Halladay -330 tomorrow.....Buyer Beware!

[stikymess]

Nice write up mad, throw us out a winner for Wed.

[gohabsgo]

I don't like paying -355 in baseball where anything can happen, halladay can have a bad day who knows, i think i'll bet on houston for fun

[Power Play]

nice read, why didn't post this 5 hours ago?

I did suggest not playing any of the big favorites today (boston, phillies, or cards) on another thread 6 hours or so ago.

[Sawyer]

Agreed with you %100.

I don't remember many games when -300 or -250 fav won easily, LoL. (Except yankees)

I love UNDER in these kind of games. Halladay may give 2 runs but it may not be enough for victory. In addition, Happ will pitch his best game to duel Halo.

[mitote]

So what everyone is saying is to bet the house on the Phillies! They are a lock! hahaha j/k

[danrman]

yeah i dont agree in this particular situation.. i think it takes balls to lay that when the stros have shown they can we in philly twice.. one also has the caveat w/ happ being a former philly when myers (another former philly pitcher) has already beaten them in this series.. just an opinion.. everyone has one and this is what makes a market.. it will be interesting to see how many people go w/ the fav. or the dog in this one.. no matter how your choose.. GL

[MadCapper]

Nice write up mad, throw us out a winner for Wed.

Thanx!

I will a little later!

[dukeblue888]

phillies and the over

[MadCapper]

Agreed with you %100.

I don't remember many games when -300 or -250 fav won easily, LoL. (Except yankees)

I love UNDER in these kind of games. Halladay may give 2 runs but it may not be enough for victory. In addition, Happ will pitch his best game to duel Halo.

Even the Yankees dont win easily.

[MadCapper]

yeah i dont agree in this particular situation.. i think it takes balls to lay that when the stros have shown they can we in philly twice.. one also has the caveat w/ happ being a former philly when myers (another former philly pitcher) has already beaten them in this series.. just an opinion.. everyone has one and this is what makes a market.. it will be interesting to see how many people go w/ the fav. or the dog in this one.. no matter how your choose.. GL

I guarantee many many people will have the Phillies -330 in their parlays.

[MadCapper]

phillies and the over

Possibly. But why?

[mtltitans2]

I like the Phils RL @ -160 I don't see them getting swept at home espicialy with Halladay on the mound

[Bo$$ Bet$]

I always give this warning to bettors during late August and September: "BEWARE OF THE HUGE FAVORITES AGAINST TEAMS THAT HAVE YOUNG GUYS PLAYING FOR THEIR LIVELYHOOD!" And year in and year out bettors don't listen and end up losing too much on the -300 favorite. Teams that are out of it and have their young prospects up are DANGEROUS! These kids seem to be a bit quicker than the veterans. They are playing with a chip on their shoulder. They are showcasing themselves for the next season. Furthermore, the huge favorites often "look past" these inferior teams. The veterans on the huge favorite teams do not even know who 90% of the underdog roster is. They probably go to sleep late, wake up late, and say all we have to do is get on the field and we will win. But, more often than not, that is not the case. As we saw last night with the big bad -300 Cardinals, with their ace - Wainwright- on the mound, against the inferior Pirates. The gashouse gang were only able to must 3 runs. They scored 2 in the first and then seemed to turn off the switch. And players like Tabata, Walker, and McCutchen beat Wainwright. Also, the big bad hitting Phillies only got up for the game enough to score 2 runs against the putrid Astros...IN PHILLY!

For today, luckilly, there is only 1 huge favorite on the board: Phillies (Halladay) -330 vs Happ and the Astros. Square logic tells us that its a sure thing, a lock, that Halladay will handle, if not shut-out the lowly, weak hitting Astros. The Phillies are pissed about last night. Theres no way they can lose again, Right? Wrong! Its never that easy. The Phillies bats have been dormant, to say the least. It seems as if Utley and Howard have both come back too soon from their injuries. The rest of the lineup seems to have flamed out as well. Werth, Victorino, Polanco, Rollins (besides his huge homerun last night) are not hitting consistently enough. The Astros are playing with nothing to lose. This is their World Series.....facing Doc Halladay and the mighty Phillies. This is J.A. Happ's Hall of Fame game. He will be up for this one...playing against his former team.

By no means am I telling you that Houston will win. But what I am telling you is not to tie up your money on a -330 favorite in this situation. As I tell fellow bettors: "Even the best teams in baseball lose 60+ games" and "even the best pitchers in baseball barely win 50% of the games they start".


I wish you luck with whatever you decide to do. Hopefully you learned something today

very nice thank you i learned something today

[MadCapper]

I like the Phils RL @ -160 I don't see them getting swept at home espicialy with Halladay on the mound

Square talk?

And run-lines at home are very risky. Plus its a -160 runline. Stay away.

[MadCapper]

very nice thank you i learned something today

[Prey]

I'm on phillies -1.5 in a parlay for 140 sbr

Astros for real money. Really think halladay will have another 1-0 win? doubt it. Phillies either win big or lose, leaning towards the first so I'm betting the opposite.

[MadCapper]

I'm on phillies -1.5 in a parlay for 140 sbr

Astros for real money. Really think halladay will have another 1-0 win? doubt it. Phillies either win big or lose, leaning towards the first so I'm betting the opposite.

Runlines at home are very tricky with one less AB. Also the way Philly has been hitting..why take a JUICY runline?

[thebestthereis]

halladay is good matchup (in his favor) vs the astros, being a right handed sinker ball type pitcher. astros average 3.6 runs and their average is .242, against halladay that will be worse. problems for me is that the phillies are not hitting and happ used to pitch for them so he knows the hitters well (always in the pitchers favor). with all of this being said there is no justification whatsoever to lay -340 in this game. true line should be half that in my opinion.

[ChileCheese]

What about Phils TT over?

[WvGambler]

What about Phils TT over?

They can't hit water from a boat right now...their offense is what's making them suspect.

[jacky]

PHI might win only 1 point so don't play on rl.

[MadCapper]

What about Phils TT over?

Only way you could bet that is if you believe in the "due theory". And thats a very flawed theory, to say the least.

[fjordo]

Whenever I see a game with a line -300 or more, I always like to put a tiny play on the reverse runline. Is it likely the Astros win by 2, probably not, but with +640 odds is it not worth a shot?

[Sportsbetting123]

Unbelievable line on this, especially considering Happ is a decent pitcher. Wouldn't touch this game. Best of luck!

[MadCapper]

Whenever I see a game with a line -300 or more, I always like to put a tiny play on the reverse runline. Is it likely the Astros win by 2, probably not, but with +640 odds is it not worth a shot?

True...but thats being greedy. I'd be happy with +300

[MadCapper]

Unbelievable line on this, especially considering Happ is a decent pitcher. Wouldn't touch this game. Best of luck!

And still how many people will use the Phillies as one leg, or worse the anchor, of their parlays?

Just like Hamels and Wainwright and Beckett last night.

I warned everyone about it last night.

[Betting Guru]

No doubt buyer shall be ware! I've seen Halladay lose a game where he was favored by more! No doubt he is a stud but a little to rich for my blood.

[SR]

I always throw a little bit on lines like these, especially when the astros have been playing hot in philly.

[MadCapper]

I see -350 now.

[bradleysnyder]

going to parlay houston and kc

[MadCapper]

And how many people will be taking Boston -220 @ home with Beckett against Seattle and D. Paulie at 1pm?

This is another "lock" that everyoone will parlay.

You will see tons of 2,3,4 team parlays with Philly and Boston involved.

Buyer Beware!

[thirtytwo]

i like tha under in this one

[HoulihansTX]

Houston +1.5 is the only play.

[MadCapper]

Nice write up mad, throw us out a winner for Wed.

Braves -125 (3 units)
Rays +110 (2 units)
Astros +310 (1 unit)
Royals +175 (1 unit)

[Bsters]

I would rather lay a small bet on the other side of that line just to see if I can get a big payout....you never know. Look at the Cardinals last night vs the Pirates