Fading the Giants every game til May 4th thread. 13 games overall.

[imgv94]

Alright guys. I'm fading the Giants in every game til May 4th. This is a 13 game span and I wouldn't be surprised if they end up 4-9 in this span.


Here is the schedule:

21
@ ARI
6:40 PM


22
@ ARI
6:40 PM


23
@ SD
7:05 PM


24
@ SD
7:05 PM


25
vs CIN
7:15 PM


26
vs CIN
6:05 PM


27
vs CIN
1:05 PM


28
vs COL
7:15 PM


29
vs COL
7:15 PM

30
vs COL
12:45 PM


2
@ PHI
4:05 PM

3
@ PHI
4:05 PM


4
@ PHI
10:35 AM

[imgv94]

April 21st:

FIRST WAGER

0.83* Arizona -1 (-120)

Hopefully ARZ wins by more than 1.

[diogee]

Tough schedule for a crap team...on the D'backs -1.5 today.
GL bro.

[imgv94]

Tough schedule for a crap team...on the D'backs -1.5 today.
GL bro.

Exactly brother.. Schedule is tough, I think I picked a good 13 game span. ARI should beat them twice in a row so if we start off 2-0 that is golden..


I don't see them sweepin SD @ Petco, it could happen probably won't. Cincy series is an interesting one, I think that ends up 1-2 2-1 either way..

Colorado might sweep them or at least get two out of three. And Phillies bats are too much for SF..

Think this has a good shot to be profitable if wagered accordingly.

[The_Kid]

Good luck imgv. Should be interesting to see this.

How many days is Lincecum supposed to pitch during this stretch? 2 or 3?

[WestsidePete]

interesting ...5 different series 3 series on the road ...I'm in already for today
AZ -180 2 units
AZ -1.5 +110 1 unit

GL GUYS...

[St. Andrew]

You should consider doing this fade system on the Nationals. Lord Gawd, if this team won back to back games it would shock me into the grave. They are AWFUL. This team cannot cope with getting a win, and if they are in a game late, they will find a way to lose it. Worst offense in the majors. Worse than the Giants, and even more psychologically damaged than the Giants cause Nats have nothing in the farm. The whole organization is bone dry. I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!

[imgv94]

Good luck imgv. Should be interesting to see this.

How many days is Lincecum supposed to pitch during this stretch? 2 or 3?

It will be fun nonetheless. Good question, but since I'm not flat betting the games where he is pitching will not be larger unit plays. That was the great thing about doing this last season, when you are following one team so closely you start getting a good feel for them..

I hate betting against that kid, he's lights out.

[imgv94]

interesting ...5 different series 3 series on the road ...I'm in already for today
AZ -180 2 units
AZ -1.5 +110 1 unit

GL GUYS...

Exactly my brother Also those games at home won't be easy. Cincy is no pushover and Colorado has big sticks.

We got this man.

[imgv94]

You should consider doing this fade system on the Nationals. Lord Gawd, if this team won back to back games it would shock me into the grave. They are AWFUL. This team cannot cope with getting a win, and if they are in a game late, they will find a way to lose it. Worst offense in the majors. Worse than the Giants, and even more psychologically damaged than the Giants cause Nats have nothing in the farm. The whole organization is bone dry. I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!

You should start a thread dude.. I'm serious. If you really believe this then you should start a thread and fade the Nationals all season or for as long as you feel is right..

[The_Kid]

You should consider doing this fade system on the Nationals. Lord Gawd, if this team won back to back games it would shock me into the grave. They are AWFUL. This team cannot cope with getting a win, and if they are in a game late, they will find a way to lose it. Worst offense in the majors. Worse than the Giants, and even more psychologically damaged than the Giants cause Nats have nothing in the farm. The whole organization is bone dry. I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!

Let's hope this holds true for today. I tailed you on that D'Backs/Braves parlay

[BuddyBear]

I am going to make a killing off of this team this year!

Yes, they are very weak. But be very very careful with this mentality about betting against them always. This is virtually the same team from last year, a team that ended up being one of the most profitable bets you could make in MLB last year. I think they were the #4 money team last year. They'll get hot soon....

[St. Andrew]

I remember when you did this type of thread last year in the RX Forum and you made a killing on the Dodgers for a brief spell. Did I get that right? Was that you?

[imgv94]

Yes, they are very weak. But be very very careful with this mentality about betting against them always. This is virtually the same team from last year, a team that ended up being one of the most profitable bets you could make in MLB last year. I think they were the #4 money team last year. They'll get hot soon....

I remember that.. Everybody wrote them off and then they starting winning games.. As bad as they were last season they still won 45% of their games and went .500 @ home.

Good point.

[imgv94]

I remember when you did this type of thread last year in the RX Forum and you made a killing on the Dodgers for a brief spell. Did I get that right? Was that you?

Dodgers and Giants last season, did it here too.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/38699-time-im-predicting-giants-start-losing-betting-tracking-between-8-31-9-19-a.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/37320-im-predicting-dodgers-go-run-tracking-betting-everyday-between-8-16-8-29-a.html

Following Dodgers 9-4 +7.02
Fading Giants 12-6 +7.91

[imgv94]

I'm thinking we go 8-5 or 9-4 on this try. Really hope we start off 2-0 on this because 6-5 or 7-4 in those last 11 games looks extremely attainable.

[WestsidePete]

interesting ...5 different series 3 series on the road ...I'm in already for today
AZ -180 2 units
AZ -1.5 +110 1 unit

GL GUYS...

Nice start for us IMGV... let's do it again tomorrow

[BuddyBear]

I remember that.. Everybody wrote them off and then they starting winning games.. As bad as they were last season they still won 45% of their games and went .500 @ home.

Good point.

Exactly. Team got hot and they were still getting prices of +150 and higher routinely. You'll get no dispute from me about WSH and SF being bad teams, but if you want to bet against them you'll have to pay a pretty large price especially on the road. I don't blame you guys for fading some of these teams, just be careful b/c sometime this season you'll see teams like Pitt, WSH, SF, Texas, etc... put together winning streaks where they win like 12 of 14 or something like that.

[St. Andrew]

Exactly. Team got hot and they were still getting prices of +150 and higher routinely. You'll get no dispute from me about WSH and SF being bad teams, but if you want to bet against them you'll have to pay a pretty large price especially on the road. I don't blame you guys for fading some of these teams, just be careful b/c sometime this season you'll see teams like Pitt, WSH, SF, Texas, etc... put together winning streaks where they win like 12 of 14 or something like that.

I will fade Washington in parlays until they beat me.

[WestsidePete]

I won't bet against Lincecum on the Giants..everyone else is fair game...

[diogee]

Right there with you WSP...I will likely bet FF on the Giants again when Lincecum is pitching.

[WestsidePete]

diogee...I bet on the Giants Sat with him pitching and they won...I think the team tries harder for him as well...he's 3-0 so far ...miracle on this AAA team...

[diogee]

Yeah no kidding...I have bet FF the last 2 times he has pitched. He is definitely a pitcher that I would not want to fade at this point.

[imgv94]

Exactly. Team got hot and they were still getting prices of +150 and higher routinely. You'll get no dispute from me about WSH and SF being bad teams, but if you want to bet against them you'll have to pay a pretty large price especially on the road. I don't blame you guys for fading some of these teams, just be careful b/c sometime this season you'll see teams like Pitt, WSH, SF, Texas, etc... put together winning streaks where they win like 12 of 14 or something like that.

I think it can profitable to fade a team if they have a somewhat difficult schedule and you have it all planned out. I wouldn't fade the Giants all season but with their remaining schedule I think it could be profitable because they have some tough teams ahead..

We'll see how it goes..

[imgv94]

Alright so far

1-0 +0.83 Units

Still undecided about what I'm going to do tomorrow.

[tab]

Lincecum really know how to pitch a game and keeps getting better. He is capable of pitching a shutout, no hitter and a perfect game. He is the ace of the giants pitching staff. Right now he has the upperhand. Major league hitters have not figured out how to hit him. He did take a beating in a couple of games but those were after a winning streak. But be careful on 3-0 pitchers because they do get pounded too. And last year, the giants won 3 in row for Lincecum and they did this twice in 2007. After winning streaks, Lincecum also had losing sreaks where the giants lost 3 in a row and 5 in a row. Be careful on taking Lincecum on his next start. I would bet against Lincecum on his next start.

[WestsidePete]

so far in Giant fade plays 2-0 +2.22 units

today Dbacks -1.5 -120 one unit

[imgv94]

Let's do this WSP..

Here is what I decided to do.

4/22:

1.5*ML Parlay (-153)
D'Backs ML
Pistons ML (NBA WED)


I don't know why but the RL scares me for some reason. I'd be floored if the Pistons lost two in a row at home to the Sixers..

GL Everyone

[WestsidePete]

nice parlay....Zito is done...walks too many guys...fastball is now only in the 80's...get's himself in trouble almost every inning if Webb is on they should cover the RL... GL tonite

[tab]

Giants will win tonite against unbeaten Webb. I am fading Webb for a loss.

[imgv94]

Are you serious tab? Why say something like that in the 4th inning?

[tab]

I had predicted giants 5 dbacks 4 on the jinx thread

[WestsidePete]

Giants will win tonite against unbeaten Webb. I am fading Webb for a loss.

Thanks... Dbacks back in the lead...Zito is done

[WestsidePete]

I had predicted giants 5 dbacks 4 on the diamondbacks rally thread.

hopefully you're not right....Webb is definitely not on so pens may be a factor...

[imgv94]

Webb will pitch better with a two run lead..