Pair of 5s Sir 2011 MLB

[pacocn]

Welcome home 5's i hope you stay awhile, you were missed,
but we managed to stay afloat during your absence. I will be rolling
with Pittsburgh tomorrow +156

[HossDaBoss]

Getting defensive over a standard downswing is not an accurate account of a "professional" capper. Thanks.

quoting only win/loss without unit count is not an accurate account of a true record. Thanks

[GarbageMan]

If price gets up to +115, thinking the Braves could be a good play today?

[pacocn]

If cubbies break 130 i will roll with Big Z

[bulichme]

I did enjoy the early part of this thread, with the towers and the friendly atmosphere of it all. Hope 5's can restore some of that after jumping ship on everyone.

[bulichme]

If cubbies break 130 i will roll with Big Z

They are tough to back. I know contrarian goes against public, and the big L line is low do to previous outings which makes it understandable. But still seems a hard way to go. Maybe shoot for the under?

One other thing. Why don't you go Pro ? You seem to be seriously into all of this and it's easy to do, just press on "become a pro". It's well worth it. If you do so you'll thank me later.

[Rick22]

Sir - I think each year you start with a few people who don't really understand your contrarian concept. They don't understand management, the "long haul" or that the main concern is not W's or L's, but units. As you know I don't say much, but I always check in, - you are a valuable piece of the forum puzzle.

[jds07v]

Pair, apparently you need to win 100% of your games to please people here. I am quite pleased with the money I made with you in April. The different approach has led me to a very successful early part of May in your absence. Good to see you back

[pacocn]

Buliche the under is at 5.5, but the ml in the cubies
game is almost at the +130 mark, once all the dot.com(silicon valley)
and the legalization of 420
guys wake up and put their money on Timeeeeeeeeee i will
jump on the cubies

[Smutbucket]

Good to hear from you, sir 5's ! hope all is well and keep up good work!

[grilldog24]

APRIL THAT WAS AMONTH AND HALF AGO LOL GET REAL

[TheLock]

LOL @ all the apes who were

A) dumb enough to pay for picks and

B) upset because they lost $$$ over a ridiculously small sample size.

The guy is up a ridiculous amount of units in just 6 weeks in baseball and you guys are crying over a dip in the graph.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Short Term Junkie Report

Today: 2-0 +3.90 units
Last 10 selections: 4-6 -3.42 units
Last 20 selections: 9-14 -9.14 units
Last 25 selections: 11-14 -5.78 units

2011 MLB: 70-53 +43.70 units

All games are monitored and verified. I am stuck with the numbers, whether I them or not.

Beware O Contrare

[Pair of 5s Sir]

When I look at the season as a whole, one of the key metrics I strongly consider is the average unit wagered. Anyone can be up +40 units playing 5 to 10 average/play. 2011 MLB, my average unit wagered is 1.68 per play.

Just another bit of stats for the thankful and the angry.

[figue]

[pacocn]

5's you are the man, no one
can replace you looking forward to
a long and prosperous mlb season

[Pair of 5s Sir]

5's you are the man, no one
can replace you looking forward to
a long and prosperous mlb season

[pacocn]

I hope that contrarian tower is bright eyed
and bushied tailed in the morning and the fresh
carpets are stained free

[JuniorAnalyst]

Jays look good

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I appreciate the kind comments Paco.

[rabbitxx]

Good luck everyone on your bets!

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Long Term Sharp Report

Sharp cappers need to see if "All parts of the engine" are functioning, what is hot, what is lagging. Here is one way I dissect my "engine".

Overall: 69-52 57% +44.57 units
Dogs: 29-23 56% +26.99 units
Totals: 19-14 58% +14.30 units
Favs: 11-08 58% +0.08 units
RL: 10-07 59% +3.20 units

What is unusual this season is that all the parts are working successful. That is uncharacteristic of the metrics. Usually, some lag as it relates to percentage or as I call it pick rate.

For you advanced home gamers, the ROI% = 22.1
Average unit/play = 1.50 units

Hope you enjoy the stats.

Beware O Contrare

[JuniorAnalyst]

Glad to see your return Sir. Any leans for today?

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection

Royals +113 (1 unit)

[JuniorAnalyst]

Ive seen alot of people calling the indians. maybe a little writeup? few reasons you think royals?

[Checkerboard]

Royals +113 (1 unit)

go royals go! thanks 5s

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Davies last outing against the Yanks on the road was a good one. A line drive that Swisher grabbed made the difference. The squares will not like the square numbers on Davies, particularly the ERA. Royals come home, I like it.

[JuniorAnalyst]

alright lets get em

[Ca$hfloW]

BOL pair

[jds07v]

grilldog. apparently pair should be shot for being up 40 units so far. also april was 17 days ago since today is may 16. even through the recent struggle, 40 units of profit were taken. at zero charge to me. sounds like a good deal to me. i will continue to ride the train. hop on or get run over by it

[BallDontLie]

Davies last outing against the Yanks on the road was a good one. A line drive that Swisher grabbed made the difference. The squares will not like the square numbers on Davies, particularly the ERA. Royals come home, I like it.

Thanks for the pick Sir. Wish i got on it when you did cause its moved a ton now. Good Luck!

[fletch49]

Curious about everyone's contrarian strategy.
Do you place more weight on line movement OR on do you watch more where the wagers are going?
These two do not always follow each other as you would normally expect.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Fletch, there is no weighting of the contrarian indicators, it is the totality of all factors that lead us to a selection.

[TheLock]

Orioles RL common one time!

[fletch49]

OUCH