Jimenez and Rockies Big Chalk Versus Blue Jays

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Jimenez and Rockies Big Chalk Versus Blue Jays
    MLB Odds: Jimenez and Rockies Big Chalk Versus Blue Jays

    The top pitcher in the majors takes to the Coors Field tonight to face the league's top slugging lineup when Ubaldo Jimenez takes on the Blue Jays in Denver.

    The top slugging team in the majors heads to Coors Field this weekend, a thought that should bring home run visions galore. There's just one small problem with that idea.



    Toronto batters will be facing baseball's top pitcher in Friday's interleague series opener when Ubaldo Jimenez (11-1, 0.93) takes the mound for the Rockies. He'll be opposed by the Blue Jays' Ricky Romero (8-4, 3.06) who is having a fine season as well though it still pales against Jimenez' numbers.

    Early baseball odds certainly think Ubaldo's numbers are well ahead of Romero's. Colorado opened as a 200-215 favorite for the 9:10 p.m. ET start with the total listed at 7½.

    Toronto leads the majors in long balls with 97 entering weekend play, 18 more than their nearest competitors. Jose Batista (18) and Vernon Wells (15) lead the charge for Cito Gaston's clubbers, a lineup that features seven batters with at least eight home runs to date.

    By comparison, Colorado has hit 57 home runs which rates in the upper half of major league clubs, but still 41 less than the Jays.

    It does indeed set up an fascinating Friday night fight, a bunch of big swingers in an offensively favorable park to see what they can do against the game's top pitcher.

    Romero gets lost too easily in the discussion. The Blue Jays have won six of the southpaw's last eight starts. Romero's last trip to the mound was June 5, a no-decision in Toronto's 14-inning, 3-2 at home over the Yankees. Romero worked the first eight allowing two runs on a Derek Jeter homer.

    Toronto won all three of Romero's interleague starts last season, including two against the Phillies. The lefty posted a 2.14 overall ERA in those outings, 3.21 in two road starts at NL clubs.

    Rockies fans will only be seeing their ace for a fifth time in 2010 with eight of Jimenez' first 12 starts coming on the road. Jimenez is a perfect 4-0 in the previous four at Coors with a 1.29 ERA. He's allowed just one homer in 28 Mile High innings, with Adam Dunn owning that honor.

    In six career interleague starts, Jimenez and the Rocks are 2-4. Both wins came in Denver last season over the Rays and Mariners.

    Jimenez will be asked to become a true ace in terms of being the stopper on Friday. The Rockies enter having dropped three-straight in a four-game series to the lowly Astros, even at 30-30 on the season and losing ground in the NL West. Colorado is over 5.5 units in the red at the on MLB money lines and 35-22-3 to the 'under.'

    Colorado was 11-4 against AL clubs last year, 5-1 at home. The Rockies won four of the five series, the only losing effort coming to the Angels in Anaheim. Toronto went 7-11 against the NL, 4-5 on the road, in 2009.

    The last time the two clubs met was June 22-24, 2007, at Toronto's Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays broomed the Rockies out of Canada. That may have been payback for the Rockies sweeping three from them the year before here at Coors Field. And that may have been revenge for the only other meeting between the two in 2002 when the Blue Jays won all three in Toronto.

    Now, if only Mother Nature lightens up and allows the two teams to play. Denver's forecast calls for a 60 percent chance of rain Friday evening, with the possibility of some rather severe storms that could produce hail.

    Showers are possible throughout the weekend, so expect the umpire crew to do everything to get this one in since they will not want to postpone the first game of the set.

    NOTE: The W-L records shown for starting pitchers are their team's W-L mark when they started games in the 2010 season. Statistical sources for this article were Retrosheet.org, Baseball-Reference.com, ESPN.com and, of course, S-BEE-R-dot-com!
  • sundin4prez
    SBR MVP
    • 03-09-10
    • 1970

    #2
    toronto seems like a good pick here, good on the road ,romero is a stud etc.
    Comment
    • Regul8er
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-06-07
      • 10666

      #3
      I wouldnt sleep on Romero. You all know Jimenez is going to lay an egg eventually. Pitchers don't keep ERA this low over the course of a season. With the way the Jays can hit the long ball, a couple 2 or 3 run bombs could be devastating.
      Comment
      • SlickFazzer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-22-08
        • 20209

        #4
        on Toronto for todays best bet.
        Comment
        • Sawyer
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-01-09
          • 7761

          #5
          Under 7½
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #6
            Blue Jays +1.5

            You are right Willie, Romero is under-appreciated on the national scene
            Comment
            • Panekkkk
              SBR MVP
              • 03-12-09
              • 2430

              #7
              How is the total 7 1/2? It should be 6 1/2 or 7. Fishy.
              Comment
              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #8
                Originally posted by Panekkkk
                How is the total 7 1/2? It should be 6 1/2 or 7. Fishy.
                I think its b/c Jays are a home run hitting team, and Coors field is taylor made or them.
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #9
                  The Blue Jays are very tempting, but feel like I was way off on yesterday's Rockies, Astros game and will lay low today. Only thing that saved me from a total loss on Thursday was betting the 'under' 9 on that one when the lines first came out and getting the 'push.' Astros had no business winning the game and it all boiled down to back-to-back bad bounces for Tulowitzki in the sixth inning.
                  Comment
                  • keyboarding
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-30-09
                    • 6817

                    #10
                    Romero is an ace in the making. NL hitting is kind of pathetic as a whole. Jays worth the odds.
                    Comment
                    • AL1322
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-07-09
                      • 1944

                      #11
                      ya usually id be on col but good odds for romero 4 sure
                      Comment
                      • kisado
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-09-08
                        • 519

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Willie Bee
                        The Blue Jays are very tempting, but feel like I was way off on yesterday's Rockies, Astros game and will lay low today. Only thing that saved me from a total loss on Thursday was betting the 'under' 9 on that one when the lines first came out and getting the 'push.' Astros had no business winning the game and it all boiled down to back-to-back bad bounces for Tulowitzki in the sixth inning.
                        Astros were the correct play. Look back at Oswalt's numbers against the Rockies and in Colorado and you will see why. Plus, look at the roll the Astros have been on, winning something like 8 out of their last 10 while Colorado had been scoring 3 runs or fewer in their last 10, dropping 3 in a row coming in. Oswalt at +140 was easy.
                        Comment
                        • james4512
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-27-08
                          • 3707

                          #13
                          Jays are 100% the play, they play in hands down the best division in baseball and are holding their own. Romero has been pitching extremely well and with the Rockies not playing that great of ball how could you not like +200
                          Comment
                          • Willie Bee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-14-06
                            • 15726

                            #14
                            Originally posted by kisado
                            Astros were the correct play. Look back at Oswalt's numbers against the Rockies and in Colorado and you will see why. Plus, look at the roll the Astros have been on, winning something like 8 out of their last 10 while Colorado had been scoring 3 runs or fewer in their last 10, dropping 3 in a row coming in. Oswalt at +140 was easy.
                            For being the correct play, they still needed two very fortuitous bounces and a duck-snort flair single to center to win it with those two runs in the sixth.
                            Comment
                            • Pauulzcappin
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-23-10
                              • 20295

                              #15
                              Originally posted by keyboarding
                              Romero is an ace in the making. NL hitting is kind of pathetic as a whole. Jays worth the odds.
                              That +2
                              Comment
                              • ThaTopMoron
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-30-10
                                • 27020

                                #16
                                Toronto traveling to Colorado from Tampa after scoring 3 runs in 3 games... facing the NL's best pitcher?

                                Throw in Romero, and the under seems good.

                                + Under seems like the bet, don't want to lay the juice.
                                Comment
                                • eMdOtkay
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-17-10
                                  • 112

                                  #17
                                  took the jays +180
                                  Comment
                                  • DennisGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-27-08
                                    • 18369

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                    Toronto traveling to Colorado from Tampa after scoring 3 runs in 3 games... facing the NL's best pitcher? Throw in Romero, and the under seems good. + Under seems like the bet, don't want to lay the juice.
                                    4 runs buddy get your facts straight.
                                    Comment
                                    • ronald
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-31-05
                                      • 4919

                                      #19
                                      This number went from +195 to +170 in a matter of minutes.
                                      Comment
                                      • Jays4Life
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 06-02-10
                                        • 55

                                        #20
                                        Under 7 ... Jays +1.5 ... im seeing a close one here .. Romero has being pitching great as of late and is going up against the horrible colorado bats. And toronto without a DH and there horrible hitting of late ... Under seems to be the best bet.
                                        Comment
                                        • Snowball
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 11-15-09
                                          • 30056

                                          #21
                                          Jays +1.5 also ! let's cash this.
                                          Comment
                                          • Pauulzcappin
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-23-10
                                            • 20295

                                            #22
                                            Took Jays ML, good luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • nah0228
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 04-20-10
                                              • 262

                                              #23
                                              took jays as well today. good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • Dukebluejms
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-21-09
                                                • 1633

                                                #24
                                                I'm thinking about a small play on the Jays. Even the best pitchers are bound for an off game. Jays lineup is very solid and the Rocks lineup has been struggling. If the Jays can put 2 or 3 across they will win this game.
                                                Comment
                                                • jbrent95
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-07-09
                                                  • 1221

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm eating the Colorado chalk. Toronto is batting <0.250 in the last 20 games and <0.200 in the last 5 games.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mart59a
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-21-10
                                                    • 936

                                                    #26
                                                    Under 7 and Bluejays +1.5 is the wise play...agree with Jays4Life
                                                    Comment
                                                    • soxwin
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-05-10
                                                      • 1885

                                                      #27
                                                      Popular bet today is the Jays. everyone and their grandmother on Toronto today.Romero is great at home but has a 4.82 road ERA. You can find the ROX -1.5 for +125. Remeber Rox RL is 4-0 at home this year with Jimenez pitching. RL is 10-2 overall is Ubaldo. Everyone loved Lincecum when SF/col played trying to predict when UJ was going to implode. You got the RL that day for +175 and it was easy money. I figure if I have been on every game RL so far and am 10-2 for +10.3 units why not ride the train till they take it out of service.

                                                      good luck today
                                                      Comment
                                                      • darrell74
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-16-07
                                                        • 14648

                                                        #28
                                                        I'm on the Rox run line and "The Great Ubaldo"

                                                        Props to Willie Bee and the good article
                                                        Comment
                                                        • waiverwire
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 03-08-09
                                                          • 125

                                                          #29
                                                          Romero's peripheral stats this year are comparable to Ubaldo's. Also, this game is one of five or six that are at some risk of rain: http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl
                                                          Comment
                                                          • thebestthereis
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-01-09
                                                            • 11459

                                                            #30
                                                            everyone likes jays today and want interleague value american league underdog take them good bet yes for sure and all of that bullshit. jays win a game in this series no question, not tonight. good luck!
                                                            Comment
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