Latos vs. Halladay - Total 7.5?

[Panekkkk]

Shouldn't this be a 7 or even 6.5?

[daneault23]

That's what I'm thinking. Already on the under. Only thing that scares me is that Phils ARE at home, and maybe that will wake their bats up a bit, but still hopefully not too much.

[Grind House]

The Phils haven't gotten 7.5 in a week.

[phillybadboy]

under

[raiders32]

I'm liking the under.

[Intuitive_Edge]

I think everyone is wondering this. They could have set this at o/u 6

[netinfo]

Under sounds like a good play here.

netinfo

[thirtytwo]

i dont know... this is Citizens Bank Park after all... balls usually fly this time of the year, its going to be around 90 degrees tomorrow in Philly

id be very careful with this total

[Cosmo213]

i dont know... this is Citizens Bank Park after all... balls usually fly this time of the year, its going to be around 90 degrees tomorrow in Philly

id be very careful with this total

I'm starting to question this number too, it seems too easy. Here's a weather report for the game. It's expected to be in the mid-upper 80's at game time.

The last two times the Phillies had a game total of 7.5 it went Over, both against Atlanta this week.

[pats3peat]

very low, agreed

[Eagle1958]

Citizens Bank Park is a lauching pad on hot muggy evenings. Expect the Phils bats to wake up. I think under is a big mistake here.

[Cosmo213]

Over is 8-2 in Phillies last 10 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

Padres / Phillies Over 7.5 +114 (5Dimes)

[Shortstop]

Over 7.5 would be my play here.

[stealthyburrito]

i'd go with over as well, pitching in a bandbox and historically pitchers seem to struggle the next outing after a perfect game/no-hitter.

[Sawyer]

Line is fair in my opinion.
If this game was in Petco Park, line would be 6 (+100) or 6½ (-125).

Can't pull the trigger for Over here. I don't think Halladay will give more than 2 runs and Padres are good in defence. Latos is not an ace but can't see Phillies scoring more then 3 runs here. Leaning Under..

[Regul8er]

Under is tempting the way Latos has been looking lately.......but I sense trap.

[midnight777]

the phillies may get out of their funk.. be careful

[thespeculator]

agree it looks high , but whenever i think the line is way off , i usually find out the hard way it wasn't , i am going to lean over, phillies bats are going to wake up, but latos is very very good

[patswin]

tough to take an under that low in this park, i would lean over

[jennahazeplays]

bring out the brooms!

[cadillac pete]

The friendly confines of Citizens Bank Park could awaken the Phillies bats. Plus, with the humidity the ball may be flying a lot more.

[Dexter]

Shouldn't this be a 7 or even 6.5?

its gonna close at 7.

[TheLock]

Latos isn't as good as his numbers suggest.

Leaning Over in this one

[OverUnder]

Yeah I thought under 7.5 was a good play for Greinke vs. Weaver yesterday...I was wrong. I am playing under the first 5 innings in this one as both pitchers are great out of the gate

[thebertshow]

playing the under on that

[AL1322]

under 4 me too

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Love waking up to these morning first instincts, just having so many questions going through your head its great. Goodluck gentlemen tonight with your leans and plays. May the winners be yours, Cheers.

[Panekkkk]

Line will probably close at 7 because the public will hammer the under. You have to think this will be a trap. Latos has been a stud and Halladay is Halladay. Throw in the fact that the Phils aren't hitting and it just seems too easy to bet the under. Gotta think it's a trap. With that said, I can't bet the over either. Just gonna sit and wait this one out and learn from whatever happens

I think the weather is the huge factor as others have pointed out. But you never want to bet on a team that's "due".

GL whoever takes this

[OverUnder]

when do they usually post 5 inning lines??

[Panekkkk]

Some interesting trends:

1. A team returning from a 9-game road trip that is -200 at home, the OVER is 4-1 when the total is 7.5, 1-1 when the total is 7.0 and 38-14 to the OVER overall. The line is currently at 7.0.

2. Since, 2004, no team has ever scored as few runs as the Phils did on a 9-game road trip (wow...)

3. Only two teams have come close to scoring that few runs on a 9-game road trip and both lost pretty badly on their first games back home and the O/U split (1-1) but both teams were small favs.

Neither team has faced the other starter either ...

[Tower]

when do they usually post 5 inning lines??

I thought I saw that you were on Bodog somewhere.... If you are, bodog lines are late (as always) and come out about 3-4 hrs before hand.

[cro]

phillies score 7

[Dexter]

Latos isn't as good as his numbers suggest.

Leaning Over in this one

why do you say this? he was always a highly touted prospect.

he's a 3 pitch pitcher with an avg fastball of 94mph. hes legit in my opinion.

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=3815&position=P

[Panekkkk]

why do you say this? he was always a highly touted prospect.

he's a 3 pitch pitcher with an avg fastball of 94mph. hes legit in my opinion.

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx...815&position=P

Latos is VERY legit.

His Sagarin ranking has him ninth, with an NPERA of 2.47 and an xERA of 2.8, both of which are lower than his actual ERA. I'd say that's pretty damn impressive.

[cro]

phillies score 7