I LOVE Milwaukee tommorow!

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #1
    I LOVE Milwaukee tommorow!
    At basically even money, Milwaukee is a steal tommorow. San Francisco just finished a 15 inning loss this evening to the Rockies on the road and have to travel to Milwaukee for a 3:10 start time (central time). SF is 2-8 in its last 10 games while Milwaukee is 6-4. Sanchez will only go 7 innings TOPS, the majority of his starts are 6 innings which is trouble for an overworked bullpen. No way Sanchez will go over 6 innings IMO, Milwaukee will take a lot of pitches to get him out of the game. The bullpen worked 8 innings and 8 different pitchers worked today.
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Houli commented on this game as well.

    Sanchez is really tough when he's on his game, and Bush is Bush -- a No. 4 starter at best. With that being said, I do like the long game/trip angle, and I think Brewers are a better team than SF. Plus, I typically like to back teams after bad losses.
    Comment
    • TPowell
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-21-08
      • 18842

      #3
      still Sanchez has only gone 7 innings in like 3 or 4 of his last 10 starts. Love this game!
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by TPowell
        still Sanchez has only gone 7 innings in like 3 or 4 of his last 10 starts. Love this game!
        What's MIL's record vs. lefties?

        Did you see Detroit is -180 with Oliver pitching tomorrow? That's ridiculously high -- I think Vegas it baiting people to take Baltimore as a 'dog.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Interesting that the initial line movement went from -120 to -113, though.
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            not touching the Det game but thought the same thing as you did. On the year, they hit around the same percentage against lefties as they do righties
            Comment
            • pimike
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-23-08
              • 37139

              #7
              Originally posted by No coincidences
              Houli commented on this game as well.

              Sanchez is really tough when he's on his game, and Bush is Bush -- a No. 4 starter at best. With that being said, I do like the long game/trip angle, and I think Brewers are a better team than SF. Plus, I typically like to back teams after bad losses.
              Bush was suppose to be their main guy, but he has stunk as of late. This is a weird game.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Can anyone find Milwaukee's W/L vs. lefties for us?

                I also don't like Bush's day numbers -- 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA.
                Comment
                • Point Given
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 05-17-10
                  • 56

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  Can anyone find Milwaukee's W/L vs. lefties for us?

                  I also don't like Bush's day numbers -- 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA.
                  12-13 YTD -1.5 units
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Point Given
                    12-13 YTD -1.5 units
                    Thanks.
                    Comment
                    • Flight
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-28-09
                      • 1979

                      #11
                      Thanks for pointing this out TPowell, I always seem to neglect extra innings when looking at the next day's games.

                      Baltimore is definitely a play for me tomorrow (if it is "bait" I'll take it). Millwood can throw a good game, I've seen him do it. Just not recently.
                      Comment
                      • Jrod124
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 5622

                        #12
                        Go brew crew
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #13
                          the record is not as useful as actual team batting average against lefties IMO.
                          Comment
                          • mncosoldier
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 3215

                            #14
                            I say we get even money on the Over guys seems like the smart Move we know that sanchez wont be on his game and bush is bush im thinking over Bros
                            Comment
                            • ehetz21
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 07-21-08
                              • 129

                              #15
                              I love the strategy towards the pick, everything seems logical for some cash...but I remember going to a brewer game last year and sanchez mowed the brewers down...it was bad enough to leave in the top of the 8th
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                off the top of my head w/o looking im pretty sure mil has about the same avg against lefties, like i said i didnt look but seems to me like they got a few right handed hitters that hit lefties well....to buzzed up to really get into anything tonight but sounds good to me....
                                Comment
                                • raiders32
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-17-10
                                  • 566

                                  #17
                                  I like the pick.
                                  Comment
                                  • mighty maron
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-20-09
                                    • 4215

                                    #18
                                    Took Mil at -115
                                    Comment
                                    • starfire
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-24-10
                                      • 17045

                                      #19
                                      I took the over with gascan bush
                                      Comment
                                      • Eagle1958
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-23-10
                                        • 577

                                        #20
                                        Can't bring myself to bet money on Bush this year. He may win but not with my backing.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Eagle1958
                                          Can't bring myself to bet money on Bush this year. He may win but not with my backing.

                                          perfect time to back a guy that knows how to pitch imo.....
                                          Comment
                                          • DeluxeLiner
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-29-08
                                            • 4132

                                            #22
                                            Sf doesn't travel well in general. With the pitching they have you wouldn't think so.
                                            Comment
                                            • PureGuava
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-26-08
                                              • 1294

                                              #23
                                              if they are at even money then go for it
                                              Comment
                                              • jcubs55
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-18-10
                                                • 1023

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TPowell
                                                the record is not as useful as actual team batting average against lefties IMO.

                                                Overall, the Brewers average 4.9 RPG with a .262 BA

                                                Against lefties, they average 4.7 RPG with a .257 BA



                                                -Also, Brewers are 12-19 -8.3 units in day games, SF is 15-15 -2.6 units

                                                -Interestingly enough, the Brewers only average 4.3 RPG at home with a .251 BA

                                                -SF's batting stats against righties and on the road are pretty on par with their overall season stats.

                                                One other thing I'll mention is that I'd take SF's tired bullpen (3.36 ERA) over a Brewer's rested bullpen (5.38 ERA).

                                                Hope this helps.
                                                Comment
                                                • Dexter
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                  • 25829

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pimike
                                                  Bush was suppose to be their main guy, but he has stunk as of late. This is a weird game.
                                                  wow
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bostonboss
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-04-09
                                                    • 3169

                                                    #26
                                                    giants are hitting better last 2 games....bush is very unpredictable on the mound.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pokerpro44
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-20-07
                                                      • 3138

                                                      #27
                                                      on the brewers.good luck.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jorge1
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-06-10
                                                        • 3520

                                                        #28
                                                        On brewers and the over!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gshock1
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-04-09
                                                          • 5366

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by bostonboss
                                                          giants are hitting better last 2 games....bush is very unpredictable on the mound.
                                                          Giants did not hit great yesterday, just 2 days ago. 3 runs and 12 hits in 15 innings doesn't scare anyone. The Brewers will work Sanchez and hope to get to a tired bullpen early in the game. I just don't see how SF can pull this one out. Stranger things have happend though.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dukebluejms
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-21-09
                                                            • 1633

                                                            #30
                                                            Totally agree with this pick. The Brewers have been playing much better and they are at home. Brew Crew should get it done today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bradleysnyder
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-18-07
                                                              • 6662

                                                              #31
                                                              i would have to agree with you on that one.brewers are tough
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #32
                                                                Public's on Milwaukee, but the line is moving in favor of SF and almost all of the "experts" on Covers.com are taking the Giants.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Down to -111 from its -120 open now.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-23-10
                                                                    • 20295

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I think sharps are gonna get buried on this game, just watch.

                                                                    Brewers bullpen has been so much better lately then it was 25 games ago.

                                                                    Nevertheless, whenever I bet them, they lose.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jerrod
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-01-09
                                                                      • 373

                                                                      #35
                                                                      brewers are the play
                                                                      Comment
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