Fade Livan Hernandez for the rest of the year

FLO31 · 09-14-10, 12:52 AM

i been fading Livan, but i'm skeptical here.. prolly make a small play on it

ROFLcopter · 09-14-10, 01:10 AM

2 reasons to not go TOO big on this play:

1. Jurrjen's recent struggles
2. Disadvantage of taking the home team RL

I still think this hits rather easily, but would rather play it safe here and not kill anyone who decides to follow. Yes Livan did pitch well last time, but it was against the Mets during the day. Still expect him to get hit hard tomorrow. Will see how the lines move on the game over and Braves TT over as well

ROFLcopter · 09-20-10, 10:21 AM

Alright, Livan is back on the hill tonight at home against Bud Norris and the Astros. We lost last time but it was a smaller play and we're still up 10 units here. Don't have alot of time but here are Some things to consider:

1. The Astros are playing pretty well, are 11-6 in September.
2. Astros RL opened at -180 and going up. Just jumped to -200 at Greek.

This might be a tight game but the Astros get it done here.

Astros +120 (4x)

ROFLcopter · 09-20-10, 07:22 PM

Livan tonight: 5 innings, 8 runs. Did everyone here lose faith after that last game? It was only a 3x play

Angela · 09-20-10, 07:23 PM

lol...was thinking of this thread as I placed my Asros bet today

Mr Windy City · 09-20-10, 07:24 PM

Livan is just too fat, he wears down towards the end of the seasons.

ROFLcopter · 09-20-10, 07:28 PM

Yup. Like I said, he was out of the rotation shortly after the All Star break last year. He's healthier this year, and hasn't completely imploded as he's sprinkled in some pretty solid starts, but he is a sure bet to fade at the end of the year

ROFLcopter · 09-20-10, 08:56 PM

Easy money. Adding 4.8 chips to the account. Really wanted to go bigger but must control myself and make sure we finish well into the positive