2010 MLB Totals Only Spreadsheet Plays

[SportsPicks3434]

Well I think I have finally decided what to do with my thread and how I want to post my plays, after three attempts. Instead of posting my plays in the thread it will save me time to just post the link to my plays via the SBR spreadsheet daily. So each day i will post the link to my updated spreadsheet which will include all my previous plays along with the plays for each day. Sorry for the confusion and i think this will be much more organized and efficient.

05/25

http://sportspicks3434.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[metsfa89]

GL man

[SportsPicks3434]

If you have a problem with the spreadsheet link let me know. My updated record will show on the spreadsheet and in my signature which will be updated daily. If you haven't seen anyone with a totals win rate of at least 70% you will now, best of luck!

[SportsPicks3434]

Wih my first total, Boston/Tampa Bay, the under is a play at any line of 7 1/2 +

[SportsPicks3434]

Good luck with the Boston Under everyone if your on it with me.

[SportsPicks3434]

There are 3 totals for Wednesday that made my first cut that I will look into more later tonight after the lines are posted.

[SportsPicks3434]

First thread play is a win with only 2 runs scored in the Boston/TB game. I will post my plays for tomorrow in a few hours.

http://sportspicks3434.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[dvb02]

First thread play is a win with only 2 runs scored in the Boston/TB game. I will post my plays for tomorrow in a few hours. http://sportspicks3434.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

nice job

[daneault23]

Hey SportsPicks, on the spreadsheet is just the one play from today. Is that the only game you have played this season or what? I'm anxious to see your picks.

[SportsPicks3434]

Hey SportsPicks, on the spreadsheet is just the one play from today. Is that the only game you have played this season or what? I'm anxious to see your picks.

Well i couldnt decide how to play or how I wanted to post so i did have a thread yesterday and this thread. This is my first play in this thread if thats what you aksed. I just thought it would be less time consuming and easier to just post my picks in my spreadsheet and then post my spreadsheet which also keeps a good record of the plays.

[SportsPicks3434]

05/26

http://sportspicks3434.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[daneault23]

I see now. So is this mroe of an experimental thing or have you been doing these O/U's for awhile now? If you have been doing this regularly, what's your average season win loss or units won or loss look like? Just a ballpark figure. It's just that some guys have spreadsheets on here and come and go every couple of weeks with no stability once they start losing.

[youngerthree]

Do you just do over/unders?

[SportsPicks3434]

I see now. So is this mroe of an experimental thing or have you been doing these O/U's for awhile now? If you have been doing this regularly, what's your average season win loss or units won or loss look like? Just a ballpark figure. It's just that some guys have spreadsheets on here and come and go every couple of weeks with no stability once they start losing.

No I think i may have confused you with my last post. Totals is all do and thats because thats the area of success i have with MLB. I do quite well with totals and I have also done very well in past seasons. 85% or so of my plays are under plays and that is because I feel they are easier to spot than are over plays.

[SportsPicks3434]

I cant spell sometimes, sorry.

No I think i may have confused you with my last post. Totals is all I do and thats because thats the area of success i have with MLB. I do quite well with totals and I have also done very well in past seasons. 85% or so of my plays are under plays and that is because I feel they are easier to spot than are over plays.

[SportsPicks3434]

Do you just do over/unders?

Yes. They are, for me, the easiest wager in baseball if you understand how to handicap totals which i do.

[SportsPicks3434]

At anytime during this thread if anyone would like a "Line" recommendation with any of the plays let me know and I will provide what I have.

[gilbert91016]

Sp3434 i like betting o/u can u give me some tips what u look for

[daneault23]

No I think i may have confused you with my last post. Totals is all do and thats because thats the area of success i have with MLB. I do quite well with totals and I have also done very well in past seasons. 85% or so of my plays are under plays and that is because I feel they are easier to spot than are over plays.

I know you pretty much only do the overs and unders. I was just asking about your previous season's records. I looked at your sheet for tomorrow's plays and believe those are quality plays.

[SportsPicks3434]

Sp3434 i like betting o/u can u give me some tips what u look for

Well i look for many different statistical data and other information but I will tell you a little to give you a rough idea.

The statistical data that I use includes 7 different pitching categories for the starting pitchers, 2 different pitching categories for the bullpen's involved, 5 different offensive categories for each team involved, gameday weather and past performance of the starting pitchers (L3 pitched games and overall vs. the team they are playing)

Their is more to it than the information above as I also use that information to predict the outcome (score) of the game I am playing and the score I generate must be a score in which gives me a 1 (one) run vs. the line advantage whether I am playing a over or an under. Here is an example of Wednesdays play (NYY/Minn) and why that game is a under play to summarize.

At the conclusion of my handicapping (for sake of a better word) I have the NY Yankees/Minnesota total set at 6.58 total runs.

The line for the game currently is 9 runs and at some books 8 1/2 runs.

Based on my calculations the under will be a play on Wednesday at any line on or above 7.5


I hope that explains it a little better.

[SportsPicks3434]

I know you pretty much only do the overs and unders. I was just asking about your previous season's records. I looked at your sheet for tomorrow's plays and believe those are quality plays.

Sorry I do not have a record for last season. I did not post in baseball forums last season so I can't provide that but I can say if I was to take a wild guess just wagering over/under plays I was somewhere in the neighborhood of +90 or so units from May 1st (thats when i typically start wagering on baseball totals) through the World Series. That also is risking to win $100.00 on each total wager.

[gilbert91016]

Tanks SP3434.
Best off luck

[SportsPicks3434]

Sp3434 i like betting o/u can u give me some tips what u look for

Another example would have been involving a game between Detroit/Seattle on Tuesday night which finished with (8) total runs and the line was (6.5). My line for the game was 6.965 total runs scored so for that game to have been a play for me the line would have had to be 7 1/2 or higher which would have allowed me to win at a total of 7 runs scored for the game. It all just depends on my line and the Vegas odds and keep in mind that their are "Key Numbers" when wagering on totals in baseball just like their are "Key Numbers" in wagering on NFL games.

[SportsPicks3434]

Also I normally will NOT wager on a total (over or under) if either team is starting their 3rd, 4th or 5th starter based on how I have each rotation of each team ranked. There are reasons that I may get into at a later time but that is one of my first rules in total's wagering.

[daneault23]

Good info SP. I'm gonna be on the ride with you this season. BOL.

[arthur]

I'll be looking in with interest.

[SportsPicks3434]

Good info SP. I'm gonna be on the ride with you this season. BOL.

[SportsPicks3434]

I'll be looking in with interest.

[DaBA]

SP has this season been harder to cap unders? It seems like bullpens and closers suck nowadays.

[SportsPicks3434]

SP has this season been harder to cap unders? It seems like bullpens and closers suck nowadays.

Most recreational sports bettors tend to bet over the total (this is true for all sports). More knowledgeable handicappers understand that it is usually advantageous to bet on the prospect that nothing will happen, versus something will happen. For an over to occur, the pitching of both teams must break down and/or hitting must come to life. In the event just one of the teams has either a good night pitching, or a very bad night hitting, the game will usually go under the total. For me it is easier for me to cap under's that is why about 85% of my picks will be under's.

[SportsPicks3434]

Good luck with our afternoon game if you are playing the same side. I know some were on the Det/Sea under last night which lost. This game today should be the under everyone was looking for last night.

[Mr Windy City]

Good luck with our afternoon game if you are playing the same side. I know some were on the Det/Sea under last night which lost. This game today should be the under everyone was looking for last night.

Already on it, played it last night! Let's get it, sportspicks

[Sawyer]

First of all, Congrats for two winners last night!

Nice to see a baseball capper here specially a handicapper who's capping totals..

GL Tonight! Nice to see you on MIN-NY U & DET-SEA U, I have these two plays as well..

[azimm11]

hey sportspicks, i'm liking what you're bringing to the forum..just one question.
would you still be on the yanks/twins under at 8.5? what do your numbers say?
GL!

[Sawyer]

Mariners vs Tigers Under looks very promising..

Bonderman 1.21 WHIP & 1.89 ERA in last 3 starts.
Vargas 0.90 WHIP & 2.14 ERA in last 3 starts.

GL Mate!