John Morrison 2011 MLB

**ken23lau** · 08-22-11, 11:59 PM

Originally posted by honeyeater

PS- that same logic of probability is exactly why I said I thought that Pittsburgh would win one of it's games today. Because the probability of MIL winning two in a row had shrunk dramatically. In part to their winning streak over PIT and their winning road streak. The more they won the less the odds are that they will win again.

Gambler's fallacy

**honeyeater** · 08-23-11, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by ken23lau

Gambler's fallacy

I disagree- because I never said that it was GUARANTEED that MIL would lose (not to you directly but I wonder at times if people actually read what other post word for word or if they just skim and see what they think they see). MIL could go on and win 200 more games BUT because they have lost at least one game every season (just as every team in MLB has) the PROBABILITY gets higher for them to lose EVERY time they win. That is not a "FALLACY" but a MATHEMATICAL FACT.

**hagball52** · 08-23-11, 08:38 AM

JM MLB System

2011 Official season series record 27-1 (v1) (2 series pending)
(A) 16-14
(B) 9-3
(C) 2-1
V2 plays 9-4
V3 system 4-1
Unofficial series 32-1

Official
(8/22/2011) Boston (.530)@ Texas (.515) R/L (A) Loss
(8/22/2011) Tampa Bay (.511)v Detroit (.508) R/L (A) Loss

*Unofficial*
(8/22/2011) Pittsburgh (.488)v Milwaukee (.519) * R/L (A) Loss
(8/22/2011) Pittsburgh v Milwaukee R/L (B) V2 Win

Next Plays
Official
(8/23/2011) Boston (.529) @ Texas (.515) R/L (B) (2 more games (D) if necc.)
(8/23/2011) Tampa Bay (.510) v Detroit (.509) M/L (B) V2 (2 more games (D) if necc.)

Upcoming Plays
(8/26/2011) Oakland @ Boston
(8/26/2011) Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee
(8/29/2011) Minnesota @ Chicago White Sox

Notes: Congrats to those of you who were able to cash in on Pittsburgh. They went up against a good pitcher in that 2nd game. I noticed Morrison didn't even have them in his post. We'll still score the win for him. Tampa looks like a real solid play today and it even qualifies for V2 play. I did not play Boston yesterday and will probably lay off them again today. If they lose by 2 or more I'll jump on them tomorrow. GL all

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 09:09 AM

Wallco MLB PLU$$$
2011 System to date: 211-19 (v2: 45-4)
System profit/loss: -22.03 units(finished series)
Since my first post: -42.30 units (192-19) (fin. series)
Current open series: 8 (-8.67 units)

(8/22/11):
#225 Atlanta (-1½) v2 (B) - Win
#229 Washington (M/L) v2 (A) - Win
#230 Chicago Cubs (M/L) (A) - Loss
#231 Minnesota (-1½) v2 (A) - Loss
#232 Cleveland (M/L) (A) - Loss
#233 Cleveland (-1½) (A) - Loss
#234 Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) - Loss
#235 Philadelphia (M/L) (A) - Win
#236 Philadelphia (-1½) (A) - Win
#237 Cleveland (-1½) v2 (A) - Loss
#238 Tampa Bay (M/L) v2 (A) - Loss

(A) 114-124
(B) 58-58
(C) 25-33
(D) 14-19

Games for (8/23/11):
#227 Cincinnati (-1½) @ Florida v2 (B) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
#230 Atlanta @ Chicago Cubs (M/L) (B) *Official* (8:05 pm EDT)
#231 Baltimore @ Minnesota (-1½) v2 (B) *Official* (8:10 pm EDT)
#232 Seattle @ Cleveland (M/L) (B) (DH Game #1) *Official* (1:05 pm EDT)
#233 Seattle @ Cleveland (-1½) (B) (DH Game #1) *Official* (1:05 pm EDT)
#234 Detroit @ Tampa Bay (-1½) (B) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
#237 Seattle @ Cleveland (-1½) v2 (B) (DH Game #1) *Official* (1:05 pm EDT)
#238 Detroit @ Tampa Bay (-1½) v2 (B) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
#239 Cincinnati (M/L) @ Florida (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
#240 Cincinnati (-1½) @ Florida (A) *Official* (7:10 pm EDT)
#241 San Diego (M/L) @ San Francisco (A) *Official* (10:15 pm EDT)
#232 Seattle @ Cleveland (M/L) (C) (DH Game #2) (7:05 pm EDT) If Necessary
#233 Seattle @ Cleveland (-1½) (C) (DH Game #2) (7:05 pm EDT) If Necessary
#237 Seattle @ Cleveland (-1½) v2 (C) (DH Game #2) (7:05 pm EDT) If Necessary

** Do not place any wagers on teams unless the word “Official” appears next to the game. All lines and standings are based on final lines from ScoresandOdds.com. Some of the unofficial plays may change to the other team by game time. Official plays will not change. Keep checking for updated posts until all games are marked “official”. If your book is offering (+1½) on the (-1½) plays above, buy the alternate line for (-1½) on the team I have listed at (-1½), not the other team. NEVER PLAY (+1½) LINE ON ANY GAME IN THIS SYSTEM.
System backtest can be found in post #3446.

The v1 plays may change to the other team by game time. The v2 plays will not change teams, but may change (M/L) or (R/L), the team will usually remain the same. Once Official, nothing will change. We have to be careful when playing a game that qualifies for both v1 and v2, because if a team should switch, we may be playing both sides later in the series, or we could even start out on both sides. The system will count all games as wins/losses, how you play them is your discretion. If not otherwise marked, the play will be v1.

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 10:16 AM

Wow...wallco exactly what I said would happen...the simple math is obvious you minus off your losses by increasing the total amount of plays...but daily in total on average you continue to lose...that means the losses are clearly outweighing the wins...and are hidden in what you call "open" series till you eventually win which has taken months and still not happened now the massive increase in plays and units...sooner or later you will be up or completely embarrassed...but the risk has gone out of control...

Now you increase not only the plays but the unit amount by doubling and tripling up on the same teams till they eventually win...seriously do all of you really see what is going on here?

A system that has failed even if it ends up at this point which is not looking good...he knows the year is winding down so he goes from 2-3 plays now to 14-15 a day...it is all about him just trying to cut down the losses but anyone who knows the old I am a professional gambler...I bet 1x lose...2x lose..5x lose..10x lose...20x and a win...I am a sharp...previously with real money this is called betting beyond a wiped out bankroll...the bets today with some being at "c" would probably total over 3-4000 dollars! on top of the 5000 it is already down...so of course sooner or later the pyramid scheme wins...but most are taken down with wiped out bankrolls on the way up...shame on you wallcott...

Also please seriously JM wins your system needs its own special thread next year thanks...

And anyone who agrees with the way he runs that system that has clearly failed lets go! This is ridiculous defending it! He will just keep extending till he is down 100,000 or back up..it has not worked..hello!

**hagball52** · 08-23-11, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by G's pks

Wow...wallco exactly what I said would happen...the simple math is obvious you minus off your losses by increasing the total amount of plays...but daily in total on average you continue to lose...that means the losses are clearly outweighing the wins...

Now you increase not only the plays but the unit amount by doubling and tripling up on the same teams till they eventually win...seriously do all of you really see what is going on here?

A system that has failed even if it ends up at this point which is not looking good...he knows the year is winding down so he goes from 2-3 plays now to 14-15 a day...it is all about him just trying to cut down the losses but anyone who knows the old I am a professional gambler...I bet 1x lose...2x lose..5x lose..10x lose...20x and a win...I am a sharp...previously with real money this is called betting beyond a wiped out bankroll...the bets today with some being at "c" would probably total over 3-4000 dollars! on top of the 5000 it is already down...so of course sooner or later the pyramid scheme wins...but most are taken down with wiped out bankrolls on the way up...shame on you wallcott...

Also please seriously JM wins your system needs its own special thread next year thanks...

And anyone who agrees with the way he runs that system that has clearly failed lets go! This is ridiculous defending it! He will just keep extending till he is down 100,000 or back up..it has not worked..hello!

Maybe he could post in your thread. That way you wouldn't have to travel so far.

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by hagball52

Maybe he could post in your thread. That way you wouldn't have to travel so far.

why always respond with something stupid? It has not worked...act like men and stop pretending you do not see it! I wonder how many sit quietly just pissed he has cluttered the Jm thread with over 5000 dollars in losses and now out of desperation starts stacking a few thousand a day in bets till he wins! Seriously stop it...he needs to work on the system and hopefully it works next year...at this point it is an insult to anyones intelligence here what he is now doing...

"I have an unlimited bankroll and so should you"...He is down over 5000 with over 3000 on the line today??? Come on man... For those that followed and were wiped out hopefully you learned a lesson...but I do feel bad for you... Once you see a thread start with a few plays...a few units...and the losses start to run...you should run too...if you have an infinite bankroll this type of fantasy betting is fine...or his units are $2...otherwise it has gone way beyond realistic...

Shame on the JM followers who let this happen..as a group you should have said something from the start...a good thread was ruined...having to jump through the mess everyday...

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 10:58 AM

Thanks for your input Miss G, but as usual, your opinion means nothing to me, or anyone for that matter. Your boyfriend must beat you on a regular basis to be this hostile in everyone's threads. But unlike the guy in the other thread which you are trying to destroy, you don't affect me one bit, and I am not going to go in the same hysteria saying it is affecting my job and my life and god knows what else, and running for a red triange every time a poor battered woman hides behind bold print assuming her opinions are facts when they are not. I realize more than one pick a week is too much for you to handle in your fragile state, but tough shit, it is what it is. You really ought to stay in your thread where your four regular posters lick your ass all day long, when in essance, that is all you want anyway, and you sure as hell won't get it here. But once again, thanks for the great insight!

**hagball52** · 08-23-11, 11:00 AM

I could go on and on but I'll put it to rest. The clutter starts and stops with you G's. Last week when you were on vacation this thread was running nice and smooth even with all the losses. Everyone here knows whats going on. Credit to Wallco for playing his system out to the end like he promised. Everyone begged him to put it out there, including myself. We were all warned. It hasn't worked out so well, nothing new but you come in here like sounding an alarm. I've never seen someone write so much and say so little " in bold".

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 11:07 AM

Yes, I make 1-2 posts a day in here, she makes about 7-8. Yet another idiotic statement by the little "Princess"!

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 11:16 AM

Originally posted by hagball52

I could go on and on but I'll put it to rest. The clutter starts and stops with you G's. Last week when you were on vacation this thread was running nice and smooth even with all the losses. Everyone here knows whats going on. Credit to Wallco for playing his system out to the end like he promised. Everyone begged him to put it out there, including myself. We were all warned. It hasn't worked out so well, nothing new but you come in here like sounding an alarm. I've never seen someone write so much and say so little " in bold".

seriously the part in blue had me in tears laughing!

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 11:19 AM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Thanks for your input Miss G, but as usual, your opinion means nothing to me, or anyone for that matter. Your boyfriend must beat you on a regular basis to be this hostile in everyone's threads. But unlike the guy in the other thread which you are trying to destroy, you don't affect me one bit, and I am not going to go in the same hysteria saying it is affecting my job and my life and god knows what else, and running for a red triange every time a poor battered woman hides behind bold print assuming her opinions are facts when they are not. I realize more than one pick a week is too much for you to handle in your fragile state, but tough shit, it is what it is. You really ought to stay in your thread where your four regular posters lick your ass all day long, when in essance, that is all you want anyway, and you sure as hell won't get it here. But once again, thanks for the great insight!

Spoken like a true professional...

Do you feel any remorse for the posters that told you that you completely wiped out their accounts with your irresponsible mismanagement of their money...they trusted you...now they have no account left! But you go on and on...doubling away with over 8000 total on the line between losses and bets today..all I can say by your response is...wow...very sad...

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 11:21 AM

hagball...just because he apparently has a very good basketball system from what I have read...does not automatically mean he has a good baseball system...try to come up with a response that makes it sound like you are over 12...

**GGPLAYER** · 08-23-11, 11:27 AM

**soldier1047** · 08-23-11, 11:32 AM

G is an idiot. Those who chose to play is their own responsibilty not Wallco.

**hagball52** · 08-23-11, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by G's pks

hagball...just because he apparently has a very good basketball system from what I have read...does not automatically mean he has a good baseball system...try to come up with a response that makes it sound like you are over 12...

It seems like you derive what you want out of what you read because your responses make you look foolish when comparing facts. And maybe I am only a 12 year old who can spell and has some grammar skills. I'll never tell.

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 11:46 AM

Did you say something, I couldn't hear you over the bold print!

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Did you say something, I couldn't hear you over the bold print!

No...I have said nothing your picks and results have said volumes...from one play a day to 15! Wow...sooner or later you may want to read my comments on the guy who bets 1x..loses...2x loses..now he claims (pretends) to move up to 5x loses...next 10x loses...next 20x and wins...you know what he says?

Look guys I am up!!! I am pretending i sold this train wreck to someone...do you believe me?

Later boys...it is fun dealing with the frustrated loser type...but I have more interesting things to do...time for a #2!

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 11:58 AM

Sorry, still too loud. Try again.

**dlunc3** · 08-23-11, 12:01 PM

Wow, i actually have respect for G right now. He has all out battles going on in 5 different threads right now... my head would be spinning... actually pretty impressive how he can keep them all separate and keep his thoughts separated on how to respond in each. I get sick of typing and sick of thinking when trying to argue a point every once in a while in just one thread... cant imagine 5! Ill shoot you a few points G baby... you deserve them as you have obviously worked very hard on SBR today. The troll business must have you exhausted!

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 12:09 PM

Originally posted by dlunc3

Wow, i actually have respect for G right now. He has all out battles going on in 5 different threads right now... my head would be spinning... actually pretty impressive how he can keep them all separate and keep his thoughts separated on how to respond in each. I get sick of typing and sick of thinking when trying to argue a point every once in a while in just one thread... cant imagine 5! Ill shoot you a few points G baby... you deserve them as you have obviously worked very hard on SBR today. The troll business must have you exhausted!

Now that I heard, I knew it wasn't my hearing!

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 12:10 PM

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by dlunc3

Wow, i actually have respect for G right now. He has all out battles going on in 5 different threads right now... my head would be spinning... actually pretty impressive how he can keep them all separate and keep his thoughts separated on how to respond in each. I get sick of typing and sick of thinking when trying to argue a point every once in a while in just one thread... cant imagine 5! Ill shoot you a few points G baby... you deserve them as you have obviously worked very hard on SBR today. The troll business must have you exhausted!

Make it six, we are in her's now!

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by dlunc3

Wow, i actually have respect for G right now. He has all out battles going on in 5 different threads right now... my head would be spinning... actually pretty impressive how he can keep them all separate and keep his thoughts separated on how to respond in each. I get sick of typing and sick of thinking when trying to argue a point every once in a while in just one thread... cant imagine 5! Ill shoot you a few points G baby... you deserve them as you have obviously worked very hard on SBR today. The troll business must have you exhausted!

Super Dlunc3...actually it is really just entertainment for everyone...at least I hope...the only one I can see with serious mental damage is atari...the poor guy because he stayed up till 1am..the latest he has ever been up had to mention the time last night...

But the facts are out there...atari got caught pretending his thread was up 60 units...(34 are completely unaccounted for)...

wallco has gone beyond desperation posting 15 plays...and if this does not knock several units off today...he will start having 30 plays and including his nfl picks here...

machine choice actually out of the 3 of them has some potental...can cap games...and has a few good systems...but the poor guy has zero self control and will only be a matter of time before we see the "all in" posts there...great stuff...take care back later...

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 12:16 PM

There it goes again, it has to be the bold, just too loud. I'm sure it was just drivel anyway!

**bauerranch** · 08-23-11, 12:16 PM

G has her panties in a tight wad again it seems. It was so peaceful last week.

**firehoyt** · 08-23-11, 12:17 PM

Wow another thread with G's bashing!

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by firehoyt

Wow another thread with G's bashing!

Yes, she has to justify to her lickers how it takes 5 hours to pick favorites, and pretend there is some complex extensive filtering system better than the ones you find in Olympic swimming pools with top of the line HEPA filters. And then only get 1-2 picks. There are no filters. She got up four units and will make sure it stays at that so she can call it a winner, and blaming these phantom filters as reasons why there are no picks. Good thing she didn't get up in April, may not have been any more plays the rest of the year.

**hagball52** · 08-23-11, 01:04 PM

Originally posted by G's pks

No...I have said nothing your picks and results have said volumes...from one play a day to 15! Wow...sooner or later you may want to read my comments on the guy who bets 1x..loses...2x loses..now he claims (pretends) to move up to 5x loses...next 10x loses...next 20x and wins...you know what he says?

Look guys I am up!!! I am pretending i sold this train wreck to someone...do you believe me?

Later boys...it is fun dealing with the frustrated loser type...but I have more interesting things to do...time for a #2!

Dude! Did you take a f*cking pill or something? Every single thread I've gone into has a post in bold with your name attached to it. I have a suggestion. Everyone here who is sick and tired of G's and his ridiculous banter please pay him a visit in his thread and post a 3 or 4 paragraph nonsense banter in bold.
Maybe, just maybe he'll get the message.

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by hagball52

Dude! Did you take a f*cking pill or something? Every single thread I've gone into has a post in bold with your name attached to it. I have a suggestion. Everyone here who is sick and tired of G's and his ridiculous banter please pay him a visit in his thread and post a 3 or 4 paragraph nonsense banter in bold.
Maybe, just maybe he'll get the message.

Already have, feel free to join me and often.

**Wallco99** · 08-23-11, 01:22 PM

I thought that was Miss G., but we actually just had a REAL earthquake here in PA. Strange feeling.

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 02:37 PM

here guys just dumping your posts back where they belong in herewhere they belong...

Originally posted by hagball52

Hi G's. Just stopped in to say hello....good job G....way to go G....your the best G....you're awesome G....what would the world do without you G ?.....Dang ! This posting in bold makes me feel like a bigshot....maybe a little arrogant but I can deal with that......maybe people will notice me more and think I'm something special....hell I might not even have to talk about baseball....who knows....maybe if I go into other threads people will pay more attention to me...even though I don't have a clue what I'm talking about....no matter....I just gotta keep busy.....wouldn't know what to do with my life if I couldn't post in bold....got make so many posts a day or I might lose my edge....what else is there in life anyway....nothing like getting up in the morning and first thing starting off with a strong cup of bold....you know maybe I could patent this stuff and make a little money off of it....god only knows I sure ain't gonna get rich betting my own picks....with only 1 or 2 a week....a guy could starve to death....but hey evry time I win everybody loves me....good job G....way to go G....you're the best G....man I just love it when people think I'm great....just wondering how I could feel this way all the time....hey I know I'll just make myself present everywhere I go and I know people will just love me....how could you not love a guy like me....my name is easy to spell and it rhymes with a lot of things....oh what the hell it doesn't matter what I say....I know everyone will just like me because I'm G's.....I'm a bigshot.....I make great picks....but sadly I don't get enough credit....so I might get mad and not post.....hey wait a minute....I can't do that.....I love to post.....hell! I live to post....maybe if someone will just throw me a few points....then I'll feel better again....then I can keep on posting.....there's nothing better in life than taking a good dump.... er I mean post....just keep rockin' and rollin' G's....we are all anxiously awaiting your next post....in bold....g'day my friend.....hope this helps

**G's pks** · 08-23-11, 02:40 PM

one more from the other clown...

Originally posted by Wallco99

Hi G's. Just stopped in to say hello....good job G....way to go G....your the best G....you're awesome G....what would the world do without you G ?.....Dang ! This posting in bold makes me feel like a bigshot....maybe a little arrogant but I can deal with that......maybe people will notice me more and think I'm something special....hell I might not even have to talk about baseball....who knows....maybe if I go into other threads people will pay more attention to me...even though I don't have a clue what I'm talking about....no matter....I just gotta keep busy.....wouldn't know what to do with my life if I couldn't post in bold....got make so many posts a day or I might lose my edge....what else is there in life anyway....nothing like getting up in the morning and first thing starting off with a strong cup of bold....you know maybe I could patent this stuff and make a little money off of it....god only knows I sure ain't gonna get rich betting my own picks....with only 1 or 2 a week....a guy could starve to death....but hey evry time I win everybody loves me....good job G....way to go G....you're the best G....man I just love it when people think I'm great....just wondering how I could feel this way all the time....hey I know I'll just make myself present everywhere I go and I know people will just love me....how could you not love a guy like me....my name is easy to spell and it rhymes with a lot of things....oh what the hell it doesn't matter what I say....I know everyone will just like me because I'm G's.....I'm a bigshot.....I make great picks....but sadly I don't get enough credit....so I might get mad and not post.....hey wait a minute....I can't do that.....I love to post.....hell! I live to post....maybe if someone will just throw me a few points....then I'll feel better again....then I can keep on posting.....there's nothing better in life than taking a good dump.... er I mean post....just keep rockin' and rollin' G's....we are all anxiously awaiting your next post....in bold....g'day my friend.....hope this helps

all set...take care...

**GGPLAYER** · 08-23-11, 03:36 PM

#232 Seattle @ Cleveland (M/L) (B) (DH Game #1) *Official* (1:05 pm EDT)
#233 Seattle @ Cleveland (-1½) (B) (DH Game #1) *Official* (1:05 pm EDT)

#237 Seattle @ Cleveland (-1½) v2 (B) (DH Game #1) *Official* (1:05 pm EDT)

Ah-Choo...bless you!! Winner!!!!!!!

**pagodo** · 08-23-11, 03:42 PM

Honestly, what Choo did there was just awesome.

Amazing 9th