Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Wednesday, 5/14/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Wednesday, 5/14/08
    Starting Thursday (May 1), we will start a new May Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $250 account at BetJamaica, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 BetJamaica account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at BetJamaica prior to making picks Sign up here

    Before participating, players must PM their BetJamaica account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-lealers lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    shantystar 	8	2	9.16
    bbyhill      	8	3	7.73
    fifawcs    	8	4	7.04
    Wrigley     	7	4	5.99
    Cabo        	6	2	5.80
    soli        	7	5	4.95
    pats3peat 	4	2	3.90
    mr. leisure 	7	5	3.80
    TexAg001   	4	2	3.20
    stevek173 	3	1	3.16
    Wyndham 	3	1	3.08
    wtt0315    	4	3	2.52
    dog       	5	5	2.31
    MOONCRICKET	5	5	2.16
    sharktank1  	6	7	2.13
    juuso      	6	6	2.01
    pimike        	1	0	1.53
    Sportsgirl	5	5	1.45
    stump      	3	3	1.29
    Pigpen     	2	1	1.26
    SexyMit     	3	3	1.17
    diogee    	4	4	1.06
    Checkerboard	4	6	0.94
    Shooter    	4	4	0.90
    brock      	5	6	0.83
    szaidi99    	4	4	0.68
    greg66     	2	2	0.49
    louisvillekid  	6	7	0.36
    THE HITMAN	5	6	0.20
    indy62      	3	4	0.19
    regularguy  	4	5	0.16
    Bills Hooligan	3	4	0.07
    oakas      	6	7	0.00
    billmunny   	4	5	-0.12
    LB         	2	3	-0.16
    mofome    	4	6	-0.36
    elguason  	2	3	-0.42
    clarkd32    	1	2	-0.52
    WakeuP420 	1	2	-0.52
    EaglesPhan36	5	7	-0.69
    marley33   	1	2	-0.77
    HedgeHog   	5	7	-0.92
    Cee          	3	5	-0.93
    anjac      	0	1	-1.00
    ClassicBaseball	0	1	-1.00
    Poker Beast	0	1	-1.00
    twtb19     	0	1	-1.00
    WizardofWins	0	1	-1.00
    Kaps       	2	4	-1.14
    Meestermike	3	5	-1.20
    rake922      	5	8	-1.21
    rjt721      	3	5	-1.21
    awatkins011	2	4	-1.28
    dannyt76 	1	3	-1.53
    DeluxeLiner 	2	5	-1.60
    20Four7     	2	4	-1.63
    capitalist pig	3	6	-1.70
    msubulldog	1	3	-1.89
    Immortality  	3	6	-1.99
    aca          	0	2	-2.00
    Illusion    	0	2	-2.00
    Jiggy Fly  	0	2	-2.00
    MonkeyF0cker	3	6	-2.15
    frostno98  	2	5	-2.15
    rsigley     	2	5	-2.35
    rm18        	1	4	-2.55
    element1286	2	5	-2.72
    THE POSTMAN	1	4	-2.86
    2Pac       	0	3	-3.00
    babaoriley 	0	3	-3.00
    gummo     	0	3	-3.00
    doye      	3	7	-3.06
    GoHeels12	3	8	-3.36
    mundane   	2	6	-3.42
    Bshark    	2	6	-3.70
    trytrytry   	1	5	-3.73
    Microphone	1	5	-3.74
    goldengoat    	2	6	-3.75
    ChuteBoxe  	1	5	-3.86
    mbr 18      	0	4	-4.00
    WonTooManyBets	0	4	-4.00
    sportsfun   	2	7	-4.21
    junkman773	2	7	-4.32
    luciano    	3	8	-4.52
    chipski      	1	6	-4.84
    LT Profits	3	10	-5.90
    Mr KLC      	0	6	-6.00
    pokernut9999	2	9	-6.12
    Junkyard Dog	2	11	-7.79
    treece     	1	11	-9.77
    Comment
    • 20Four7
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-08-07
      • 6703

      #3
      Florida +131 or whatever they are

      Florida has been undervalued all year. The reds are one of the worst teams in baseball. It is also a bull pen play from LT's system.
      Comment
      • Bills Hooligan
        SBR Hustler
        • 03-27-08
        • 52

        #4
        Florida Marlins / +130 current

        5.7 rpg on the road, one of the better bullpens in terms of era, arroyos era is quite honestly tragic. Marlins one of the best teams in baseball, - that defense issue.
        Comment
        • stevek173
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-29-08
          • 27598

          #5
          Fla (+130) Fla scoring a ton of runs including on the road, Arroyo not pitching well and the Reds just stink. Book it.
          Comment
          • louisvillekid
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-14-07
            • 9262

            #6
            #928 Minn +120 : I'll back the team that has scored 43 runs in L7 days vs. the Jays with 18 runs in L7.
            Comment
            • Bshark
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-18-07
              • 956

              #7
              Oak

              Blanton has been good in his last 3. Sabathia has struggled vs As.
              Comment
              • chipski
                SBR MVP
                • 11-16-07
                • 1745

                #8
                wsox +120
                lackey limited pitch count i would assume in first start back . contreras to throw a gem .

                wsox 5 - 4 , 4 - 3 .
                Comment
                • shantystar
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-13-05
                  • 7299

                  #9
                  nyy,+131i think that team should come back and wins tonight.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Wed 5/14 901 Atlanta Braves +131
                    7:05PM (EST) 902 Philadelphia Phillies

                    Wed 5/14 903 Florida Marlins +121
                    7:10PM (EST) 904 Cincinnati Reds

                    Wed 5/14 905 Washington Nationals +140
                    7:10PM (EST) 906 New York Mets

                    Wed 5/14 911 Pittsburgh Pirates +143
                    8:15PM (EST) 912 St Louis Cardinals

                    Wed 5/14 913 Colorado Rockies +149
                    9:40PM (EST) 914 Arizona Diamondbacks

                    Wed 5/14 921 Oakland Athletics +140
                    7:05PM (EST) 922 Cleveland Indians

                    Wed 5/14 923 New York Yankees +118
                    7:10PM (EST) 924 Tampa Bay Rays

                    Wed 5/14 925 Detroit Tigers
                    8:10PM (EST) 926 Kansas City Royals +125

                    Wed 5/14 927 Toronto Blue Jays
                    8:10PM (EST) 928 Minnesota Twins +123

                    Wed 5/14 929 Chicago White Sox +126
                    10:05PM (EST) 930 Los Angeles Angels
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      ATHLETICS +140: The A's are the last team Sabathia wants to see when he is trying to turm his season around. This is because Cleveland is just 1-8 the last nine times he has started vs. Oakland, and the last time CC faced the A’s here in Cleveland, he was torched for nine earned runs and 12 hits in just 3.1 innings last season. Meanwhile, Oakland’s Joe Blanton has allowed exactly two earned runs in each of his last three starts, and the A’s lead the American League with a sparkling 2.97 bullpen ERA, making them a BPS play here.
                      Comment
                      • bbyhill
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-16-07
                        • 2991

                        #12
                        8:10PM (EST) 926 Kansas City Royals +125
                        KC is 4-0 against DET 1-0 at home.Det is 0-1 as road fav.Take the home dog here.
                        Comment
                        • HedgeHog
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-11-07
                          • 10128

                          #13
                          Oak +140

                          As LT said, It's a BP play. Also, the +140 price is too good to pass up.
                          Comment
                          • sportsfun
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-05-05
                            • 1055

                            #14
                            923 New York Yankees +118
                            rays winning streak stops here.
                            Comment
                            • mbr_18
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 03-24-07
                              • 119

                              #15
                              Colorado Rockies +149
                              Number seems little high. Both teams 4-6 over last 10. De La Rosa got killed his first game giving up 9 runs and 3 BB in 4 innings. However he pitched much better he next outing. Look for him to continue to improve.
                              Comment
                              • Wrigley
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-28-07
                                • 7268

                                #16
                                923 New York Yankees +118

                                Not to many times in the season where you get to play the yankees at above +110, Pitching matchup is pretty close, Think Bronx bombers tonight
                                Comment
                                • LB
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 05-07-08
                                  • 68

                                  #17
                                  Florida +121

                                  I'll take the better team as a dog here. Neither pitcher does much to impress me but I think the rest of the quality will get a win here today.
                                  Comment
                                  • TexAg001
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 05-15-06
                                    • 168

                                    #18
                                    8:10PM (EST) 928 Minnesota Twins +123

                                    Taking the home dog here at a stadium where funny thins seem to happen for the visiting teams. Here is to hoping superman(hallayday) has a bad day.
                                    Comment
                                    • luciano
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-02-07
                                      • 417

                                      #19
                                      926 Kansas City Royals +125

                                      Verlander has been terrible and KC is 4-0 against the Tigers this year, I'll take the Royals at home.
                                      Comment
                                      • Pigpen
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-09-08
                                        • 2750

                                        #20
                                        Wed 5/14 921 Oakland Athletics +140

                                        Blanton (Oakland starter) is having a very good season logging 61 2/3 innings with an era of 3.82. His last 3 starts are even better, 19 2/3 innings with an era of 2.75. The Tribe might have trouble with him this evening as they are hitting only .160 in their last 3 games scoring a total of 7 runs in those 3 games.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cabo
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-07-06
                                          • 5273

                                          #21
                                          Pittsburgh Pirates +143

                                          I hate to go against my Cardinals, but that just haven't played too good of late, I'm taking the Pirates in this one.
                                          Comment
                                          • szaidi99
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-09-08
                                            • 484

                                            #22
                                            kansas city +125

                                            will continue their domination of the tigers
                                            Comment
                                            • regularguy
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-12-07
                                              • 781

                                              #23
                                              C.C. Sabathia may be back on track a little bit, but that 1.68 WHIP is still pretty large with the Tribe this big a favorite. On the other side, Joe Blanton has a much better ERA, and a better WHIP, than Sabathia. Blanton beat Sabathia in Cleveland on April 11 (despite allowing 5 runs). And, to top it off, as LT points out, the A’s have the best bullpen ERA in the AL. I think the A’s pitching staff to keep them in this game, and I think the A’s to score some runs off both Sabathia and the Indians’ bullpen. The A's at +140 looks to me like a good value.
                                              Comment
                                              • regularguy
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-12-07
                                                • 781

                                                #24
                                                A's +140

                                                Originally posted by regularguy
                                                C.C. Sabathia may be back on track a little bit, but that 1.68 WHIP is still pretty large with the Tribe this big a favorite. On the other side, Joe Blanton has a much better ERA, and a better WHIP, than Sabathia. Blanton beat Sabathia in Cleveland on April 11 (despite allowing 5 runs). And, to top it off, as LT points out, the A’s have the best bullpen ERA in the AL. I think the A’s pitching staff to keep them in this game, and I think the A’s to score some runs off both Sabathia and the Indians’ bullpen. The A's at +140 looks to me like a good value.
                                                Comment
                                                • SexyMit
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-12-06
                                                  • 6139

                                                  #25
                                                  Yankees +118

                                                  The Rays have been on a streak and I think it is about time to come to an end. The pitching matchup is pretty even and Yankees have all that money invested in players on the roster time they earn there paycheck!!
                                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pats3peat
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-23-05
                                                    • 1163

                                                    #26
                                                    913 Colorado Rockies +149
                                                    The rockies have proved they can drive in runs
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MonkeyF0cker
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 06-12-07
                                                      • 12144

                                                      #27
                                                      Washington +140

                                                      Claudio Vargas should not command this price. This is a guy that was released from the Brewers ans their starting rotation. The Nats should be able to get 5 or 6 out of him. As long as Redding can keep the Mets under 6, the Nats have a good chance of winning tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • elguason
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 05-09-08
                                                        • 44

                                                        #28
                                                        Wed 5/14 903 Florida Marlins +121
                                                        7:10PM (EST) 904 Cincinnati Reds

                                                        Marlins can't be sweep by cinci, line up of the fish hitting pretty well if pitching made job, i believe that win the game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mr KLC
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-19-07
                                                          • 31097

                                                          #29
                                                          Colorado Rockies +149

                                                          Who cares that Micah Owings is pitching? Who cares that the D'Backs are great at home while the Rockies suck wind on the road? De La Rosa has looked good in the 4 games he has played the D'Backs in. Owings has been kind of roughed up in his last 3 games.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • juuso
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-04-05
                                                            • 2896

                                                            #30
                                                            913 Colorado Rockies +149

                                                            Owings is slightly overrated and Colorado can compete with the bats in this one. Diamondbacks haven't seen De La Rosa in some time. Some Value on the Rocks here a nice sized road dog.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • trytrytry
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-13-06
                                                              • 23649

                                                              #31
                                                              913 Colorado Rockies +149

                                                              better starting pitcher for colorado in this one
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sharktank1
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-17-07
                                                                • 970

                                                                #32
                                                                A's + 140

                                                                Got burned last night by going against one of my home town teams (Giants)!
                                                                So tonight I'm going with their cross town rivals.
                                                                Blanton looks tough against the Tribe.
                                                                As for Sabathia, (even though he's hails from Vallejo, an East Bay suburb), this is an off year for him.
                                                                Great value here.
                                                                Bet on this one too, in real life!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • indy62
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 07-21-07
                                                                  • 321

                                                                  #33
                                                                  New York Yankees +118 .. ijudt cant see NY being this much of a dog against TB it could be a trap but i will take it
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • fifawcs
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-14-07
                                                                    • 2888

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Marlins +140

                                                                    Nolasco is better than his record says. Arroyo hasn't been too good this year.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mundane
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-25-08
                                                                      • 3592

                                                                      #35
                                                                      923 New York Yankees +118
                                                                      NYY are 7-2 in Mussinas last 9 starts vs. TB.
                                                                      Comment
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