if strausberg is the real deal take over 13 wins?

[seaborneq]

6/8/2010 6:00 PM Stephen Strasburg Total Pitching Wins Wager is for 2010 season only on how many Wins Stephen Strasburg will record. Player must start 1 game for action. Max Wager is $300
5201 0 wins +1000
5202 1 win +800
5203 2 wins +650
5204 3 wins +600
5205 4 wins +450
5206 5 wins +300
5207 6 wins +250
5208 7 wins +300
5209 8 wins +450
5210 9 wins +650
5211 10 wins +800
5212 11 wins +1000
5213 12 wins +2000
5214 13 or more wins +3000



Nats are pretty good this year. I think it is worth a shot even if he pitches only 150 innings.

[ProfaneReality]

What?! Dude is going to be handled with kid gloves, missed first 2 months of season and you want to take over 13? I think he will have a rough go for the first month or 2

[urge2kill]

Nats are pretty good this year.

Since when is a sub .500 team considered pretty good?

[LVBOUND]

Ill take the 5 wins at +300 for 300.

Matt

[rm18]

If a great bet but probably only about a 12% chance to win

[2daBank]

roughly how many starts will he get from here on out? less than 20?

[rm18]

23-24 starts if no injury

[ProfaneReality]

If a great bet but probably only about a 12% chance to win

well jeez if there is "probably a 12% chance to win" I would take 30-1 all day wouldn't you ? But I will go ahead and assume the real percentage is far lower than 12.

[rm18]

dont know what book if it is a decent rated book i would bet it

[ProfaneReality]

that looks like the greek, to me. can't get more decent than that

[warriorfan707]

Since when is a sub .500 team considered pretty good?

Since thats about a 20 game improvement already over last year

[warriorfan707]

No way will he sniff 13 wins, thats a horrible wager I dont care what kind of odds they are handing you

[GRUMPERZ]

well jeez if there is "probably a 12% chance to win" I would take 30-1 all day wouldn't you ? But I will go ahead and assume the real percentage is far lower than 12.

Obviously not, or else he wouldn't have posted such a stupid statement.

[floridagolfer]

The team will have about 100 games left when he gets called up and this kid is not getting 23 or 24 starts. He might get 20, and as someone said previously, he's going to be treated with kid gloves. There are going to plenty of times he's limited to 6 innings because they don't want him throwing 100 pitches a game on a regular basis. I'd need 50-to-1 odds or better to actually put money on the premise that he'd win 13. Six-eight is probably about right. If he wins 10 in two-thirds of a season, the Nats will be absolutely giddy.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

No way does he come anywhere near 13 wins.

[rm18]

Next 4 starts all against bad teams Pirates, cleveland, white sox, royals, could start 4-0 then the Nationals trade for Cliff Lee get in the race and start skipping starts for Strasburg.

[SpiderMonkey]

Most value in 0 wins at +1000 - and pray he takes a line-drive off the dome against the Bucs.

[LLXC]

Won't he be limited to under 100 innings this year?

[rm18]

ok im heading to moneygram nobody hammer this while im gone

[urge2kill]

Since thats about a 20 game improvement already over last year

A less stinky turd is still a turd.

[lyon804]

Double digit wins is pie in the sky imo even if he is the best the game has ever seen. The Nationals will not push him and when they are out of all races in August they will most likely shut him down. Also the Nats still have to score for him,play defense and protect leads..None of that is easy for the Nats.

[mdemps9190]

5,6,7 wins are the wheelhouse i think

[Chi_archie]

hell no

[pat venditto]

13 wins worth a shot imo.

[seaborneq]

Pitchers are way ahead of the hitters this year.

[Andy117]

No way he gets to 13 this year. Too late for that.

[Art Vandelay]

At least they can score some runs this year, but he hits 10-12 wins tops and that would be outstanding!

[stealthyburrito]

23-24 starts if no injury

he'll probably have 18-20, he has a 160 IP limit this year, and has already pitched 50 in the minors.

this prop isn't worth the money imo.

[seaborneq]

This is only 3 wins a month.

[warriorfan707]

Oh is that all?

"Only 3 wins a month"???

[milwaukee mike]

if a prop bet is 30-1 then just naturally speaking there is usually not even close to a 1 in 31 chance of it happening!
and in this case i would agree, he would have to go something like 13-1 or 13-2 AIN'T GONNA HAPPEN.

wouldn't even happen if he pitched for an offense like the yankees which he doesn't.

when's the last time even a guy like randy johnson or roger clemens came out like gangbusters right away?

first year (i'm adding very short 1st seasons to 2nd season):

roger clemens 9-4 4.32 era
randy johnson 10-13 4.82 era
greg maddux 8-18 5.61 era
pedro martinez 10-6 2.61 era

so even if he is an elite pitcher there is not much precedent for coming in and setting the world on fire.

[stealthyburrito]

This is only 3 wins a month.

you also have to factor in that he will get shut down come sept if the nats are out of it. they will handle him with kid gloves.

[gryfyn1]

Best case scenario he starts 20 games -

He's not logging 65% W's in those starts - thats a high number even for an elite pitcher on a good team - Stassburg will be a good pitcher on a slightly below average team - 7-8 wins sound about right -

[seaborneq]

Somebody loves it. 13 wins down to +2200

[flyingillini]

I hope he gets rocked today.