Shut Out System

ebbearsfb1 · 04-10-11, 10:04 PM

Originally posted by Stevedore

I'm doing the exact opposite, fading the O's against the Yankees. The O's got shut out so they're a fade against. Yankees are also one of the home teams I'm playing in a Home system. Any team where you play ON that is a HEAVY favorite you can always play them on the RL -1. There's a conversion you can do to take the RL from 1.5 to 1

i might just lay off this orioles and yankees series as they were both shut out today

ebbearsfb1 · 04-10-11, 10:10 PM

SYSTEM 2:

Bet On a team off allowing 0 runs. This is a 5gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , BALT, KC, CLEV, WASH).. Everyone else is a go. As you can ses, the teams we are omitting are mostly lower tier teams.. There are not many wins generated from these teams and alot of risk for a loss.

Results previous 3 years:

2010: 269-2 +204 UNITS

Gm1- 148 wins
Gm2- 67 wins
Gm3- 29 wins
Gm4- 13 wins
Gm5- 12 wins

2 losses- Oakland,Colorado

2009: 227-1 +183 UNITS

Gm1- 133 wins
Gm2- 45 wins
Gm3- 29 wins
Gm4- 14 wins
Gm5- 6 wins

1 Loss- Cincy

ebbearsfb1 · 04-10-11, 10:13 PM

SYSTEM 1:

Bet Against a team off scoring 0 runs. This is a 6gm Chase. We will OMIT the following teams. (LAD , OAK , C.SOX).. Everyone else is a go. I like this system the best due to the fact it has only had 3 losses in 3 yrs and we only omit 3 teams.

Results previous 3 years:

2010: 280-1 +264 UNITS

Gm1- 141 wins
Gm2- 76 wins
Gm3- 35 wins
Gm4- 12 wins
Gm5- 9 wins
Gm6- 7 wins

1 loss- Detroit Tigers

2009: 228-1 +198 UNITS

Gm1- 125 wins
Gm2- 52 wins
Gm3- 28 wins
Gm4- 14 wins
Gm5- 5 wins
Gm6- 4 wins

1 Loss- NYY

2008: 219-1 +150 UNITS

Gm1- 117 wins
Gm2- 42 wins
Gm3- 28 wins
Gm4- 19 wins
Gm5- 7 wins
Gm6- 6 wins

1 Loss- TB

ebbearsfb1 · 04-10-11, 10:15 PM

the thing with ommiting teams is you do not know how they are going to be this year, as cleveland was shitty last year but looks better this year so far

the way its looking seems like you have to stick to one system or the other as it can get confusing

gtboy · 04-10-11, 10:37 PM

will u omit NNY Tue and play BAL instead, at least thats my plan.

mitchp · 04-10-11, 10:52 PM

Originally posted by playr101

mitch... am I wrong on the TEX chase?

-playr101

Playr,

I totally missed the other shut out, but that is a good questions. Since this is my first season, I don't have an answer based upon experience, but I would have to agree with you.

mitchp · 04-10-11, 11:07 PM

I think ebbearsfb1 is correct and we should lay off the game, plenty opportunities to come!

ebbearsfb1 · 04-11-11, 06:07 AM

Yes if I was gonna play any body it would be baltimore to continue them for system 2. Since they shut out texas

mitchp · 04-11-11, 10:02 AM

Guys,

Obviously my life is way to out of control for me to keep up with this, correct me if I wrong but the only bet today should be Cincinnati Reds to beat San Diego (not the LA Dodgers like I previously posted).

gtboy · 04-11-11, 10:07 AM

fading sd, atl, bal,

playr101 · 04-11-11, 10:17 AM

I am playing system 1...

fading TEX, SDG, and ATL... passing on the NYY/BAL, as they both were shutout recently...
only one game (SDG) today..

GL all

-playr101

playr101 · 04-11-11, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by mitchp

Guys,

Obviously my life is way to out of control for me to keep up with this, correct me if I wrong but the only bet today should be Cincinnati Reds to beat San Diego (not the LA Dodgers like I previously posted).

I am also still fading TEX.. so I am playing DET to beat TEX today

-playr101

ebbearsfb1 · 04-11-11, 02:34 PM

Yikes rangers shut another team out.... its too hard to run both systems at once as ull continue to run into numerous conflicts, I think tonight I'm gonna revamp my word finals and look and see what system I think will turn out better and strictly play that

Stevedore · 04-11-11, 05:26 PM

Played ON Tex.

I'm also ON LAD, fading the Padres, and Tigers again since they got shut out and will be fading ATL. next time they play.

Also playing a separate system fading weak teams on the road this year. Bet against game 1 of series and the bet is over until you win 1 unit. Basically a chase that says one of these teams will not sweep a series. Teams are: Hou.,Sea.,Rays,Oak., and SD.

mitchp · 04-11-11, 08:25 PM

I can't keep up with all these variation of this system and that, fade this, so I think I'm bowing out here and just going to play the original reason for this thread - Fade the loser after a shut out!

GL to all.

ebbearsfb1 · 04-11-11, 08:27 PM

i realized its much easier if your chasing rather then doing labby

playr101 · 04-11-11, 09:46 PM

1

Originally posted by mitchp

I can't keep up with all these variation of this system and that, fade this, so I think I'm bowing out here and just going to play the original reason for this thread - Fade the loser after a shut out! GL to all.

i hear ya.. that what im sticking with...

-playr101

playr101 · 04-12-11, 12:24 AM

Fading SDG is a winner..
so tomorrow I am fading TEX, LAA, and ATL.. not playing the NYY/BAL game..would fade BAL due to their shutout, but too much juice there..
Even though DET got shutout, I am still fading TEX (4th game). TEX has given 2 shutouts now after being shutout themselves. :/

Hope it all works out

-playr101

mitchp · 04-12-11, 11:19 AM

Guys,

I need help, I forgot my file at home and I can't remember the plays today. I'm play the Fade the team that loses in a shut out, can anyone list those games.

Thanks
Mitch

ebbearsfb1 · 04-12-11, 11:50 AM

No runs scored. Atlanta vs marlins plus 155 game 1, tigers vs. Rangers minus 140 game 1, angels vs. Indians plus 155 game 1 , also orioles and yankees,... no runs allowe red sox game. 2, phillies game1, rangers game 1

playr101 · 04-12-11, 12:10 PM

ebbears.. why are the Rangers not a play in the fade system... they were shutout 4 games ago by the orioles...
since then they shut the orioles out, lost another to the orioles, and yestday shutout the tigers...fading them should should still be a play.. if chasing for 6 games... (this is game 4)

?

-playr101

cancan · 04-12-11, 12:13 PM

Bol , I will be following you, lets make some money

ebbearsfb1 · 04-12-11, 12:24 PM

Well you can't play for and against them? So if ur fading det on one system and playing the rangers on no runs allowed... if they win today id fade them tomorrow

Stevedore · 04-12-11, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by playr101

ebbears.. why are the Rangers not a play in the fade system... they were shutout 4 games ago by the orioles...
since then they shut the orioles out, lost another to the orioles, and yestday shutout the tigers...fading them should should still be a play.. if chasing for 6 games... (this is game 4)

?

-playr101

I'm playing it different. If a team gets shut out and then they shutout a team they go from a fade to a ON play.

ebbearsfb1 · 04-12-11, 12:29 PM

Also I prefer to ride the better team with the better pitcher in this spot... and tomorrow tigers have the better pitcher.... u can play it however you choose

playr101 · 04-12-11, 01:13 PM

just wondering.. how you all are working these systems..
Im fading texas today.. hope it works out for us all in the end

-playr101

playr101 · 04-12-11, 03:33 PM

Finally that TEX fade chase is closed..

-playr101

cancan · 04-13-11, 05:05 AM

best of luck today !!

ebbearsfb1 · 04-13-11, 06:07 AM

2 more teams shut out ughh this is starting to be a pain in the ass this is like the 4th. Time this happen where a team shut someone out day 1 then got shutout day 2...

playr101 · 04-13-11, 09:52 AM

ya.. crazy....
ive decided to play both... each at a different book...
hope they work out in the end

-playr101

stevex · 04-13-11, 09:58 AM

Might jump on board. Got an idea for whoever wants to do it.

On days of system plays (System 1 or 2), put in bold letter whatever system is playing that day and what team to bet on, that way there is no confusion.

playr101 · 04-13-11, 10:54 AM

Right now.. for me ..

System 1:
fading LAA ------ CLEV +145
fading ATL ----- FL +121

System 2:
Tailing ATL and LAA

today it works out to be the same 4 teams.. each system is on the opposite side. 1 side will win today.. and the other will go onto the next play.(chase)

-playr101

stevex · 04-13-11, 01:00 PM

Appreciate that man!

ebbearsfb1 · 04-13-11, 01:04 PM

No runs allowed : red sox, rangers phillies braves angels, no runs scored bet against braves tigers angels marlins orioles yankees... that's just everything listed out

ebbearsfb1 · 04-13-11, 05:44 PM

no runs scored

April 13th 2011
11) Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers +120 chase 7 (game 2) Risk 20.25 to Win 24.3
12) Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins +115 chase 6 (game 2) MISSED
13) Florida Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves -135 chase 8 (game 1) MISSED
14) Anaheim Angels vs. Cleveland Indians +135 chase 9 (game 2) MISSED
15) Cleveland Indians vs. Anaheim Angels -155 chase 10 (game 1) MISSED
16) Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees -177 Chase 11 (game 1) MISSED
17) New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles +157 chase 12 (game 1) MISSED