Pimike's double system play!

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  • pimike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-23-08
    • 37139

    #1
    Pimike's double system play!
    With all the attention on the new kid today, don't let the opportunity to make some cash today pass you by.


    ORIOLES +1.5 @ + money is a play that fits into two systems I use. I believe they win this game out right, but just in case the Yankees make a late comeback I see taking the run and a half at pus money a safe play.


    Hughes
    MILLWOOD



    Good Luck with your plays!
  • cro
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-09
    • 1088

    #2
    Comment
    • thechaoz
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-23-09
      • 12154

      #3
      Wow after the last two days of getting sucked out on by one run It's hard to put hope in these sad birds. I've made tons of money tailing you mike so I guess it's a go. BOL
      Comment
      • Cappinpicks
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-11-10
        • 14986

        #4
        Taking a team +1.5 is just -EV.. Not sure what system has this as profitable.
        Comment
        • pimike
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-23-08
          • 37139

          #5
          Originally posted by Cappinpicks
          Taking a team +1.5 is just -EV.. Not sure what system has this as profitable.
          I got plus 125
          .
          Comment
          • blackf1re
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-31-10
            • 487

            #6
            Originally posted by pimike
            I got plus 125
            .

            What has that do with it? Do you even know what -EV means?


            Don't understand Cappinpicks' post though. How can you say it's -EV or +EV without looking at the line?
            Comment
            • Cappinpicks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-11-10
              • 14986

              #7
              Originally posted by blackf1re
              What has that do with it? Do you even know what -EV means?


              Don't understand Cappinpicks' post though. How can you say it's -EV or +EV without looking at the line?
              I was looking at the line, that is an awful bet though taking the O's at +125 hoping for a 1 run loss.
              Comment
              • lyon804
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-02-09
                • 6526

                #8
                Don't concern yourself with gambling terminolgy such as +EV and -EV bets. It's obviuos you think those are connected or related to the actual ML or RL which they are not. However, good luck with your play.
                Comment
                • pimike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-23-08
                  • 37139

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                  I was looking at the line, that is an awful bet though taking the O's at +125 hoping for a 1 run loss.
                  It may help if you read and understand the post before you make yourself look silly again



                  Anyways I wrote what my thinking is/was. So. No more responding to retarded comments.


                  Hope all have a profitable night.
                  Comment
                  • cro
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-16-09
                    • 1088

                    #10
                    on +2.5 @ 1.74 too
                    Comment
                    • Cappinpicks
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-11-10
                      • 14986

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pimike
                      It may help if you read and understand the post before you make yourself look silly again



                      Anyways I wrote what my thinking is/was. So. No more responding to retarded comments.


                      Hope all have a profitable night.
                      Why not take the O's ML if you think they'll win SU? what you're saying sounds pretty retarded no offense. Learn what -EV is by the way.
                      Comment
                      • MendozaLine
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-11-10
                        • 4088

                        #12
                        On the Yankees RL. Good luck. You're gonna need it
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30054

                          #13
                          wow going against Phil Hughes..
                          Comment
                          • Cappinpicks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-11-10
                            • 14986

                            #14
                            Yankees RL all the way to the bank
                            Comment
                            • vietussports
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-09
                              • 795

                              #15
                              EV = Expected Value in Poker term. When you place your money in bad spot sometimes you win but in long run it will become -EV. When you picking right spot to lays money in yet you got suckout and lost but in long run you should make profit from it.

                              SPortbetting samething if you treat it as investment like I do then don't look at 1day/ 1 week result you need to look into monthlong investing it.
                              Comment
                              • Cappinpicks
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-11-10
                                • 14986

                                #16
                                There's no way you can win long term picking big dogs on the RL making them near pick'ems
                                Comment
                                • thebayareabeast
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-22-10
                                  • 1475

                                  #17
                                  I don't know about the Orioles here Mike...

                                  but GL
                                  Comment
                                  • lyon804
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-02-09
                                    • 6526

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by vietussports
                                    EV = Expected Value in Poker term. When you place your money in bad spot sometimes you win but in long run it will become -EV. When you picking right spot to lays money in yet you got suckout and lost but in long run you should make profit from it.

                                    SPortbetting samething if you treat it as investment like I do then don't look at 1day/ 1 week result you need to look into monthlong investing it.


                                    Nice point. Consider your audience here. Most never get that deep. Most have not even developed a MM system that keeps them in play long enough to even be concerned with -+EV bets. Most here will have a few beers close to game time and read a few blurbs on ESPN and make an uninformed decision in less than 10 minutes.
                                    Comment
                                    • SolidDala
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-14-09
                                      • 1696

                                      #19
                                      BOL TODAY MIKE!!


                                      Will as always follow your SYSTEM PLAYS, one reason= they are money


                                      Not many posters get retards posting AND smart ones that understand longterm in just under 30min after starting a thread

                                      Comment
                                      • Cappinpicks
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-11-10
                                        • 14986

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by SolidDala
                                        BOL TODAY MIKE!!


                                        Will as always follow your SYSTEM PLAYS, one reason= they are money


                                        Not many posters get retards posting AND smart ones that understand longterm in just under 30min after starting a thread

                                        how much money are you throwing away on the hard-working orioles? Still trying to figure out what system this is you are going nuts about.
                                        Comment
                                        • SolidDala
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 1696

                                          #21
                                          As a gentleman I never discuss money or women with a stranger, but ain't going nuts here, never do. I am a bit worried about going against Hughes, but when i start something i finish it and believe i will be smiling in September at my SS with pimikes system plays
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #22
                                            First of all we can disagree on plays, but no one has to be diagreeable. If you don't like don't play it. Nothing is guarranteed. PIMIKE has been plus all year and I'm not here to blow smoke up his ass, it's just a fact.

                                            I did run across a stat from the SatFox FYI. Good luck to all. Remember our enemy is the "book" not each other!

                                            Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.KEVIN MILLWOOD is 8-1 (+9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
                                            The average score was MILLWOOD 6.9, OPPONENT 4 -
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #23
                                              I love threads that Ç
                                              deviate from the actual topic
                                              Comment
                                              • Cappinpicks
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 03-11-10
                                                • 14986

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by doubledime
                                                First of all we can disagree on plays, but no one has to be diagreeable. If you don't like don't play it. Nothing is guarranteed. PIMIKE has been plus all year and I'm not here to blow smoke up his ass, it's just a fact.

                                                I did run across a stat from the SatFox FYI. Good luck to all. Remember our enemy is the "book" not each other!

                                                Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.KEVIN MILLWOOD is 8-1 (+9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
                                                The average score was MILLWOOD 6.9, OPPONENT 4 -
                                                That was not ON the ORIOLES. We are talking about the best team in baseball that dominates in Camden Yards vs the worst team in baseball.
                                                Comment
                                                • Willie Bee
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-14-06
                                                  • 15726

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                  I love threads that Ç
                                                  deviate from the actual topic
                                                  Sometimes they're fun, but when it turns into the usual schoolyard pissing match from the usual schoolyard pissants, that's where I don't like them. Talk about the game or don't talk at all.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rochestertitans
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 8149

                                                    #26
                                                    already had that in one of my systems,,, parley the orioles and the pirates for a nice payout
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sonnybaby
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-04-09
                                                      • 9770

                                                      #27
                                                      lets get it
                                                      LETS GET IT
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ironchef69
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 03-27-10
                                                        • 206

                                                        #28
                                                        Same orioles team as first double system play, I LIKE IT!

                                                        Let's Cash it!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rockman123
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-24-09
                                                          • 300

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                                          how much money are you throwing away on the hard-working orioles? Still trying to figure out what system this is you are going nuts about.

                                                          Like some1 else said long ago. Pimike is like KFC it lets you eat the chicken but doesn't tell you how to make it
                                                          Comment
                                                          • memo99
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-08-10
                                                            • 2368

                                                            #30
                                                            are you for real Cappin???? you really don't make any sense most of the time!! taking + money on a team to only lose by 1 sounds pretty smart to me i'll take that for any team any time at +1.5 this is professional sports you are betting on with professional players any team can win any givin night in any sport and if you pick 2 games at +1.5 for + money you only have to win(lose by 1 run) on one of them to make a profit
                                                            Comment
                                                            • phillybadboy
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-11-09
                                                              • 9383

                                                              #31
                                                              i like the play ORIELS plus 1.5 for +120 i like it
                                                              Comment
                                                              • phillybadboy
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-11-09
                                                                • 9383

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by phillybadboy
                                                                i like the play ORIELS plus 1.5 for +120 i like it
                                                                this play has a sixty percent chance of hittin
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sixersbbiv
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 04-25-10
                                                                  • 27

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Gl on your picks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SolidDala
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                                    • 1696

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                                                    Taking a team +1.5 is just -EV.. Not sure what system has this as profitable.
                                                                    You do realize that going all in is the most -EV you can do since you except to lose longterm, and thats what you do a lot, even 20% are -EV!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • vietussports
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-09
                                                                      • 795

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Out of 35 NYY win 31 times they win and Cover the RL and 4 times they win by 1 ( all 4 games not cover RL is on the road) Very much NYY at home when bet then can bet RL better


                                                                      take closer look

                                                                      NYY on the road record 16-15.
                                                                      out of 16 win 12 games they win by RL and 4 games they win by 1 pt

                                                                      Overall when think about RL all together then NYY road record on 12 win cover RL and 19 Lose

                                                                      Remember this isjust the Fact stat here not any capping involved yet.
                                                                      Comment
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