 ER, 5.4 Inns/g ave last 5. Capuano w/ a 1.39 WHIP, 5.23 ERA, 3.6 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Padres batting .267, .371 OBP, 6.4 r/g ave last 10. Mets batting .292, .375 OBP, 5.2 r/g ave last 10. Lots of injuries to both teams, yet they both seem to be able to score. Over is 18-7-1 in SD last 26 overall. Over is 9-1-1 in SD last 11 games as an underdog. Over is 11-5 in NYM last 16 overall. Taking a shot at the Over 8 and SDG TT O3.5 and Mets TT O4. SDG 6-5. Mets 5-4. O8, SDG TT O, Mets TT O all hit!

Lyles vs Marquis. Lyles w/ a 1.13 WHIP, 4.57 ERA, 3.4 ER, 6.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Marquis w/ a 1.73 WHIP, 7.06 ERA, 4 ER, 5.1 Inns/g. Good shot at taking a large dog here in the FF just based on the pitching matchup. Marquis is a great groundball pitcher trying to find his groove and Lyles is prone to giving up a knock outta the park. Dealing away their top hitters hasn't done much harm to the Astros scoring lately and after last game, I'm hoping they can still get some runs in vs Marquis who's against the ropes looking for a bounce back win against a Houston team that has nothing to lose w/ young players looking to get noticed. I don't see a lot of runs being scored early and taking a stab at the dog value small. Houston FF and FF U5 2-1. Houston FF 7-5! FF O5. Ariz 11-9 final score.

Floyd vs Reyes. Floyd w/ a 1.30 WHIP, 6.00 ERA, 3.8 ER, 5.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Reyes w/ a 2.04 WHIP, 9.00 ERA, 5 ER, 5 Inns/g ave last 5. CWS batting .273, .327 OBP, 4.1 r/g ave last 10. Balt batting .231, .293 OBP, 4.0 r/g ave last 10. Fading Jo Jo has made a lot of bettors cash this season. I don't see it changing today. Floyd had been pitching well until he came up against the NYY. I see him turning things around and putting the lid on Balt. CWS again for a 10u play. CWS FF 5-0 and CWS TT O4.5, 9-1 final score. CWS FF 4-3! CWS O4.5 lost. Final score CWS 4-3.

11-9-1 on writeup plays. 3-1-1 on 10u plays. Seattle lost and Mets won. Angels game almost went as planned but not in time to cash the FF. Ogando just didn't have his stuff and lucky to squeek out a win there. Reyes got pulled early which limited the runs in the CWS game. Houston hitting not too much of a surprise except by more than expected and Lyles not doing so well. Milw and SDG games went almost exactly as predicted even extra innings for Milw/StL game, all cept the over in Milw. O/U's killed me today. I hope to turn it around tomorrow. Tomorrow's another day.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +110.51 Units (53-44), Mets -17.64 Units (46-51)
Fade Total: +95.87 (99-95)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -25.83 Units (13-12), Colorado -12.50 Units (14-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -38.33 Units (27-23)

Side Bets: -115.73 Units 48.8% (407-427) 63-43-4 10u Plays.

blackeyeshamus · 08-10-11, 12:22 AM

tomorrow's another day!
tomorrow we cash, maddhatter!
let's get that loot! hahahahaha
thanks for awesome work.
good luck!

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 01:22 AM

8/10 Weds

Texas -209 1u
SDG +128 1u
TB -136 1u
Cinncinati -165 1u

Boston -190 10u
Detroit +136 10u
Atlanta -120 10u
Atlanta -1.5 +140 4u

Notes to Self/Leans: Boston FF, Boston TT O, Detroit FF....

Lester vs Blackburn. Lester w/ a 0.92 WHIP, 1.77 ERA, 1.2 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Blackburn w/ a 2.00 WHIP, 6.00 ERA, 3.4 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Boston should dominate this series. Better pitching, defense, Pen and bench and it'll finally be reflected in this game. Homer bet again. Boston, Boston FF, Boston TT O by a mile, 7-1.

Porcello vs Jimenez. Porcello w/ a 1.08 WHIP, 3.14 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Jimenez w/ a 1.83 WHIP, 6.89 ERA, 3.6 ER, 4.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Nuff said. Detroit FF and ML as a dog wins 4-2.

T. Hudson vs A. Sanchez. Hudson w/ a 0.94 WHIP, 2.06 ERA, 1.6 ER, 7 Inns/g ave last 5. Sanchez w/ a 1.40 WHIP, 4.29 ERA, 3 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. About Hudson, "The right-hander is 6-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 10 starts in Miami." "Sanchez is 1-5 with a 4.73 ERA in his last seven starts against the Braves. Three of those defeats have come opposite Hudson, including the last two." 2 teams going in opposite directions. Atlanta's Uggla hoping to keep a 30 game hitting streak going, "Uggla is batting .345 with 12 homers and 27 RBIs during his run..." ATL are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Atlanta wins on the RL 5-1.

Short and sweet tonight. Hopefully it doesn't bite me in the ass!

Tracking Fades: Seattle +110.51 Units (53-44), Mets -17.64 Units (46-51)
Fade Total: +95.87 (99-95)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -25.83 Units (13-12), Colorado -12.50 Units (14-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -38.33 Units (27-23)

Side Bets: -115.73 Units 48.8% (407-427) 63-43-4 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by blackeyeshamus

tomorrow's another day!
tomorrow we cash, maddhatter!
let's get that loot! hahahahaha
thanks for awesome work.
good luck!

Hope you didn't get hit too hard by Toronto losing. GL on your card tomorrow bro! Lets get this!

Soxxx420 · 08-10-11, 02:21 AM

Youve been doing good lately keep it up. Gonna keep an eye out and maybe hop on board, love the stats posted as well lately. Liking the big games for tomororw, definately hitting Detroit, wanna hit Boston hard but hate laying that kinda juice on one game, possibly throw down big on a parlay with them and the yankees for tomorrow. BOL tomrrow lets take it to the bank

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 10:23 AM

Adding Detroit FF +123 10u
Boston FF -190 10u
Boston TT O5 -106 5u

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 10:24 AM

Originally posted by Soxxx420

Youve been doing good lately keep it up. Gonna keep an eye out and maybe hop on board, love the stats posted as well lately. Liking the big games for tomororw, definately hitting Detroit, wanna hit Boston hard but hate laying that kinda juice on one game, possibly throw down big on a parlay with them and the yankees for tomorrow. BOL tomrrow lets take it to the bank

Thanks bud! GL on your card!

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 10:24 AM

...

Maddhatter · 08-10-11, 11:48 PM

8/10 Weds

Texas -209 1u

SDG +128 1u

TB -136 1u

Cinncinati -165 1u

Boston -190 10u

Detroit +136 10u

Atlanta -120 10u

Atlanta -1.5 +140 4u

Detroit FF +123 10u

Boston FF -190 10u

Boston TT O5 -106 5u

5-6 -46.51 Units for the day.

Lester vs Blackburn. Lester w/ a 0.92 WHIP, 1.77 ERA, 1.2 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Blackburn w/ a 2.00 WHIP, 6.00 ERA, 3.4 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Boston should dominate this series. Better pitching, defense, Pen and bench and it'll finally be reflected in this game. Homer bet again. Boston, Boston FF, Boston TT O by a mile, 7-1. Minn FF 1-0. Boston TT lost, final Minn 5-2.

Porcello vs Jimenez. Porcello w/ a 1.08 WHIP, 3.14 ERA, 2.2 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. Jimenez w/ a 1.83 WHIP, 6.89 ERA, 3.6 ER, 4.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Nuff said. Detroit FF and ML as a dog wins 4-2. Cleveland FF 8-3, Cleveland 10-3 final.

T. Hudson vs A. Sanchez. Hudson w/ a 0.94 WHIP, 2.06 ERA, 1.6 ER, 7 Inns/g ave last 5. Sanchez w/ a 1.40 WHIP, 4.29 ERA, 3 ER, 6.1 Inns/g ave last 5. About Hudson, "The right-hander is 6-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 10 starts in Miami." "Sanchez is 1-5 with a 4.73 ERA in his last seven starts against the Braves. Three of those defeats have come opposite Hudson, including the last two." 2 teams going in opposite directions. Atlanta's Uggla hoping to keep a 30 game hitting streak going, "Uggla is batting .345 with 12 homers and 27 RBIs during his run..." ATL are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Atlanta wins on the RL 5-1. Atlanta ML and RL6-2.

2-5 on write-up plays. 1-4 on 10u plays. Seattle won and the Mets lost. Got bit in the ass! Go figure, Blackburn pitches a gem vs Lester. "In his previous eight starts, he was 3-5 with an 8.15 ERA and 65 hits allowed in 38 2/3 innings". He kept all his pitches down and only got into real trouble in the 7th inn. Lester didn't have his best stuff and Boston bats couldn't get to Blackburn. Then Francona leaves Lester in when usually Bard or Aceves comes in for relief. Guessing since they were used alot in this series and Jackson got sent to the minors, he wanted the most out of Lester. Porcello was just flat out ugly. The rookie in Cleveland was hot and Ubaldo was dealing. Got greedy and played FF and game twice for 10u and literally paying for my mistakes. Fortunately, Atlanta went pretty much as expected. Oh well, tomorrow's another day.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +108.42 Units (53-45), Mets -16.36 Units (47-51)
Fade Total: +95.06 (100-96)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -24.83 Units (14-12), Colorado -11.50 Units (15-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -36.33 Units (29-23)

Side Bets: -163.43 Units 48.8% (412-433) 64-47-4 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-11-11, 03:05 AM

8/11 Thurs

SDG +115 7u
TB -179 1u
Cinncinati -133 1u

SDG/Mets O7.5 +107 4u
Milwaukee +120 7u
CWS -121 7u
CWS -1.5 +132 3u
TB -1.5 +122 3u
CWS/Balt U8.5 -109 5u

Notes to Self/Leans: SDG TT O, Milw TT O, NYY TT O, SDG RRL, Milw RRL...

Luebke vs Niese. Luebke w/ a 1.08 WHIP, 3.88 ERA, 2.8 ER, 6.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Niese w/ a 1.44 WHIP, 5.05 ERA, 3.2 ER, 5.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Padres batting .279, .374 OBP, 6.6 r/g and Mets batting .285, .363 OBP, 4.7 r/g ave last 10. SDG is just the better team at this point. Their pen just blew 2 games and this last game of the series should've been going for the sweep. I expect them to right their ship and for the Mets to continue being erratic. Granted, the Mets have been hitting the ball well lately and Wright is on a tear since coming back from the DL and losing Reyes still hasn't had much of an impact. Niese has 7 more wins than Luebke but I don't see him getting much of a handle here and I expect the Mets to falter in their run support. Playing the Over 7.5, SDG TT O, and SDG RRL, SDG wins 7-4.

Gallardo vs Carpenter. Gallardo w/ a 1.00 WHIP, 2.81 ERA, 2 ER, 6.4 Inns/g ave last 5. Carpenter w/ a 1.33 WHIP, 3.39 ERA, 2.6 ER, 6.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Milw batting .322, .392 OBP, 6.5 r/g and StL batting .285, .376 OBP, 6.5 r/g ave last 10. Carpenter has had his struggles this year and hasn't shown the same consistency as last year. Against the Brewers he's been ugly... "The right-hander is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA against Milwaukee in 2011, allowing 10 runs in 11 innings." Brewers bats are hot and I don't expect it to stop. I've been riding them off and on all season and don't see anything wrong w/ continuing that trend. They come in as dogs and I expect after Carpenter's last performance he's getting some value along w/ playing at home. Pujols in a slump and Holliday is out. Screw the road record by Milw.... they continue to win and sweep the Cards. Milw TT O and the win, Milw RRL, Milwaukee 6-2.

Buerhle vs Tillman. Buerhle w/ a 0.97 WHIP, 1.03 ERA, 0.8 ER, 7 Inns/g ave last 5. Tillman w/ a 1.53 WHIP, 3.18 ERA, 1.8 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. CWS batting .277, .336 OBP, 4.3 r/g and Balt batting .226, .292 OBP, 4.0 r/g ave last 10. Balt holds the 2nd to last batting ave in the last 10 games in the league, only toronto has lower. CWS has won 5 of its last 6 while Balt has lost 6 of its last 8. Under 8.5 and CWS 5-2.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +108.42 Units (53-45), Mets -16.36 Units (47-51)
Fade Total: +95.06 (100-96)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -24.83 Units (14-12), Colorado -11.50 Units (15-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -36.33 Units (29-23)

Side Bets: -163.43 Units 48.8% (412-433) 64-47-4 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-11-11, 11:18 AM

Adding Milw TT O3.5 -102 5u
NYY TT O5 -119 3u
Milwaukee -1.5 +199 3u

blackeyeshamus · 08-11-11, 11:36 AM

following the padres @ +105 5x let's have a great day, maddhatter!
good luck to you, my friend. need some hits right now! cheers.

Maddhatter · 08-11-11, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by blackeyeshamus

following the padres @ +105 5x let's have a great day, maddhatter!
good luck to you, my friend. need some hits right now! cheers.

Nice hit bro!

Maddhatter · 08-11-11, 08:39 PM

Adding LIVE BETTING Milwaukee +280 2u

Maddhatter · 08-12-11, 12:07 AM

8/11 Thurs

SDG +115 7u

TB -179 1u

Cinncinati -133 1u

SDG/Mets O7.5 +107 4u

Milwaukee +120 7u

CWS -121 7u

CWS -1.5 +132 3u

TB -1.5 +122 3u

CWS/Balt U8.5 -109 5u

Milw TT O3.5 -102 5u

NYY TT O5 -119 3u

Milwaukee -1.5 +199 3u

LIVE BETTING Milwaukee +280 2u (Mid 5th)

7-6 +1.12 Units for the day.

Luebke vs Niese. Luebke w/ a 1.08 WHIP, 3.88 ERA, 2.8 ER, 6.5 Inns/g ave last 5. Niese w/ a 1.44 WHIP, 5.05 ERA, 3.2 ER, 5.2 Inns/g ave last 5. Padres batting .279, .374 OBP, 6.6 r/g and Mets batting .285, .363 OBP, 4.7 r/g ave last 10. SDG is just the better team at this point. Their pen just blew 2 games and this last game of the series should've been going for the sweep. I expect them to right their ship and for the Mets to continue being erratic. Granted, the Mets have been hitting the ball well lately and Wright is on a tear since coming back from the DL and losing Reyes still hasn't had much of an impact. Niese has 7 more wins than Luebke but I don't see him getting much of a handle here and I expect the Mets to falter in their run support. Playing the Over 7.5, SDG TT O, and SDG RRL, SDG wins 7-4. SDG 3-2! O7.5, SDG TT O and RRL lost.

Gallardo vs Carpenter. Gallardo w/ a 1.00 WHIP, 2.81 ERA, 2 ER, 6.4 Inns/g ave last 5. Carpenter w/ a 1.33 WHIP, 3.39 ERA, 2.6 ER, 6.9 Inns/g ave last 5. Milw batting .322, .392 OBP, 6.5 r/g and StL batting .285, .376 OBP, 6.5 r/g ave last 10. Carpenter has had his struggles this year and hasn't shown the same consistency as last year. Against the Brewers he's been ugly... "The right-hander is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA against Milwaukee in 2011, allowing 10 runs in 11 innings." Brewers bats are hot and I don't expect it to stop. I've been riding them off and on all season and don't see anything wrong w/ continuing that trend. They come in as dogs and I expect after Carpenter's last performance he's getting some value along w/ playing at home. Pujols in a slump and Holliday is out. Screw the road record by Milw.... they continue to win and sweep the Cards. Milw TT O and the win, Milw RRL, Milwaukee 6-2. StL 5-2. RRL and Milw TT O lost.

Buerhle vs Tillman. Buerhle w/ a 0.97 WHIP, 1.03 ERA, 0.8 ER, 7 Inns/g ave last 5. Tillman w/ a 1.53 WHIP, 3.18 ERA, 1.8 ER, 5.1 Inns/g ave last 5. CWS batting .277, .336 OBP, 4.3 r/g and Balt batting .226, .292 OBP, 4.0 r/g ave last 10. Balt holds the 2nd to last batting ave in the last 10 games in the league, only toronto has lower. CWS has won 5 of its last 6 while Balt has lost 6 of its last 8. Under 8.5 and CWS 5-2. CWS 6-3! O8.5.

2-7 on write-up plays. Seattle didn't play and the Mets lost. O/U's continue to beat me. Tomorrow's another day.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +108.42 Units (53-45), Mets -8.31 Units (48-51)
Fade Total: +103.11 (101-96)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -23.83 Units (15-12), Colorado -10.50 Units (16-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -34.33 Units (31-23)

Side Bets: -172.36 Units 48.7% (416-439) 64-47-4 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-12-11, 02:45 AM

8/12 Fri

Boston -145 1u
Arizona -154 7u
CWS -134 5u
StL -147 1u

Oakland +117 6u
Arizona -1.5 +138 2u
SDG +101 7u
SFO -117 10u
Philadelphia -1.5 -120 3u
Milwaukee -1.5 +114 7u
LAA +122 10u

No time for write-ups today.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +108.42 Units (53-45), Mets -8.31 Units (48-51)
Fade Total: +103.11 (101-96)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -23.83 Units (15-12), Colorado -10.50 Units (16-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -34.33 Units (31-23)

Side Bets: -172.36 Units 48.7% (416-439) 64-47-4 10u Plays.

Maddhatter · 08-12-11, 10:15 PM

Adding LIVE BETTING Boston +136 5u (Middle 3rd)

Maddhatter · 08-13-11, 01:22 AM

8/12 Fri

Boston -145 1u

Arizona -154 7u

CWS -134 5u

StL -147 1u

Oakland +117 6u

Arizona -1.5 +138 2u

SDG +101 7u

SFO -117 10u

Philadelphia -1.5 -120 3u

Milwaukee -1.5 +114 7u

LAA +122 10u

LIVE BETTING Boston +136 5u (Middle 3rd)

6-6 -1.02 Units for the day.

Tracking Fades: Seattle +109.42 Units (54-45), Mets -1.31 Units (49-51)
Fade Total: +111.11 (103-96)

Daily Plays: KC -15.37 Units (26-49), Colorado -13.98 Units (31-44)
KC & Col Total: -29.35 Units (57-93)

Switch/Fade: KC -30.53 Units (15-13), Colorado -10.50 Units (17-11)
KC & Col Fade Total: -40.03 Units (32-24)

Side Bets: -175.68 Units 48.6% (419-444) 65-48-4 10u Plays.