Grumpy MLB 2010 plays

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 05:01 AM

Originally posted by Meyhem

nats is the monster?

Indeed.

Have a lot of units on the line, expecting a big day.

Meyhem · 08-12-10, 05:03 AM

mon star!!!

I.L.S · 08-12-10, 05:41 AM

LOVE IT GRUMPY

THANKS & GL MY MAN

dale0630 · 08-12-10, 06:47 AM

thanks grumpy for the plays...GL to all

fly fisher · 08-12-10, 07:23 AM

good luck today

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 07:44 AM

3.75 units to win 3 units

8/12/10 12:35pm MLB Baseball 913 Boston Red Sox/Toronto Blue Jays Over 9 -125* (J Lackey - R must Start B Mills - L must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 07:45 AM

2 units to win 2.82 units

8/12/10 12:10pm MLB Baseball 901 Colorado Rockies +141* vs New York Mets (J Hammel - R must Start Jo Santana - L must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 07:45 AM

Small plays on the early games (mainly fun):

Jays Vs RedSox OVER 9 -125:

Over is 5-0 in Lackeys last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Lackeys last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Over is 9-2 in Barrys last 11 games behind home plate.

One pitcher that is playing bad, one pitcher that hardly plays, an ump that favors the OVER big time.
Should be easy.

Rockies +141:

Yesterday the Rockies were a sure winner in my eyes, today this bet is 100% value. The price is sick, both teams are hitting badly, Santana is amazing but is having personal issues, Hammel can be very good, the Rockies MUST wake up if they want any chance to play in October.
Small bet on a great price.

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 09:44 AM

2 units to win 9.09 units

4 Team Parlay
8/12/10 3:45pm MLB Baseball 905 Chicago Cubs/San Francisco Giants Under 8 -155* (R Wells - R must Start M Cain - R must Start)
8/12/10 6:35pm MLB Baseball 908 San Diego Padres -198* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Z Duke - L must Start J Garland - R must Start)
8/12/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 910 Washington Nationals +1½ -175* vs Florida Marlins (R Nolasco - R must Start L Hernandez - R must Start)
8/12/10 7:05pm MLB Baseball 912 Philadelphia Phillies +2½ -235* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (C Kershaw - L must Start J Blanton- R must Start)

inthehouse · 08-12-10, 09:58 AM

good luck Grumps!

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 10:50 AM

7.5 units to win 8.34 units

2 Team Parlay
8/12/10 6:35pm MLB Baseball 908 San Diego Padres -200* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Z Duke - L must Start J Garland - R must Start)
8/12/10 8:10pm MLB Baseball 917 New York Yankees -245* vs Kansas City Royals (C Sabathia - L must Start B Chen - L must Start)

btd · 08-12-10, 11:17 AM

Once again thanx for pics,picks, and analysis WG ,I like the Bos O , I'm also going with the Sox ML , like I wrote yesterday , I think they're heading for a streak , so I'm going to ride with them again

SolidDala · 08-12-10, 11:17 AM

Cleveland -128 today so far.. Like the over in BOS/TOR but not playing it. Will look into the other best later on...

SolidDala · 08-12-10, 12:47 PM

# 2 Bet today for me: PHILLIES +116 Well the stats you have already written nicely. Furthermore With stats in mind, such a hot home team, they will win this over 50% of the time, so an easy bet here! Thats it for me Grumps 2 bets! Pic coming soon

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 01:01 PM

Great bet was a close second to my monster. Gl to us and waiting for the pic.

SolidDala · 08-12-10, 01:12 PM

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 01:15 PM

Damn! Love it!

SolidDala · 08-12-10, 01:17 PM

Thats why I posted it

! Well then in spirits for the games, and so got damn long to go for it lol... will check the earlier ones first...

wildbill044 · 08-12-10, 01:18 PM

any football for today, grump?

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by wildbill044

any football for today, grump?

Yes mate both are posted in the NFL forum.

WiseGrumpy · 08-12-10, 01:49 PM

Three more runs to start the day on the + side.

SolidDala · 08-12-10, 02:07 PM

Those teams really goes over, its like OAK/SEA but other way around

dynamitappletini · 08-12-10, 02:22 PM

Already a push for you guys! 1 more run

(I missed the play but had the chance to bet Over 7 Live

)

dynamitappletini · 08-12-10, 03:45 PM

Nice comeback

See Grump those 9th innings can be good aswell

TBone101 · 08-12-10, 09:49 PM

WOW Phillie realy makeing me sweat it out tonight lol ..

Great call on the game Grumps!

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 12:02 AM

Finishing up after losing a 15 unit bet, is a good feeling I must say.

Summary:
Plays: 4-3
MONSTER: 1-1
Units: +8.51
Streak (Winning\Losing days): W3

Total:
Plays: 198-182-15
Parlays: 12-22
MONSTER: 4-2
Units: -6.96

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 12:45 AM

9.52 units to win 8.57 units

8/13/10 8:15pm MLB Baseball 962 St Louis Cardinals -1½ -110* vs Chicago Cubs (T Diamond - R must Start Westbrook - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 12:47 AM

11.54 units to win 8.5 units

8/13/10 8:05pm MLB Baseball 972 Texas Rangers -135* vs Boston Red Sox (J Beckett - R must Start T Hunter - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 12:49 AM

5 units to win 5.25 units

8/13/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 955 Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets Under 7 +105* (C Hamels - L must Start R Dickey - R must Start)

7.5 units to win 8.4 units

8/13/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 956 New York Mets +112* vs Philadelphia Phillies (C Hamels - L must Start R Dickey - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 12:50 AM

BET #7

16.8 units to win 10 units

8/13/10 8:05pm MLB Baseball 960 Houston Astros -168* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (R Ohlendor - R must Start B Myers - R must Start)

5 units to win 6.25 units

8/13/10 8:05pm MLB Baseball 960 Houston Astros -1½ +125* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (R Ohlendor - R must Start B Myers - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 12:51 AM

Rangers -135:

Rangers are 5-0 in Hunters last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Rangers are 6-1 in Hunters last 7 home starts.
Rangers are 10-2 in Hunters last 12 starts.
Red Sox are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Texas.

Hunter is 6-0 with a 2.53 ERA in seven home starts.

Beckett is also pitching well and he is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA in three career outings in Arlington, but is not pitching that well on the road.

Texas is one of the best home teams in the league with one of the most solid pitchers at home. Texas also owns the RedSox winning 11 of last 16 and should extand that at home.

Cards -1.5 -110:

The REDHOT Cards will face the pathetic Cubs today to keep rolling into October. They will have Westbrook on the mound that despite pitching very well in his first two games with the Cards he didn't get a decision yet.
On the other side Diamond which was terrible in his last outing lasing only 3 innings.
The Cards are 12-3 at Busch Stadium since July 4 against the Cubs and today they should win easily.

Astros -165:

Astros are 4-0 in Myers' last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Astros are 9-0 in Myers' last 9 home starts.
Astros are 4-0 in Myers' last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Astros are 8-2 in Myers' last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pirates are 1-6 in Ohlendorfs last 7 starts vs. Astros.

Houston owns the Pirates and Myers owns the Pirates.
Before losing two on the road against the Pirates the Astros won 7 in a row this season and they are 6-0 in their last home games against the Pirates.
Myers plays deep in all of his games which should help prevent us on getting to the Astros terrible pen, but the good things the Pirates pen is even worse. He is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA in his last seven starts.
Ohlendorf is 0-6 with a 7.49 ERA in seven starts against Houston, including 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA in two this season.

Exepcting an easy win.

* MONSTER play.

Mets Vs Phillies UNDER 7 +105:

Under is 7-1 in Hamels' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 road starts.
Under is 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Under is 5-0 in Dickeys last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-0 in Dickeys last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Dickeys last 5 home starts.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New York
Under is 4-0 in Hamels' last 4 starts vs. Mets.

Two of the best pitchers in the league with a park that gave us a lot of UNDER's this season. Dickey didn't play well he last game, but is pitching VERY well at home.

Should be a 4 run game I believe.

Mets +115:

This wasn't an easy pick to make since the Phillies are a moneymaker for me and they are playing amazing, but the Mets at home and the record Hamels has in Queens makes this a must bet.
He's 1-6 in his last eight outings against the Mets, getting nine runs of support -- none in two losses this year. The left-hander is 0-3 with a 4.98 ERA in six starts in Queens.
Dickey, however, is 4-1 with a 1.53 ERA at home and beat Philadelphia there May 25, going six innings in an 8-0 victory.

The Mets are a great team at home we all know that, they need every win they can get, and this will be a low scoring game and will depend a lot on the few runs support each pitcher will get. With the history we have, Hamles won't get any.

Reds +123:

Reds are 6-1 in Volquezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Reds are 5-1 in Volquezs last 6 starts.
Marlins are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Cincinnati.

This game is all about value. The Marlins don't really have much to play for, the Reds have EVERYTHING to play for.
Johnson is amazing, he is having an amazing year but is 0-1 with a 4.35 ERA in his last three outings.
Volquezs is 1.80 ERA while winning all three of his starts. He is playing very well this season and should silent the Marlins.

Important to know that Johnson is pitching well against the Reds as well, but Reds are the better team and with this price it's a must bet.

Twins -152:

Twins are 4-0 in Pavanos last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Twins are 10-1 in Pavanos last 11 starts on grass.
Twins are 6-1 in Pavanos last 7 starts.

Athletics are 0-5 in Gonzalezs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Athletics are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Athletics are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Minnesota.

I have bet on almost all Pavano's games lately. He is 9-1 in his last 12 starts.
Gonzalez posted a 28.59 ERA in two miserable starts against the Twins last year and is not very good on the road, but he did pitch well in a home win against the Twins this season.

The Twins are playing very well, and need every win and this one should be pretty easy.

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 01:05 AM

5 units to win 6.15 units

8/13/10 7:10pm MLB Baseball 954 Cincinnati Reds +123* vs Florida Marlins (J Johnson - R must Start E Volquez - R must Start)

thomaschau · 08-13-10, 01:07 AM

Look good, thanks

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 01:08 AM

5 units to win 8.22 units

2 Team Parlay
8/13/10 8:05pm MLB Baseball 960 Houston Astros -168* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (R Ohlendor - R must Start B Myers - R must Start)
8/13/10 8:10pm MLB Baseball 978 Minnesota Twins -152* vs Oakland Athletics (G Gonzalez - L must Start C Pavano - R must Start)

WiseGrumpy · 08-13-10, 01:14 AM

11.4 units to win 7.5 units

8/13/10 8:10pm MLB Baseball 978 Minnesota Twins -152* vs Oakland Athletics (G Gonzalez - L must Start C Pavano - R must Start)