*** PIRATES + 170 *** LOcK ****

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  • nobs
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-09
    • 4216

    #1
    *** PIRATES + 170 *** LOcK ****
    The Pirates start Paul Maholm tonight and its a big mistake that he is a +170 dog going against the Rangers and Nippert tonight. The Pirates will win this game and cash the dog ticket.

    Maholm has been the best and most consistent starter for the Pirates. he pitches left handed and that will give the Rangers a lot of trouble tonight. Maholm has 14 starts this year for a total of 88 innings. This guy gives a strong 6 1/2 every time out. Very rarely is he out of the game before the 6th, and he certainly wont be tonight as he will roll this Ranger lineup the first time through.

    Maholm may only have a 4-5 record due to the fact that he often doesnt get a lot of run support. Just the same his ERA is strong at 3.77, and he rarely gives up a home run having allowed only 7 so far this year in 88 innings. So he is only giving up 1 Homer per 12 1/2 innings pitched, which places him as one of the best.

    Dustin Nippert on the other hand is starting for the Rangers, and he just hasnt thrown the ball very well this year at all. He has a 5.01 ERA and in his 32 innings pitched he has allowed a total of 38 hits. So he is allowing about 1.2 hits per inning. Ouch. Nippert has also given up 23 walks in those 38 innings which is more than Maholm has allowed in 88 innings.

    Nippert is not a starter. This guy was coming out of the bullpen and still has a terrible ERA. So I dont understand why you switch a bad reliever into a starter but whatever. Still I dont see him going more than 4 innings tops as this is only his second start so I dont think they will be letting him go 100 pitches so soon.

    The most I can see out of Nippert here is 4 innings so we are going to see that ranger bullpen in this game early and I know the Pirates are going to be able to do some damage there. The Ranger bullpen did work 3 innings last night and 5 innings their previous game so I think it has been overworked and today is the day that it gets hit hard.

    Clearly the Rangers have the better bats in this game, but left hander Maholm is going to neutralize them. Also, the Pirates bats are better than most realize. They start off with Tabata, Walker, McCutheon, and Jones which is actually a pretty strong first 4. They also have Doumit, Milledge, and Crosby at the bottom.

    The Pirates are going to draw some walks today and get hits and they will score a pretty decent number of runs today. Maholm as well will hold the Rangers offense in check and its totally crazy that the Pirates are + 170 in this game. This game should be a slight favorite to the Pirates here.

    I know a lot of people are going to just look at this game and jump on the Rangers because the Rangers have the better team and a better record. However we all know that baseball is not about records or teams its about who is pitching.

    This pitching matchup just does not justify laying any big price on the Rangers. the Pirates will win this game, dont need the 1 1/2 runs because this game goes to the Pirates.


    Lock *** PIRATES + 170 *****
  • nicsbr
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 05-03-10
    • 839

    #2
    last time u said something was a lock they lost hard so im on rangers
    Comment
    • stealthyburrito
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-12-09
      • 21562

      #3
      wouldn't go so far as to say a lock, but this play has great value tonight. gl
      Comment
      • lunchbawks
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-31-10
        • 12873

        #4
        pitt and lock don't work together
        Comment
        • Chi_archie
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-22-08
          • 63167

          #5
          looks like a decent bet
          Comment
          • nobs
            Restricted User
            • 08-31-09
            • 4216

            #6
            UM guess not, I said it last night on the Reds underdod and they won 4-2.
            ( but thats right, you never post a play, always claim to kill the book haters only count the losers )


            SBRBest Bet independent monitored Records ---

            #13 Nobs ( 19-8 +12.83 Units)

            Nicsbr -- not even ranked in the top 300 then I stopped looking
            Comment
            • nobs
              Restricted User
              • 08-31-09
              • 4216

              #7
              Originally posted by stealthyburrito
              wouldn't go so far as to say a lock, but this play has great value tonight. gl

              Thanks and you're right on both points
              Comment
              • PittsburghPlayer
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-11-10
                • 6760

                #8
                Let`s Go Bucs! Did you have to write lock though? GL Men.
                Comment
                • PittsburghPlayer
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-11-10
                  • 6760

                  #9
                  I take that back. Nice write up and it is your thread, you may write what you like.
                  Comment
                  • nobs
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-31-09
                    • 4216

                    #10
                    I think the Pirates have at least a 50/50 chance and they are +170 so its very +EV.

                    Thanks and good luck to all who are on the Pirates
                    Comment
                    • Rixsaw
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-23-08
                      • 4532

                      #11
                      good luck on your play. I can't put $ on the Pits. They are terrible.
                      Comment
                      • nicsbr
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 05-03-10
                        • 839

                        #12
                        ffs only me on SBR who are on texas?
                        Comment
                        • fishmonger
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-08
                          • 1492

                          #13
                          well.............

                          I tailed last night and everything you wrote makes sense. So going to hitch another ride tonight. Hope it takes me where I need to go.
                          Comment
                          • BookieOweMe
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-01-10
                            • 2106

                            #14
                            Originally posted by fishmonger
                            I tailed last night and everything you wrote makes sense. So going to hitch another ride tonight. Hope it takes me where I need to go.
                            me too
                            Comment
                            • Patrick McIrish
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-15-05
                              • 2864

                              #15
                              I like the Pirates, we win almost half these games....
                              Comment
                              • jiwoolim
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 01-05-10
                                • 66

                                #16
                                fuk pirates
                                Comment
                                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-17-09
                                  • 11939

                                  #17
                                  Not even a contest about now, 6-1 Rangers
                                  Comment
                                  • nobs
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-31-09
                                    • 4216

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                    Not even a contest about now, 6-1 Rangers

                                    Yeah its not over yet, but I expect the haters to start coming in with their and other stupid comments. Must be nice to never post a play and just sit around waiting to hate on people who have the guts to post a pick.

                                    Funny I didnt see you in my thread last night D3 Might Ducks, you know the one where I posted Reds as an underdog and they won, and I didnt see you on Monday night when I won with a +140 dog, or Sunday night when I posted Mariners and they won as a dog.

                                    Its actually nice to lose one every once in a while, I win 4 in a row and I get to missing you haters seeing as how you never show up in any of my winning threads.

                                    Its all good though, I am one of the few who has the guts to be independently monitored here.

                                    and there it is

                                    # 15 in the SBR BEST BEST THREAD (nobs 19-10-0 +10.58 units)

                                    and thats not a record I am keeping myself d3 mighty ducks, thats is a record keeping system done by sbr itself, I have no control over it.

                                    29 plays up 10 1/2 units.

                                    Funny I dont see you lised anywhere in the top 300. And that is where this thread truly deserves a

                                    But anyways game is far from over
                                    Comment
                                    • nobs
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-31-09
                                      • 4216

                                      #19
                                      I actually did just find you D3 Might Ducks.

                                      #15 Nobs + 10.58 Units

                                      #127 D3 Mighty Ducks + 2.00 units



                                      But I do have to give you some props D3 Mighty Ducks, you are the first hater that I have ever found + units in the Sbr Moitored record keeping system
                                      Comment
                                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-17-09
                                        • 11939

                                        #20
                                        Stop crying and taking it to heart, I ain't hating just don't throw the word "lock" around. I'm sure you know better then to call a pick a lock. Its funny because I was on the Reds last night and today, so ya I didn't need to come in this thread
                                        Comment
                                        • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-17-09
                                          • 11939

                                          #21
                                          I'm not hating on you, I respect everyone and their plays.
                                          Comment
                                          • nicsbr
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-03-10
                                            • 839

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • nobs
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-31-09
                                              • 4216

                                              #23
                                              Ok my bad if I take it too serious, but as soon as I lose a play I am just waiting on it because boy they sure come out of the woodwork like Roaches.

                                              But seeing as how a lot of people are on the Pirates, this sounded a little like rubbing it in

                                              Not even a contest about now, 6-1 Rangers [/color]

                                              at least this part did ----
                                              so my bad if I take it too serious but I really dont expect any haters since I have posted 4 plays in the last 4 days and gone 4-0 and amazingly none of the haters appear in those thread. Still this game is 4th inning, a lot of time left
                                              Comment
                                              • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-17-09
                                                • 11939

                                                #24
                                                Keep believing in a 10-2 ball game
                                                Comment
                                                • rake922
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-23-07
                                                  • 11692

                                                  #25
                                                  worst team in national league playing the hottest team in baseball (9 game win streak).... that's never a lock.. ever
                                                  Comment
                                                  • flakeandbake
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-21-10
                                                    • 3672

                                                    #26
                                                    u blow

                                                    nice pick sike, you wrote a page long how it was a lock and they got boofed 11-2
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mdemps9190
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-08-07
                                                      • 1957

                                                      #27
                                                      wear it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • nobs
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-31-09
                                                        • 4216

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by nicsbr
                                                        This is about as close to posting a play as some people ever get

                                                        Originally posted by nicsbr
                                                        who u think win then? i want to go with laa and seattle in a parlay, good choice?
                                                        Now let me guess, hmmm . If laa and seattle win, then nicsbr posted a winner, if it doesnt win then its a no play he was just asking what the board thought.

                                                        Never seen that before.

                                                        Again, if either of you 2 actually had skills, you wouldnt be shitting in my thread that just happens to be the first loser I have posted in 5 days, you would be in the SBR monitored thread catching my record, something that neither of you will ever do. So keep right on hating and talking about how you were on all these winners that of course werent posted.

                                                        I on the other hand am going to keep right on posting plays which means I will lose some every now and then, and you will keep right on shitting on the losers and ignoring all the winners.

                                                        I have nothing to prove.

                                                        this says it all.

                                                        #15 Nobs +10.58 units
                                                        #127 D3 Mighty Ducks +2.00 units
                                                        nicsbr ---- not in the top 350 posters.

                                                        Lol. Thanks for the laugh you 2
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BookieOweMe
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-01-10
                                                          • 2106

                                                          #29
                                                          uh...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nicsbr
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 05-03-10
                                                            • 839

                                                            #30
                                                            shut it nublet 2nd time u **** up a lock lucky im on texas 11-2
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nobs
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 08-31-09
                                                              • 4216

                                                              #31
                                                              Sweet

                                                              Rake
                                                              flakeandbake
                                                              mdemps


                                                              Sweet 3 more never post a play, always win haters chiming in.

                                                              Like I said, its nice to lose one every now and then, my last 4 threads all winners. Funny how none of you appeared. LOL.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • nobs
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 08-31-09
                                                                • 4216

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by nicsbr
                                                                shut it nublet 2nd time u **** up a lock lucky im on texas 11-2

                                                                Uh huh sure you are

                                                                #15 Nobs +10.58 units
                                                                #127 D3 Mighty Ducks +2.00 units
                                                                nicsbr ---- not in the top 350 posters
                                                                Comment
                                                                • nicsbr
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-03-10
                                                                  • 839

                                                                  #33
                                                                  omg im so mad that im not in the top 350 posters ffs that grind my gears
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-17-09
                                                                    • 11939

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Buddy, are you seriously praising your +10.58 units? 13-2 now
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shage
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-10-10
                                                                      • 337

                                                                      #35
                                                                      someone doesnt like people talking about him lol
                                                                      Comment
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