BET #811.8 units to win 10 units
8/14/10 4:10pm MLB Baseball 903 San Diego Padres -118* vs San Francisco Giants (M Latos - R must Start M Bumgarner - L must Start)
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BET #8
11.8 units to win 10 units
8/14/10 4:10pm MLB Baseball 903 San Diego Padres -118* vs San Francisco Giants (M Latos - R must Start M Bumgarner - L must Start)
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6.5 units to win 5 units
8/14/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 925 Oakland Athletics/Minnesota Twins Under 8½ -130* (T Cahill - R must Start B Duensing -L must Start)
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5 units to win 5.75 units
8/14/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 910 New York Mets +1½ +115* vs Philadelphia Phillies (R Halladay - R must Start P Misch - L must Start)
2.5 units to win 4.8 units
8/14/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 910 New York Mets +192* vs Philadelphia Phillies (R Halladay - R must Start P Misch - L must Start)
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7.5 units to win 9.75 units
8/14/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 920 Chicago White Sox -1½ +130* vs Detroit Tigers (R Porcello - R must Start E Jackson - R must Start)
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5.2 units to win 5 units
8/14/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 905 Arizona Diamondbacks -104* vs Washington Nationals (I Kennedy - R must Start J Marquis - R must Start)
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5.75 units to win 5 units
8/14/10 4:10pm MLB Baseball 902 St Louis Cardinals -1½ -115* vs Chicago Cubs (C Zambrano - R must Start Carpenter - R must Start)
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Padres -118:
Padres are 4-0 in Latos' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 7-0 in Latos' last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win.
Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
Padres are 14-3 in their last 17 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Padres are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
Road team is 5-0 in Hudsons last 5 Saturday games behind home plate.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Hudson behind home plate.
The Padres dominate the Giants, simple as that. And Latos dominates everyone, simple as that. Latos is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in three starts against San Francisco. He is by far one of the best this season and he does VERY well against the Giants.
On the other side Bumgarner is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA in his last three starts.
Don't see how all these trends change.
* MONSTER play.
Twins Vs A's UNDER 8.5 -130:
Under is 5-0 in Athletics last 5 road games.
Under is 10-2-1 in Cahills last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 13-2-1 in Athletics last 16 overall.
Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-0 in Duensings last 5 home starts.
Under is 10-1-1 in McClellands last 12 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
Under is 6-1-2 in McClellands last 9 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
One of the best pitchers in the league, Chaill, against a very good pitcher Duensing. With an ump that favors the UNDER big time, and the pretty weak A's offense, this should go well under.
Mets +1.5 +115:
This bet is a must bet in my eyes. Yes, the Phillies will have Halladay on the mound, but the Phillies didn't score at Queens this season, the Phillies are missing some of their best hitters, and the Mets are getting their best closer back.
They will have Misch on the mound playing his first game in the majors and if he can take the Mets to the pen in good shape, this bet is in good shape.
I took the +1.5 because the price is amazing, but I will also place a small bet on the ML.
WhiteSox -1.5 +130:
Tigers are 3-13 in Porcellos last 16 road starts.
Tigers are 1-6 in Porcellos last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Tigers are 1-6 in Porcellos last 7 starts.
White Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
White Sox are 22-4 in their last 26 home games.
Tigers are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.
Tigers are 0-4 in Porcellos last 4 starts vs. White Sox.
White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games with Eddings behind home plate.
Home team is 5-1 in Eddings' last 6 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Eddings behind home plate.
The WhiteSox are playing amazing ball. They had a few games lately were the offense was dead, but in general they are playing almost perfect since the ALL-STAR game. They have dominated the Tigers this season and at home it should be easy because the Tigers are playing terrible on the road. With that the WhiteSox Covered the RL in ALL wins against the Tigers this season. To add to all that Porcello is 0-4 with a 10.80 ERA versus Chicago.
Diamondbacks -104:
Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Kennedys last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Nationals are 0-4 in Marquis' last 4 starts.
Road team is 4-1 in Vanovers last 5 games behind home plate.
There are a lot of stats against each team in this game, but there are two things here:
In 5 games between the teams this season they have alternated wins, that means if that keeps going AZ will win this game. With that Marquis is just terrible and doesn't have a win yet. AZ is playing better than they have most of the seasn and against a very weak Nats team they should bounce back even though they have the struggling Kennedy on the mound.
Cards -1.5 -115:
Cardinals are 22-4 in Carpenters last 26 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 22-4 in Carpenters last 26 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cardinals are 47-12 in Carpenters last 59 home starts.
Cardinals are 5-0 in Carpenters last 5 starts vs. Cubs.
Home team is 7-1 in Welkes last 8 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
This bet looks too easy, that's true. With that Zambrano has some strong stats against the Cards, but the Cubs are terrible, the Cards are HOT, and Carp is super hot, so it's a must bet.
Bet I wouldn't go huge here by any means, with all the facts against the Cubs, as I said Cubs are 13-3 in Zambranos last 16 starts vs. Cardinals, which is a pretty strong stat. The reason I am placing a bet here is because it's the Cubs, it's carp, and it's Zambrano on the road.
* Will add more soon ...Comment -
Great writings and awesome picks mate, love the brunettes and even more that you monster is on Latos
..
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I really like the Padres, Grumpy.
I think they totally crush Bumgarner today.Comment -
Originally posted by SolidDalaGreat writings and awesome picks mate, love the brunettes and even more that you monster is on Latos ..Don't like the fact the morons of the forum are on the same play (but a lot of the great users are on it as well), but I don't see how SD don't win and win big today. Anyway I won't add anymore plays today, after the MONSTER sweep I had and a lot of weird facts about the other games I will settle with this and 4 NFL plays.Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
GL to everyone!Comment -
Do you have a thread on the NFL board? Or are you gonna just post them here?Originally posted by WiseGrumpyComment -
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ThanksComment -
Like that 'light' approach Grumps, kinda hard to overcome last days earnings
Will check out the nfl thread mate... Have no clue about nfl, its like a slightly less manly sport then aussies 
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Come on Padres are you kiddin me?!?! SH1T!Comment -
Not to happy about Pads at the moment, so many hits and still can't winComment -
Mentioed I had a weird feeling about this day, I could and should have prevented some of the loses. Can't believe the Pads lost like that. Oh well, still up big.
Summary:
Plays: 2-5
MONSTER: 0-1
Units: -22.55
Streak (Winning\Losing days): L1
Total:
Plays: 208-187-15
Parlays: 13-22
MONSTER: 5-3
Units: +39.33Comment -
Thanks as always for the writeups Grump. Didn't see your plays before I made mine-was on CHIW and STL as two of my majors-what the hell...Glad I nailed on Friday. Better luck for us Sunday. CheersComment -
Thnx mate to you too!Originally posted by bigsmittyComment -
BET #9
45.5 units to win 32.5 units
8/15/10 2:05pm MLB Baseball 972 Chicago White Sox -140* vs Detroit Tigers (A Galarraga - R must Start F Garcia - R must Start)
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BET #10
14.5 units to win 10 units
8/15/10 4:05pm MLB Baseball 965 San Diego Padres +1½ -145* vs San Francisco Giants (W LeBlanc - L must Start T Lincecum - R must Start)
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10.52 units to win 8 units
8/15/10 1:35pm MLB Baseball 958 Atlanta Braves -131* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (V Padilla - R must Start J Jurrjens - R must Start)
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9.6 units to win 8 units
8/15/10 1:05pm MLB Baseball 967 Seattle Mariners/Cleveland Indians Under 7½ -120* (F Hernandez - R must Start Masterson - R must Start)
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Hey Grumpy,
wanted to thank you for MLB picks. I was following you and managed to win 2 team parlay (2K $ winnings).
I guess I am switching to football now since you are gone.Comment -
Not going anywhere mate.Originally posted by sharlataans
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5 units to win 8.4 units
8/15/10 4:05pm MLB Baseball 965 San Diego Padres +168* vs San Francisco Giants (W LeBlanc - L must Start T Lincecum - R must Start)
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6 units to win 6.6 units
8/15/10 1:35pm MLB Baseball 955 Arizona Diamondbacks/Washington Nationals Over 7½ +110* (B Enright- R must Start S Strasburg - R must Start)
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Indians Vs Mariners UNDER 7.5 -120:
Under is 6-1 in Hernandezs last 7 starts overall.
Under is 5-1 in Hernandezs last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Hernandezs last 4 road starts vs. Indians.
Under is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings in Cleveland.
Felix is one of the best, we all know that, he will do his job as he always does, but he won't get good run support, which he never does. To add to that a weak Seattle offense, and this game should go well UNDER even though Masterson is not very good lately.
Braves -131:
Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Dodgers are 2-12 in their last 14 road games.
Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Braves are 4-0 in Jurrjens' last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Braves are 6-0 in Jurrjens' last 6 home starts.
Home team is 4-0 in Estabrooks last 4 Sunday games behind home plate.
Home team is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Jurrenjs is 4-1 with a 3.14 ERA in last eight starts. He is VERY solid at home and with the fact the Braves are one of the best home teams and the Dodgers are terrible on the road, this should be another win for the strong Braves.
Padres +1.5 -145:
This match up has been very one-sided this season, and even though the Giants won yesterday, it still is. The Padres and Giants showed great defense and not a lot of offense is a low scoring game. Today Timmy the pitcher I have tailed for 2 seasons, became fade material. His control is off, he gives up a lot of runs and doesn't last a lot of innings. His pitches well against the Pades but LeBlanc also pitches well against the Giants.
I expect another 1 run win for one side, and I do believe the Padres can pull it off. I love the price for the +1.5 here and I will take advantage of it, big.
* MONSTER play.
WhiteSox -140:
Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
Tigers are 1-4 in Galarragas last 5 starts.
Tigers are 1-5 in Galarragas last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
White Sox are 22-4 in their last 26 home games.
White Sox are 6-0 in Garcias last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
White Sox are 5-1 in Garcias last 6 home starts.
White Sox are 14-2 in Garcias last 16 starts vs. Tigers.
White Sox are 5-1 in Garcias last 6 home starts vs. Tigers.
Home team is 8-1 in Danleys last 9 games behind home plate.
This is my 3rd biggest bet of the season.
The Tigers didn't win a road series in three months. Garcia is 3-0 with a 2.75 ERA in three starts this season against Detroit and 18-5 with a 3.66 ERA in 29 career outings, including 9-1 in the last 12. The 18 wins are his most versus any opponent. Galarranga is 0-4 with a 5.31 ERA in seven starts and 0-1 with a 5.60 ERA in his last three road starts against the White Sox.
The WhiteSox are the most dominante team in the last two months, the lose yesterday was a total fluke and against a team that is done this season and is playing terrible on the road with one of the best home pitchers in the league and a VERY home favorite ump, this should be an easy and very big pay day.
* MONSTER play.
Nats Vs Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 +110:
Over is 9-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 12-3 in Diamondbacks last 15 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Strasburgs last 5 starts overall.
Over is 6-1 in Campos' last 7 games behind home plate.
Two important things here: pretty weak pen's and great OVER ump. With that Strasburg won't pitch more than 6 innings leaving the pen a lot of work. With the price and a low total this should hit big time.
Jays +120:
This game has a few interesting things to it. First of all Romero which is a very good pitcher that is a little struggling lately signed a very big new contract with the Jays until 2015 and will look to give a strong performance after that sign of trust from his club. With that the Jays have a strong away record, some of the best hitters in the league and had a few very nice wins lately.
On the other side the Angels that had a lot of ups and downs this season with Haren on the mound, he is having a terrible season. Bu he loves playing the Jays. He is 5-0 in his last six starts against the Blue Jays despite a 5.85 ERA.
I don't take a lot of importance in that stat, Haren won 1 game in his last 11 that is a crazy stat. Romero will pitch well and the Jays always hit. With the price I love this spot.
Mets Vs Phillies UNDER 8.5 -105:
So far in 5 games between the teams at Queens there was a SO. Today, with two strong pitchers that struggled but generly pitch very well, and with the Phillies with their top hitters out and the Mets that never really score that much, the UNDER here is very strong.
Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
Under is 8-2 in Pelfreys last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Kendricks last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Pelrefy started the season as the Mets best pitcher, struggled and played amazing in his last game. He also does very well against the Phillies. He is 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA in four career outings at Citi Field against the Phillies. Kendrick was pitching very well until his last outing. He was 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA over his previous three starts.
They both should keep this game very tight to the end.Comment -
I like the white sox today mate, will lock into it more if the price is right for me. I can't back you with Pads today though, go against Lince at home to win the series is ballsy I trust you have the odds on your side so hope you nail at least the RL, should have a good shoot with both teams having trouble scoring.
Was it the last start Strasburg got hammered with runs... Like the over mate! Let you know what I think of the rest later!Comment -
sup fellas
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Lovin' that ATL play, BOL to us!Comment -
Will have 3 plays today mate, had cws and tx in mind, but don't like the price for them and rl to risky for those..
RAYS RL -114
ROCKIES RL -114
PADS/GIANTS UNDER 7 -108
Lets finish the week strong!Comment -
It looks good mate, but there are some stats that made me think to take the dogs in those games because of the amazing odds. But you should be fine.Originally posted by SolidDala
GL!Comment -
yer i hope so mate, this two at home with strong pitchers should either win big or lose.. think I will do alright
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3 units to win 10.97 units
3 Team Parlay
8/15/10 2:05pm MLB Baseball 960 Houston Astros -162* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (J Karstens - R must Start J Happ - L must Start)
8/15/10 4:05pm MLB Baseball 965 San Diego Padres +1½ -145* vs San Francisco Giants (W LeBlanc - L must Start T Lincecum - R must Start)
8/15/10 2:05pm MLB Baseball 972 Chicago White Sox -142* vs Detroit Tigers (A Galarraga - R must Start F Garcia - R must Start)
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