Accuscore MLB Pick System

kfranz31 · 08-09-10, 06:54 PM

i am very sorry for chiming in late...... but what is the criteria for a play heresystem seems to work am just trying to follow

LanceJ4 · 08-09-10, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by boeing power

thanks lance, yup balt is the only play according to emptys sytem but mariners and tigers were very,very close to counting , i will not play them but will watch closely, also kc royals have great value at 42% as they are a +196 dog at pinny..

Yep, it stands to reason that selecting plays based on the value alone would net the largest profit (but lower win-rate) in the long run. But who knows? Let's collect data and see.

-Lance

LanceJ4 · 08-09-10, 07:49 PM

Originally posted by kfranz31

i am very sorry for chiming in late...... but what is the criteria for a play heresystem seems to work am just trying to follow

Filters by empty in post #102.

Math by CHAZ in post #93.

-Lance

CHAZ · 08-09-10, 10:55 PM

Another win!! Thanks for posting the charts Lance.

LanceJ4 · 08-10-10, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by CHAZ

Another win!! Thanks for posting the charts Lance.

No problem.

That makes the 5-day total +5.94 units.

-Lance

CHAZ · 08-10-10, 12:44 PM

Anyone have the chart for todays plays? I'll be able to post the chart again starting tomorrow.

Betting Guru · 08-10-10, 01:01 PM

Not bad thing you got going here. Keep it up. I'll keep an eye on this thread.

VTranX · 08-10-10, 02:23 PM

good job guys.

FeelinJuiced · 08-10-10, 02:35 PM

Sim ml veg diff

bal 48% 132 42% -6%
cle 52% -142 58% 6%

tb 53% -101 51% -2%
det 47% -111 49% 2%

fla 31% 171 36% 5%
wsh 69% -181 64% -5%

lad 55% -104 51% -4%
phi 45% -106 49% 4%

bos 40% 114 46% 6%
tor 60% -124 54% -6%

stl 45% 125 44% -1%
cin 55% -135 56% 1%

col 63% -154 60% -3%
nym 37% 144 40% 3%

nyy 35% 121 44% 9%
tex 65% -131 56% -9%

atl 58% -144 58% 0%
hou 42% 134 42% 0%

min 51% -104 51% 0%
chw 49% -106 49% 0%

ari 53% 125 44% -9%
mil 47% -135 56% 9%

kan 22% 210 31% 9%
laa 78% -240 69% -9%

pit 38% 190 34% -4%
sdg 62% -210 66% 4%

oak 51% 122 44% -7%
sea 49% -132 56% 7%

chc 35% 185 34% -1%
sfo 65% -200 66% 1%

FeelinJuiced · 08-10-10, 02:37 PM

Sorry, it didn't keep my formatting. But you can hopefully make out the important stuff. That's today's chart 8/10

empty · 08-10-10, 02:59 PM

tex 65% -131 56% -9%
ari 53% 125 44% -9%
oak 51% 122 44% -7%

potomac5 · 08-10-10, 04:05 PM

hey empty are those the plays tonight...

FeelinJuiced · 08-10-10, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by potomac5

hey empty are those the plays tonight...

Yes chart is post 149

boeing power · 08-10-10, 04:42 PM

no plays tonight

FeelinJuiced · 08-10-10, 04:50 PM

Texas -131
Arizona +125
Oakland +122

All three are plays

boeing power · 08-10-10, 05:13 PM

can somebody post a readable chart?

LanceJ4 · 08-10-10, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by boeing power

can somebody post a readable chart?

Attached.

-Lance

Attached Files

CHAZ · 08-11-10, 07:44 AM

2-1 last night
15-8 (65%)

Chart for today will be up in a few.

CHAZ · 08-11-10, 08:00 AM

Astros +120
Athletics -130
Nationals -112
Indians -150

bigsmitty · 08-11-10, 08:57 AM

Thanks for the info. Cheers and good luck

Cranium · 08-11-10, 01:47 PM

CHAZ,

Is that chart available for free online?

Thanks for posting!

CHAZ · 08-11-10, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by Cranium

CHAZ, Is that chart available for free online? Thanks for posting!

Theres not a free chart online. This is my own setup where I plug in the ML and team everyday.

You can pay for Accuscores system which figures everything for you and has there own filters, though.

empty · 08-11-10, 06:27 PM

texas should also be a play the numbers are way off. vegas odds 62/49 should be around 61/41. and the vegas win should be around 60/40 and 10% diff. I'm not going to play it. Should we count it?

CHAZ · 08-11-10, 06:53 PM

That's your choice but the filters say nothing over -150. We need to stay consistent

empty · 08-11-10, 07:21 PM

8/5 colorado -155
8/6 texas -160
just trying to stay consistent

JGetz · 08-11-10, 07:24 PM

interesting...

empty · 08-11-10, 07:28 PM

-150 and under 14-7 +7.74
-160 and under 15-8 +7.19

CHAZ · 08-11-10, 07:56 PM

We can make it -160 and just keep an eye on it.

CHAZ · 08-12-10, 07:34 AM

Rough night last night. On to better days!

1-4

16-12

CHAZ · 08-12-10, 08:18 AM

Cranium · 08-12-10, 10:58 AM

Chaz,
Thanks for posting. Without paying for their service, is there one site where you can go to get Accu Sims for free?

GL!

CHAZ · 08-12-10, 11:33 AM

410 Gone

http://www.thespread.com/accuscore/mlb-forecasts.html

Cranium · 08-12-10, 01:18 PM

Thanks CHAZ!

boeing power · 08-12-10, 01:30 PM

todays plays, phillies and whitesox, thanks chaz and empty

HayMan · 08-12-10, 03:15 PM

Sorry, been out of the country for a few days so have not been posting. I was playing with a few other filters, and did some backtesting back to 8/5 and based on these filters it would have made the record 11-3 about +7.8 Units and none of yesterdays games would have been a play. It filtered out 5 winners, but also 9 losers. I will keep monitoring this and if it looks meaningful will post the filters. For what it's worth, based on my new filters there would be no plays tonight either. I am sure there is still work to do on these, just thought I would post this info.