WAS opened at -164 -- now -200?!?!?

[No coincidences]

[knightof7]

pitcher change?

[2daBank]

shit crazy, win or lose and regardless if pit is worth a damn ppl gotta be crazy laying all that juice on a pitcher in his 1st career start

[cro]

Karstens does suck though

[Chugs]

SBR Sportsbook has them at -215

[No coincidences]

shit crazy, win or lose and regardless if pit is worth a damn ppl gotta be crazy laying all that juice on a pitcher in his 1st career start

Karstens isn't that bad and Pittsburgh isn't exactly the worst team in baseball, either. It's crazy enough that this is -200, but it's also -200 for a sub-.500 team with a starter who will probably only go 5, maybe 6 innings and Matt Crapps as the closer.

If you take the Washington ML here, you are the square of all squares. This may be the worst value bet I've ever seen.

[No coincidences]

Karstens does suck though

Karstens has a 4.24 ERA in his last three starts, and a 3.55 ERA at night.

He's no ace, but he's also not +187 against a rookie making his debut for the fvcking Nationals.

[cro]

era doesn't mean much to me, not something i look at

[2daBank]

Karstens isn't that bad and Pittsburgh isn't exactly the worst team in baseball, either. It's crazy enough that this is -200, but it's also -200 for a sub-.500 team with a starter who will probably only go 5, maybe 6 innings and Matt Crapps as the closer.

If you take the Washington ML here, you are the square of all squares. This may be the worst value bet I've ever seen.

i agree, perception is a mother fukker.....ill more than likely play pit just on principal, if they lose so be it ill live.....

[cro]

I'm not betting this game either way

[stealthyburrito]

I'm not betting this game either way

same, would've like to put something on this game since i'm going, but the price sure as hell ain't worth it.

[dolphan34]

I am considering playing the Pirates. Laying -200 on a guy who has never pitched in the majors before is ridiculous.

[No coincidences]

era doesn't mean much to me, not something i look at

What makes you say Karstens "does suck," considering he's +194 against a sub-.500 team and a guy who's never toed the big league rubber before?

[BobHarvey]

I think Strasberg is WAY overpriced for his first big league start. He may very well be the next big thing but he hasn't proved anything yet and until he does I don't think it's financially prudent to start laying lumber with him.

Plus I don't think the Pirates will just roll over and play dead. Most big leaguers don't like being upstaged by a rookie if they can help it.

[Shortstop]

era doesn't mean much to me, not something i look at

[Shortstop]

I think Strasberg is WAY overpriced for his first big league start. He may very well be the next big thing but he hasn't proved anything yet and until he does I don't think it's financially prudent to start laying lumber with him.

Plus I don't think the Pirates will just roll over and play dead. Most big leaguers don't like being upstaged by a rookie if they can help it.

Great post, Bob! Spot on!

This is the biggest game of the year so far for Pittsburgh, they would love to crash the party!

[WhiteEagle]

Huppps, rookie pichter and -200 ? Wau, where has been lost the value?
Stephen was drafted as No.1 last year, right?
He has 1,08 ERA in six Triple-A starts, in 33 innings, guite good.

[Masu485]

i'll play the pirates for the value. but looking at the line, it seems they want u to take pittsburgh. maybe the under would be good...but will play pirates for now.

[The Inevitable]

I was anticipating this game for a long time. I wanted to play Strasburg and the Nats but after looking at that ML... ...not a chance. No deal! They can keep their -200 price.

I'm even considering taking Pit now.

[Jeripunk]

crazy line

[Grosshhit]

You know Pitt is going to be eager to welcome this guy to the MLB, I think there is some good in taking Pitt.

[50cent]

im going with pittsburg.....

[BroadStBullies]

I know this has NOTHING to do with this game BUT I was at Linsecum's first MLB start and he did not fare well vs My Phillies and the Giants were the home team.
As soon as I saw this game I bet on Pittsburgh JUST BECAUSE... I don't think the Pirates are playing that badly and they should have enough professional pride to wanna beat this kid in his 1st start in the bigs. Once his pitch count is completed, the Nats are still the Nats also. Pirates and Under for me.

[cro]

I've decided i'm going big on the Pirates team total i'm waiting for it to be released expecting no more than 3.5

[thebestthereis]

I know this has NOTHING to do with this game BUT I was at Linsecum's first MLB start and he did not fare well vs My Phillies and the Giants were the home team.
As soon as I saw this game I bet on Pittsburgh JUST BECAUSE... I don't think the Pirates are playing that badly and they should have enough professional pride to wanna beat this kid in his 1st start in the bigs. Once his pitch count is completed, the Nats are still the Nats also. Pirates and Under for me.

Lincecum is not the same as this guy. Strasburg is much more dominant with his fastball and at this stage has more talent. Lincecum is a better pitcher because he knows how to pitch in the big leagues. Strasburg has more hype too so that is factored in the line. Now that all being said the fact that he is -200 is comical and anyone laying that juice in ANY mlb game just doesn't get it. $10 for fun maybe but anything is stupid.

[French Tickler]

this is way to much juice for a 1st start. there will be some squares who bet it tho, and even some whotake the run line. Im staying away completely, but Pit would be the play if you had to take a side.

[cro]

carib has 747 bets on this game with 88% picking nationals

[vitalogist]

No way I'm touching this....

[thirtytwo]

public is licking their chops to unload on the next coming of jesus which strasburg is... you never know, he might start throwing no hitters left and right and this may be the lowest price you gonna get in his career

[xyzky]

This is the biggest game of the year so far for Pittsburgh, they would love to crash the party!

Exactly! I am really looking forward to watching him pitch tonight, but, that is a ton of value with Pittsburgh...

[midnight777]

yeah the line looks a little inflated. We shall see

[unusialsusp5]

going to fan out parlays all with wash today. can't lose. they will hit for him and pit will by mystified by the best pitcher since sandy koufax to toe the mound. bet with both fists.

[hothandsmgee]

This is a bit much for strasburg

[terpkeg]

Where are the Nats backers? Every thread seems to be full of people saying the line is way overpriced.

[Cappinpicks]

NATS RL for 10 dimes